MotoGP Data dominance · tyre · race pace
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Round 11 of 18 Aftermath

Austrian Grand Prix 2017

Red Bull Ring - Spielberg Austria

4.348 m · 28 laps · since 1996
11.08 – 13.08.2017
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team39:43.32325
2Marc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda Team+0.17620
3Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+2.66116
4Jorge LorenzoDucatiDucati Team+6.66313
5Johann ZarcoYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+7.26211
6Maverick ViñalesYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+7.44710
7Valentino RossiYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+8.9959
8Alvaro BautistaDucatiPull&Bear Aspar Team+14.5158
9Loris BazDucatiReale Avintia Racing+19.6207
10Mika KallioKTMRed Bull KTM Factory Racing+19.7666
11Andrea IannoneSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTAR+20.1015
12Scott ReddingDucatiOCTO Pramac Racing+25.5234
13Aleix EspargaroApriliaAprilia Racing Team Gresini+26.7003
14Karel AbrahamDucatiPull&Bear Aspar Team+27.3212
15Cal CrutchlowHondaLCR Honda+28.0961
16Alex RinsSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTAR+32.9120
17Hector BarberaDucatiReale Avintia Racing+34.1120
18Bradley SmithKTMRed Bull KTM Factory Racing+36.4230
19Tito RabatHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDS+42.4040
20Sam LowesApriliaAprilia Racing Team Gresini+52.4920
DNFDanilo PetrucciDucatiOCTO Pramac RacingRetired0
DNFJack MillerHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDSRetired0
DNFJonas FolgerYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3Retired0
DNFPol EspargaroKTMRed Bull KTM Factory RacingRetired0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
ForecastFavouriteWinnerOrder (model / grid)Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)Marc Marquez · 27%Andrea Dovizioso · 21% · from P20.85 / 0.852.5 / 2.4

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

66
Overtakes
4
Lead changes
3 leaders
9/28
Laps led by the winner
Andrea Dovizioso
0.176 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P17 to P8.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Marc Marquez (28 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race14:04:19Pol EspargaroRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:05:31Jonas FolgerRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:06:18Jump startJump start
Race14:09:32Danilo PetrucciRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:29:33Jack MillerCrashCrashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
21.1 °C
Air
max 21.5 °C
55%
Humidity
Dry
Rain
9 km/h
Wind
gusts 33 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 11.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Hector Barbera01:24.631—23308.8
2Andrea Dovizioso01:24.719+0.08822305.5
3Daniel Pedrosa01:24.744+0.11323307.0
4Maverick Viñales01:24.752+0.12121304.3
5Marc Marquez01:24.881+0.25021305.5
6Johann Zarco01:24.895+0.26424308.2
7Danilo Petrucci01:24.972+0.34122305.6
8Scott Redding01:25.008+0.37723304.7
9Jorge Lorenzo01:25.038+0.40723301.3
10Cal Crutchlow01:25.229+0.59822303.5
11Pol Espargaro01:25.244+0.61321307.0
12Valentino Rossi01:25.251+0.62024301.3
13Jonas Folger01:25.282+0.65122305.0
14Andrea Iannone01:25.608+0.97724303.3
15Aleix Espargaro01:25.697+1.06621304.8
16Loris Baz01:25.709+1.07821301.4
17Mika Kallio01:25.712+1.08120306.4
18Tito Rabat01:25.724+1.09324301.0
19Sam Lowes01:25.740+1.10921301.7
20Jack Miller01:25.753+1.12223302.0
21Bradley Smith01:25.785+1.15421302.6
22Alvaro Bautista01:25.903+1.27221309.2
23Alex Rins01:26.014+1.38324303.2
24Karel Abraham01:26.239+1.60819307.4
FP2 · 11.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Dovizioso01:24.046—14306.1
2Maverick Viñales01:24.280+0.23415302.8
3Daniel Pedrosa01:24.474+0.42816305.2
4Johann Zarco01:24.522+0.47617304.7
5Jorge Lorenzo01:24.616+0.57013302.0
6Marc Marquez01:24.649+0.60318302.4
7Cal Crutchlow01:24.668+0.62216299.3
8Aleix Espargaro01:24.726+0.68015302.6
9Scott Redding01:24.765+0.71919302.2
10Alvaro Bautista01:24.780+0.73418310.4
11Pol Espargaro01:24.859+0.81317306.9
12Valentino Rossi01:24.883+0.83719300.0
13Loris Baz01:24.925+0.87920299.9
14Danilo Petrucci01:24.935+0.88916301.1
15Jonas Folger01:24.992+0.94615303.2
16Andrea Iannone01:25.218+1.17217303.0
17Hector Barbera01:25.258+1.21214308.2
18Sam Lowes01:25.270+1.22417300.5
19Mika Kallio01:25.320+1.27419304.2
20Jack Miller01:25.335+1.28919302.4
21Karel Abraham01:25.369+1.32318307.1
22Alex Rins01:25.452+1.40619304.5
23Tito Rabat01:25.616+1.57017302.3
24Bradley Smith01:25.664+1.61820302.6
FP3 · 12.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:23.459—24307.3
2Johann Zarco01:23.882+0.42327309.1
3Andrea Iannone01:23.943+0.48425307.3
4Jorge Lorenzo01:23.968+0.50922307.6
5Valentino Rossi01:23.995+0.53624306.6
6Maverick Viñales01:24.049+0.59022309.1
7Loris Baz01:24.097+0.63822304.9
8Karel Abraham01:24.109+0.65023311.2
9Cal Crutchlow01:24.182+0.72320305.7
10Scott Redding01:24.190+0.73123306.4
11Danilo Petrucci01:24.196+0.73724304.2
12Jonas Folger01:24.275+0.81621306.4
13Hector Barbera01:24.294+0.83520311.4
14Daniel Pedrosa01:24.421+0.96224308.3
15Alvaro Bautista01:24.427+0.96824313.8
16Andrea Dovizioso01:24.454+0.99522310.8
17Mika Kallio01:24.630+1.17122309.4
18Aleix Espargaro01:24.642+1.18321305.4
19Pol Espargaro01:24.660+1.20122311.7
20Alex Rins01:24.709+1.25024305.6
21Jack Miller01:24.744+1.28524306.1
22Tito Rabat01:24.887+1.42826306.9
23Sam Lowes01:25.033+1.57422306.6
24Bradley Smith01:25.515+2.05620308.3
FP4 · 12.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:24.180—19311.2
2Maverick Viñales01:24.347+0.16719309.7
3Daniel Pedrosa01:24.400+0.22019312.0
4Johann Zarco01:24.434+0.25418308.3
5Andrea Iannone01:24.525+0.34514306.4
6Andrea Dovizioso01:24.607+0.42716309.7
7Valentino Rossi01:24.644+0.46419307.4
8Scott Redding01:24.804+0.62418306.5
9Jonas Folger01:24.814+0.63418306.1
10Jorge Lorenzo01:24.839+0.65914306.3
11Pol Espargaro01:24.852+0.67217312.3
12Cal Crutchlow01:24.882+0.70216304.7
13Karel Abraham01:25.134+0.95415311.8
14Alex Rins01:25.137+0.95717308.3
15Bradley Smith01:25.298+1.11818306.9
16Loris Baz01:25.368+1.18821303.1
17Alvaro Bautista01:25.425+1.24516312.6
18Hector Barbera01:25.436+1.25612313.7
19Aleix Espargaro01:25.443+1.26318306.8
20Danilo Petrucci01:25.483+1.30316303.7
21Tito Rabat01:25.527+1.34718307.1
22Sam Lowes01:25.693+1.51318304.3
23Mika Kallio01:25.714+1.53417309.3
24Jack Miller01:26.051+1.87114306.6
Q1 · 12.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Danilo Petrucci01:23.754—9303.5
2Daniel Pedrosa01:23.849+0.09510309.1
3Jonas Folger01:24.015+0.2619306.2
4Hector Barbera01:24.036+0.2829313.2
5Scott Redding01:24.037+0.28310306.5
6Pol Espargaro01:24.101+0.3479308.4
7Alvaro Bautista01:24.202+0.44810316.5
8Mika Kallio01:24.261+0.5079308.6
9Jack Miller01:24.321+0.56710308.6
10Aleix Espargaro01:24.447+0.69310304.2
11Alex Rins01:24.448+0.6949305.4
12Bradley Smith01:24.530+0.77610305.6
13Sam Lowes01:24.852+1.0989306.1
14Tito Rabat01:24.900+1.14611306.6
Q2 · 12.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:23.235—10310.8
2Andrea Dovizioso01:23.379+0.14410306.0
3Jorge Lorenzo01:23.621+0.3868305.3
4Maverick Viñales01:23.754+0.5199305.5
5Danilo Petrucci01:23.780+0.5458302.6
6Johann Zarco01:23.879+0.6448305.9
7Valentino Rossi01:23.982+0.7479304.2
8Daniel Pedrosa01:23.985+0.7509308.0
9Cal Crutchlow01:24.024+0.78910303.7
10Andrea Iannone01:24.185+0.95010302.5
11Karel Abraham01:24.220+0.9859308.6
12Loris Baz01:24.483+1.2489303.2
Warm Up · 13.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Dovizioso01:23.979—14310.6
2Marc Marquez01:24.096+0.11714307.6
3Maverick Viñales01:24.311+0.33214308.4
4Daniel Pedrosa01:24.435+0.45613306.9
5Jorge Lorenzo01:24.449+0.47012305.6
6Valentino Rossi01:24.527+0.54814304.6
7Pol Espargaro01:24.541+0.56212309.3
8Scott Redding01:24.595+0.61614304.9
9Aleix Espargaro01:24.597+0.61814306.1
10Alvaro Bautista01:24.636+0.65714314.8
11Danilo Petrucci01:24.712+0.73314305.6
12Andrea Iannone01:24.834+0.85513306.9
13Loris Baz01:24.922+0.94314304.2
14Karel Abraham01:24.951+0.97212309.8
15Jonas Folger01:25.003+1.0249303.0
16Bradley Smith01:25.035+1.05613304.2
17Hector Barbera01:25.063+1.08414315.2
18Mika Kallio01:25.084+1.10514307.2
19Johann Zarco01:25.106+1.12714306.8
20Alex Rins01:25.151+1.17214303.7
21Jack Miller01:25.253+1.27414305.2
22Cal Crutchlow01:25.341+1.36211303.4
23Tito Rabat01:25.425+1.44614305.8
24Sam Lowes01:25.943+1.96414302.6
Race · 13.08
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Andrea Dovizioso39:43.3232528
2Marc Marquez+0.1762028
3Daniel Pedrosa+2.6611628
4Jorge Lorenzo+6.6631328
5Johann Zarco+7.2621128
6Maverick Viñales+7.4471028
7Valentino Rossi+8.995928
8Alvaro Bautista+14.515828
9Loris Baz+19.620728
10Mika Kallio+19.766628
11Andrea Iannone+20.101528
12Scott Redding+25.523428
13Aleix Espargaro+26.700328
14Karel Abraham+27.321228
15Cal Crutchlow+28.096128
16Alex Rins+32.912028
17Hector Barbera+34.112028
18Bradley Smith+36.423028
19Tito Rabat+42.404028
20Sam Lowes+52.492028
RetiredDanilo Petrucci06
RetiredJack Miller019
RetiredJonas Folger03
RetiredPol Espargaro02

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

RiderGridWinPodiumTop 5Top 10P(DNF)Final
Marc Marquez127%58%72%83%15%2
Andrea Dovizioso221%53%72%85%12%1
Jorge Lorenzo315%47%68%88%8%4
Maverick Viñales412%38%60%83%12%6
Danilo Petrucci57%25%45%70%24%—
Johann Zarco65%22%44%79%13%5
Valentino Rossi75%18%39%80%9%7
Daniel Pedrosa83%13%31%77%10%3
Cal Crutchlow92%7%18%55%29%15
Andrea Iannone101%5%13%51%29%11
Karel Abraham110%4%10%43%32%14
Loris Baz121%3%8%44%22%9
Jonas Folger130%2%6%39%13%—
Hector Barbera140%2%5%34%15%17
Scott Redding150%1%3%26%15%12
Pol Espargaro160%1%2%20%21%—
Alvaro Bautista170%1%1%14%21%8
Mika Kallio180%0%1%8%34%10
Jack Miller190%0%1%7%30%—
Aleix Espargaro200%0%0%5%21%13
Alex Rins210%0%0%4%20%16
Bradley Smith220%0%0%3%13%18
Sam Lowes230%0%0%2%32%20
Tito Rabat240%0%0%1%13%19

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6
S1 · AcostaS2 · M. MarquezS3 · AldeguerS4 · Bezzecchi

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,347 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

62/100
Position index
11%
Pole wins
67%
Front row on the podium
0.77
Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 33% of the time (between 12% and 65%; 9 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

48
Overtakes
3
Lead changes
3 leaders
16/28
Laps led by the winner
Andrea Iannone
0.938 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Loris Baz, from P21 to P13.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Andrea Iannone (23 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2026Pedro AcostaKTM
  • 2025Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2021Brad BinderKTM
  • 2020Andrea DoviziosoDucati
  • 2019Andrea DoviziosoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 14% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20261/225%
20252/2010%
20242/248%
20233/2313%
20225/2520%
20213/2015%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet