MotoGP Data dominance · tyre · race pace
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Round 12 of 18 Aftermath

British Grand Prix 2017

Silverstone Circuit United Kingdom

5.900 m · 20 laps · since 1977
25.08 – 27.08.2017
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team40:45.49625
2Maverick ViñalesYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+0.11420
3Valentino RossiYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+0.74916
4Cal CrutchlowHondaLCR Honda+1.67913
5Jorge LorenzoDucatiDucati Team+3.50811
6Johann ZarcoYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+7.00110
7Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+10.9449
8Scott ReddingDucatiOCTO Pramac Racing+13.6278
9Alex RinsSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTAR+15.6617
10Alvaro BautistaDucatiPull&Bear Aspar Team+25.2796
11Pol EspargaroKTMRed Bull KTM Factory Racing+30.3365
12Tito RabatHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDS+31.6094
13Karel AbrahamDucatiPull&Bear Aspar Team+31.9453
14Hector BarberaDucatiReale Avintia Racing+33.5672
15Loris BazDucatiReale Avintia Racing+33.9011
16Jack MillerHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDS+43.0120
17Bradley SmithKTMRed Bull KTM Factory Racing+48.6830
DNFAleix EspargaroApriliaAprilia Racing Team GresiniRetired0
DNFAndrea IannoneSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTARRetired0
DNFDanilo PetrucciDucatiOCTO Pramac RacingRetired0
DNFMarc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda TeamRetired0
DNFSam LowesApriliaAprilia Racing Team GresiniRetired0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
ForecastFavouriteWinnerOrder (model / grid)Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)Marc Marquez · 28%Andrea Dovizioso · 6% · from P60.89 / 0.891.8 / 1.7

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

38
Overtakes
1
Lead changes
2 leaders
3/20
Laps led by the winner
Andrea Dovizioso

Comeback of the day: Tito Rabat, from P21 to P12.

Longest battle: Alex Rins vs Scott Redding (17 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race15:33:59Jump startJump start
Race15:42:29Sam LowesCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race15:58:59Marc MarquezRetiredRetired
Race16:07:51Andrea IannoneCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race16:07:51Danilo PetrucciCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race16:09:41Aleix EspargaroRetiredRetired

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
22.4 °C
Air
max 22.6 °C
52%
Humidity
Dry
Rain
3 km/h
Wind
gusts 15 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 25.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Maverick Viñales02:02.130—15321.4
2Jorge Lorenzo02:02.649+0.51915317.2
3Cal Crutchlow02:02.769+0.63916318.7
4Marc Marquez02:02.857+0.72717320.8
5Valentino Rossi02:02.995+0.86516319.8
6Alvaro Bautista02:03.025+0.89516325.2
7Johann Zarco02:03.044+0.91417319.5
8Aleix Espargaro02:03.284+1.15416319.2
9Scott Redding02:03.336+1.20615319.8
10Andrea Dovizioso02:03.337+1.20714322.4
11Jack Miller02:03.396+1.26616319.9
12Alex Rins02:03.494+1.36417319.6
13Pol Espargaro02:03.624+1.49416322.2
14Daniel Pedrosa02:03.670+1.54015319.3
15Loris Baz02:03.763+1.63314316.2
16Jonas Folger02:03.939+1.80914316.1
17Karel Abraham02:04.102+1.97217320.4
18Andrea Iannone02:04.131+2.00117319.5
19Danilo Petrucci02:04.162+2.03211323.4
20Tito Rabat02:04.378+2.24818321.0
21Bradley Smith02:04.414+2.28418317.7
22Hector Barbera02:04.725+2.59514325.0
23Sam Lowes02:05.069+2.93911313.8
FP2 · 25.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Cal Crutchlow02:00.897—15320.2
2Valentino Rossi02:01.138+0.24118319.9
3Maverick Viñales02:01.168+0.27117324.3
4Aleix Espargaro02:01.592+0.69513322.0
5Marc Marquez02:01.611+0.71413319.9
6Jorge Lorenzo02:01.655+0.75817320.1
7Pol Espargaro02:01.832+0.93517322.2
8Johann Zarco02:01.885+0.98818320.2
9Andrea Dovizioso02:01.893+0.99617323.1
10Scott Redding02:01.933+1.03616321.9
11Andrea Iannone02:01.974+1.07716322.6
12Alex Rins02:02.072+1.17518320.5
13Alvaro Bautista02:02.097+1.20018325.7
14Karel Abraham02:02.098+1.20116323.4
15Loris Baz02:02.202+1.30516320.2
16Danilo Petrucci02:02.250+1.35318328.0
17Daniel Pedrosa02:02.408+1.51115320.5
18Jack Miller02:02.507+1.61016322.0
19Jonas Folger02:02.580+1.68314318.7
20Hector Barbera02:02.735+1.83817325.6
21Tito Rabat02:02.860+1.96319323.7
22Sam Lowes02:03.475+2.57814315.6
23Bradley Smith02:04.429+3.53217318.2
FP3 · 26.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Johann Zarco02:01.734—16320.8
2Maverick Viñales02:01.877+0.1438328.0
3Jonas Folger02:02.088+0.35410321.1
4Andrea Dovizioso02:02.208+0.4749328.0
5Danilo Petrucci02:02.287+0.5537325.8
6Cal Crutchlow02:02.318+0.58410321.6
7Marc Marquez02:02.513+0.77912322.0
8Pol Espargaro02:02.530+0.7969324.6
9Daniel Pedrosa02:02.602+0.86812323.6
10Scott Redding02:02.818+1.0848324.3
11Valentino Rossi02:02.852+1.11816323.2
12Jack Miller02:02.871+1.13714321.8
13Jorge Lorenzo02:02.946+1.2127319.9
14Alex Rins02:02.965+1.2317321.3
15Tito Rabat02:03.029+1.29513321.9
16Bradley Smith02:03.187+1.45310320.5
17Hector Barbera02:03.352+1.6188328.0
18Loris Baz02:03.362+1.62812320.0
19Alvaro Bautista02:03.757+2.02313327.9
20Karel Abraham02:03.798+2.0647324.1
21Andrea Iannone02:03.919+2.1856322.6
22Sam Lowes02:04.242+2.5088318.2
RetiredAleix Espargaro—00.0
FP4 · 26.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Jorge Lorenzo02:01.060—9320.2
2Andrea Dovizioso02:01.718+0.65812327.6
3Cal Crutchlow02:01.740+0.68012321.7
4Marc Marquez02:01.778+0.71812320.9
5Maverick Viñales02:01.829+0.76913325.5
6Johann Zarco02:01.835+0.77515322.2
7Alex Rins02:01.954+0.89413320.7
8Andrea Iannone02:02.089+1.02913322.8
9Valentino Rossi02:02.109+1.04912321.9
10Danilo Petrucci02:02.306+1.24613325.0
11Tito Rabat02:02.378+1.31812320.3
12Pol Espargaro02:02.503+1.44313323.4
13Jonas Folger02:02.512+1.45212320.9
14Alvaro Bautista02:02.741+1.68111326.9
15Aleix Espargaro02:02.864+1.8049318.8
16Daniel Pedrosa02:02.871+1.81113322.2
17Scott Redding02:03.007+1.94713322.9
18Jack Miller02:03.262+2.20213321.7
19Sam Lowes02:03.271+2.21111317.2
20Hector Barbera02:03.320+2.2608326.8
21Karel Abraham02:03.401+2.3418323.0
22Loris Baz02:03.612+2.5526316.2
23Bradley Smith02:04.246+3.1869318.0
Q1 · 26.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Daniel Pedrosa02:00.830—7322.2
2Jonas Folger02:01.162+0.3326321.0
3Alex Rins02:01.285+0.4556320.8
4Alvaro Bautista02:01.340+0.5107328.8
5Andrea Iannone02:01.567+0.7377323.5
6Hector Barbera02:01.669+0.8397328.3
7Jack Miller02:01.672+0.8427324.0
8Danilo Petrucci02:01.770+0.9404324.8
9Bradley Smith02:02.017+1.1877317.8
10Karel Abraham02:02.037+1.2076324.6
11Loris Baz02:02.185+1.3556320.0
12Tito Rabat02:02.211+1.3816323.6
13Sam Lowes02:02.787+1.9577317.7
Q2 · 26.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:59.941—6320.4
2Valentino Rossi02:00.025+0.0847324.6
3Cal Crutchlow02:00.106+0.1656320.0
4Maverick Viñales02:00.341+0.4007325.7
5Jorge Lorenzo02:00.399+0.4586319.6
6Andrea Dovizioso02:00.572+0.6316327.8
7Daniel Pedrosa02:00.578+0.6377322.4
8Johann Zarco02:00.622+0.6817322.4
9Aleix Espargaro02:00.764+0.8237322.9
10Jonas Folger02:00.829+0.8887320.6
11Pol Espargaro02:01.378+1.4373322.8
12Scott Redding02:01.994+2.0536323.4
Warm Up · 27.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Iannone02:01.622—8324.3
2Marc Marquez02:01.631+0.00910324.0
3Cal Crutchlow02:01.751+0.12910322.8
4Maverick Viñales02:01.836+0.21410325.6
5Valentino Rossi02:01.889+0.26710326.3
6Johann Zarco02:01.983+0.36110325.5
7Aleix Espargaro02:02.221+0.5995321.2
8Andrea Dovizioso02:02.332+0.7109325.3
9Alex Rins02:02.353+0.73110321.5
10Jorge Lorenzo02:02.406+0.7848321.8
11Alvaro Bautista02:02.507+0.88510328.7
12Danilo Petrucci02:02.559+0.93710325.7
13Pol Espargaro02:02.597+0.9759322.8
14Hector Barbera02:02.701+1.07910328.5
15Scott Redding02:02.711+1.0899323.5
16Tito Rabat02:02.804+1.18210321.3
17Daniel Pedrosa02:02.829+1.20710324.7
18Karel Abraham02:02.838+1.21610324.9
19Jack Miller02:02.967+1.34510322.7
20Loris Baz02:03.012+1.3909320.8
21Sam Lowes02:03.067+1.44510317.9
22Bradley Smith02:03.282+1.66010324.4
RetiredJonas Folger—00.0
Race · 27.08
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Andrea Dovizioso40:45.4962520
2Maverick Viñales+0.1142020
3Valentino Rossi+0.7491620
4Cal Crutchlow+1.6791320
5Jorge Lorenzo+3.5081120
6Johann Zarco+7.0011020
7Daniel Pedrosa+10.944920
8Scott Redding+13.627820
9Alex Rins+15.661720
10Alvaro Bautista+25.279620
11Pol Espargaro+30.336520
12Tito Rabat+31.609420
13Karel Abraham+31.945320
14Hector Barbera+33.567220
15Loris Baz+33.901120
16Jack Miller+43.012020
17Bradley Smith+48.683020
RetiredAleix Espargaro018
RetiredAndrea Iannone017
RetiredDanilo Petrucci017
RetiredMarc Marquez013
RetiredSam Lowes05

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

SessionRiderQualifiedStartsΔReason
RaceJonas Folger10——Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

RiderGridWinPodiumTop 5Top 10P(DNF)Final
Marc Marquez128%58%73%83%15%—
Valentino Rossi221%55%72%88%9%3
Cal Crutchlow312%36%51%68%29%4
Maverick Viñales411%38%60%85%12%2
Jorge Lorenzo58%31%55%86%8%5
Andrea Dovizioso66%23%45%80%12%1
Daniel Pedrosa75%19%38%78%10%7
Johann Zarco83%13%32%72%13%6
Aleix Espargaro92%9%20%61%21%—
Pol Espargaro101%5%15%55%22%11
Scott Redding111%4%12%56%14%8
Alex Rins121%3%8%45%18%9
Alvaro Bautista130%2%6%36%21%10
Andrea Iannone140%2%4%27%28%—
Hector Barbera150%1%3%25%15%14
Jack Miller160%1%2%15%32%16
Danilo Petrucci170%0%1%13%24%—
Bradley Smith180%0%1%11%13%17
Karel Abraham190%0%1%6%31%13
Loris Baz200%0%0%5%21%15
Tito Rabat210%0%1%4%12%12
Sam Lowes220%0%0%2%30%—
Jonas Folger230%0%0%2%19%—

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6
S1 · ViñalesS2 · ViñalesS3 · OguraS4 · M. Marquez

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,905 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

48/100
Position index
0%
Pole wins
38%
Front row on the podium
0.72
Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 33% of the time (between 6% and 79%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 7 races (2019–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

50
Overtakes
0
Lead changes
1 leaders
19/19
Laps led by the winner
Maverick Viñales
3.480 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P19 to P10.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Yonny Hernandez (14 laps).

There was a red flag.

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2026Raul FernandezAprilia
  • 2025Marco BezzecchiAprilia
  • 2024Enea BastianiniDucati
  • 2023Aleix EspargaroAprilia
  • 2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2021Fabio QuartararoYamaha
  • 2019Alex RinsSuzuki
  • 2017Andrea DoviziosoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20267/2330%
20253/2214%
20244/2218%
20235/2223%
20222/248%
20212/2110%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet