Round 5 of 18 Aftermath

French Grand Prix 2015

4.185 m · 27 laps · since 1969

15.05 – 17.05.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	43:44.143	25
2	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+3.820	20
3	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+12.380	16
4	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+19.890	13
5	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	+20.237	11
6	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+21.145	10
7	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+35.493	9
8	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+39.601	8
9	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+41.571	7
10	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+42.789	6
11	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+53.636	5
12	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+60.617	4
13	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+64.272	3
14	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+65.259	2
15	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+65.515	1
16	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+80.907	0
17	Alex De Angelis	ART	Octo IodaRacing Team	+81.663	0
18	Marco Melandri	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+0.000	0
DNF	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Karel Abraham	Honda	AB Motoracing	Retired	0
DNF	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	Retired	0
DNF	Stefan Bradl	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Marc Marquez · 30%	Jorge Lorenzo · 16% · from P3	0.85 / 0.85	2.4 / 4.4

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

28/28

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

3.820 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Scott Redding, from P15 to P8.

Longest battle: Danilo Petrucci vs Nicky Hayden (14 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:02:46		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:03:03	Daniel Pedrosa	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:03:41	Stefan Bradl	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:04:19	Aleix Espargaro	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:04:40	Mike Di Meglio	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:06:17	Mike Di Meglio	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:06:32	Scott Redding	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:12:24	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:23:38	Karel Abraham	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:23:46	Jack Miller	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Scott Redding	15	10	+5
Loris Baz	22	17	+5
Alex De Angelis	24	20	+4
Hector Barbera	19	25	−6
Mike Di Meglio	17	21	−4
Cal Crutchlow	4	8	−4

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	7→2	+4.7
Loris Baz	22→12	+4.3
Jorge Lorenzo	3→1	+3.1
Marc Marquez	1→4	−1.2
Danilo Petrucci	9→10	−2.0
Daniel Pedrosa	8→16	−8.7

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

14.9 °C

Air

max 15.2 °C

60%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

4 km/h

Wind

gusts 19 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 15.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.034	—	16	308.3
2	Marc Marquez	01:34.280	+0.246	14	308.1
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.301	+0.267	21	307.7
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.310	+0.276	16	306.9
5	Pol Espargaro	01:34.331	+0.297	20	306.0
6	Scott Redding	01:34.472	+0.438	20	303.1
7	Valentino Rossi	01:34.570	+0.536	20	301.8
8	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.598	+0.564	19	305.9
9	Andrea Iannone	01:34.721	+0.687	19	308.3
10	Bradley Smith	01:34.729	+0.695	21	307.9
11	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.854	+0.820	19	296.0
12	Maverick Viñales	01:35.254	+1.220	19	301.0
13	Daniel Pedrosa	01:35.348	+1.314	17	303.0
14	Stefan Bradl	01:35.367	+1.333	15	299.0
15	Nicky Hayden	01:35.510	+1.476	19	296.5
16	Danilo Petrucci	01:35.617	+1.583	20	297.5
17	Karel Abraham	01:35.690	+1.656	15	296.7
18	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.697	+1.663	18	303.9
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.800	+1.766	20	297.7
20	Alex De Angelis	01:35.802	+1.768	19	294.0
21	Hector Barbera	01:35.825	+1.791	16	306.4
22	Jack Miller	01:35.835	+1.801	17	298.3
23	Loris Baz	01:36.161	+2.127	21	296.0
24	Eugene Laverty	01:36.607	+2.573	22	296.4
25	Marco Melandri	01:36.973	+2.939	18	296.4

FP2 · 15.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Bradley Smith	01:33.179	—	19	306.8
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.369	+0.190	18	306.2
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.553	+0.374	22	309.8
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.652	+0.473	19	306.7
5	Marc Marquez	01:33.670	+0.491	21	308.8
6	Valentino Rossi	01:33.686	+0.507	23	304.7
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.725	+0.546	18	308.2
8	Pol Espargaro	01:33.903	+0.724	18	307.1
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.944	+0.765	18	295.6
10	Yonny Hernandez	01:33.953	+0.774	18	305.2
11	Andrea Iannone	01:34.092	+0.913	17	308.5
12	Maverick Viñales	01:34.110	+0.931	16	301.4
13	Jack Miller	01:34.253	+1.074	19	299.5
14	Scott Redding	01:34.371	+1.192	22	304.1
15	Stefan Bradl	01:34.543	+1.364	19	301.5
16	Danilo Petrucci	01:34.568	+1.389	18	299.0
17	Nicky Hayden	01:34.663	+1.484	19	296.1
18	Hector Barbera	01:34.745	+1.566	14	310.1
19	Loris Baz	01:35.002	+1.823	18	294.7
20	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.067	+1.888	14	305.1
21	Karel Abraham	01:35.090	+1.911	18	296.8
22	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.137	+1.958	16	297.3
23	Eugene Laverty	01:35.182	+2.003	20	296.1
24	Alex De Angelis	01:35.938	+2.759	13	290.1
25	Marco Melandri	01:36.056	+2.877	18	296.1

FP3 · 16.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:32.647	—	18	311.8
2	Andrea Iannone	01:33.018	+0.371	19	316.6
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.126	+0.479	19	315.6
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.176	+0.529	16	314.1
5	Bradley Smith	01:33.502	+0.855	22	311.7
6	Marc Marquez	01:33.517	+0.870	20	315.0
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.597	+0.950	17	312.9
8	Yonny Hernandez	01:33.646	+0.999	20	307.7
9	Pol Espargaro	01:33.694	+1.047	22	311.1
10	Valentino Rossi	01:33.782	+1.135	19	308.3
11	Maverick Viñales	01:33.837	+1.190	19	305.3
12	Danilo Petrucci	01:34.057	+1.410	18	308.4
13	Scott Redding	01:34.097	+1.450	24	308.0
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.214	+1.567	11	301.0
15	Hector Barbera	01:34.332	+1.685	21	313.6
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.341	+1.694	18	303.5
17	Jack Miller	01:34.505	+1.858	21	302.0
18	Nicky Hayden	01:34.604	+1.957	18	301.9
19	Stefan Bradl	01:34.759	+2.112	16	306.5
20	Loris Baz	01:35.000	+2.353	17	300.5
21	Karel Abraham	01:35.101	+2.454	18	303.5
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.487	+2.840	19	309.1
23	Eugene Laverty	01:35.511	+2.864	17	301.5
24	Alex De Angelis	01:35.671	+3.024	18	296.6
25	Marco Melandri	01:35.711	+3.064	17	303.7

FP4 · 16.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Loris Baz	01:41.913	—	11	295.8
2	Alex De Angelis	01:43.312	+1.399	9	287.6
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:43.434	+1.521	9	291.5
4	Valentino Rossi	01:44.083	+2.170	13	293.9
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:44.262	+2.349	10	300.1
6	Marc Marquez	01:44.270	+2.357	11	290.2
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.452	+2.539	12	292.1
8	Scott Redding	01:44.635	+2.722	9	287.7
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.692	+2.779	11	294.3
10	Maverick Viñales	01:45.588	+3.675	13	292.3
11	Andrea Dovizioso	01:46.311	+4.398	7	296.7
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:46.364	+4.451	13	288.3
13	Marco Melandri	01:46.831	+4.918	11	282.7
14	Pol Espargaro	01:46.972	+5.059	10	295.8
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:47.742	+5.829	6	290.3
16	Jack Miller	01:47.818	+5.905	9	288.1
17	Karel Abraham	01:47.905	+5.992	11	292.2
18	Nicky Hayden	01:48.434	+6.521	7	288.3
19	Mike Di Meglio	01:48.657	+6.744	10	289.5
20	Stefan Bradl	01:48.757	+6.844	9	278.9
—	Aleix Espargaro	01:49.342	+7.429	7	281.9
—	Andrea Iannone	01:53.101	+11.188	6	275.0
—	Bradley Smith	01:49.453	+7.540	5	293.8
—	Eugene Laverty	01:50.321	+8.408	9	286.9
—	Hector Barbera	01:49.175	+7.262	11	284.1

Q1 · 16.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Danilo Petrucci	01:33.923	—	8	306.9
2	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.213	+0.290	8	297.8
3	Maverick Viñales	01:34.245	+0.322	9	299.5
4	Nicky Hayden	01:34.267	+0.344	8	298.3
5	Scott Redding	01:34.551	+0.628	6	304.3
6	Stefan Bradl	01:34.575	+0.652	9	306.5
7	Mike Di Meglio	01:34.833	+0.910	8	310.5
8	Jack Miller	01:34.858	+0.935	8	304.1
9	Hector Barbera	01:34.870	+0.947	8	310.4
10	Karel Abraham	01:34.940	+1.017	9	301.7
11	Eugene Laverty	01:34.947	+1.024	7	301.7
12	Loris Baz	01:35.456	+1.533	7	297.9
13	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.458	+1.535	9	298.2
14	Alex De Angelis	01:35.680	+1.757	8	291.9
15	Marco Melandri	01:37.522	+3.599	8	298.3

Q2 · 16.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:32.246	—	9	313.1
2	Andrea Dovizioso	01:32.749	+0.503	8	312.6
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:32.846	+0.600	8	310.1
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:32.897	+0.651	9	310.0
5	Andrea Iannone	01:33.001	+0.755	9	316.0
6	Bradley Smith	01:33.299	+1.053	9	309.3
7	Valentino Rossi	01:33.352	+1.106	9	307.1
8	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.419	+1.173	9	313.0
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:33.556	+1.310	9	309.8
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.665	+1.419	6	298.5
11	Yonny Hernandez	01:33.714	+1.468	9	307.6
12	Pol Espargaro	01:33.724	+1.478	8	309.7

Warm Up · 17.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:33.195	—	12	308.3
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.467	+0.272	11	308.4
3	Andrea Iannone	01:33.616	+0.421	11	314.7
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.636	+0.441	12	314.6
5	Bradley Smith	01:33.681	+0.486	13	308.3
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.855	+0.660	12	308.7
7	Valentino Rossi	01:33.859	+0.664	13	307.3
8	Maverick Viñales	01:34.168	+0.973	12	300.5
9	Scott Redding	01:34.171	+0.976	12	306.6
10	Pol Espargaro	01:34.218	+1.023	11	310.9
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.293	+1.098	10	305.1
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.305	+1.110	12	310.9
13	Jack Miller	01:34.478	+1.283	12	301.3
14	Nicky Hayden	01:34.501	+1.306	12	296.6
15	Loris Baz	01:34.576	+1.381	12	296.2
16	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.978	+1.783	10	295.3
17	Stefan Bradl	01:35.012	+1.817	11	305.6
18	Eugene Laverty	01:35.135	+1.940	11	300.5
19	Hector Barbera	01:35.156	+1.961	11	310.4
20	Karel Abraham	01:35.213	+2.018	12	307.2
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:35.330	+2.135	12	303.7
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.604	+2.409	10	306.2
23	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.640	+2.445	10	296.9
24	Alex De Angelis	01:35.871	+2.676	12	293.0
25	Marco Melandri	01:36.405	+3.210	9	298.5

Race · 17.05

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	43:44.143	25	28
2	Valentino Rossi	+3.820	20	28
3	Andrea Dovizioso	+12.380	16	28
4	Marc Marquez	+19.890	13	28
5	Andrea Iannone	+20.237	11	28
6	Bradley Smith	+21.145	10	28
7	Pol Espargaro	+35.493	9	28
8	Yonny Hernandez	+39.601	8	28
9	Maverick Viñales	+41.571	7	28
10	Danilo Petrucci	+42.789	6	28
11	Nicky Hayden	+53.636	5	28
12	Loris Baz	+60.617	4	28
13	Hector Barbera	+64.272	3	28
14	Eugene Laverty	+65.259	2	28
15	Alvaro Bautista	+65.515	1	28
16	Daniel Pedrosa	+80.907	0	28
17	Alex De Angelis	+81.663	0	28
18	Marco Melandri	+0.000	0	27
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		0	2
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	7
Retired	Jack Miller		0	14
Retired	Karel Abraham		0	14
Retired	Mike Di Meglio		0	3
Retired	Scott Redding		0	3
Retired	Stefan Bradl		0	1

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Maverick Viñales	74%	3
2	Aleix Espargaro	46%	2 ✓
3	Danilo Petrucci	39%	1 ✓
4	Scott Redding	13%	5
5	Jack Miller	13%	8
6	Hector Barbera	5%	9
7	Alvaro Bautista	10%	13
8	Stefan Bradl	0%	6
9	Nicky Hayden	0%	4
10	Loris Baz	0%	12
11	Mike Di Meglio	0%	7
12	Karel Abraham	0%	10
13	Eugene Laverty	0%	11
14	Alex De Angelis	0%	14
15	Marco Melandri	—	15

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Jorge Lorenzo	44%	74%	95%	3
2	Andrea Iannone	21%	51%	85%	5
3	Cal Crutchlow	23%	56%	92%	4
4	Andrea Dovizioso	3%	31%	64%	2
5	Bradley Smith	3%	33%	69%	6
6	Marc Marquez	5%	18%	56%	1
7	Daniel Pedrosa	3%	18%	56%	8
8	Yonny Hernandez	0%	13%	31%	11
9	Valentino Rossi	0%	3%	15%	7
10	Pol Espargaro	0%	3%	18%	12
11	Aleix Espargaro	0%	0%	8%	10
12	Danilo Petrucci	0%	0%	13%	9

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Marc Marquez	1	30%	61%	76%	87%	11%	4
Andrea Dovizioso	2	22%	59%	75%	90%	7%	3
Jorge Lorenzo	3	16%	50%	71%	89%	6%	1
Cal Crutchlow	4	9%	30%	49%	67%	27%	—
Andrea Iannone	5	6%	24%	45%	69%	26%	5
Bradley Smith	6	6%	22%	44%	78%	13%	6
Valentino Rossi	7	5%	19%	40%	81%	8%	2
Daniel Pedrosa	8	2%	12%	29%	73%	10%	16
Danilo Petrucci	9	1%	7%	18%	56%	27%	10
Aleix Espargaro	10	1%	6%	15%	59%	16%	—
Yonny Hernandez	11	1%	3%	10%	43%	30%	8
Pol Espargaro	12	0%	3%	9%	42%	22%	7
Maverick Viñales	13	0%	2%	7%	41%	11%	9
Nicky Hayden	14	0%	2%	5%	34%	13%	11
Scott Redding	15	0%	1%	3%	28%	11%	—
Stefan Bradl	16	0%	1%	2%	19%	21%	—
Mike Di Meglio	17	0%	0%	1%	14%	18%	—
Jack Miller	18	0%	0%	1%	10%	21%	—
Hector Barbera	19	0%	0%	0%	7%	16%	13
Karel Abraham	20	0%	0%	0%	4%	33%	—
Eugene Laverty	21	0%	0%	0%	4%	11%	14
Loris Baz	22	0%	0%	0%	3%	21%	12
Alvaro Bautista	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	21%	15
Alex De Angelis	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	10%	17
Marco Melandri	25	0%	0%	0%	1%	16%	18

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,197 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro +0.44%	Maverick Viñales +0.46%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.52%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.26%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Pedro Acosta +0.43%	Pol Espargaro +0.45%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%	Augusto Fernandez +0.46%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura	Jorge Martin +0.35%	Marc Marquez +0.40%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.06%	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Raul Fernandez +0.22%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.30%	Enea Bastianini +0.33%	Ai Ogura +0.33%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fermin Aldeguer +0.09%	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.20%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Johann Zarco +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.48%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.02%	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Maverick Viñales +0.37%	Pedro Acosta +0.46%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.08%	Aleix Espargaro +0.23%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Jack Miller +0.38%	Pedro Acosta +0.38%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.27%	Aleix Espargaro +0.43%
S2	Johann Zarco	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Jack Miller +0.35%	Maverick Viñales +0.36%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Alex Rins +0.30%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Johann Zarco +0.22%	Aleix Espargaro +0.29%
S3	Jack Miller +0.07%	Aleix Espargaro +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Joan Mir +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.68%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Jack Miller +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.28%	Jack Miller +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Franco Morbidelli +0.53%	Maverick Viñales +0.56%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Cal Crutchlow	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Maverick Viñales +0.43%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.04%	Johann Zarco +0.11%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.17%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Jack Miller +0.11%	Pol Espargaro +0.28%
S4	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Joan Mir +0.24%	Cal Crutchlow +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller +0.10%	Pol Espargaro +0.18%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.25%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.00%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Danilo Petrucci +0.10%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Jack Miller +0.27%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.13%	Fabio Quartararo +0.21%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.48%	Andrea Iannone +0.55%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.12%	Andrea Iannone +0.38%	Marc Marquez +0.49%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Maverick Viñales +0.49%	Andrea Iannone +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Valentino Rossi +0.11%	Andrea Iannone +0.16%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

33/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.69

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 50% of the time (between 22% and 79%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	82	—
2	Andrea Dovizioso	67	−15
3	Jorge Lorenzo	62	−20
4	Marc Marquez	56	−26
5	Andrea Iannone	50	−32
6	Cal Crutchlow	47	−35

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

16/28

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

1.486 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P7 to P3.

Longest battle: Aleix Espargaro vs Andrea Dovizioso (17 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Jorge MartinAprilia
2025Johann ZarcoHonda
2024Jorge MartinDucati
2023Marco BezzecchiDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Jack MillerDucati
2020Danilo PetrucciDucati
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 27% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/21	24%
2025	6/22	27%
2024	6/22	27%
2023	8/21	38%
2022	7/24	29%
2021	6/22	27%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet