Round 6 of 18 Aftermath

Italian Grand Prix 2015

Autodromo Internazionale del Mugello Italy

5.245 m · 23 laps · since 1976

29.05 – 31.05.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	41:39.173	25
2	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	+5.563	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+6.661	16
4	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+9.978	13
5	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+15.284	11
6	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+15.665	10
7	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+23.805	9
8	Michele Pirro	Ducati	Ducati Team	+29.152	8
9	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+32.008	7
10	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+34.571	6
11	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+38.553	5
12	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+42.158	4
13	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+44.801	3
14	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+50.435	2
15	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+53.060	1
16	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+75.265	0
17	Karel Abraham	Honda	AB Motoracing	+75.381	0
18	Marco Melandri	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+101.840	0
DNF	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	Retired	0
DNF	Alex De Angelis	ART	Octo IodaRacing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	Retired	0
DNF	Stefan Bradl	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Andrea Iannone · 26%	Jorge Lorenzo · 25% · from P2	0.93 / 0.93	2.3 / 2.4

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

23/23

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

5.563 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Eugene Laverty, from P24 to P15.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Eugene Laverty (20 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:05:12	Karel Abraham	Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:05:52	Aleix Espargaro	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:05:59	Karel Abraham	Ride through	Ride through penalty
Race	14:07:32	Jack Miller	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:07:44	Alex De Angelis	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:08:17	Nicky Hayden	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:08:17	Stefan Bradl	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:12:58		Ride through	Ride through
Race	14:27:18	Andrea Dovizioso	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:33:04	Marc Marquez	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:39:16	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P2).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Marc Marquez	13	4	+9
Bradley Smith	11	5	+6
Jack Miller	23	18	+5
Hector Barbera	15	20	−5
Michele Pirro	6	11	−5
Aleix Espargaro	5	10	−5

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	8→3	+4.3
Bradley Smith	11→5	+4.3
Daniel Pedrosa	7→4	+2.7
Hector Barbera	15→13	−1.2
Michele Pirro	6→8	−2.0
Karel Abraham	20→17	−2.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

22.9 °C

Air

max 23.0 °C

57%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

9 km/h

Wind

gusts 30 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 29.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.893	—	13	345.6
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.926	+0.033	17	339.5
3	Andrea Iannone	01:47.940	+0.047	17	346.1
4	Marc Marquez	01:48.028	+0.135	18	342.8
5	Yonny Hernandez	01:48.304	+0.411	19	344.3
6	Valentino Rossi	01:48.325	+0.432	18	337.9
7	Scott Redding	01:48.340	+0.447	19	340.1
8	Bradley Smith	01:48.349	+0.456	21	343.2
9	Pol Espargaro	01:48.390	+0.497	19	343.5
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:48.459	+0.566	18	342.7
11	Daniel Pedrosa	01:48.541	+0.648	21	341.5
12	Michele Pirro	01:48.614	+0.721	17	344.1
13	Danilo Petrucci	01:48.616	+0.723	18	344.8
14	Hector Barbera	01:48.675	+0.782	14	347.8
15	Maverick Viñales	01:49.100	+1.207	18	337.9
16	Nicky Hayden	01:49.261	+1.368	18	333.8
17	Aleix Espargaro	01:49.478	+1.585	11	330.5
18	Karel Abraham	01:49.569	+1.676	18	337.0
19	Loris Baz	01:49.661	+1.768	18	332.1
20	Eugene Laverty	01:49.815	+1.922	19	335.4
21	Jack Miller	01:49.855	+1.962	16	338.1
22	Alvaro Bautista	01:49.922	+2.029	17	332.5
23	Stefan Bradl	01:49.976	+2.083	15	336.5
24	Mike Di Meglio	01:50.477	+2.584	16	341.2
25	Alex De Angelis	01:51.161	+3.268	18	324.9
26	Marco Melandri	01:52.516	+4.623	17	333.5

FP2 · 29.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.479	—	17	348.1
2	Marc Marquez	01:47.643	+0.164	16	345.1
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.852	+0.373	19	342.0
4	Andrea Iannone	01:47.994	+0.515	18	348.2
5	Bradley Smith	01:48.038	+0.559	21	344.1
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:48.124	+0.645	17	341.3
7	Aleix Espargaro	01:48.137	+0.658	15	335.5
8	Scott Redding	01:48.164	+0.685	20	339.7
9	Valentino Rossi	01:48.211	+0.732	19	339.9
10	Pol Espargaro	01:48.283	+0.804	20	342.0
11	Michele Pirro	01:48.317	+0.838	15	347.1
12	Danilo Petrucci	01:48.419	+0.940	19	348.8
13	Daniel Pedrosa	01:48.435	+0.956	18	345.2
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:48.483	+1.004	16	344.1
15	Maverick Viñales	01:48.493	+1.014	18	338.1
16	Stefan Bradl	01:48.694	+1.215	19	337.2
17	Karel Abraham	01:48.851	+1.372	16	334.6
18	Hector Barbera	01:48.926	+1.447	16	350.1
19	Jack Miller	01:49.030	+1.551	16	340.4
20	Mike Di Meglio	01:49.729	+2.250	15	343.5
21	Alvaro Bautista	01:49.741	+2.262	15	333.9
22	Loris Baz	01:49.825	+2.346	14	332.3
23	Eugene Laverty	01:49.864	+2.385	15	336.3
24	Nicky Hayden	01:49.866	+2.387	17	335.2
25	Alex De Angelis	01:50.477	+2.998	15	327.7
26	Marco Melandri	01:51.800	+4.321	16	335.2

FP3 · 30.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:46.617	—	20	342.6
2	Andrea Iannone	01:47.008	+0.391	20	349.8
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.113	+0.496	19	348.0
4	Michele Pirro	01:47.161	+0.544	18	345.3
5	Pol Espargaro	01:47.175	+0.558	20	343.4
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.210	+0.593	17	344.7
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:47.226	+0.609	19	344.3
8	Bradley Smith	01:47.495	+0.878	17	346.1
9	Valentino Rossi	01:47.543	+0.926	21	341.5
10	Maverick Viñales	01:47.557	+0.940	17	334.0
11	Marc Marquez	01:47.566	+0.949	16	344.1
12	Scott Redding	01:47.595	+0.978	18	338.6
13	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.639	+1.022	17	348.2
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:47.776	+1.159	15	334.4
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:47.893	+1.276	17	344.4
16	Loris Baz	01:48.548	+1.931	15	334.1
17	Stefan Bradl	01:48.580	+1.963	19	342.0
18	Jack Miller	01:48.580	+1.963	11	338.6
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:48.806	+2.189	18	334.7
20	Nicky Hayden	01:49.005	+2.388	16	337.3
21	Mike Di Meglio	01:49.006	+2.389	13	345.4
22	Hector Barbera	01:49.071	+2.454	17	348.2
23	Karel Abraham	01:49.272	+2.655	17	334.4
24	Eugene Laverty	01:49.714	+3.097	19	335.2
25	Alex De Angelis	01:50.031	+3.414	19	328.7
26	Marco Melandri	01:52.050	+5.433	16	334.6

FP4 · 30.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.658	—	13	347.8
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:47.717	+0.059	14	346.2
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.718	+0.060	12	341.9
4	Valentino Rossi	01:47.825	+0.167	15	341.9
5	Marc Marquez	01:47.836	+0.178	10	342.8
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.874	+0.216	13	346.7
7	Yonny Hernandez	01:47.919	+0.261	9	344.4
8	Pol Espargaro	01:48.065	+0.407	15	346.0
9	Andrea Iannone	01:48.071	+0.413	13	350.8
10	Bradley Smith	01:48.085	+0.427	15	345.4
11	Stefan Bradl	01:48.164	+0.506	13	341.3
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:48.247	+0.589	13	335.6
13	Scott Redding	01:48.360	+0.702	13	342.2
14	Maverick Viñales	01:48.479	+0.821	12	337.0
15	Danilo Petrucci	01:48.723	+1.065	10	347.7
16	Michele Pirro	01:48.922	+1.264	12	341.6
17	Hector Barbera	01:49.139	+1.481	15	349.5
18	Nicky Hayden	01:49.217	+1.559	13	340.8
19	Jack Miller	01:49.403	+1.745	11	341.1
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:49.504	+1.846	12	337.6
21	Eugene Laverty	01:49.505	+1.847	9	338.7
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:49.519	+1.861	9	345.7
23	Loris Baz	01:49.533	+1.875	12	333.2
24	Karel Abraham	01:49.552	+1.894	11	339.9
25	Alex De Angelis	01:50.078	+2.420	11	331.7
26	Marco Melandri	01:51.419	+3.761	13	338.9

Q1 · 30.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Yonny Hernandez	01:47.117	—	6	344.7
2	Aleix Espargaro	01:47.222	+0.105	3	332.3
3	Marc Marquez	01:47.240	+0.123	4	345.8
4	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.497	+0.380	6	343.4
5	Hector Barbera	01:47.978	+0.861	7	346.5
6	Stefan Bradl	01:48.047	+0.930	7	338.8
7	Scott Redding	01:48.120	+1.003	7	339.8
8	Loris Baz	01:48.133	+1.016	6	339.1
9	Nicky Hayden	01:48.298	+1.181	7	337.1
10	Karel Abraham	01:48.366	+1.249	7	331.4
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:48.477	+1.360	8	334.9
12	Mike Di Meglio	01:48.503	+1.386	7	346.9
13	Jack Miller	01:48.572	+1.455	7	341.1
14	Eugene Laverty	01:48.638	+1.521	8	337.5
15	Alex De Angelis	01:49.198	+2.081	6	330.2
16	Marco Melandri	01:51.391	+4.274	6	335.9

Q2 · 30.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Iannone	01:46.489	—	7	349.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:46.584	+0.095	6	338.8
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:46.610	+0.121	6	346.3
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:46.657	+0.168	8	345.8
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:46.854	+0.365	5	332.6
6	Michele Pirro	01:46.870	+0.381	6	349.1
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:46.875	+0.386	8	343.6
8	Valentino Rossi	01:46.923	+0.434	8	343.7
9	Maverick Viñales	01:46.934	+0.445	7	335.9
10	Pol Espargaro	01:47.050	+0.561	7	341.4
11	Bradley Smith	01:47.090	+0.601	8	344.2
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:47.423	+0.934	7	346.8

Warm Up · 31.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.461	—	11	341.4
2	Andrea Iannone	01:47.532	+0.071	11	343.1
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:47.623	+0.162	11	343.1
4	Valentino Rossi	01:47.751	+0.290	11	341.8
5	Bradley Smith	01:47.753	+0.292	11	341.8
6	Pol Espargaro	01:47.761	+0.300	9	342.3
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.845	+0.384	7	342.4
8	Maverick Viñales	01:47.894	+0.433	11	336.1
9	Marc Marquez	01:48.038	+0.577	9	339.6
10	Scott Redding	01:48.192	+0.731	11	343.4
11	Danilo Petrucci	01:48.361	+0.900	10	341.6
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:48.413	+0.952	9	333.9
13	Stefan Bradl	01:48.416	+0.955	9	340.5
14	Michele Pirro	01:48.447	+0.986	11	347.2
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:48.649	+1.188	10	348.3
16	Jack Miller	01:48.785	+1.324	9	336.1
17	Hector Barbera	01:48.896	+1.435	11	344.7
18	Karel Abraham	01:48.917	+1.456	11	333.7
19	Nicky Hayden	01:48.953	+1.492	11	333.9
20	Mike Di Meglio	01:49.198	+1.737	10	342.4
21	Eugene Laverty	01:49.281	+1.820	10	339.9
22	Loris Baz	01:49.310	+1.849	11	329.4
23	Alvaro Bautista	01:49.672	+2.211	9	333.1
24	Alex De Angelis	01:50.274	+2.813	10	333.1
25	Marco Melandri	01:51.508	+4.047	10	334.5
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		—	0	0.0

Race · 31.05

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	41:39.173	25	23
2	Andrea Iannone	+5.563	20	23
3	Valentino Rossi	+6.661	16	23
4	Daniel Pedrosa	+9.978	13	23
5	Bradley Smith	+15.284	11	23
6	Pol Espargaro	+15.665	10	23
7	Maverick Viñales	+23.805	9	23
8	Michele Pirro	+29.152	8	23
9	Danilo Petrucci	+32.008	7	23
10	Yonny Hernandez	+34.571	6	23
11	Scott Redding	+38.553	5	23
12	Loris Baz	+42.158	4	23
13	Hector Barbera	+44.801	3	23
14	Alvaro Bautista	+50.435	2	23
15	Eugene Laverty	+53.060	1	23
16	Mike Di Meglio	+75.265	0	23
17	Karel Abraham	+75.381	0	23
18	Marco Melandri	+101.840	0	23
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		0	2
Retired	Alex De Angelis		0	2
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		0	13
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	20
Retired	Jack Miller		0	2
Retired	Marc Marquez		0	17
Retired	Nicky Hayden		0	3
Retired	Stefan Bradl		0	3

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Marc Marquez	73%	3
2	Scott Redding	48%	7
3	Danilo Petrucci	40%	4
4	Aleix Espargaro	13%	2 ✓
5	Yonny Hernandez	13%	1 ✓
6	Stefan Bradl	5%	6
7	Loris Baz	10%	8
8	Jack Miller	0%	13
9	Hector Barbera	0%	5
10	Alvaro Bautista	0%	11
11	Karel Abraham	0%	10
12	Nicky Hayden	0%	9
13	Mike Di Meglio	0%	12
14	Eugene Laverty	0%	14
15	Alex De Angelis	—	15
16	Marco Melandri	—	16

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Jorge Lorenzo	43%	75%	95%	2
2	Andrea Iannone	20%	50%	85%	1
3	Andrea Dovizioso	23%	55%	93%	3
4	Michele Pirro	3%	33%	65%	6
5	Pol Espargaro	3%	33%	70%	10
6	Cal Crutchlow	8%	20%	58%	4
7	Daniel Pedrosa	3%	18%	55%	7
8	Bradley Smith	0%	13%	30%	11
9	Valentino Rossi	0%	3%	15%	8
10	Maverick Viñales	0%	3%	18%	9
11	Aleix Espargaro	0%	0%	8%	5
12	Yonny Hernandez	0%	0%	12%	12

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Andrea Iannone	1	26%	51%	64%	73%	25%	2
Jorge Lorenzo	2	25%	59%	76%	91%	6%	1
Andrea Dovizioso	3	16%	50%	71%	88%	7%	—
Cal Crutchlow	4	9%	32%	48%	68%	28%	—
Aleix Espargaro	5	7%	29%	51%	77%	17%	—
Michele Pirro	6	5%	22%	42%	73%	20%	8
Daniel Pedrosa	7	4%	18%	41%	79%	10%	4
Valentino Rossi	8	3%	13%	33%	77%	8%	3
Maverick Viñales	9	2%	9%	22%	69%	10%	7
Pol Espargaro	10	1%	5%	15%	58%	21%	6
Bradley Smith	11	1%	4%	12%	54%	13%	5
Yonny Hernandez	12	0%	3%	8%	39%	29%	10
Marc Marquez	13	0%	3%	7%	42%	11%	—
Danilo Petrucci	14	0%	1%	3%	28%	26%	9
Hector Barbera	15	0%	1%	3%	25%	16%	13
Stefan Bradl	16	0%	1%	1%	17%	22%	—
Scott Redding	17	0%	1%	1%	13%	14%	11
Loris Baz	18	0%	0%	1%	10%	19%	12
Nicky Hayden	19	0%	0%	1%	8%	13%	—
Karel Abraham	20	0%	0%	0%	3%	34%	17
Alvaro Bautista	21	0%	0%	0%	3%	21%	14
Mike Di Meglio	22	0%	0%	0%	2%	21%	16
Jack Miller	23	0%	0%	0%	1%	28%	—
Eugene Laverty	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	10%	15
Alex De Angelis	25	0%	0%	0%	1%	9%	—
Marco Melandri	26	0%	0%	0%	0%	15%	18

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,245 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.30%	Pedro Acosta +0.41%	Jorge Martin +0.45%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.32%	Marc Marquez +0.43%	Pedro Acosta +0.47%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.49%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.55%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Enea Bastianini +0.46%	Marc Marquez +0.52%
S2	Raul Fernandez	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.38%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.23%	Jorge Martin +0.48%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.50%
S4	Marco Bezzecchi +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Jorge Martin +0.25%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.22%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.21%	Maverick Viñales +0.41%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.42%
S4	Marco Bezzecchi +0.03%	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Pedro Acosta +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.27%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Pedro Acosta +0.32%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.45%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.26%	Fabio Quartararo +0.35%	Enea Bastianini +0.43%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Jorge Martin +0.26%	Pedro Acosta +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Luca Marini +0.15%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.20%	Maverick Viñales +0.33%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.05%	Marc Marquez +0.30%	Maverick Viñales +0.32%
S3	Johann Zarco +0.12%	Alex Rins +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.04%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.10%	Enea Bastianini +0.24%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.25%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.31%
S3	Luca Marini +0.10%	Aleix Espargaro +0.21%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.18%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.22%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%	Jack Miller +0.36%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Maverick Viñales +0.29%	Alex Rins +0.35%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Alex Rins +0.39%	Miguel Oliveira +0.58%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.33%	Miguel Oliveira +0.38%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.47%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.08%	Jack Miller +0.24%	Danilo Petrucci +0.32%
S2	Maverick Viñales	Fabio Quartararo +0.56%	Marc Marquez +0.63%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Alex Rins +0.21%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.34%
S4	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.28%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.14%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.34%
S2	Andrea Iannone	Marc Marquez +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.33%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.07%	Valentino Rossi +0.27%	Cal Crutchlow +0.43%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.21%	Andrea Iannone +0.31%	Marc Marquez +0.33%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

76/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

46%

Front row on the podium

0.80

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 67% of the time (between 21% and 94%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	102	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	87	−15
3	Andrea Dovizioso	83	−19
4	Marc Marquez	69	−33
5	Andrea Iannone	61	−41
6	Cal Crutchlow	47	−55

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

2/23

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

0.121 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P24 to P10.

Longest battle: Jorge Lorenzo vs Marc Marquez (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marco BezzecchiAprilia
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Danilo PetrucciDucati
2018Jorge LorenzoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 19% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/22	14%
2025	4/22	18%
2024	3/24	13%
2023	3/22	14%
2022	4/26	15%
2021	5/22	23%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet