Round 5 of 18 Aftermath

French Grand Prix 2014

4.185 m · 27 laps · since 1969

16.05 – 18.05.2014

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	44:03.925	25
2	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+1.486	20
3	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+3.144	16
4	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+3.717	13
5	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+4.077	11
6	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+7.088	10
7	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+11.527	9
8	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+22.103	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	+22.626	7
10	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+23.108	6
11	Cal Crutchlow	Ducati	Ducati Team	+25.780	5
12	Scott Redding	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+39.523	4
13	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Energy T.I. Pramac Racing	+42.544	3
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	+42.736	2
15	Karel Abraham	Honda	Cardion AB Motoracing	+56.644	1
16	Michael Laverty	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+74.123	0
17	Colin Edwards	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	+79.723	0
18	Broc Parkes	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+90.934	0
19	Mike Di Meglio	Avintia	Avintia Racing	+94.521	0
DNF	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Pramac Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Hector Barbera	Avintia	Avintia Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	Out on lap 1	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

16/28

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

1.486 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P7 to P3.

Longest battle: Aleix Espargaro vs Andrea Dovizioso (17 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:01:32	Nicky Hayden	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:02:36		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:03:23	Hector Barbera	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:03:58	Andrea Iannone	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Andrea Dovizioso (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Andrea Iannone	11	6	+5
Bradley Smith	10	5	+5
Michael Laverty	21	17	+4
Marc Marquez	1	10	−9
Aleix Espargaro	8	12	−4
Jorge Lorenzo	6	8	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Alvaro Bautista	7→3	+3.7
Valentino Rossi	5→2	+3.4
Daniel Pedrosa	9→5	+3.0
Broc Parkes	20→18	−3.0
Andrea Dovizioso	3→8	−3.9
Colin Edwards	15→17	−5.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

22.2 °C

Air

max 22.4 °C

44%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

9 km/h

Wind

gusts 27 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 16.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:34.328	—	20	303.9
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.517	+0.189	21	307.0
3	Valentino Rossi	01:34.581	+0.253	19	305.5
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.598	+0.270	18	307.7
5	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.653	+0.325	20	308.7
6	Stefan Bradl	01:34.734	+0.406	21	306.1
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.875	+0.547	20	304.8
8	Pol Espargaro	01:34.929	+0.601	22	305.6
9	Andrea Iannone	01:34.933	+0.605	21	304.0
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.073	+0.745	16	299.5
11	Bradley Smith	01:35.431	+1.103	17	305.8
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.438	+1.110	20	304.4
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.638	+1.310	20	297.3
14	Nicky Hayden	01:35.762	+1.434	19	289.5
15	Colin Edwards	01:36.149	+1.821	18	301.5
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:36.458	+2.130	19	301.7
17	Scott Redding	01:36.663	+2.335	17	289.0
18	Mike Di Meglio	01:37.026	+2.698	20	291.3
19	Karel Abraham	01:37.120	+2.792	14	296.6
20	Hector Barbera	01:37.404	+3.076	19	290.7
21	Broc Parkes	01:38.933	+4.605	16	285.4
22	Michael Laverty	01:39.055	+4.727	17	292.9

FP2 · 16.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:33.452	—	20	305.1
2	Andrea Iannone	01:33.459	+0.007	22	305.7
3	Alvaro Bautista	01:33.668	+0.216	21	308.1
4	Bradley Smith	01:33.920	+0.468	20	306.2
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.942	+0.490	22	306.8
6	Stefan Bradl	01:34.040	+0.588	21	307.5
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.054	+0.602	21	306.9
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.117	+0.665	19	306.2
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.134	+0.682	16	299.9
10	Valentino Rossi	01:34.498	+1.046	21	304.3
11	Pol Espargaro	01:34.506	+1.054	23	305.9
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.877	+1.425	18	299.4
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.907	+1.455	19	306.1
14	Nicky Hayden	01:34.961	+1.509	19	291.3
15	Colin Edwards	01:35.089	+1.637	17	297.9
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.229	+1.777	19	297.1
17	Scott Redding	01:35.424	+1.972	18	289.5
18	Karel Abraham	01:35.818	+2.366	19	294.8
19	Hector Barbera	01:36.418	+2.966	20	294.3
20	Mike Di Meglio	01:36.612	+3.160	18	292.2
21	Michael Laverty	01:36.742	+3.290	19	292.6
22	Broc Parkes	01:37.136	+3.684	11	285.0

FP3 · 17.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.021	—	22	306.9
2	Marc Marquez	01:33.045	+0.024	19	306.0
3	Pol Espargaro	01:33.241	+0.220	22	309.0
4	Alvaro Bautista	01:33.250	+0.229	21	307.2
5	Valentino Rossi	01:33.331	+0.310	21	307.6
6	Stefan Bradl	01:33.368	+0.347	22	308.0
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.449	+0.428	21	309.8
8	Bradley Smith	01:33.510	+0.489	24	307.0
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.716	+0.695	21	311.1
10	Andrea Iannone	01:33.784	+0.763	23	307.2
11	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.851	+0.830	15	298.8
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.209	+1.188	19	302.9
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.333	+1.312	19	308.1
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:34.382	+1.361	23	295.4
15	Colin Edwards	01:34.604	+1.583	20	300.5
16	Nicky Hayden	01:34.626	+1.605	18	292.6
17	Karel Abraham	01:35.727	+2.706	16	295.1
18	Hector Barbera	01:36.014	+2.993	18	294.5
19	Scott Redding	01:36.127	+3.106	12	289.6
20	Mike Di Meglio	01:36.462	+3.441	18	291.6
21	Broc Parkes	01:36.513	+3.492	14	288.4
22	Michael Laverty	01:37.117	+4.096	19	291.4

FP4 · 17.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:33.367	—	16	308.8
2	Stefan Bradl	01:33.444	+0.077	16	306.6
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.582	+0.215	15	307.1
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.629	+0.262	16	306.7
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.658	+0.291	16	304.8
6	Valentino Rossi	01:33.799	+0.432	16	304.3
7	Andrea Iannone	01:33.875	+0.508	16	305.4
8	Pol Espargaro	01:33.922	+0.555	17	305.6
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.009	+0.642	16	305.7
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.263	+0.896	12	299.1
11	Bradley Smith	01:34.292	+0.925	14	303.4
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.441	+1.074	13	305.4
13	Nicky Hayden	01:34.837	+1.470	14	289.0
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.927	+1.560	12	301.6
15	Colin Edwards	01:34.954	+1.587	12	299.7
16	Scott Redding	01:34.967	+1.600	15	290.7
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.173	+1.806	14	295.4
18	Karel Abraham	01:35.756	+2.389	13	295.7
19	Broc Parkes	01:35.836	+2.469	12	289.3
20	Hector Barbera	01:35.969	+2.602	13	293.2
21	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.988	+2.621	9	291.8
22	Michael Laverty	01:36.201	+2.834	13	290.0

Q1 · 17.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.483	—	4	298.0
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.823	+0.340	4	302.2
3	Nicky Hayden	01:33.859	+0.376	8	288.8
4	Yonny Hernandez	01:33.999	+0.516	8	297.6
5	Colin Edwards	01:34.203	+0.720	7	296.2
6	Scott Redding	01:34.233	+0.750	8	289.6
7	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:34.457	+0.974	8	294.0
8	Karel Abraham	01:34.880	+1.397	8	293.8
9	Hector Barbera	01:35.499	+2.016	6	291.0
10	Broc Parkes	01:35.795	+2.312	8	285.7
11	Michael Laverty	01:35.932	+2.449	8	288.2
12	Mike Di Meglio	01:36.163	+2.680	8	287.6

Q2 · 17.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:32.042	—	8	304.3
2	Pol Espargaro	01:32.734	+0.692	9	308.6
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:32.755	+0.713	8	308.3
4	Stefan Bradl	01:32.846	+0.804	9	306.6
5	Valentino Rossi	01:32.873	+0.831	9	306.6
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:32.899	+0.857	9	304.9
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:33.006	+0.964	9	307.7
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.015	+0.973	8	301.0
9	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.023	+0.981	9	309.7
10	Bradley Smith	01:33.058	+1.016	8	304.6
11	Andrea Iannone	01:33.102	+1.060	8	304.3
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.315	+1.273	8	303.9

Warm Up · 18.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:33.369	—	10	305.3
2	Andrea Iannone	01:33.530	+0.161	10	308.3
3	Valentino Rossi	01:33.697	+0.328	13	304.7
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.721	+0.352	13	307.5
5	Pol Espargaro	01:33.916	+0.547	13	307.2
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.935	+0.566	12	307.2
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:33.991	+0.622	13	307.4
8	Stefan Bradl	01:33.999	+0.630	11	307.4
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.039	+0.670	11	306.9
10	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.171	+0.802	12	306.9
11	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.172	+0.803	11	301.7
12	Bradley Smith	01:34.176	+0.807	13	306.9
13	Nicky Hayden	01:34.437	+1.068	12	294.1
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.898	+1.529	12	303.8
15	Scott Redding	01:34.987	+1.618	11	290.4
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:34.993	+1.624	11	296.2
17	Colin Edwards	01:35.718	+2.349	10	298.8
18	Hector Barbera	01:36.254	+2.885	9	292.9
19	Karel Abraham	01:36.256	+2.887	11	295.0
20	Broc Parkes	01:36.705	+3.336	11	286.7
21	Michael Laverty	01:36.764	+3.395	11	293.2
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:37.331	+3.962	7	290.4

Race · 18.05

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Marc Marquez	44:03.925	25	28
2	Valentino Rossi	+1.486	20	28
3	Alvaro Bautista	+3.144	16	28
4	Pol Espargaro	+3.717	13	28
5	Daniel Pedrosa	+4.077	11	28
6	Jorge Lorenzo	+7.088	10	28
7	Stefan Bradl	+11.527	9	28
8	Andrea Dovizioso	+22.103	8	28
9	Aleix Espargaro	+22.626	7	28
10	Bradley Smith	+23.108	6	28
11	Cal Crutchlow	+25.780	5	28
12	Scott Redding	+39.523	4	28
13	Yonny Hernandez	+42.544	3	28
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	+42.736	2	28
15	Karel Abraham	+56.644	1	28
16	Michael Laverty	+74.123	0	28
17	Colin Edwards	+79.723	0	28
18	Broc Parkes	+90.934	0	28
19	Mike Di Meglio	+94.521	0	28
Retired	Andrea Iannone		0	1
Retired	Hector Barbera		0	1
Out on lap 1	Nicky Hayden		0	0

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Aleix Espargaro	76%	1 ✓
2	Yonny Hernandez	52%	4
3	Cal Crutchlow	33%	2 ✓
4	Hiroshi Aoyama	14%	7
5	Colin Edwards	14%	5
6	Nicky Hayden	0%	3
7	Scott Redding	10%	6
8	Karel Abraham	0%	8
9	Broc Parkes	0%	10
10	Hector Barbera	0%	9
11	Mike Di Meglio	0%	12
12	Michael Laverty	0%	11

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Jorge Lorenzo	43%	76%	95%	6
2	Marc Marquez	19%	62%	95%	1
3	Pol Espargaro	29%	52%	95%	2
4	Alvaro Bautista	5%	38%	71%	7
5	Valentino Rossi	0%	33%	71%	5
6	Stefan Bradl	5%	14%	48%	4
7	Daniel Pedrosa	0%	19%	57%	9
8	Andrea Iannone	0%	5%	24%	11
9	Bradley Smith	0%	0%	14%	10
10	Andrea Dovizioso	0%	0%	19%	3
11	Aleix Espargaro	0%	0%	0%	8
12	Cal Crutchlow	0%	0%	13%	12

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,197 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro +0.44%	Maverick Viñales +0.46%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.52%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.26%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Pedro Acosta +0.43%	Pol Espargaro +0.45%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%	Augusto Fernandez +0.46%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura	Jorge Martin +0.35%	Marc Marquez +0.40%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.06%	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Raul Fernandez +0.22%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.30%	Enea Bastianini +0.33%	Ai Ogura +0.33%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fermin Aldeguer +0.09%	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.20%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Johann Zarco +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.48%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.02%	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Maverick Viñales +0.37%	Pedro Acosta +0.46%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.08%	Aleix Espargaro +0.23%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Jack Miller +0.38%	Pedro Acosta +0.38%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.27%	Aleix Espargaro +0.43%
S2	Johann Zarco	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Jack Miller +0.35%	Maverick Viñales +0.36%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Alex Rins +0.30%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Johann Zarco +0.22%	Aleix Espargaro +0.29%
S3	Jack Miller +0.07%	Aleix Espargaro +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Joan Mir +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.68%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Jack Miller +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.28%	Jack Miller +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Franco Morbidelli +0.53%	Maverick Viñales +0.56%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Cal Crutchlow	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Maverick Viñales +0.43%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.04%	Johann Zarco +0.11%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.17%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Jack Miller +0.11%	Pol Espargaro +0.28%
S4	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Joan Mir +0.24%	Cal Crutchlow +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller +0.10%	Pol Espargaro +0.18%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.25%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.00%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Danilo Petrucci +0.10%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Jack Miller +0.27%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.13%	Fabio Quartararo +0.21%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.48%	Andrea Iannone +0.55%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.12%	Andrea Iannone +0.38%	Marc Marquez +0.49%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Maverick Viñales +0.49%	Andrea Iannone +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Valentino Rossi +0.11%	Andrea Iannone +0.16%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

33/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.69

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 50% of the time (between 22% and 79%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Marc Marquez	100	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	72	−28
3	Valentino Rossi	61	−39
4	Andrea Dovizioso	45	−55
5	Jorge Lorenzo	35	−65
6	Aleix Espargaro	30	−70

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2013 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

20/28

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

4.863 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Michele Pirro, from P14 to P8.

Longest battle: Cal Crutchlow vs Nicky Hayden (13 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Jorge MartinAprilia
2025Johann ZarcoHonda
2024Jorge MartinDucati
2023Marco BezzecchiDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Jack MillerDucati
2020Danilo PetrucciDucati
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 27% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/21	24%
2025	6/22	27%
2024	6/22	27%
2023	8/21	38%
2022	7/24	29%
2021	6/22	27%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet