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Round 4 of 18 Aftermath

Spanish Grand Prix 2014

Circuito de Jerez - Ángel Nieto Spain

4.428 m · 25 laps · since 1984
02.05 – 04.05.2014
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Marc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda Team45:24.13425
2Valentino RossiYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+1.43120
3Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+1.52916
4Jorge LorenzoYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+8.54113
5Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team+27.49411
6Alvaro BautistaHondaGO&FUN Honda Gresini+27.60610
7Aleix EspargaroForward YamahaNGM Forward Racing+27.9179
8Bradley SmithYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+27.9478
9Pol EspargaroYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+29.4197
10Stefan BradlHondaLCR Honda MotoGP+32.8726
11Nicky HaydenHondaDrive M7 Aspar+35.4905
12Hiroshi AoyamaHondaDrive M7 Aspar+40.0834
13Scott ReddingHondaGO&FUN Honda Gresini+43.8303
14Yonny HernandezDucatiEnergy T.I. Pramac Racing+52.2952
15Hector BarberaAvintiaAvintia Racing+54.8731
16Michael LavertyPBMPaul Bird Motorsport+66.1820
17Broc ParkesPBMPaul Bird Motorsport+83.4200
DNFAndrea IannoneDucatiPramac RacingRetired0
DNFCal CrutchlowDucatiDucati TeamRetired0
DNFColin EdwardsForward YamahaNGM Forward RacingRetired0
DNFKarel AbrahamHondaCardion AB MotoracingRetired0
DNFMichele PirroDucatiDucati TeamRetired0
DNFMike Di MeglioAvintiaAvintia RacingRetired0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

49
Overtakes
0
Lead changes
1 leaders
27/27
Laps led by the winner
Marc Marquez
1.431 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hector Barbera, from P23 to P15.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Jorge Lorenzo (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race14:01:49Jump startJump start
Race14:04:45Karel AbrahamCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:05:52Michele PirroCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:09:26Cal CrutchlowRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:11:09Andrea IannoneCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:20:21Karel AbrahamRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:40:31Andrea IannoneRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:41:02Mike Di MeglioRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:47:41Colin EdwardsRetiredRetired

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
27.7 °C
Air
max 28.1 °C
28%
Humidity
Dry
Rain
8 km/h
Wind
gusts 26 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 02.05
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Aleix Espargaro01:39.357—18286.0
2Jorge Lorenzo01:39.714+0.35717288.4
3Marc Marquez01:39.849+0.49220292.2
4Daniel Pedrosa01:39.860+0.50321293.3
5Valentino Rossi01:40.167+0.81019289.9
6Alvaro Bautista01:40.560+1.20318291.5
7Andrea Dovizioso01:40.619+1.26217290.9
8Stefan Bradl01:40.644+1.28718291.2
9Yonny Hernandez01:40.686+1.32917283.7
10Bradley Smith01:40.758+1.40121287.3
11Nicky Hayden01:40.846+1.48919280.3
12Andrea Iannone01:40.879+1.52216288.3
13Michele Pirro01:40.924+1.56717291.4
14Hector Barbera01:40.928+1.57117281.1
15Pol Espargaro01:41.002+1.64522287.3
16Hiroshi Aoyama01:41.183+1.82621282.7
17Colin Edwards01:41.252+1.89518282.7
18Cal Crutchlow01:41.364+2.00718286.6
19Scott Redding01:41.374+2.01717278.0
20Karel Abraham01:41.578+2.22119280.9
21Broc Parkes01:42.171+2.81418274.8
22Danilo Petrucci01:42.188+2.83118275.1
23Mike Di Meglio01:42.346+2.98916277.7
24Michael Laverty01:43.015+3.65820276.4
FP2 · 02.05
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:39.757—18290.3
2Aleix Espargaro01:39.973+0.21617287.2
3Andrea Dovizioso01:40.028+0.27119291.9
4Valentino Rossi01:40.125+0.36820292.2
5Jorge Lorenzo01:40.133+0.37618290.9
6Daniel Pedrosa01:40.491+0.73419294.8
7Alvaro Bautista01:40.616+0.85919292.6
8Stefan Bradl01:40.672+0.91519290.5
9Andrea Iannone01:40.742+0.98518288.0
10Nicky Hayden01:40.788+1.03119281.7
11Pol Espargaro01:40.918+1.16120290.9
12Michele Pirro01:40.930+1.17316290.2
13Yonny Hernandez01:41.092+1.33517286.4
14Hiroshi Aoyama01:41.188+1.43115283.2
15Cal Crutchlow01:41.353+1.59616291.7
16Bradley Smith01:41.360+1.60317287.3
17Scott Redding01:41.465+1.70817279.9
18Danilo Petrucci01:41.589+1.83215275.5
19Hector Barbera01:41.619+1.86214281.0
20Colin Edwards01:41.831+2.07415284.9
21Michael Laverty01:41.914+2.15717278.9
22Karel Abraham01:41.934+2.17717280.5
23Mike Di Meglio01:42.220+2.46318279.5
24Broc Parkes01:42.424+2.66715273.8
FP3 · 03.05
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Daniel Pedrosa01:38.769—20291.7
2Jorge Lorenzo01:38.918+0.14919288.3
3Marc Marquez01:39.007+0.23819290.5
4Valentino Rossi01:39.094+0.32520289.7
5Colin Edwards01:39.200+0.43117287.9
6Stefan Bradl01:39.238+0.46919290.4
7Aleix Espargaro01:39.267+0.49818284.0
8Andrea Dovizioso01:39.439+0.67018289.4
9Pol Espargaro01:39.530+0.76118290.2
10Bradley Smith01:39.561+0.79218291.4
11Michele Pirro01:39.597+0.82811289.0
12Andrea Iannone01:39.694+0.92518289.7
13Yonny Hernandez01:39.765+0.99619287.8
14Alvaro Bautista01:39.823+1.05419292.1
15Hiroshi Aoyama01:39.859+1.09019284.5
16Cal Crutchlow01:39.960+1.19118286.3
17Nicky Hayden01:40.048+1.27920278.0
18Hector Barbera01:40.239+1.47015281.3
19Karel Abraham01:40.535+1.76619280.8
20Scott Redding01:40.634+1.86519279.8
21Mike Di Meglio01:41.581+2.81216279.8
22Broc Parkes01:41.942+3.17315275.2
23Danilo Petrucci01:41.971+3.20213277.7
24Michael Laverty01:42.776+4.00718277.8
FP4 · 03.05
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:39.417—13294.5
2Jorge Lorenzo01:39.652+0.23518289.5
3Valentino Rossi01:39.685+0.26815290.6
4Aleix Espargaro01:39.894+0.47712285.3
5Daniel Pedrosa01:39.950+0.53315295.9
6Andrea Iannone01:40.471+1.05413292.2
7Bradley Smith01:40.569+1.15214291.4
8Andrea Dovizioso01:40.637+1.22012291.1
9Stefan Bradl01:40.659+1.24215292.2
10Hiroshi Aoyama01:40.662+1.24514285.4
11Pol Espargaro01:40.694+1.27715288.8
12Alvaro Bautista01:40.762+1.34515294.0
13Colin Edwards01:40.942+1.52513288.8
14Cal Crutchlow01:40.962+1.54514291.8
15Nicky Hayden01:41.055+1.63815280.8
16Karel Abraham01:41.128+1.71114284.3
17Scott Redding01:41.247+1.83013280.5
18Hector Barbera01:41.330+1.9139282.5
19Yonny Hernandez01:41.368+1.9518289.0
20Michele Pirro01:41.509+2.0928288.9
21Michael Laverty01:41.828+2.41110278.1
22Danilo Petrucci01:41.975+2.5588276.9
23Broc Parkes01:42.341+2.92412277.7
24Mike Di Meglio01:42.626+3.20913279.1
Q1 · 03.05
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Nicky Hayden01:39.427—7278.3
2Alvaro Bautista01:39.595+0.1686291.8
3Hiroshi Aoyama01:39.768+0.3418285.4
4Cal Crutchlow01:39.849+0.4228291.1
5Andrea Iannone01:40.118+0.6916288.3
6Karel Abraham01:40.126+0.6998281.6
7Michele Pirro01:40.239+0.8127288.0
8Scott Redding01:40.453+1.0267279.5
9Yonny Hernandez01:40.566+1.1398288.2
10Danilo Petrucci01:41.009+1.5828274.7
11Michael Laverty01:41.124+1.6977276.7
12Mike Di Meglio01:41.517+2.0908278.3
13Broc Parkes01:41.702+2.2758272.7
14Hector Barbera01:42.052+2.6253282.3
Q2 · 03.05
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:38.120—8292.1
2Jorge Lorenzo01:38.541+0.4219287.5
3Daniel Pedrosa01:38.630+0.5108292.7
4Valentino Rossi01:38.857+0.7377289.4
5Aleix Espargaro01:39.007+0.8875284.8
6Andrea Dovizioso01:39.222+1.1027291.0
7Stefan Bradl01:39.243+1.1238291.1
8Pol Espargaro01:39.293+1.1739289.2
9Bradley Smith01:39.390+1.2708290.6
10Alvaro Bautista01:39.751+1.6316291.8
11Colin Edwards01:39.814+1.6948286.3
12Nicky Hayden01:39.826+1.7067280.0
Warm Up · 04.05
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Jorge Lorenzo01:38.983—12290.0
2Marc Marquez01:39.240+0.25711290.1
3Valentino Rossi01:39.386+0.40312289.3
4Stefan Bradl01:39.476+0.49312289.8
5Daniel Pedrosa01:39.790+0.80712295.8
6Yonny Hernandez01:40.099+1.11611288.2
7Nicky Hayden01:40.135+1.15212279.4
8Bradley Smith01:40.163+1.18012289.4
9Andrea Dovizioso01:40.165+1.18212292.1
10Alvaro Bautista01:40.166+1.18312293.7
11Aleix Espargaro01:40.201+1.21812284.5
12Andrea Iannone01:40.205+1.22212290.1
13Pol Espargaro01:40.314+1.33112292.3
14Hiroshi Aoyama01:40.466+1.48311284.6
15Cal Crutchlow01:40.539+1.55611290.0
16Colin Edwards01:40.769+1.78612286.9
17Karel Abraham01:40.783+1.80011280.6
18Michele Pirro01:40.823+1.84010291.3
19Scott Redding01:40.848+1.86512278.8
20Hector Barbera01:40.916+1.93310284.1
21Danilo Petrucci01:41.651+2.6687275.1
22Mike Di Meglio01:41.752+2.76911279.7
23Broc Parkes01:42.059+3.07610275.3
24Michael Laverty01:43.219+4.2369276.3
Race · 04.05
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Marc Marquez45:24.1342527
2Valentino Rossi+1.4312027
3Daniel Pedrosa+1.5291627
4Jorge Lorenzo+8.5411327
5Andrea Dovizioso+27.4941127
6Alvaro Bautista+27.6061027
7Aleix Espargaro+27.917927
8Bradley Smith+27.947827
9Pol Espargaro+29.419727
10Stefan Bradl+32.872627
11Nicky Hayden+35.490527
12Hiroshi Aoyama+40.083427
13Scott Redding+43.830327
14Yonny Hernandez+52.295227
15Hector Barbera+54.873127
16Michael Laverty+66.182027
17Broc Parkes+83.420027
RetiredAndrea Iannone022
RetiredCal Crutchlow04
RetiredColin Edwards026
RetiredKarel Abraham010
RetiredMichele Pirro02
RetiredMike Di Meglio021

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

SessionRiderQualifiedStartsΔReason
RaceDanilo Petrucci20——Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6
S1 · M. MarquezS2 · AldeguerS3 · M. MarquezS4 · Viñales

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,430 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

100/100
Position index
22%
Pole wins
56%
Front row on the podium
0.84
Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 0% of the time (between 0% and 39%; 6 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

2013 edition

17
Overtakes
1
Lead changes
2 leaders
22/27
Laps led by the winner
Daniel Pedrosa
2.487 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Aleix Espargaro, from P13 to P9.

Longest battle: Bradley Smith vs Michele Pirro (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2026Alex MarquezDucati
  • 2025Alex MarquezDucati
  • 2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2021Jack MillerDucati
  • 2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
  • 2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 20% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20263/2313%
20255/2322%
20248/2532%
20236/2326%
20223/2512%
20213/2313%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet