MotoGP Data dominance · tyre · race pace
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Round 13 of 18 Aftermath

San Marino Grand Prix 2017

Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli San Marino

4.226 m · 27 laps · since 1980
08.09 – 10.09.2017
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Marc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda Team50:41.56525
2Danilo PetrucciDucatiOCTO Pramac Racing+1.19220
3Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team+11.70616
4Maverick ViñalesYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+16.55913
5Michele PirroDucatiDucati Team+19.49911
6Jack MillerHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDS+24.88210
7Scott ReddingDucatiOCTO Pramac Racing+33.8729
8Alex RinsSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTAR+34.6628
9Jonas FolgerYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+54.0827
10Bradley SmithKTMRed Bull KTM Factory Racing+57.9646
11Pol EspargaroKTMRed Bull KTM Factory Racing+60.4405
12Alvaro BautistaDucatiPull&Bear Aspar Team+77.3564
13Cal CrutchlowHondaLCR Honda+95.5883
14Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+98.8572
15Johann ZarcoYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+122.2121
16Loris BazDucatiReale Avintia Racing+0.0000
17Karel AbrahamDucatiPull&Bear Aspar Team+0.0000
DNFAleix EspargaroApriliaAprilia Racing Team GresiniRetired0
DNFAndrea IannoneSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTARRetired0
DNFHector BarberaDucatiReale Avintia RacingRetired0
DNFJorge LorenzoDucatiDucati TeamRetired0
DNFSam LowesApriliaAprilia Racing Team GresiniRetired0
DNFTito RabatHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDSRetired0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
ForecastFavouriteWinnerOrder (model / grid)Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)Maverick Viñales · 31%Marc Marquez · 14% · from P30.26 / 0.265.1 / 5.0

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

73
Overtakes
2
Lead changes
3 leaders
1/28
Laps led by the winner
Marc Marquez
1.192 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alex Rins, from P20 to P8.

Longest battle: Danilo Petrucci vs Marc Marquez (23 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race14:01:41Karel AbrahamCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:02:29Jump startJump start
Race14:12:40Cal CrutchlowCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:12:45Jorge LorenzoCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:18:28Loris BazCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:23:20Hector BarberaCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:26:47Aleix EspargaroCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:29:26Sam LowesCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:32:48Andrea IannoneRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:34:50Loris BazCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:38:58Tito RabatCrashCrashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

RiderGrid→Pos.Beats the grid
Scott Redding19→7+7.4
Alex Rins20→8+7.0
Bradley Smith22→10+6.3
Daniel Pedrosa7→14−7.3
Cal Crutchlow4→13−8.2
Johann Zarco6→15−9.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
20.2 °C
Air
max 21.1 °C
85%
Humidity
1.0 mm
Rain
19 km/h
Wind
gusts 56 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 08.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:33.556—20289.6
2Michele Pirro01:33.988+0.43217294.5
3Andrea Dovizioso01:34.175+0.61918289.9
4Cal Crutchlow01:34.196+0.64020291.1
5Danilo Petrucci01:34.219+0.66321290.8
6Jorge Lorenzo01:34.498+0.94218290.0
7Daniel Pedrosa01:34.545+0.98920293.4
8Maverick Viñales01:34.592+1.03616291.1
9Johann Zarco01:34.702+1.14618287.5
10Jonas Folger01:34.786+1.23020289.0
11Hector Barbera01:34.835+1.27917294.1
12Alvaro Bautista01:34.926+1.37021294.2
13Jack Miller01:34.953+1.39718287.4
14Aleix Espargaro01:35.160+1.60414283.6
15Tito Rabat01:35.243+1.68725289.8
16Andrea Iannone01:35.306+1.75018287.0
17Alex Rins01:35.415+1.85920287.4
18Scott Redding01:35.536+1.98015287.2
19Pol Espargaro01:35.625+2.06916290.0
20Loris Baz01:35.655+2.09912284.7
21Bradley Smith01:35.957+2.40113286.8
22Karel Abraham01:37.112+3.55610289.8
23Sam Lowes01:37.649+4.09313280.6
FP2 · 08.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Danilo Petrucci01:33.231—21290.0
2Maverick Viñales01:33.236+0.00523288.7
3Andrea Dovizioso01:33.294+0.06320288.5
4Daniel Pedrosa01:33.346+0.11522290.2
5Marc Marquez01:33.475+0.24420287.3
6Cal Crutchlow01:33.545+0.31417287.6
7Michele Pirro01:33.591+0.36019288.9
8Jorge Lorenzo01:33.614+0.38320287.8
9Andrea Iannone01:33.740+0.50921284.7
10Tito Rabat01:33.820+0.58923289.1
11Aleix Espargaro01:33.832+0.60120285.7
12Johann Zarco01:33.914+0.68322285.5
13Alvaro Bautista01:33.937+0.70623290.5
14Loris Baz01:34.054+0.82318283.1
15Hector Barbera01:34.137+0.90618293.7
16Scott Redding01:34.266+1.03520284.5
17Jonas Folger01:34.322+1.09117285.4
18Jack Miller01:34.411+1.18020286.7
19Pol Espargaro01:34.499+1.26819288.3
20Karel Abraham01:34.678+1.44719287.8
21Bradley Smith01:34.842+1.61119287.0
22Sam Lowes01:34.903+1.67217282.3
23Alex Rins01:35.052+1.82119286.6
FP3 · 09.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:32.958—25288.8
2Maverick Viñales01:33.112+0.15420292.7
3Cal Crutchlow01:33.240+0.28221291.7
4Andrea Dovizioso01:33.334+0.37619290.2
5Jorge Lorenzo01:33.414+0.45619292.2
6Johann Zarco01:33.584+0.62618289.3
7Aleix Espargaro01:33.626+0.66820289.4
8Daniel Pedrosa01:33.673+0.71519293.0
9Danilo Petrucci01:33.802+0.84421291.3
10Michele Pirro01:33.836+0.87818293.0
11Jack Miller01:34.010+1.05220289.8
12Alvaro Bautista01:34.112+1.15422293.2
13Loris Baz01:34.144+1.18619288.0
14Tito Rabat01:34.155+1.19720289.9
15Scott Redding01:34.203+1.24518289.6
16Andrea Iannone01:34.263+1.30521287.0
17Pol Espargaro01:34.307+1.34920291.6
18Alex Rins01:34.371+1.41321289.5
19Karel Abraham01:34.420+1.46220291.5
20Jonas Folger01:34.532+1.57421288.1
21Hector Barbera01:34.820+1.86219295.3
22Bradley Smith01:35.021+2.06319290.7
23Sam Lowes01:35.132+2.17413281.7
FP4 · 09.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Dovizioso01:33.338—15293.5
2Marc Marquez01:33.446+0.10815290.7
3Maverick Viñales01:33.527+0.18919293.9
4Jorge Lorenzo01:33.555+0.21715293.8
5Alvaro Bautista01:33.934+0.59615293.4
6Daniel Pedrosa01:33.939+0.60116293.7
7Cal Crutchlow01:34.092+0.75416291.9
8Johann Zarco01:34.125+0.78715291.4
9Jonas Folger01:34.176+0.83814289.9
10Danilo Petrucci01:34.237+0.89916291.6
11Aleix Espargaro01:34.251+0.91313290.3
12Tito Rabat01:34.381+1.04317290.0
13Michele Pirro01:34.426+1.0889293.0
14Jack Miller01:34.455+1.11715290.0
15Loris Baz01:34.606+1.26813287.1
16Andrea Iannone01:34.688+1.35015288.3
17Pol Espargaro01:34.695+1.35715292.6
18Scott Redding01:34.852+1.5149288.7
19Bradley Smith01:35.109+1.77113289.0
20Alex Rins01:35.128+1.79014290.1
21Sam Lowes01:35.149+1.81114285.1
22Karel Abraham01:35.150+1.8124290.0
23Hector Barbera01:35.260+1.92210295.6
Q1 · 09.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Alvaro Bautista01:33.563—8293.2
2Karel Abraham01:33.786+0.2238292.1
3Hector Barbera01:33.920+0.3578296.2
4Jack Miller01:33.933+0.3708289.4
5Loris Baz01:33.946+0.3838288.2
6Jonas Folger01:33.987+0.4248287.6
7Pol Espargaro01:34.080+0.5176291.0
8Tito Rabat01:34.095+0.5328289.1
9Scott Redding01:34.132+0.5698289.1
10Alex Rins01:34.138+0.5758289.3
11Andrea Iannone01:34.148+0.5858287.7
12Bradley Smith01:34.507+0.9448288.3
13Sam Lowes01:35.659+2.0966283.0
Q2 · 09.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Maverick Viñales01:32.439—9294.3
2Andrea Dovizioso01:32.601+0.1629296.0
3Marc Marquez01:32.636+0.1977292.2
4Cal Crutchlow01:32.768+0.3299293.3
5Jorge Lorenzo01:32.792+0.3539292.5
6Johann Zarco01:32.885+0.4468290.7
7Daniel Pedrosa01:32.992+0.5539294.5
8Danilo Petrucci01:32.997+0.5588291.9
9Aleix Espargaro01:33.149+0.7109290.3
10Alvaro Bautista01:33.417+0.9788294.5
11Michele Pirro01:33.491+1.0526290.6
12Karel Abraham01:34.374+1.9358291.8
Warm Up · 10.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:48.170—10277.1
2Danilo Petrucci01:49.164+0.99411276.9
3Loris Baz01:49.246+1.0769271.4
4Jorge Lorenzo01:49.280+1.11011275.7
5Cal Crutchlow01:49.444+1.27410279.3
6Andrea Iannone01:49.481+1.3119273.9
7Maverick Viñales01:49.509+1.33911277.7
8Andrea Dovizioso01:49.703+1.53311277.1
9Sam Lowes01:49.961+1.7916272.5
10Scott Redding01:50.162+1.9929272.0
11Alex Rins01:50.245+2.07511274.8
12Jack Miller01:50.470+2.3008270.6
13Michele Pirro01:50.496+2.3267267.8
14Bradley Smith01:50.827+2.6579270.4
15Aleix Espargaro01:51.021+2.8519268.9
16Pol Espargaro01:51.079+2.90911275.6
17Jonas Folger01:51.189+3.01911269.5
18Hector Barbera01:51.276+3.10610276.0
19Tito Rabat01:51.900+3.73011271.5
20Johann Zarco01:51.967+3.79710271.6
21Alvaro Bautista01:52.889+4.71911259.3
22Karel Abraham01:53.599+5.4295265.8
23Daniel Pedrosa01:53.842+5.6727256.9
Race · 10.09
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Marc Marquez50:41.5652528
2Danilo Petrucci+1.1922028
3Andrea Dovizioso+11.7061628
4Maverick Viñales+16.5591328
5Michele Pirro+19.4991128
6Jack Miller+24.8821028
7Scott Redding+33.872928
8Alex Rins+34.662828
9Jonas Folger+54.082728
10Bradley Smith+57.964628
11Pol Espargaro+60.440528
12Alvaro Bautista+77.356428
13Cal Crutchlow+95.588328
14Daniel Pedrosa+98.857228
15Johann Zarco+122.212128
16Loris Baz+0.000027
17Karel Abraham+0.000027
RetiredAleix Espargaro013
RetiredAndrea Iannone016
RetiredHector Barbera011
RetiredJorge Lorenzo06
RetiredSam Lowes015
RetiredTito Rabat019

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

RiderGridWinPodiumTop 5Top 10P(DNF)Final
Maverick Viñales131%62%76%87%11%4
Andrea Dovizioso223%56%72%86%12%3
Marc Marquez314%45%65%82%16%1
Cal Crutchlow49%28%48%68%29%13
Jorge Lorenzo58%31%56%86%8%—
Johann Zarco65%23%46%80%12%15
Daniel Pedrosa74%20%39%80%10%14
Danilo Petrucci83%11%25%62%25%2
Aleix Espargaro92%8%20%62%22%—
Alvaro Bautista101%6%15%58%20%12
Michele Pirro111%4%11%52%19%5
Karel Abraham120%3%7%40%31%17
Hector Barbera130%2%6%40%15%—
Jack Miller140%1%4%28%31%6
Loris Baz150%1%3%25%21%16
Jonas Folger160%1%2%20%19%9
Pol Espargaro170%0%1%13%21%11
Tito Rabat180%0%1%11%12%—
Scott Redding190%0%0%8%14%7
Alex Rins200%0%0%5%17%8
Andrea Iannone210%0%0%3%29%—
Bradley Smith220%0%0%3%13%10
Sam Lowes230%0%0%1%34%—

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6
S1 · QuartararoS2 · AcostaS3 · BezzecchiS4 · M. Marquez

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,218 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

An open track: the grid decides less here and there are more comebacks.

29/100
Position index
22%
Pole wins
48%
Front row on the podium
0.73
Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 13% of the time (between 2% and 47%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

18
Overtakes
2
Lead changes
3 leaders
7/28
Laps led by the winner
Daniel Pedrosa
2.837 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Daniel Pedrosa, from P8 to P1.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Maverick Viñales (17 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2026Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2025Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2024Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2023Jorge MartinDucati
  • 2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2021Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2020Franco MorbidelliYamaha
  • 2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 19% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20267/2133%
20257/2330%
20243/2214%
20234/2317%
20224/2516%
20213/2413%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet