Round 8 of 18 Aftermath

Dutch TT 2017

4.542 m · 26 laps · since 1949

23.06 – 25.06.2017

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	41:41.149	25
2	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	+0.063	20
3	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+5.201	16
4	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	LCR Honda	+5.243	13
5	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+5.327	11
6	Jack Miller	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+23.390	10
7	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	+36.982	9
8	Loris Baz	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+37.058	8
9	Andrea Iannone	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+37.166	7
10	Aleix Espargaro	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+61.929	6
11	Pol Espargaro	KTM	Red Bull KTM Factory Racing	+69.384	5
12	Tito Rabat	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+70.121	4
13	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+70.344	3
14	Johann Zarco	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+95.655	2
15	Jorge Lorenzo	Ducati	Ducati Team	+0.000	1
16	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+0.000	0
17	Alex Rins	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+0.000	0
DNF	Alvaro Bautista	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	Retired	0
DNF	Bradley Smith	KTM	Red Bull KTM Factory Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Jonas Folger	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Maverick Viñales	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	Retired	0
DNF	Sam Lowes	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Scott Redding	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Johann Zarco · 28%	Valentino Rossi · 12% · from P4	0.60 / 0.60	3.6 / 3.6

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

14/26

Laps led by the winner

Valentino Rossi

0.063 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Karel Abraham, from P18 to P7.

Longest battle: Marc Marquez vs Valentino Rossi (15 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	13:02:59		Jump start	Jump start
Race	13:14:46	Sam Lowes	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	13:15:26	Jonas Folger	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	13:19:35	Maverick Viñales	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	13:22:46	Bradley Smith	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	13:28:15	Alvaro Bautista	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	13:29:03		Red flag	White flag displayed
Race	13:37:42	Johann Zarco	Ride through	Ride through penalty for exceeding pit
Race	13:41:27	Scott Redding	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	13:41:36		Ride through	Ride through

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Johann Zarco (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Andrea Iannone	16	9	+7
Jorge Lorenzo	21	17	+4
Pol Espargaro	19	16	+3
Jonas Folger	6	23	−17
Alex Rins	17	22	−5
Sam Lowes	10	14	−4

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Karel Abraham	18→7	+6.8
Tito Rabat	23→12	+5.0
Jack Miller	13→6	+4.5
Daniel Pedrosa	12→13	−3.1
Alex Rins	17→17	−3.9
Johann Zarco	1→14	−11.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

17.5 °C

Air

max 18.5 °C

67%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

17 km/h

Wind

gusts 35 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 23.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Danilo Petrucci	01:34.680	—	21	304.9
2	Johann Zarco	01:34.806	+0.126	20	302.7
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.822	+0.142	20	302.8
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.829	+0.149	17	309.1
5	Valentino Rossi	01:34.841	+0.161	22	301.5
6	Andrea Iannone	01:34.914	+0.234	22	303.7
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.936	+0.256	21	302.4
8	Jonas Folger	01:35.052	+0.372	19	300.9
9	Jorge Lorenzo	01:35.155	+0.475	20	305.6
10	Karel Abraham	01:35.183	+0.503	20	304.5
11	Jack Miller	01:35.193	+0.513	17	303.5
12	Maverick Viñales	01:35.263	+0.583	22	304.8
13	Marc Marquez	01:35.282	+0.602	23	301.5
14	Scott Redding	01:35.381	+0.701	21	302.8
15	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.528	+0.848	21	307.4
16	Pol Espargaro	01:35.562	+0.882	20	304.9
17	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.722	+1.042	20	301.5
18	Alex Rins	01:35.877	+1.197	23	303.5
19	Sam Lowes	01:35.898	+1.218	18	296.2
20	Hector Barbera	01:35.916	+1.236	23	310.0
21	Tito Rabat	01:36.404	+1.724	24	302.6
22	Loris Baz	01:36.819	+2.139	20	294.5
23	Bradley Smith	01:37.603	+2.923	19	297.3

FP2 · 23.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	01:33.130	—	20	306.3
2	Jonas Folger	01:33.497	+0.367	16	302.5
3	Marc Marquez	01:33.782	+0.652	21	304.6
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.790	+0.660	17	309.4
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.828	+0.698	18	306.2
6	Valentino Rossi	01:33.830	+0.700	19	302.0
7	Danilo Petrucci	01:33.890	+0.760	18	306.5
8	Johann Zarco	01:33.986	+0.856	21	303.9
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.103	+0.973	20	308.3
10	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.148	+1.018	20	304.8
11	Karel Abraham	01:34.299	+1.169	18	305.6
12	Jack Miller	01:34.337	+1.207	19	306.2
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.491	+1.361	13	302.0
14	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.523	+1.393	19	304.7
15	Scott Redding	01:34.596	+1.466	17	302.2
16	Loris Baz	01:34.605	+1.475	19	297.8
17	Andrea Iannone	01:34.617	+1.487	16	304.8
18	Hector Barbera	01:34.759	+1.629	18	311.8
19	Alex Rins	01:34.923	+1.793	18	304.3
20	Sam Lowes	01:35.039	+1.909	14	298.8
21	Tito Rabat	01:35.185	+2.055	20	301.9
22	Pol Espargaro	01:35.373	+2.243	18	306.1
23	Bradley Smith	01:36.334	+3.204	19	303.2

FP3 · 24.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Scott Redding	01:46.441	—	19	293.5
2	Valentino Rossi	01:46.672	+0.231	21	289.0
3	Marc Marquez	01:46.743	+0.302	19	290.0
4	Maverick Viñales	01:46.756	+0.315	17	294.1
5	Johann Zarco	01:46.794	+0.353	21	288.5
6	Hector Barbera	01:46.851	+0.410	19	293.5
7	Aleix Espargaro	01:46.936	+0.495	16	286.3
8	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.075	+0.634	19	286.8
9	Loris Baz	01:47.126	+0.685	13	289.3
10	Andrea Iannone	01:47.295	+0.854	21	295.0
11	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.306	+0.865	17	294.8
12	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.310	+0.869	16	294.6
13	Jonas Folger	01:47.355	+0.914	18	289.0
14	Jack Miller	01:47.394	+0.953	16	292.4
15	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.409	+0.968	13	292.1
16	Sam Lowes	01:47.657	+1.216	19	288.2
17	Alex Rins	01:47.767	+1.326	19	291.3
18	Pol Espargaro	01:47.774	+1.333	20	294.9
19	Karel Abraham	01:47.908	+1.467	19	286.6
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:48.194	+1.753	17	289.4
21	Bradley Smith	01:49.235	+2.794	17	292.1
22	Tito Rabat	01:49.284	+2.843	19	289.8
23	Daniel Pedrosa	01:49.291	+2.850	19	281.5

FP4 · 24.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Johann Zarco	01:44.925	—	11	288.3
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:45.136	+0.211	7	285.0
3	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.483	+2.558	9	287.3
4	Jack Miller	01:47.595	+2.670	3	281.9
5	Valentino Rossi	01:47.730	+2.805	8	285.9
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:49.325	+4.400	7	284.5
7	Marc Marquez	01:49.801	+4.876	5	273.2
8	Danilo Petrucci	01:50.140	+5.215	5	285.1
9	Scott Redding	01:50.711	+5.786	7	283.4
10	Pol Espargaro	01:50.776	+5.851	7	291.5
11	Daniel Pedrosa	01:51.122	+6.197	7	269.7
12	Loris Baz	01:51.176	+6.251	5	279.9
13	Andrea Iannone	01:51.716	+6.791	5	281.9
14	Alex Rins	01:52.024	+7.099	6	268.1
15	Hector Barbera	01:52.030	+7.105	7	274.6
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		—	0	0.0
—	Bradley Smith	01:52.404	+7.479	5	281.0
—	Cal Crutchlow	01:59.087	+14.162	5	281.3
—	Jonas Folger	01:52.440	+7.515	7	281.9
Retired	Karel Abraham		—	0	0.0
Retired	Maverick Viñales		—	0	0.0
Retired	Sam Lowes		—	0	0.0
—	Tito Rabat	01:53.300	+8.375	8	270.8

Q1 · 24.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Scott Redding	01:46.926	—	8	284.5
2	Sam Lowes	01:47.191	+0.265	8	287.0
3	Jack Miller	01:47.217	+0.291	8	291.2
4	Loris Baz	01:47.234	+0.308	9	288.0
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:47.277	+0.351	8	287.3
6	Andrea Iannone	01:47.649	+0.723	9	293.0
7	Alex Rins	01:47.804	+0.878	8	288.0
8	Karel Abraham	01:47.947	+1.021	9	288.6
9	Pol Espargaro	01:47.957	+1.031	8	295.7
10	Hector Barbera	01:48.080	+1.154	9	290.7
11	Jorge Lorenzo	01:48.219	+1.293	9	286.4
12	Bradley Smith	01:48.448	+1.522	8	289.6
13	Tito Rabat	01:48.700	+1.774	9	284.9

Q2 · 24.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Johann Zarco	01:46.141	—	8	291.5
2	Marc Marquez	01:46.206	+0.065	8	293.7
3	Danilo Petrucci	01:46.526	+0.385	8	293.9
4	Valentino Rossi	01:46.705	+0.564	8	287.9
5	Scott Redding	01:47.574	+1.433	6	286.0
6	Jonas Folger	01:47.663	+1.522	8	287.3
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.812	+1.671	9	291.6
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:48.042	+1.901	8	289.3
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:48.079	+1.938	7	292.6
10	Sam Lowes	01:48.128	+1.987	6	284.8
11	Maverick Viñales	01:48.266	+2.125	8	289.3
12	Daniel Pedrosa	01:49.623	+3.482	8	280.1

Warm Up · 25.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jack Miller	01:51.203	—	5	291.8
2	Marc Marquez	01:51.220	+0.017	4	288.6
3	Andrea Iannone	01:51.840	+0.637	5	291.4
4	Alvaro Bautista	01:52.113	+0.910	4	272.3
5	Alex Rins	01:52.583	+1.380	4	276.4
6	Tito Rabat	01:52.841	+1.638	6	269.3
7	Maverick Viñales	01:53.272	+2.069	4	269.1
8	Scott Redding	01:53.332	+2.129	4	281.6
9	Pol Espargaro	01:53.432	+2.229	4	282.2
10	Valentino Rossi	01:53.479	+2.276	5	267.5
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:54.059	+2.856	5	275.8
12	Hector Barbera	01:55.126	+3.923	5	265.2
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:56.173	+4.970	4	260.9
14	Jonas Folger	01:56.366	+5.163	4	265.8
15	Karel Abraham	01:57.383	+6.180	5	260.4
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		—	0	0.0
Retired	Bradley Smith		—	0	0.0
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		—	0	0.0
Retired	Johann Zarco		—	0	0.0
Retired	Jorge Lorenzo		—	0	0.0
Retired	Loris Baz		—	0	0.0
Retired	Sam Lowes		—	0	0.0

Race · 25.06

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Valentino Rossi	41:41.149	25	26
2	Danilo Petrucci	+0.063	20	26
3	Marc Marquez	+5.201	16	26
4	Cal Crutchlow	+5.243	13	26
5	Andrea Dovizioso	+5.327	11	26
6	Jack Miller	+23.390	10	26
7	Karel Abraham	+36.982	9	26
8	Loris Baz	+37.058	8	26
9	Andrea Iannone	+37.166	7	26
10	Aleix Espargaro	+61.929	6	26
11	Pol Espargaro	+69.384	5	26
12	Tito Rabat	+70.121	4	26
13	Daniel Pedrosa	+70.344	3	26
14	Johann Zarco	+95.655	2	26
15	Jorge Lorenzo	+0.000	1	25
16	Hector Barbera	+0.000	0	25
17	Alex Rins	+0.000	0	25
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		0	17
Retired	Bradley Smith		0	13
Retired	Jonas Folger		0	9
Retired	Maverick Viñales		0	11
Retired	Sam Lowes		0	8
Retired	Scott Redding		0	24

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Karel Abraham	62%	8
2	Jack Miller	48%	3
3	Aleix Espargaro	40%	5
4	Jorge Lorenzo	16%	11
5	Scott Redding	16%	1 ✓
6	Loris Baz	4%	4
7	Andrea Iannone	9%	6
8	Hector Barbera	3%	10
9	Alex Rins	0%	7
10	Sam Lowes	1%	2 ✓
11	Tito Rabat	1%	13
12	Pol Espargaro	0%	9
13	Bradley Smith	0%	12

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Maverick Viñales	44%	77%	95%	11
2	Jonas Folger	22%	53%	87%	6
3	Marc Marquez	17%	49%	86%	2
4	Andrea Dovizioso	4%	36%	69%	9
5	Cal Crutchlow	4%	31%	61%	8
6	Valentino Rossi	4%	20%	60%	4
7	Danilo Petrucci	1%	12%	43%	3
8	Johann Zarco	3%	12%	31%	1
9	Alvaro Bautista	1%	5%	26%	7
10	Daniel Pedrosa	0%	3%	14%	12
11	Scott Redding	0%	1%	16%	5
12	Sam Lowes	0%	2%	15%	10

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Johann Zarco	1	28%	58%	72%	82%	17%	14
Marc Marquez	2	22%	52%	70%	83%	16%	3
Danilo Petrucci	3	12%	39%	57%	73%	24%	2
Valentino Rossi	4	12%	40%	63%	87%	9%	1
Scott Redding	5	8%	30%	53%	82%	14%	—
Jonas Folger	6	6%	25%	48%	84%	9%	—
Alvaro Bautista	7	4%	17%	35%	71%	20%	—
Cal Crutchlow	8	3%	10%	23%	58%	30%	4
Andrea Dovizioso	9	2%	8%	22%	69%	13%	5
Sam Lowes	10	1%	5%	14%	54%	24%	—
Maverick Viñales	11	1%	5%	12%	58%	11%	—
Daniel Pedrosa	12	1%	4%	9%	50%	11%	13
Jack Miller	13	0%	2%	6%	31%	32%	6
Loris Baz	14	0%	2%	5%	30%	21%	8
Aleix Espargaro	15	0%	1%	4%	25%	22%	10
Andrea Iannone	16	0%	1%	2%	18%	28%	9
Alex Rins	17	0%	1%	2%	13%	27%	17
Karel Abraham	18	0%	0%	1%	9%	33%	7
Pol Espargaro	19	0%	0%	1%	8%	21%	11
Hector Barbera	20	0%	0%	0%	6%	14%	16
Jorge Lorenzo	21	0%	0%	0%	5%	8%	15
Bradley Smith	22	0%	0%	0%	3%	11%	—
Tito Rabat	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	14%	12

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,547 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.29%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%	Maverick Viñales +0.39%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%	Maverick Viñales +0.44%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.16%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.45%
S4	Ai Ogura +0.13%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Marc Marquez +0.43%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Joan Mir	Marco Bezzecchi +0.23%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.34%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi	Ai Ogura +0.12%	Jorge Martin +0.42%
S3	Raul Fernandez +0.07%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.15%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.17%
S4	Ai Ogura	Marco Bezzecchi +0.21%	Raul Fernandez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.24%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.11%	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.16%	Fabio Quartararo +0.24%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Marc Marquez +0.33%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Maverick Viñales +0.42%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.07%	Maverick Viñales +0.23%	Pedro Acosta +0.29%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.10%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Maverick Viñales +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.07%	Luca Marini +0.44%	Fabio Quartararo +0.46%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.22%	Jorge Martin +0.79%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.21%	Miguel Oliveira +0.26%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.46%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.52%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.04%	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.16%	Aleix Espargaro +0.35%	Maverick Viñales +0.57%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Joan Mir +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.35%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.30%	Alex Rins +0.53%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.12%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.41%	Pol Espargaro +0.68%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.24%	Johann Zarco +0.28%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.02%	Fabio Quartararo +0.16%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.55%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.02%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%
S2	Maverick Viñales	Marc Marquez +0.57%	Andrea Iannone +0.81%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.54%	Alex Rins +0.54%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Fabio Quartararo +0.35%	Marc Marquez +0.43%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.15%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.27%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.33%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.51%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.61%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.09%	Alex Rins +0.10%	Johann Zarco +0.30%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%	Danilo Petrucci +0.73%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

86/100

Position index

38%

Pole wins

50%

Front row on the podium

0.84

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 67% of the time (between 30% and 90%; 6 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Maverick Viñales	111	—
2	Andrea Dovizioso	104	−7
3	Marc Marquez	88	−23
4	Daniel Pedrosa	84	−27
5	Valentino Rossi	83	−28
6	Johann Zarco	75	−36

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

9/12

Laps led by the winner

Jack Miller

1.991 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Jack Miller, from P19 to P1.

Longest battle: Pol Espargaro vs Scott Redding (8 laps).

There was a red flag.

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Ai OguraAprilia
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2018Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 20% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	6/22	27%
2025	6/22	27%
2024	4/21	19%
2023	8/22	36%
2022	4/24	17%
2021	4/22	18%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet