Round 7 of 18 Aftermath

Catalan Grand Prix 2017

4.655 m · 25 laps · since 1991

09.06 – 11.06.2017

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	44:41.518	25
2	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+3.544	20
3	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+6.774	16
4	Jorge Lorenzo	Ducati	Ducati Team	+9.608	13
5	Johann Zarco	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+13.838	11
6	Jonas Folger	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+13.921	10
7	Alvaro Bautista	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	+16.763	9
8	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+20.821	8
9	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+23.952	7
10	Maverick Viñales	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+24.189	6
11	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	LCR Honda	+28.329	5
12	Loris Baz	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+33.281	4
13	Scott Redding	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	+35.200	3
14	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	+39.436	2
15	Tito Rabat	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+40.872	1
16	Andrea Iannone	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+43.221	0
17	Sylvain Guintoli	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+44.655	0
18	Pol Espargaro	KTM	Red Bull KTM Factory Racing	+48.993	0
19	Sam Lowes	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+55.492	0
DNF	Aleix Espargaro	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Jack Miller	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Daniel Pedrosa · 29%	Andrea Dovizioso · 4% · from P7	0.84 / 0.84	2.4 / 2.4

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

4 leaders

9/25

Laps led by the winner

Andrea Dovizioso

3.544 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Johann Zarco, from P14 to P5.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Daniel Pedrosa (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:02:32		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:14:33	Aleix Espargaro	Retired	Retired
Race	14:25:19	Jack Miller	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:43:09	Danilo Petrucci	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P2).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Jack Miller	15	9	+6
Alvaro Bautista	10	6	+4
Cal Crutchlow	17	14	+3
Danilo Petrucci	3	8	−5
Hector Barbera	6	10	−4
Loris Baz	16	19	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Johann Zarco	14→5	+6.2
Andrea Dovizioso	7→1	+5.7
Marc Marquez	4→2	+2.8
Sam Lowes	21→19	−3.3
Scott Redding	11→13	−3.7
Andrea Iannone	12→16	−6.1

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

32.1 °C

Air

max 32.3 °C

20%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

12 km/h

Wind

gusts 32 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 09.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:45.875	—	5	337.8
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:46.201	+0.326	5	334.8
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:46.505	+0.630	8	339.7
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:46.621	+0.746	4	330.9
5	Jonas Folger	01:46.722	+0.847	14	333.3
6	Maverick Viñales	01:46.824	+0.949	6	337.7
7	Sam Lowes	01:47.054	+1.179	5	330.5
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.102	+1.227	9	341.3
9	Scott Redding	01:47.127	+1.252	9	338.5
10	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.252	+1.377	6	330.0
11	Johann Zarco	01:47.460	+1.585	16	334.9
12	Jack Miller	01:47.992	+2.117	9	335.6
13	Jorge Lorenzo	01:48.111	+2.236	12	338.4
14	Andrea Iannone	01:48.114	+2.239	7	329.9
15	Pol Espargaro	01:48.228	+2.353	7	334.5
16	Karel Abraham	01:48.625	+2.750	6	332.9
17	Valentino Rossi	01:48.863	+2.988	15	330.0
18	Sylvain Guintoli	01:49.781	+3.906	13	332.9
19	Bradley Smith	01:49.831	+3.956	6	330.9
—	Aleix Espargaro	02:04.186	+18.311	5	295.1
Retired	Hector Barbera		—	0	0.0
Retired	Loris Baz		—	0	0.0
Retired	Tito Rabat		—	0	0.0

FP2 · 09.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:44.478	—	20	342.2
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.700	+0.222	19	343.1
3	Jonas Folger	01:44.839	+0.361	18	336.8
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:44.883	+0.405	16	342.5
5	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.890	+0.412	18	340.4
6	Johann Zarco	01:45.063	+0.585	17	336.8
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:45.098	+0.620	18	337.9
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:45.116	+0.638	20	344.1
9	Valentino Rossi	01:45.118	+0.640	17	337.2
10	Hector Barbera	01:45.311	+0.833	15	340.8
11	Scott Redding	01:45.375	+0.897	17	341.4
12	Andrea Iannone	01:45.465	+0.987	18	340.5
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:45.554	+1.076	15	338.7
14	Loris Baz	01:45.755	+1.277	17	337.3
15	Sam Lowes	01:45.760	+1.282	16	334.0
16	Maverick Viñales	01:45.810	+1.332	17	337.1
17	Jack Miller	01:45.868	+1.390	18	337.1
18	Karel Abraham	01:45.932	+1.454	20	338.5
19	Cal Crutchlow	01:45.967	+1.489	14	335.8
20	Tito Rabat	01:46.229	+1.751	17	338.7
21	Pol Espargaro	01:46.946	+2.468	15	335.6
22	Sylvain Guintoli	01:47.002	+2.524	19	339.5
23	Bradley Smith	01:47.892	+3.414	18	333.6

FP3 · 10.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:44.178	—	18	340.9
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:44.279	+0.101	18	340.2
3	Alvaro Bautista	01:44.395	+0.217	18	346.9
4	Aleix Espargaro	01:44.409	+0.231	16	337.6
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:44.615	+0.437	15	342.0
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.623	+0.445	18	342.8
7	Andrea Iannone	01:44.656	+0.478	18	340.8
8	Scott Redding	01:44.676	+0.498	18	343.2
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.681	+0.503	18	344.2
10	Hector Barbera	01:44.740	+0.562	18	337.9
11	Jonas Folger	01:44.763	+0.585	18	338.3
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:44.803	+0.625	18	338.8
13	Maverick Viñales	01:44.889	+0.711	19	341.1
14	Loris Baz	01:44.985	+0.807	16	339.6
15	Valentino Rossi	01:45.053	+0.875	19	337.3
16	Johann Zarco	01:45.240	+1.062	16	338.4
17	Tito Rabat	01:45.252	+1.074	17	341.1
18	Jack Miller	01:45.289	+1.111	18	338.7
19	Sylvain Guintoli	01:45.912	+1.734	20	338.1
20	Pol Espargaro	01:46.243	+2.065	19	338.6
21	Karel Abraham	01:46.259	+2.081	19	339.1
22	Sam Lowes	01:46.267	+2.089	14	333.7
23	Bradley Smith	01:46.853	+2.675	16	333.9

FP4 · 10.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:45.486	—	11	338.0
2	Andrea Iannone	01:45.981	+0.495	12	341.0
3	Marc Marquez	01:46.009	+0.523	12	337.9
4	Jonas Folger	01:46.018	+0.532	14	336.0
5	Valentino Rossi	01:46.089	+0.603	15	338.3
6	Aleix Espargaro	01:46.101	+0.615	13	335.6
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:46.110	+0.624	15	341.3
8	Scott Redding	01:46.121	+0.635	14	342.2
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:46.132	+0.646	13	340.9
10	Jack Miller	01:46.276	+0.790	15	336.8
11	Hector Barbera	01:46.278	+0.792	14	335.2
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:46.317	+0.831	12	342.5
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:46.378	+0.892	10	337.9
14	Tito Rabat	01:46.420	+0.934	15	340.3
15	Maverick Viñales	01:46.457	+0.971	13	336.7
16	Karel Abraham	01:46.474	+0.988	12	337.0
17	Andrea Dovizioso	01:46.523	+1.037	11	343.8
18	Johann Zarco	01:46.617	+1.131	14	337.6
19	Pol Espargaro	01:46.777	+1.291	13	337.9
20	Loris Baz	01:46.785	+1.299	13	339.9
21	Sam Lowes	01:46.823	+1.337	12	333.6
22	Bradley Smith	01:48.014	+2.528	6	331.7
23	Sylvain Guintoli	01:48.403	+2.917	13	334.4

Q1 · 10.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jonas Folger	01:44.239	—	7	337.5
2	Maverick Viñales	01:44.621	+0.382	8	339.0
3	Valentino Rossi	01:44.661	+0.422	7	338.4
4	Johann Zarco	01:44.681	+0.442	4	338.3
5	Jack Miller	01:44.829	+0.590	7	341.0
6	Loris Baz	01:44.919	+0.680	6	338.4
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:45.162	+0.923	7	338.6
8	Karel Abraham	01:45.641	+1.402	8	339.9
9	Tito Rabat	01:45.741	+1.502	7	339.1
10	Pol Espargaro	01:45.887	+1.648	7	343.6
11	Sam Lowes	01:48.803	+4.564	3	330.6
Retired	Bradley Smith		—	0	0.0
Retired	Sylvain Guintoli		—	0	0.0

Q2 · 10.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:43.870	—	7	340.4
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.201	+0.331	7	343.8
3	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.220	+0.350	7	343.5
4	Marc Marquez	01:44.320	+0.450	5	341.7
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:44.348	+0.478	7	337.6
6	Hector Barbera	01:44.381	+0.511	7	338.0
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:44.451	+0.581	6	340.3
8	Jonas Folger	01:44.600	+0.730	5	337.6
9	Maverick Viñales	01:44.620	+0.750	8	339.4
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:44.740	+0.870	6	346.3
11	Scott Redding	01:44.852	+0.982	7	343.7
12	Andrea Iannone	01:44.928	+1.058	8	342.5

Warm Up · 11.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jonas Folger	01:45.004	—	11	338.9
2	Scott Redding	01:45.449	+0.445	11	343.2
3	Aleix Espargaro	01:45.537	+0.533	11	337.8
4	Jack Miller	01:45.735	+0.731	12	338.4
5	Johann Zarco	01:45.737	+0.733	11	338.0
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:45.832	+0.828	11	344.0
7	Valentino Rossi	01:45.839	+0.835	11	339.7
8	Danilo Petrucci	01:46.074	+1.070	11	342.3
9	Andrea Iannone	01:46.088	+1.084	11	342.3
10	Marc Marquez	01:46.119	+1.115	10	338.3
11	Maverick Viñales	01:46.152	+1.148	10	336.5
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:46.189	+1.185	12	344.3
13	Daniel Pedrosa	01:46.238	+1.234	11	337.9
14	Sam Lowes	01:46.300	+1.296	11	333.6
15	Jorge Lorenzo	01:46.355	+1.351	10	342.9
16	Tito Rabat	01:46.372	+1.368	12	337.1
17	Sylvain Guintoli	01:46.592	+1.588	11	337.7
18	Cal Crutchlow	01:46.736	+1.732	9	335.5
19	Pol Espargaro	01:46.842	+1.838	10	336.6
20	Karel Abraham	01:47.385	+2.381	8	340.3
21	Loris Baz	01:47.518	+2.514	11	340.3
22	Hector Barbera	01:47.798	+2.794	10	337.9

Race · 11.06

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Andrea Dovizioso	44:41.518	25	25
2	Marc Marquez	+3.544	20	25
3	Daniel Pedrosa	+6.774	16	25
4	Jorge Lorenzo	+9.608	13	25
5	Johann Zarco	+13.838	11	25
6	Jonas Folger	+13.921	10	25
7	Alvaro Bautista	+16.763	9	25
8	Valentino Rossi	+20.821	8	25
9	Hector Barbera	+23.952	7	25
10	Maverick Viñales	+24.189	6	25
11	Cal Crutchlow	+28.329	5	25
12	Loris Baz	+33.281	4	25
13	Scott Redding	+35.200	3	25
14	Karel Abraham	+39.436	2	25
15	Tito Rabat	+40.872	1	25
16	Andrea Iannone	+43.221	0	25
17	Sylvain Guintoli	+44.655	0	25
18	Pol Espargaro	+48.993	0	25
19	Sam Lowes	+55.492	0	25
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		0	7
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		0	23
Retired	Jack Miller		0	13

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Jonas Folger	62%	1 ✓
2	Cal Crutchlow	49%	7
3	Maverick Viñales	40%	2 ✓
4	Loris Baz	16%	6
5	Valentino Rossi	16%	3
6	Johann Zarco	4%	4
7	Tito Rabat	9%	9
8	Jack Miller	3%	5
9	Sam Lowes	0%	11
10	Karel Abraham	1%	8
11	Pol Espargaro	1%	10

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Marc Marquez	45%	78%	95%	4
2	Daniel Pedrosa	21%	53%	87%	1
3	Alvaro Bautista	17%	50%	87%	10
4	Aleix Espargaro	4%	37%	68%	5
5	Andrea Dovizioso	4%	32%	62%	7
6	Jorge Lorenzo	4%	18%	59%	2
7	Andrea Iannone	1%	12%	43%	12
8	Scott Redding	3%	12%	32%	11
9	Danilo Petrucci	1%	4%	25%	3
10	Hector Barbera	0%	3%	13%	6
11	Jonas Folger	0%	1%	16%	8
12	Maverick Viñales	0%	2%	15%	9

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Bradley Smith	23	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Daniel Pedrosa	1	29%	61%	76%	87%	11%	3
Jorge Lorenzo	2	23%	57%	75%	89%	8%	4
Danilo Petrucci	3	12%	39%	56%	73%	24%	—
Marc Marquez	4	11%	36%	57%	80%	16%	2
Aleix Espargaro	5	7%	27%	47%	73%	21%	—
Hector Barbera	6	6%	23%	45%	78%	15%	9
Andrea Dovizioso	7	4%	17%	37%	77%	13%	1
Jonas Folger	8	3%	13%	32%	76%	10%	6
Maverick Viñales	9	2%	8%	21%	68%	11%	10
Alvaro Bautista	10	1%	6%	15%	58%	20%	7
Scott Redding	11	1%	5%	13%	55%	14%	13
Andrea Iannone	12	0%	2%	7%	39%	29%	16
Valentino Rossi	13	0%	2%	7%	41%	9%	8
Johann Zarco	14	0%	2%	5%	31%	18%	5
Jack Miller	15	0%	1%	2%	20%	31%	—
Loris Baz	16	0%	1%	2%	18%	21%	12
Cal Crutchlow	17	0%	0%	1%	12%	30%	11
Karel Abraham	18	0%	0%	1%	8%	33%	14
Tito Rabat	19	0%	0%	1%	8%	14%	15
Pol Espargaro	20	0%	0%	0%	4%	22%	18
Sam Lowes	21	0%	0%	0%	3%	26%	19
Sylvain Guintoli	22	0%	0%	0%	2%	13%	17
Bradley Smith	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	11%	—

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,669 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Marc Marquez +0.51%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.58%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.30%	Pedro Acosta +0.44%	Aleix Espargaro +0.46%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.16%	Marc Marquez +0.36%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.46%	Fabio Quartararo +0.47%	Raul Fernandez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Francesco Bagnaia +0.53%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.78%
S2	Alex Marquez	Joan Mir +0.17%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.02%	Brad Binder +0.16%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.43%
S4	Joan Mir +0.04%	Alex Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Johann Zarco +0.31%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Pedro Acosta +0.51%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Johann Zarco +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.03%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.37%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.12%	Brad Binder +0.17%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Pedro Acosta +0.09%	Jorge Martin +0.13%
S4	Raul Fernandez	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.14%	Brad Binder +0.27%
S2	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S3	Miguel Oliveira +0.23%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.19%	Enea Bastianini +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.44%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S3	Alex Rins +0.21%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.36%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%	Jorge Martin +0.57%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Johann Zarco	Miguel Oliveira +0.14%	Fabio Quartararo +0.40%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.38%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.12%	Franco Morbidelli +0.28%	Johann Zarco +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jack Miller +0.41%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.34%
S3	Valentino Rossi +0.22%	Pol Espargaro +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Valentino Rossi +0.16%	Brad Binder +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Joan Mir +0.33%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.18%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.35%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.26%	Valentino Rossi +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.19%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo +0.15%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Andrea Iannone	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.12%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Johann Zarco +0.19%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

52/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

44%

Front row on the podium

0.71

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 86% of the time (between 49% and 97%; 7 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Maverick Viñales	105	—
2	Andrea Dovizioso	79	−26
3	Valentino Rossi	75	−30
4	Daniel Pedrosa	68	−37
5	Marc Marquez	68	−37
6	Johann Zarco	64	−41

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

18/25

Laps led by the winner

Valentino Rossi

2.652 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P21 to P8.

Longest battle: Marc Marquez vs Valentino Rossi (22 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Aleix EspargaroAprilia
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Miguel OliveiraKTM
2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 25% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/22	23%
2025	7/24	29%
2024	3/23	13%
2023	3/20	15%
2022	8/25	32%
2021	6/21	29%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet