Round 6 of 18 Aftermath

Italian Grand Prix 2017

Autodromo Internazionale del Mugello Italy

5.245 m · 23 laps · since 1976

02.06 – 04.06.2017

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	41:32.126	25
2	Maverick Viñales	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+1.281	20
3	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	+2.334	16
4	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+3.685	13
5	Alvaro Bautista	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	+5.802	11
6	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+5.885	10
7	Johann Zarco	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+13.205	9
8	Jorge Lorenzo	Ducati	Ducati Team	+14.393	8
9	Michele Pirro	Ducati	Ducati Team	+14.880	7
10	Andrea Iannone	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+15.502	6
11	Tito Rabat	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+22.004	5
12	Scott Redding	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	+24.952	4
13	Jonas Folger	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+28.160	3
14	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+30.676	2
15	Jack Miller	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+30.779	1
16	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	+42.306	0
17	Sylvain Guintoli	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+46.294	0
18	Loris Baz	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+50.731	0
19	Sam Lowes	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+50.740	0
20	Bradley Smith	KTM	Red Bull KTM Factory Racing	+50.897	0
DNF	Aleix Espargaro	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Pol Espargaro	KTM	Red Bull KTM Factory Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Maverick Viñales · 30%	Andrea Dovizioso · 16% · from P3	0.89 / 0.89	2.1 / 2.2

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

10/23

Laps led by the winner

Andrea Dovizioso

Comeback of the day: Scott Redding, from P20 to P12.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Marc Marquez (15 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:04:34	Aleix Espargaro	Jump start	jump start
Race	14:04:42	Aleix Espargaro	Ride through	ride through penalty
Race	14:09:05		Ride through	ride through
Race	14:27:25	Pol Espargaro	Retired	entered pits and retired
Race	14:31:51	Aleix Espargaro	Retired	entered pits and retired
Race	14:42:42	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:42:42	Daniel Pedrosa	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Valentino Rossi (started P2).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Andrea Iannone	16	8	+8
Jorge Lorenzo	7	3	+4
Jack Miller	19	15	+4
Michele Pirro	4	11	−7
Tito Rabat	10	14	−4
Hector Barbera	14	17	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Danilo Petrucci	9→3	+5.0
Andrea Dovizioso	3→1	+3.1
Scott Redding	20→12	+3.0
Bradley Smith	23→20	−3.0
Michele Pirro	4→9	−4.2
Loris Baz	17→18	−4.9

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

23.5 °C

Air

max 24.0 °C

62%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

13 km/h

Wind

gusts 41 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 02.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.394	—	18	352.3
2	Michele Pirro	01:47.595	+0.201	17	351.4
3	Maverick Viñales	01:47.669	+0.275	18	343.0
4	Johann Zarco	01:47.674	+0.280	19	338.1
5	Hector Barbera	01:47.708	+0.314	16	351.4
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.747	+0.353	18	343.5
7	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.962	+0.568	17	351.2
8	Jonas Folger	01:47.974	+0.580	16	338.9
9	Marc Marquez	01:47.980	+0.586	22	340.3
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:48.194	+0.800	18	340.3
11	Andrea Iannone	01:48.274	+0.880	19	350.1
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:48.289	+0.895	16	348.0
13	Daniel Pedrosa	01:48.291	+0.897	19	341.7
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:48.394	+1.000	16	339.1
15	Valentino Rossi	01:48.513	+1.119	15	340.9
16	Scott Redding	01:48.743	+1.349	16	345.4
17	Jack Miller	01:49.119	+1.725	17	340.9
18	Tito Rabat	01:49.123	+1.729	18	344.3
19	Loris Baz	01:49.526	+2.132	17	335.4
20	Pol Espargaro	01:49.677	+2.283	19	341.4
21	Sam Lowes	01:49.679	+2.285	14	336.4
22	Karel Abraham	01:49.754	+2.360	16	345.1
23	Bradley Smith	01:50.686	+3.292	16	336.8
24	Sylvain Guintoli	01:50.996	+3.602	19	341.4

FP2 · 02.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.365	—	18	339.5
2	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.526	+0.161	18	350.6
3	Jonas Folger	01:47.543	+0.178	16	341.0
4	Johann Zarco	01:47.685	+0.320	19	344.2
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:47.699	+0.334	19	344.4
6	Hector Barbera	01:47.710	+0.345	18	352.2
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.728	+0.363	20	347.8
8	Andrea Iannone	01:47.807	+0.442	19	349.1
9	Michele Pirro	01:47.883	+0.518	17	351.2
10	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.950	+0.585	15	348.2
11	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.954	+0.589	18	350.6
12	Valentino Rossi	01:48.000	+0.635	19	341.1
13	Maverick Viñales	01:48.014	+0.649	13	340.5
14	Marc Marquez	01:48.103	+0.738	21	341.6
15	Scott Redding	01:48.111	+0.746	18	349.4
16	Aleix Espargaro	01:48.129	+0.764	17	342.0
17	Jack Miller	01:48.560	+1.195	19	343.5
18	Tito Rabat	01:48.664	+1.299	20	343.2
19	Loris Baz	01:48.751	+1.386	15	338.0
20	Sam Lowes	01:48.842	+1.477	5	337.9
21	Karel Abraham	01:48.925	+1.560	17	346.7
22	Pol Espargaro	01:49.524	+2.159	18	343.0
23	Bradley Smith	01:49.640	+2.275	17	343.8
24	Sylvain Guintoli	01:50.054	+2.689	18	341.9

FP3 · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:46.543	—	20	344.9
2	Marc Marquez	01:46.865	+0.322	20	344.6
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:46.911	+0.368	18	348.9
4	Alvaro Bautista	01:46.959	+0.416	20	350.6
5	Maverick Viñales	01:46.972	+0.429	20	342.9
6	Tito Rabat	01:47.048	+0.505	21	342.0
7	Michele Pirro	01:47.110	+0.567	17	353.2
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.120	+0.577	18	352.4
9	Daniel Pedrosa	01:47.166	+0.623	20	344.8
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:47.173	+0.630	16	341.3
11	Johann Zarco	01:47.257	+0.714	19	343.1
12	Scott Redding	01:47.428	+0.885	19	348.9
13	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.429	+0.886	6	345.8
14	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.456	+0.913	15	339.3
15	Hector Barbera	01:47.528	+0.985	16	351.3
16	Andrea Iannone	01:47.566	+1.023	16	341.6
17	Jonas Folger	01:47.624	+1.081	20	338.8
18	Pol Espargaro	01:48.017	+1.474	17	341.7
19	Loris Baz	01:48.096	+1.553	18	339.3
20	Sam Lowes	01:48.229	+1.686	17	337.8
21	Jack Miller	01:48.337	+1.794	18	343.5
22	Bradley Smith	01:48.531	+1.988	18	341.1
23	Karel Abraham	01:48.551	+2.008	18	342.5
24	Sylvain Guintoli	01:49.212	+2.669	21	342.0

FP4 · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Johann Zarco	01:47.690	—	13	342.6
2	Valentino Rossi	01:47.753	+0.063	12	345.1
3	Marc Marquez	01:47.801	+0.111	13	342.3
4	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.812	+0.122	15	349.8
5	Michele Pirro	01:47.877	+0.187	16	347.2
6	Jonas Folger	01:47.878	+0.188	13	337.9
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.960	+0.270	13	350.7
8	Maverick Viñales	01:47.979	+0.289	14	340.8
9	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.979	+0.289	14	349.8
10	Danilo Petrucci	01:48.004	+0.314	14	350.6
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:48.042	+0.352	13	339.4
12	Hector Barbera	01:48.190	+0.500	12	348.2
13	Andrea Iannone	01:48.250	+0.560	13	348.2
14	Scott Redding	01:48.331	+0.641	12	346.2
15	Aleix Espargaro	01:48.337	+0.647	13	342.6
16	Daniel Pedrosa	01:48.455	+0.765	15	343.6
17	Tito Rabat	01:48.636	+0.946	16	340.5
18	Loris Baz	01:48.902	+1.212	10	335.6
19	Pol Espargaro	01:48.954	+1.264	12	342.5
20	Sam Lowes	01:48.999	+1.309	13	336.9
21	Jack Miller	01:49.012	+1.322	10	342.5
22	Karel Abraham	01:49.229	+1.539	11	341.3
23	Bradley Smith	01:49.367	+1.677	12	337.6
24	Sylvain Guintoli	01:49.939	+2.249	14	343.7

Q1 · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Johann Zarco	01:47.058	—	4	340.0
2	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.141	+0.083	7	348.0
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.220	+0.162	8	339.6
4	Hector Barbera	01:47.272	+0.214	5	350.7
5	Jonas Folger	01:47.305	+0.247	5	338.8
6	Andrea Iannone	01:47.625	+0.567	7	341.6
7	Loris Baz	01:47.809	+0.751	7	341.5
8	Pol Espargaro	01:47.940	+0.882	7	339.9
9	Jack Miller	01:47.961	+0.903	7	341.6
10	Scott Redding	01:47.975	+0.917	5	345.2
11	Karel Abraham	01:48.361	+1.303	8	343.5
12	Sam Lowes	01:48.416	+1.358	8	337.7
13	Bradley Smith	01:48.594	+1.536	8	337.7
14	Sylvain Guintoli	01:48.892	+1.834	8	341.5

Q2 · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	01:46.575	—	7	339.7
2	Valentino Rossi	01:46.814	+0.239	7	343.2
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:46.835	+0.260	7	349.7
4	Michele Pirro	01:46.878	+0.303	8	350.9
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:46.999	+0.424	8	344.9
6	Marc Marquez	01:47.050	+0.475	7	343.8
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:47.152	+0.577	9	349.1
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.167	+0.592	8	350.9
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.266	+0.691	7	352.0
10	Tito Rabat	01:47.282	+0.707	8	342.5
11	Johann Zarco	01:47.319	+0.744	6	342.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:47.475	+0.900	5	343.5

Warm Up · 04.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	01:47.345	—	11	343.5
2	Johann Zarco	01:47.572	+0.227	11	340.4
3	Andrea Iannone	01:47.581	+0.236	11	346.5
4	Marc Marquez	01:47.689	+0.344	11	343.1
5	Jonas Folger	01:47.733	+0.388	11	338.9
6	Michele Pirro	01:47.845	+0.500	11	352.4
7	Valentino Rossi	01:47.884	+0.539	10	342.4
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.884	+0.539	11	349.1
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:47.936	+0.591	9	342.5
10	Danilo Petrucci	01:48.056	+0.711	11	350.5
11	Tito Rabat	01:48.184	+0.839	11	338.9
12	Daniel Pedrosa	01:48.242	+0.897	11	342.2
13	Jorge Lorenzo	01:48.266	+0.921	10	345.7
14	Cal Crutchlow	01:48.278	+0.933	11	340.6
15	Karel Abraham	01:48.602	+1.257	10	345.7
16	Sam Lowes	01:48.624	+1.279	11	338.5
17	Scott Redding	01:48.753	+1.408	11	346.2
18	Pol Espargaro	01:48.762	+1.417	11	338.2
19	Bradley Smith	01:48.776	+1.431	11	340.8
20	Jack Miller	01:49.055	+1.710	11	341.9
21	Loris Baz	01:49.077	+1.732	4	335.7
22	Hector Barbera	01:49.089	+1.744	7	347.8
23	Sylvain Guintoli	01:49.116	+1.771	11	339.7
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		—	0	0.0

Race · 04.06

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Andrea Dovizioso	41:32.126	25	23
2	Maverick Viñales	+1.281	20	23
3	Danilo Petrucci	+2.334	16	23
4	Valentino Rossi	+3.685	13	23
5	Alvaro Bautista	+5.802	11	23
6	Marc Marquez	+5.885	10	23
7	Johann Zarco	+13.205	9	23
8	Jorge Lorenzo	+14.393	8	23
9	Michele Pirro	+14.880	7	23
10	Andrea Iannone	+15.502	6	23
11	Tito Rabat	+22.004	5	23
12	Scott Redding	+24.952	4	23
13	Jonas Folger	+28.160	3	23
14	Hector Barbera	+30.676	2	23
15	Jack Miller	+30.779	1	23
16	Karel Abraham	+42.306	0	23
17	Sylvain Guintoli	+46.294	0	23
18	Loris Baz	+50.731	0	23
19	Sam Lowes	+50.740	0	23
20	Bradley Smith	+50.897	0	23
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		0	15
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	22
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		0	22
Retired	Pol Espargaro		0	13

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Johann Zarco	61%	1 ✓
2	Cal Crutchlow	49%	3
3	Scott Redding	40%	10
4	Danilo Petrucci	15%	2 ✓
5	Hector Barbera	16%	4
6	Jonas Folger	4%	5
7	Andrea Iannone	9%	6
8	Pol Espargaro	3%	8
9	Loris Baz	0%	7
10	Sam Lowes	1%	12
11	Jack Miller	1%	9
12	Bradley Smith	0%	13
13	Karel Abraham	0%	11
14	Sylvain Guintoli	0%	14

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Valentino Rossi	45%	77%	95%	2
2	Marc Marquez	21%	53%	87%	6
3	Jorge Lorenzo	17%	51%	88%	7
4	Alvaro Bautista	4%	37%	69%	8
5	Maverick Viñales	3%	31%	61%	1
6	Tito Rabat	4%	19%	60%	10
7	Michele Pirro	1%	12%	43%	4
8	Andrea Dovizioso	3%	11%	31%	3
9	Daniel Pedrosa	1%	4%	24%	5
10	Aleix Espargaro	0%	3%	13%	12
11	Johann Zarco	0%	1%	16%	11
12	Danilo Petrucci	0%	2%	15%	9

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Maverick Viñales	1	30%	62%	76%	86%	11%	2
Valentino Rossi	2	21%	54%	72%	87%	9%	4
Andrea Dovizioso	3	16%	46%	67%	84%	13%	1
Michele Pirro	4	10%	34%	55%	76%	20%	9
Daniel Pedrosa	5	8%	30%	54%	84%	10%	—
Marc Marquez	6	5%	21%	42%	76%	16%	6
Jorge Lorenzo	7	4%	18%	40%	81%	8%	8
Alvaro Bautista	8	3%	12%	26%	66%	20%	5
Danilo Petrucci	9	2%	7%	18%	59%	24%	3
Tito Rabat	10	1%	5%	16%	60%	15%	11
Johann Zarco	11	1%	4%	11%	51%	20%	7
Aleix Espargaro	12	1%	3%	8%	43%	21%	—
Cal Crutchlow	13	0%	2%	5%	31%	29%	—
Hector Barbera	14	0%	1%	4%	31%	15%	14
Jonas Folger	15	0%	1%	3%	27%	10%	13
Andrea Iannone	16	0%	0%	2%	16%	29%	10
Loris Baz	17	0%	0%	1%	12%	22%	18
Pol Espargaro	18	0%	0%	1%	9%	21%	—
Jack Miller	19	0%	0%	1%	6%	31%	15
Scott Redding	20	0%	0%	0%	6%	14%	12
Karel Abraham	21	0%	0%	0%	3%	34%	16
Sam Lowes	22	0%	0%	0%	2%	29%	19
Bradley Smith	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	11%	20
Sylvain Guintoli	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	14%	17

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,245 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.30%	Pedro Acosta +0.41%	Jorge Martin +0.45%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.32%	Marc Marquez +0.43%	Pedro Acosta +0.47%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.49%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.55%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Enea Bastianini +0.46%	Marc Marquez +0.52%
S2	Raul Fernandez	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.38%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.23%	Jorge Martin +0.48%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.50%
S4	Marco Bezzecchi +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Jorge Martin +0.25%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.22%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.21%	Maverick Viñales +0.41%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.42%
S4	Marco Bezzecchi +0.03%	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Pedro Acosta +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.27%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Pedro Acosta +0.32%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.45%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.26%	Fabio Quartararo +0.35%	Enea Bastianini +0.43%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Jorge Martin +0.26%	Pedro Acosta +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Luca Marini +0.15%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.20%	Maverick Viñales +0.33%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.05%	Marc Marquez +0.30%	Maverick Viñales +0.32%
S3	Johann Zarco +0.12%	Alex Rins +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.04%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.10%	Enea Bastianini +0.24%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.25%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.31%
S3	Luca Marini +0.10%	Aleix Espargaro +0.21%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.18%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.22%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%	Jack Miller +0.36%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Maverick Viñales +0.29%	Alex Rins +0.35%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Alex Rins +0.39%	Miguel Oliveira +0.58%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.33%	Miguel Oliveira +0.38%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.47%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.08%	Jack Miller +0.24%	Danilo Petrucci +0.32%
S2	Maverick Viñales	Fabio Quartararo +0.56%	Marc Marquez +0.63%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Alex Rins +0.21%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.34%
S4	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.28%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.14%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.34%
S2	Andrea Iannone	Marc Marquez +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.33%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.07%	Valentino Rossi +0.27%	Cal Crutchlow +0.43%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.21%	Andrea Iannone +0.31%	Marc Marquez +0.33%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

76/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

46%

Front row on the podium

0.80

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 67% of the time (between 21% and 94%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Maverick Viñales	85	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	68	−17
3	Valentino Rossi	62	−23
4	Marc Marquez	58	−27
5	Johann Zarco	55	−30
6	Andrea Dovizioso	54	−31

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

23/23

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

0.019 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Andrea Dovizioso, from P13 to P5.

Longest battle: Jorge Lorenzo vs Marc Marquez (15 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marco BezzecchiAprilia
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Danilo PetrucciDucati
2018Jorge LorenzoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 19% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/22	14%
2025	4/22	18%
2024	3/24	13%
2023	3/22	14%
2022	4/26	15%
2021	5/22	23%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet