MotoGP Data dominance · tyre · race pace
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Round 10 of 18 Aftermath

Austrian Grand Prix 2016

Red Bull Ring - Spielberg Austria

4.348 m · 28 laps · since 1996
12.08 – 14.08.2016
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Andrea IannoneDucatiDucati Team39:46.25525
2Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team+0.93820
3Jorge LorenzoYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+3.38916
4Valentino RossiYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+3.81513
5Marc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda Team+11.81311
6Maverick ViñalesSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTAR+14.34110
7Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+17.0639
8Scott ReddingDucatiOCTO Pramac Yakhnich+29.4378
9Bradley SmithYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+29.7857
10Pol EspargaroYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+37.0946
11Danilo PetrucciDucatiOCTO Pramac Yakhnich+39.7655
12Michele PirroDucatiDucati Team+39.7664
13Loris BazDucatiAvintia Racing+44.2843
14Tito RabatHondaEstrella Galicia 0,0 Marc VDS+45.0042
15Cal CrutchlowHondaLCR Honda+63.2461
16Alvaro BautistaApriliaAprilia Racing Team Gresini+72.4480
17Yonny HernandezDucatiAspar Team MotoGP+74.5170
18Eugene LavertyDucatiAspar Team MotoGP+96.5100
19Stefan BradlApriliaAprilia Racing Team Gresini+0.0000
DNFAleix EspargaroSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTARRetired0
DNFHector BarberaDucatiAvintia RacingDisqualified0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
ForecastFavouriteWinnerOrder (model / grid)Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)Andrea Iannone · 25% ✓Andrea Iannone · 25% · from P10.79 / 0.792.4 / 2.4

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

48
Overtakes
3
Lead changes
3 leaders
16/28
Laps led by the winner
Andrea Iannone
0.938 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Loris Baz, from P21 to P13.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Andrea Iannone (23 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race14:05:06Stefan BradlJump startJump start
Race14:05:06Hector BarberaJump startJump start
Race14:05:06Alvaro BautistaJump startJump start
Race14:05:06Yonny HernandezJump startJump start
Race14:06:04Yonny HernandezRide throughRide through penalty
Race14:06:04Alvaro BautistaRide throughRide through penalty
Race14:06:04Hector BarberaRide throughRide through penalty
Race14:06:04Stefan BradlRide throughRide through penalty
Race14:06:43Cal CrutchlowJump startJump start
Race14:06:52Cal CrutchlowRide throughRide through penalty
Race14:07:54Ride throughRide through
Race14:08:09Ride throughRide through
Race14:09:19Ride throughRide through
Race14:15:05Ride throughRide through
Race14:16:42Red flagHector BARBERA black flag
Race14:35:58Aleix EspargaroRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:40:56Eugene LavertyCrashCrashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
— °C
Air
max — °C
—
Humidity
0.6 mm
Rain
— km/h
Wind
gusts — km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 12.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Maverick Viñales01:25.866—19305.5
2Andrea Dovizioso01:25.945+0.07916311.0
3Andrea Iannone01:26.077+0.21122306.2
4Valentino Rossi01:26.232+0.36622302.2
5Yonny Hernandez01:26.306+0.44024303.3
6Marc Marquez01:26.337+0.47125305.5
7Jorge Lorenzo01:26.375+0.50921306.8
8Jack Miller01:26.438+0.57221304.3
9Danilo Petrucci01:26.493+0.62725301.4
10Michele Pirro01:26.620+0.75420308.3
11Cal Crutchlow01:26.734+0.86824303.8
12Scott Redding01:26.860+0.99421304.3
13Pol Espargaro01:26.880+1.01425305.6
14Bradley Smith01:26.995+1.12923304.3
15Aleix Espargaro01:27.067+1.20117300.3
16Loris Baz01:27.997+2.13123295.8
17Alvaro Bautista01:28.229+2.36321301.4
18Hector Barbera01:28.492+2.62622306.2
19Tito Rabat01:28.731+2.86525301.7
20Stefan Bradl01:28.761+2.89518301.3
21Eugene Laverty01:30.206+4.3407302.2
22Daniel Pedrosa01:31.293+5.4279298.0
FP2 · 12.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Dovizioso01:23.617—21311.7
2Andrea Iannone01:23.855+0.23822308.3
3Maverick Viñales01:24.471+0.85421306.9
4Valentino Rossi01:24.483+0.86624303.8
5Cal Crutchlow01:24.688+1.07122303.4
6Danilo Petrucci01:24.866+1.24924302.3
7Hector Barbera01:24.956+1.33920307.3
8Jorge Lorenzo01:24.988+1.37122306.0
9Michele Pirro01:24.988+1.37123307.8
10Marc Marquez01:25.039+1.42222304.9
11Yonny Hernandez01:25.042+1.42523303.4
12Scott Redding01:25.140+1.52322306.2
13Pol Espargaro01:25.221+1.60422306.7
14Jack Miller01:25.321+1.70420302.2
15Tito Rabat01:25.770+2.15329302.0
16Alvaro Bautista01:25.882+2.26524305.5
17Bradley Smith01:25.941+2.32427303.9
18Aleix Espargaro01:25.945+2.3284302.6
19Daniel Pedrosa01:26.130+2.51321309.1
20Stefan Bradl01:26.149+2.53222303.1
21Eugene Laverty01:26.469+2.85220304.2
22Loris Baz01:26.491+2.87422297.1
FP3 · 13.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Iannone01:23.327—23311.3
2Maverick Viñales01:23.755+0.42823308.6
3Jorge Lorenzo01:23.843+0.51623308.2
4Scott Redding01:23.962+0.63521307.2
5Valentino Rossi01:24.026+0.69922308.2
6Aleix Espargaro01:24.108+0.78121300.8
7Andrea Dovizioso01:24.170+0.84319312.3
8Hector Barbera01:24.170+0.84321310.8
9Marc Marquez01:24.265+0.9386307.6
10Daniel Pedrosa01:24.422+1.09521309.3
11Danilo Petrucci01:24.632+1.30523305.5
12Eugene Laverty01:24.692+1.36519308.7
13Michele Pirro01:24.722+1.39524311.2
14Cal Crutchlow01:24.768+1.44118304.4
15Yonny Hernandez01:24.815+1.48819304.1
16Alvaro Bautista01:24.821+1.49423307.1
17Bradley Smith01:25.003+1.67622305.2
18Pol Espargaro01:25.005+1.67821308.1
19Jack Miller01:25.016+1.68920302.9
20Tito Rabat01:25.278+1.95125304.4
21Stefan Bradl01:25.447+2.12023309.2
22Loris Baz01:25.552+2.22520303.9
FP4 · 13.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Dovizioso01:23.796—14309.1
2Andrea Iannone01:23.932+0.13616311.7
3Valentino Rossi01:24.170+0.37419310.6
4Marc Marquez01:24.475+0.67915303.4
5Aleix Espargaro01:24.490+0.69413303.5
6Maverick Viñales01:24.524+0.72818305.3
7Jorge Lorenzo01:24.528+0.73217308.9
8Scott Redding01:24.822+1.02617304.3
9Eugene Laverty01:24.951+1.15517302.7
10Daniel Pedrosa01:25.013+1.21717310.1
11Jack Miller01:25.045+1.24917306.0
12Bradley Smith01:25.166+1.37017305.5
13Tito Rabat01:25.214+1.41817302.9
14Danilo Petrucci01:25.281+1.48519301.8
15Hector Barbera01:25.322+1.52617307.6
16Stefan Bradl01:25.329+1.53315304.5
17Cal Crutchlow01:25.338+1.54216303.2
18Alvaro Bautista01:25.369+1.57317304.4
19Michele Pirro01:25.528+1.73213312.8
20Yonny Hernandez01:25.600+1.80411300.2
21Pol Espargaro01:25.845+2.04914303.8
22Loris Baz01:25.846+2.05014299.6
Q1 · 13.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Eugene Laverty01:23.961—8305.0
2Cal Crutchlow01:23.970+0.00910302.3
3Danilo Petrucci01:24.123+0.1629306.4
4Bradley Smith01:24.126+0.1659304.9
5Pol Espargaro01:24.265+0.3047306.0
6Yonny Hernandez01:24.472+0.5118304.4
7Michele Pirro01:24.593+0.6328312.2
8Tito Rabat01:24.665+0.7049301.9
9Alvaro Bautista01:24.673+0.7128306.9
10Jack Miller01:24.852+0.8917304.8
11Stefan Bradl01:24.895+0.9348307.1
12Loris Baz01:25.192+1.2319302.3
Q2 · 13.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Iannone01:23.142—8310.1
2Valentino Rossi01:23.289+0.1479308.6
3Andrea Dovizioso01:23.298+0.1569310.0
4Jorge Lorenzo01:23.361+0.2199307.9
5Marc Marquez01:23.475+0.3339307.6
6Maverick Viñales01:23.584+0.4428306.2
7Cal Crutchlow01:23.597+0.4559304.5
8Scott Redding01:23.777+0.6358303.2
9Aleix Espargaro01:23.813+0.6718304.2
10Hector Barbera01:23.822+0.6808309.4
11Eugene Laverty01:24.218+1.0769307.7
12Daniel Pedrosa01:24.263+1.1219308.0
Warm Up · 14.08
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Iannone01:23.953—12308.4
2Andrea Dovizioso01:23.999+0.04614310.8
3Jorge Lorenzo01:24.386+0.43314309.1
4Maverick Viñales01:24.421+0.46813309.9
5Valentino Rossi01:24.486+0.53314306.2
6Marc Marquez01:24.532+0.57913306.0
7Aleix Espargaro01:24.665+0.71211304.4
8Scott Redding01:24.708+0.75513304.8
9Danilo Petrucci01:24.725+0.77214304.3
10Bradley Smith01:24.850+0.89714303.2
11Pol Espargaro01:24.938+0.98512308.5
12Hector Barbera01:25.143+1.19014306.1
13Cal Crutchlow01:25.173+1.22012304.0
14Michele Pirro01:25.188+1.23513308.4
15Daniel Pedrosa01:25.343+1.39011306.5
16Alvaro Bautista01:25.456+1.50314304.9
17Eugene Laverty01:25.594+1.64112302.0
18Tito Rabat01:25.652+1.69914301.5
19Yonny Hernandez01:25.873+1.92011299.2
20Loris Baz01:26.206+2.2539296.6
21Stefan Bradl01:26.285+2.33214304.1
RetiredJack Miller—00.0
Race · 14.08
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Andrea Iannone39:46.2552528
2Andrea Dovizioso+0.9382028
3Jorge Lorenzo+3.3891628
4Valentino Rossi+3.8151328
5Marc Marquez+11.8131128
6Maverick Viñales+14.3411028
7Daniel Pedrosa+17.063928
8Scott Redding+29.437828
9Bradley Smith+29.785728
10Pol Espargaro+37.094628
11Danilo Petrucci+39.765528
12Michele Pirro+39.766428
13Loris Baz+44.284328
14Tito Rabat+45.004228
15Cal Crutchlow+63.246128
16Alvaro Bautista+72.448028
17Yonny Hernandez+74.517028
18Eugene Laverty+96.510028
19Stefan Bradl+0.000027
RetiredAleix Espargaro024
DisqualifiedHector Barbera012

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

SessionRiderQualifiedStartsΔReason
RaceJack Miller20——Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

RiderGridWinPodiumTop 5Top 10P(DNF)Final
Andrea Iannone125%50%62%71%28%1
Valentino Rossi223%57%74%88%9%4
Andrea Dovizioso315%45%65%84%13%2
Jorge Lorenzo413%41%64%87%8%3
Marc Marquez57%27%48%78%15%5
Maverick Viñales65%23%45%79%13%6
Cal Crutchlow73%15%30%61%30%15
Scott Redding83%14%31%69%16%8
Aleix Espargaro92%8%21%65%18%—
Hector Barbera101%7%17%61%14%—
Eugene Laverty111%4%13%55%13%18
Daniel Pedrosa121%3%10%51%9%7
Danilo Petrucci130%2%6%33%26%11
Bradley Smith140%2%5%35%12%9
Pol Espargaro150%1%3%24%22%10
Yonny Hernandez160%1%2%17%29%17
Michele Pirro170%1%2%14%21%12
Tito Rabat180%0%1%11%15%14
Alvaro Bautista190%0%1%7%20%16
Stefan Bradl200%0%1%5%22%19
Loris Baz210%0%0%4%24%13
Jack Miller220%0%0%3%35%—

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6
S1 · AcostaS2 · M. MarquezS3 · AldeguerS4 · Bezzecchi

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,347 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

62/100
Position index
11%
Pole wins
67%
Front row on the podium
0.77
Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 33% of the time (between 12% and 65%; 9 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

Pending · no data yet

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2026Pedro AcostaKTM
  • 2025Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2021Brad BinderKTM
  • 2020Andrea DoviziosoDucati
  • 2019Andrea DoviziosoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 14% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20261/225%
20252/2010%
20242/248%
20233/2313%
20225/2520%
20213/2015%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet