Round 8 of 18 Aftermath

Dutch TT 2015

4.542 m · 26 laps · since 1949

25.06 – 27.06.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	40:54.037	25
2	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+1.242	20
3	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+14.576	16
4	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	+19.109	13
5	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+24.268	11
6	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+24.373	10
7	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+24.442	9
8	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+24.656	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+26.725	7
10	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+27.238	6
11	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+29.038	5
12	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+29.418	4
13	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+46.663	3
14	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+49.305	2
15	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+52.396	1
16	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+56.005	0
17	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+59.857	0
18	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+74.513	0
19	Marco Melandri	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+0.000	0
DNF	Alex De Angelis	ART	Octo IodaRacing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	Retired	0
DNF	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	Out on lap 1	0
DNF	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Out on lap 1	0
DNF	Stefan Bradl	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Valentino Rossi · 31% ✓	Valentino Rossi · 31% · from P1	0.88 / 0.88	2.2 / 2.2

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

22/26

Laps led by the winner

Valentino Rossi

1.242 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P22 to P16.

Longest battle: Marc Marquez vs Valentino Rossi (25 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:02:13		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:02:27	Jack Miller	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:02:27	Hector Barbera	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:10:14	Stefan Bradl	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:26:12	Eugene Laverty	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:38:57	Alex De Angelis	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Valentino Rossi (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Jorge Lorenzo	8	3	+5
Bradley Smith	12	8	+4
Alex De Angelis	23	19	+4
Daniel Pedrosa	4	12	−8
Aleix Espargaro	2	6	−4
Stefan Bradl	13	15	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Jorge Lorenzo	8→3	+4.3
Bradley Smith	12→7	+2.9
Marc Marquez	3→2	+2.1
Andrea Dovizioso	10→12	−3.4
Mike Di Meglio	18→18	−4.2
Aleix Espargaro	2→9	−5.5

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

19.9 °C

Air

max 20.0 °C

65%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

23 km/h

Wind

gusts 49 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 25.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:34.357	—	20	302.4
2	Marc Marquez	01:34.552	+0.195	20	307.7
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.570	+0.213	19	309.1
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.772	+0.415	18	305.6
5	Pol Espargaro	01:34.927	+0.570	21	307.3
6	Bradley Smith	01:35.042	+0.685	21	309.7
7	Maverick Viñales	01:35.050	+0.693	19	302.6
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.175	+0.818	17	299.4
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:35.223	+0.866	13	315.1
10	Danilo Petrucci	01:35.271	+0.914	21	304.1
11	Jack Miller	01:35.348	+0.991	18	298.4
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.393	+1.036	19	305.1
13	Andrea Iannone	01:35.400	+1.043	20	311.5
14	Stefan Bradl	01:35.486	+1.129	20	303.1
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:35.924	+1.567	15	303.2
16	Nicky Hayden	01:35.965	+1.608	15	296.8
17	Scott Redding	01:36.158	+1.801	21	302.5
18	Eugene Laverty	01:36.223	+1.866	22	298.9
19	Hector Barbera	01:36.233	+1.876	16	306.9
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:36.250	+1.893	18	301.5
21	Loris Baz	01:36.423	+2.066	18	298.6
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:36.619	+2.262	18	303.1
23	Alex De Angelis	01:37.486	+3.129	18	293.0
24	Marco Melandri	01:37.933	+3.576	17	296.0

FP2 · 25.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.450	—	20	310.4
2	Marc Marquez	01:33.589	+0.139	19	309.8
3	Valentino Rossi	01:33.652	+0.202	21	305.6
4	Andrea Iannone	01:33.699	+0.249	19	315.3
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.734	+0.284	19	307.7
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.741	+0.291	17	307.5
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.844	+0.394	19	313.3
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.857	+0.407	18	297.5
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:34.133	+0.683	20	304.0
10	Maverick Viñales	01:34.232	+0.782	19	301.5
11	Pol Espargaro	01:34.321	+0.871	19	308.0
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.406	+0.956	20	305.6
13	Bradley Smith	01:34.627	+1.177	23	309.2
14	Scott Redding	01:34.643	+1.193	20	302.3
15	Stefan Bradl	01:34.664	+1.214	20	303.7
16	Loris Baz	01:34.897	+1.447	18	299.7
17	Eugene Laverty	01:35.047	+1.597	21	300.3
18	Nicky Hayden	01:35.149	+1.699	19	297.1
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.489	+2.039	18	300.9
20	Hector Barbera	01:35.538	+2.088	20	309.4
21	Jack Miller	01:35.646	+2.196	19	300.0
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.663	+2.213	17	304.8
23	Alex De Angelis	01:36.869	+3.419	21	291.1
24	Marco Melandri	01:37.225	+3.775	17	299.8

FP3 · 26.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:33.167	—	18	308.6
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.275	+0.108	18	310.0
3	Andrea Iannone	01:33.292	+0.125	16	319.8
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.356	+0.189	15	318.5
5	Bradley Smith	01:33.387	+0.220	18	313.1
6	Marc Marquez	01:33.477	+0.310	16	313.8
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.508	+0.341	16	315.3
8	Maverick Viñales	01:33.526	+0.359	17	305.6
9	Pol Espargaro	01:33.660	+0.493	16	314.5
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.744	+0.577	14	313.3
11	Danilo Petrucci	01:33.803	+0.636	18	311.0
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.954	+0.787	16	301.1
13	Stefan Bradl	01:34.195	+1.028	16	307.1
14	Scott Redding	01:34.223	+1.056	17	305.1
15	Hector Barbera	01:34.406	+1.239	17	314.7
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.440	+1.273	15	309.7
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.668	+1.501	16	304.9
18	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.013	+1.846	15	310.3
19	Eugene Laverty	01:35.026	+1.859	17	304.7
20	Nicky Hayden	01:35.177	+2.010	15	304.1
21	Jack Miller	01:35.420	+2.253	15	302.8
22	Loris Baz	01:36.030	+2.863	7	300.1
23	Alex De Angelis	01:36.298	+3.131	13	295.4
24	Marco Melandri	01:37.389	+4.222	14	304.8

FP4 · 26.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:33.387	—	15	310.7
2	Valentino Rossi	01:33.540	+0.153	17	309.8
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.592	+0.205	14	307.6
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.801	+0.414	16	312.7
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.988	+0.601	16	310.6
6	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.046	+0.659	12	301.6
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.081	+0.694	15	316.5
8	Bradley Smith	01:34.133	+0.746	14	312.5
9	Andrea Iannone	01:34.264	+0.877	13	314.9
10	Maverick Viñales	01:34.313	+0.926	14	304.2
11	Scott Redding	01:34.417	+1.030	15	307.1
12	Pol Espargaro	01:34.457	+1.070	15	311.3
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.613	+1.226	12	303.7
14	Danilo Petrucci	01:34.670	+1.283	13	309.0
15	Stefan Bradl	01:34.690	+1.303	15	307.6
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.307	+1.920	15	302.6
17	Eugene Laverty	01:35.390	+2.003	11	300.8
18	Nicky Hayden	01:35.457	+2.070	15	301.0
19	Mike Di Meglio	01:35.494	+2.107	11	305.1
20	Loris Baz	01:35.685	+2.298	10	302.7
21	Jack Miller	01:35.757	+2.370	13	302.6
22	Hector Barbera	01:35.807	+2.420	13	307.7
23	Alex De Angelis	01:36.597	+3.210	13	294.5
24	Marco Melandri	01:36.608	+3.221	15	302.2

Q1 · 26.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Aleix Espargaro	01:33.380	—	4	298.0
2	Danilo Petrucci	01:33.503	+0.123	7	307.7
3	Stefan Bradl	01:33.789	+0.409	7	305.3
4	Yonny Hernandez	01:33.875	+0.495	6	304.5
5	Loris Baz	01:33.999	+0.619	7	301.0
6	Scott Redding	01:34.071	+0.691	8	302.6
7	Hector Barbera	01:34.223	+0.843	7	312.7
8	Mike Di Meglio	01:34.289	+0.909	6	306.0
9	Eugene Laverty	01:34.428	+1.048	7	301.5
10	Jack Miller	01:34.645	+1.265	8	302.6
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.736	+1.356	7	303.3
12	Nicky Hayden	01:34.972	+1.592	8	300.7
13	Alex De Angelis	01:35.189	+1.809	8	293.3
14	Marco Melandri	01:36.376	+2.996	8	302.6

Q2 · 26.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:32.627	—	9	313.0
2	Aleix Espargaro	01:32.858	+0.231	8	300.5
3	Marc Marquez	01:32.886	+0.259	8	314.5
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:32.987	+0.360	9	314.2
5	Pol Espargaro	01:33.013	+0.386	8	311.2
6	Andrea Iannone	01:33.016	+0.389	8	315.8
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.028	+0.401	8	311.8
8	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.042	+0.415	8	308.3
9	Maverick Viñales	01:33.076	+0.449	7	304.4
10	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.112	+0.485	7	317.9
11	Danilo Petrucci	01:33.126	+0.499	7	308.9
12	Bradley Smith	01:33.236	+0.609	8	311.8

Warm Up · 27.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:33.747	—	13	309.2
2	Valentino Rossi	01:34.170	+0.423	12	305.3
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.222	+0.475	12	309.8
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.310	+0.563	13	305.6
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.416	+0.669	12	298.5
6	Pol Espargaro	01:34.423	+0.676	12	309.3
7	Bradley Smith	01:34.441	+0.694	11	309.8
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.477	+0.730	11	314.0
9	Andrea Iannone	01:34.480	+0.733	12	311.1
10	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.657	+0.910	7	307.2
11	Yonny Hernandez	01:34.675	+0.928	11	302.1
12	Maverick Viñales	01:34.873	+1.126	12	303.0
13	Danilo Petrucci	01:34.987	+1.240	12	305.5
14	Stefan Bradl	01:34.989	+1.242	12	300.5
15	Scott Redding	01:35.082	+1.335	12	304.9
16	Nicky Hayden	01:35.266	+1.519	12	295.8
17	Hector Barbera	01:35.272	+1.525	12	306.9
18	Loris Baz	01:35.291	+1.544	12	301.5
19	Eugene Laverty	01:36.108	+2.361	12	300.5
20	Mike Di Meglio	01:36.130	+2.383	12	302.0
21	Jack Miller	01:36.153	+2.406	12	296.1
22	Alex De Angelis	01:36.271	+2.524	11	291.7
23	Alvaro Bautista	01:36.286	+2.539	9	296.3
24	Marco Melandri	01:38.082	+4.335	11	298.1

Race · 27.06

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Valentino Rossi	40:54.037	25	26
2	Marc Marquez	+1.242	20	26
3	Jorge Lorenzo	+14.576	16	26
4	Andrea Iannone	+19.109	13	26
5	Pol Espargaro	+24.268	11	26
6	Cal Crutchlow	+24.373	10	26
7	Bradley Smith	+24.442	9	26
8	Daniel Pedrosa	+24.656	8	26
9	Aleix Espargaro	+26.725	7	26
10	Maverick Viñales	+27.238	6	26
11	Danilo Petrucci	+29.038	5	26
12	Andrea Dovizioso	+29.418	4	26
13	Scott Redding	+46.663	3	26
14	Yonny Hernandez	+49.305	2	26
15	Loris Baz	+52.396	1	26
16	Nicky Hayden	+56.005	0	26
17	Alvaro Bautista	+59.857	0	26
18	Mike Di Meglio	+74.513	0	26
19	Marco Melandri	+0.000	0	25
Retired	Alex De Angelis		0	23
Retired	Eugene Laverty		0	15
Out on lap 1	Hector Barbera		0	0
Out on lap 1	Jack Miller		0	0
Retired	Stefan Bradl		0	5

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Danilo Petrucci	71%	2 ✓
2	Aleix Espargaro	48%	1 ✓
3	Stefan Bradl	38%	3
4	Scott Redding	14%	6
5	Yonny Hernandez	14%	4
6	Hector Barbera	5%	7
7	Alvaro Bautista	10%	11
8	Loris Baz	0%	5
9	Mike Di Meglio	0%	8
10	Eugene Laverty	0%	9
11	Nicky Hayden	0%	12
12	Jack Miller	0%	10
13	Alex De Angelis	0%	13
14	Marco Melandri	0%	14

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Valentino Rossi	41%	76%	95%	1
2	Jorge Lorenzo	24%	52%	86%	8
3	Andrea Iannone	21%	57%	93%	6
4	Andrea Dovizioso	2%	31%	67%	10
5	Marc Marquez	2%	31%	69%	3
6	Bradley Smith	7%	19%	57%	12
7	Daniel Pedrosa	2%	17%	52%	4
8	Maverick Viñales	0%	12%	29%	9
9	Pol Espargaro	0%	2%	14%	5
10	Cal Crutchlow	0%	2%	17%	7
11	Danilo Petrucci	0%	0%	12%	11
12	Aleix Espargaro	0%	0%	11%	2

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Valentino Rossi	1	31%	63%	79%	89%	7%	1
Aleix Espargaro	2	18%	48%	64%	78%	19%	9
Marc Marquez	3	15%	45%	65%	81%	15%	2
Daniel Pedrosa	4	12%	38%	61%	85%	10%	8
Pol Espargaro	5	7%	26%	47%	71%	23%	5
Andrea Iannone	6	5%	20%	39%	69%	24%	4
Cal Crutchlow	7	3%	15%	29%	59%	29%	6
Jorge Lorenzo	8	3%	15%	34%	78%	6%	3
Maverick Viñales	9	2%	10%	24%	71%	9%	10
Andrea Dovizioso	10	2%	7%	19%	65%	9%	12
Danilo Petrucci	11	1%	4%	12%	47%	26%	11
Bradley Smith	12	1%	4%	10%	48%	13%	7
Stefan Bradl	13	0%	2%	6%	36%	23%	—
Yonny Hernandez	14	0%	2%	4%	28%	30%	14
Loris Baz	15	0%	1%	3%	27%	17%	15
Scott Redding	16	0%	1%	3%	21%	13%	13
Hector Barbera	17	0%	0%	1%	14%	16%	—
Mike Di Meglio	18	0%	0%	1%	11%	20%	18
Eugene Laverty	19	0%	0%	1%	8%	9%	—
Jack Miller	20	0%	0%	0%	4%	32%	—
Alvaro Bautista	21	0%	0%	1%	4%	21%	17
Nicky Hayden	22	0%	0%	0%	3%	15%	16
Alex De Angelis	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	13%	—
Marco Melandri	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	18%	19

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,547 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.29%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%	Maverick Viñales +0.39%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%	Maverick Viñales +0.44%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.16%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.45%
S4	Ai Ogura +0.13%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Marc Marquez +0.43%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Joan Mir	Marco Bezzecchi +0.23%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.34%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi	Ai Ogura +0.12%	Jorge Martin +0.42%
S3	Raul Fernandez +0.07%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.15%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.17%
S4	Ai Ogura	Marco Bezzecchi +0.21%	Raul Fernandez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.24%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.11%	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.16%	Fabio Quartararo +0.24%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Marc Marquez +0.33%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Maverick Viñales +0.42%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.07%	Maverick Viñales +0.23%	Pedro Acosta +0.29%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.10%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Maverick Viñales +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.07%	Luca Marini +0.44%	Fabio Quartararo +0.46%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.22%	Jorge Martin +0.79%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.21%	Miguel Oliveira +0.26%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.46%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.52%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.04%	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.16%	Aleix Espargaro +0.35%	Maverick Viñales +0.57%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Joan Mir +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.35%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.30%	Alex Rins +0.53%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.12%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.41%	Pol Espargaro +0.68%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.24%	Johann Zarco +0.28%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.02%	Fabio Quartararo +0.16%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.55%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.02%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%
S2	Maverick Viñales	Marc Marquez +0.57%	Andrea Iannone +0.81%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.54%	Alex Rins +0.54%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Fabio Quartararo +0.35%	Marc Marquez +0.43%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.15%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.27%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.33%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.51%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.61%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.09%	Alex Rins +0.10%	Johann Zarco +0.30%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%	Danilo Petrucci +0.73%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

86/100

Position index

38%

Pole wins

50%

Front row on the podium

0.84

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 67% of the time (between 30% and 90%; 6 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	138	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	137	−1
3	Andrea Iannone	94	−44
4	Andrea Dovizioso	83	−55
5	Marc Marquez	69	−69
6	Bradley Smith	68	−70

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

201

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

17/26

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

6.714 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Broc Parkes, from P19 to P11.

Longest battle: Aleix Espargaro vs Daniel Pedrosa (14 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Ai OguraAprilia
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2018Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 20% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	6/22	27%
2025	6/22	27%
2024	4/21	19%
2023	8/22	36%
2022	4/24	17%
2021	4/22	18%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet