Round 7 of 18 Aftermath

Catalan Grand Prix 2015

4.655 m · 25 laps · since 1991

12.06 – 14.06.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	42:53.208	25
2	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+0.885	20
3	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+19.455	16
4	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	+24.925	13
5	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+27.782	11
6	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+29.559	10
7	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+36.424	9
8	Stefan Bradl	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+42.103	8
9	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+49.350	7
10	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+52.569	6
11	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+53.666	5
12	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+55.765	4
13	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+55.832	3
14	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+69.037	2
15	Alex De Angelis	ART	Octo IodaRacing Team	+85.263	1
16	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+0.000	0
DNF	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	Retired	0
DNF	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Marco Melandri	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	Retired	0
DNF	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Aleix Espargaro · 28%	Jorge Lorenzo · 17% · from P3	0.77 / 0.77	3.9 / 3.9

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

25/25

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

0.885 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P20 to P10.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Jack Miller (12 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:01:37	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:02:18		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:05:39	Marc Marquez	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:06:34	Yonny Hernandez	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:06:51	Marc Marquez	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:08:10	Cal Crutchlow	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:08:19	Pol Espargaro	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:10:16	Andrea Dovizioso	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:11:56	Marco Melandri	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:12:36	Andrea Dovizioso	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:25:13	Nicky Hayden	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:36:23	Aleix Espargaro	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Alvaro Bautista	20	12	+8
Pol Espargaro	11	4	+7
Scott Redding	14	8	+6
Maverick Viñales	2	14	−12
Hector Barbera	13	22	−9
Aleix Espargaro	1	7	−6

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Andrea Iannone	12→4	+5.9
Alvaro Bautista	20→10	+5.0
Valentino Rossi	7→2	+4.7
Mike Di Meglio	17→14	−0.9
Maverick Viñales	2→6	−2.5
Hector Barbera	13→16	−5.5

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

24.9 °C

Air

max 24.9 °C

50%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

14 km/h

Wind

gusts 32 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 12.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:41.808	—	17	341.3
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.018	+0.210	21	340.0
3	Aleix Espargaro	01:42.183	+0.375	16	331.7
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.458	+0.650	17	338.6
5	Maverick Viñales	01:42.555	+0.747	18	332.4
6	Yonny Hernandez	01:42.594	+0.786	17	341.6
7	Nicky Hayden	01:42.623	+0.815	19	330.7
8	Valentino Rossi	01:42.938	+1.130	19	334.6
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:42.945	+1.137	18	341.8
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:42.957	+1.149	18	341.4
11	Andrea Iannone	01:42.981	+1.173	18	345.4
12	Scott Redding	01:43.002	+1.194	23	336.6
13	Karel Abraham	01:43.008	+1.200	18	328.2
14	Pol Espargaro	01:43.116	+1.308	18	337.3
15	Bradley Smith	01:43.378	+1.570	21	336.9
16	Stefan Bradl	01:43.536	+1.728	19	335.1
17	Hector Barbera	01:44.059	+2.251	14	337.5
18	Eugene Laverty	01:44.062	+2.254	21	330.0
19	Jack Miller	01:44.357	+2.549	19	333.2
20	Loris Baz	01:44.594	+2.786	16	325.7
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.603	+2.795	17	334.1
22	Alvaro Bautista	01:44.676	+2.868	19	330.5
23	Mike Di Meglio	01:44.768	+2.960	15	337.6
24	Alex De Angelis	01:44.865	+3.057	17	325.3
25	Marco Melandri	01:45.270	+3.462	17	332.4

FP2 · 12.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Aleix Espargaro	01:41.158	—	17	335.9
2	Marc Marquez	01:41.443	+0.285	18	344.0
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:41.789	+0.631	19	343.6
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.823	+0.665	16	341.0
5	Maverick Viñales	01:41.922	+0.764	18	335.6
6	Andrea Iannone	01:41.938	+0.780	19	343.2
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.034	+0.876	17	337.0
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:42.044	+0.886	17	340.8
9	Pol Espargaro	01:42.313	+1.155	20	338.9
10	Scott Redding	01:42.354	+1.196	16	339.8
11	Valentino Rossi	01:42.367	+1.209	20	337.1
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:42.417	+1.259	19	343.5
13	Bradley Smith	01:42.645	+1.487	21	338.9
14	Hector Barbera	01:42.697	+1.539	13	334.9
15	Loris Baz	01:42.968	+1.810	15	328.1
16	Danilo Petrucci	01:42.995	+1.837	19	336.7
17	Nicky Hayden	01:43.110	+1.952	19	329.9
18	Eugene Laverty	01:43.351	+2.193	19	334.7
19	Jack Miller	01:43.369	+2.211	16	332.7
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.463	+2.305	19	332.8
21	Karel Abraham	01:43.562	+2.404	16	330.5
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:43.760	+2.602	15	336.4
23	Stefan Bradl	01:43.851	+2.693	17	336.5
24	Alex De Angelis	01:44.614	+3.456	18	326.8
25	Marco Melandri	01:45.323	+4.165	16	331.0

FP3 · 13.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	01:41.105	—	17	336.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:41.158	+0.053	17	337.0
3	Aleix Espargaro	01:41.232	+0.127	19	336.1
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.384	+0.279	17	345.4
5	Pol Espargaro	01:41.473	+0.368	19	339.8
6	Valentino Rossi	01:41.479	+0.374	20	339.6
7	Marc Marquez	01:41.563	+0.458	19	345.2
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.644	+0.539	18	342.5
9	Yonny Hernandez	01:41.658	+0.553	18	345.1
10	Bradley Smith	01:41.667	+0.562	18	337.9
11	Daniel Pedrosa	01:41.699	+0.594	20	342.3
12	Andrea Iannone	01:41.864	+0.759	19	344.1
13	Scott Redding	01:41.994	+0.889	18	340.3
14	Hector Barbera	01:42.222	+1.117	18	341.0
15	Danilo Petrucci	01:42.381	+1.276	17	342.3
16	Stefan Bradl	01:42.458	+1.353	18	338.4
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:42.519	+1.414	19	334.2
18	Mike Di Meglio	01:42.623	+1.518	18	336.4
19	Nicky Hayden	01:42.723	+1.618	17	333.0
20	Jack Miller	01:42.805	+1.700	16	333.8
21	Loris Baz	01:42.817	+1.712	14	329.8
22	Karel Abraham	01:43.013	+1.908	17	334.3
23	Eugene Laverty	01:43.267	+2.162	13	330.6
24	Alex De Angelis	01:44.571	+3.466	18	326.6
25	Marco Melandri	01:45.206	+4.101	17	330.9

FP4 · 13.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Iannone	01:41.959	—	13	346.5
2	Marc Marquez	01:42.079	+0.120	15	347.1
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.210	+0.251	13	342.7
4	Valentino Rossi	01:42.459	+0.500	15	334.6
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:42.495	+0.536	14	342.9
6	Aleix Espargaro	01:42.528	+0.569	13	333.6
7	Scott Redding	01:42.559	+0.600	15	339.3
8	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.560	+0.601	12	336.7
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:42.673	+0.714	14	344.6
10	Maverick Viñales	01:42.687	+0.728	13	333.7
11	Stefan Bradl	01:42.760	+0.801	14	335.2
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:42.823	+0.864	13	342.4
13	Danilo Petrucci	01:42.902	+0.943	13	338.6
14	Pol Espargaro	01:42.916	+0.957	14	338.5
15	Loris Baz	01:43.091	+1.132	13	328.5
16	Bradley Smith	01:43.233	+1.274	15	339.1
17	Nicky Hayden	01:43.529	+1.570	9	330.3
18	Hector Barbera	01:43.650	+1.691	14	340.3
19	Eugene Laverty	01:43.750	+1.791	9	331.3
20	Karel Abraham	01:43.852	+1.893	2	329.0
21	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.948	+1.989	14	334.3
22	Jack Miller	01:44.159	+2.200	13	331.8
23	Mike Di Meglio	01:44.428	+2.469	13	335.4
24	Alex De Angelis	01:44.687	+2.728	11	326.4
25	Marco Melandri	01:45.195	+3.236	13	330.6

Q1 · 13.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:41.188	—	4	342.4
2	Andrea Iannone	01:41.688	+0.500	4	345.6
3	Hector Barbera	01:42.003	+0.815	6	341.5
4	Scott Redding	01:42.029	+0.841	7	339.3
5	Stefan Bradl	01:42.053	+0.865	7	332.6
6	Danilo Petrucci	01:42.155	+0.967	7	341.0
7	Mike Di Meglio	01:42.273	+1.085	6	336.3
8	Nicky Hayden	01:42.485	+1.297	8	331.7
9	Loris Baz	01:42.592	+1.404	7	327.7
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:42.600	+1.412	8	333.9
11	Jack Miller	01:42.928	+1.740	8	334.5
12	Eugene Laverty	01:42.971	+1.783	6	328.4
13	Alex De Angelis	01:43.601	+2.413	8	326.9
14	Marco Melandri	01:44.345	+3.157	8	331.7
Retired	Karel Abraham		—	0	0.0

Q2 · 13.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Aleix Espargaro	01:40.546	—	7	332.9
2	Maverick Viñales	01:40.629	+0.083	8	333.9
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:40.646	+0.100	8	336.9
4	Marc Marquez	01:40.754	+0.208	7	344.1
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.907	+0.361	7	342.8
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:40.928	+0.382	7	346.3
7	Valentino Rossi	01:41.058	+0.512	7	335.7
8	Bradley Smith	01:41.068	+0.522	7	339.9
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.195	+0.649	6	343.6
10	Yonny Hernandez	01:41.333	+0.787	7	341.8
11	Pol Espargaro	01:41.385	+0.839	6	338.7
12	Andrea Iannone	01:41.524	+0.978	7	345.7

Warm Up · 14.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:41.627	—	11	338.5
2	Maverick Viñales	01:41.784	+0.157	7	331.1
3	Marc Marquez	01:41.887	+0.260	11	343.1
4	Aleix Espargaro	01:42.038	+0.411	11	334.2
5	Andrea Iannone	01:42.125	+0.498	9	345.4
6	Valentino Rossi	01:42.185	+0.558	11	336.2
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:42.203	+0.576	10	341.8
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:42.208	+0.581	10	339.7
9	Pol Espargaro	01:42.224	+0.597	11	338.5
10	Yonny Hernandez	01:42.304	+0.677	12	342.8
11	Bradley Smith	01:42.313	+0.686	12	339.5
12	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.328	+0.701	10	340.8
13	Hector Barbera	01:42.749	+1.122	12	339.7
14	Stefan Bradl	01:42.839	+1.212	12	337.2
15	Nicky Hayden	01:42.931	+1.304	12	329.8
16	Scott Redding	01:43.023	+1.396	10	335.7
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.222	+1.595	11	331.3
18	Mike Di Meglio	01:43.462	+1.835	12	334.3
19	Danilo Petrucci	01:43.594	+1.967	9	337.0
20	Loris Baz	01:43.738	+2.111	11	329.0
21	Jack Miller	01:44.078	+2.451	10	330.8
22	Eugene Laverty	01:44.310	+2.683	12	331.3
23	Alex De Angelis	01:44.513	+2.886	9	320.6
24	Marco Melandri	01:45.512	+3.885	9	327.3
Retired	Karel Abraham		—	0	0.0

Race · 14.06

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	42:53.208	25	25
2	Valentino Rossi	+0.885	20	25
3	Daniel Pedrosa	+19.455	16	25
4	Andrea Iannone	+24.925	13	25
5	Bradley Smith	+27.782	11	25
6	Maverick Viñales	+29.559	10	25
7	Scott Redding	+36.424	9	25
8	Stefan Bradl	+42.103	8	25
9	Danilo Petrucci	+49.350	7	25
10	Alvaro Bautista	+52.569	6	25
11	Jack Miller	+53.666	5	25
12	Eugene Laverty	+55.765	4	25
13	Loris Baz	+55.832	3	25
14	Mike Di Meglio	+69.037	2	25
15	Alex De Angelis	+85.263	1	25
16	Hector Barbera	+0.000	0	24
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		0	20
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		0	6
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	3
Retired	Marc Marquez		0	3
Retired	Marco Melandri		0	6
Retired	Nicky Hayden		0	13
Retired	Pol Espargaro		0	4
Retired	Yonny Hernandez		0	2

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Daniel Pedrosa	71%	1 ✓
2	Andrea Iannone	46%	2 ✓
3	Scott Redding	39%	4
4	Hector Barbera	15%	3
5	Danilo Petrucci	15%	6
6	Stefan Bradl	5%	5
7	Alvaro Bautista	10%	10
8	Mike Di Meglio	0%	7
9	Nicky Hayden	0%	8
10	Jack Miller	0%	11
11	Loris Baz	0%	9
12	Eugene Laverty	0%	12
13	Alex De Angelis	0%	13
14	Marco Melandri	0%	14

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Maverick Viñales	42%	76%	95%	2
2	Aleix Espargaro	22%	51%	85%	1
3	Jorge Lorenzo	22%	56%	93%	3
4	Andrea Dovizioso	2%	32%	66%	5
5	Marc Marquez	2%	32%	68%	4
6	Pol Espargaro	7%	20%	59%	11
7	Valentino Rossi	2%	17%	54%	7
8	Cal Crutchlow	0%	12%	29%	9
9	Yonny Hernandez	0%	2%	15%	10
10	Bradley Smith	0%	2%	17%	8
11	Daniel Pedrosa	0%	0%	10%	6
12	Andrea Iannone	0%	0%	12%	12

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Karel Abraham	25	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Aleix Espargaro	1	28%	56%	69%	80%	19%	—
Maverick Viñales	2	23%	56%	74%	88%	9%	6
Jorge Lorenzo	3	17%	49%	69%	90%	6%	1
Marc Marquez	4	11%	37%	59%	84%	13%	—
Andrea Dovizioso	5	7%	29%	54%	86%	8%	—
Daniel Pedrosa	6	5%	23%	45%	82%	10%	3
Valentino Rossi	7	4%	18%	39%	81%	7%	2
Bradley Smith	8	2%	12%	30%	73%	13%	5
Cal Crutchlow	9	1%	6%	15%	53%	29%	—
Yonny Hernandez	10	1%	4%	12%	49%	29%	—
Pol Espargaro	11	1%	4%	10%	48%	20%	—
Andrea Iannone	12	1%	3%	7%	40%	25%	4
Hector Barbera	13	0%	2%	6%	38%	16%	16
Scott Redding	14	0%	1%	4%	31%	14%	7
Stefan Bradl	15	0%	1%	3%	23%	24%	8
Danilo Petrucci	16	0%	1%	2%	16%	26%	9
Mike Di Meglio	17	0%	0%	1%	12%	20%	14
Nicky Hayden	18	0%	0%	1%	10%	14%	—
Loris Baz	19	0%	0%	0%	6%	18%	13
Alvaro Bautista	20	0%	0%	0%	4%	21%	10
Jack Miller	21	0%	0%	0%	3%	34%	11
Eugene Laverty	22	0%	0%	0%	2%	9%	12
Alex De Angelis	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	13%	15
Marco Melandri	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	15%	—
Karel Abraham	25	0%	0%	0%	0%	34%	—

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,669 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Marc Marquez +0.51%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.58%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.30%	Pedro Acosta +0.44%	Aleix Espargaro +0.46%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.16%	Marc Marquez +0.36%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.46%	Fabio Quartararo +0.47%	Raul Fernandez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Francesco Bagnaia +0.53%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.78%
S2	Alex Marquez	Joan Mir +0.17%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.02%	Brad Binder +0.16%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.43%
S4	Joan Mir +0.04%	Alex Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Johann Zarco +0.31%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Pedro Acosta +0.51%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Johann Zarco +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.03%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.37%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.12%	Brad Binder +0.17%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Pedro Acosta +0.09%	Jorge Martin +0.13%
S4	Raul Fernandez	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.14%	Brad Binder +0.27%
S2	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S3	Miguel Oliveira +0.23%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.19%	Enea Bastianini +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.44%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S3	Alex Rins +0.21%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.36%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%	Jorge Martin +0.57%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Johann Zarco	Miguel Oliveira +0.14%	Fabio Quartararo +0.40%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.38%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.12%	Franco Morbidelli +0.28%	Johann Zarco +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jack Miller +0.41%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.34%
S3	Valentino Rossi +0.22%	Pol Espargaro +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Valentino Rossi +0.16%	Brad Binder +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Joan Mir +0.33%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.18%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.35%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.26%	Valentino Rossi +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.19%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo +0.15%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Andrea Iannone	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.12%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Johann Zarco +0.19%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

52/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

44%

Front row on the podium

0.71

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 86% of the time (between 49% and 97%; 7 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	118	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	112	−6
3	Andrea Dovizioso	83	−35
4	Andrea Iannone	81	−37
5	Marc Marquez	69	−49
6	Bradley Smith	57	−61

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

6/25

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

0.512 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P16 to P11.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Pol Espargaro (22 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Aleix EspargaroAprilia
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Miguel OliveiraKTM
2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 25% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/22	23%
2025	7/24	29%
2024	3/23	13%
2023	3/20	15%
2022	8/25	32%
2021	6/21	29%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet