Round 4 of 18 Aftermath

French Grand Prix 2011

4.185 m · 27 laps · since 1969

13.05 – 15.05.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	44:03.955	25
2	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+14.214	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+14.564	16
4	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+21.075	13
5	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+31.245	11
6	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+31.609	10
7	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+35.566	9
8	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+51.502	8
9	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	+63.731	7
10	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+63.885	6
11	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+64.068	5
12	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+64.192	4
13	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+0.000	3
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

27/28

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

14.214 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P9 to P3.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Jorge Lorenzo (14 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Daniel Pedrosa (started P4).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Daniel Pedrosa	4	1	+3
Valentino Rossi	9	6	+3
Loris Capirossi	15	12	+3
Alvaro Bautista	12	17	−5
Cal Crutchlow	6	9	−3
Andrea Dovizioso	3	4	−1

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	9→3	+5.0
Hiroshi Aoyama	13→8	+2.5
Karel Abraham	16→10	+2.5
Marco Simoncelli	2→5	−1.5
Alvaro Bautista	12→12	−2.1
Colin Edwards	7→13	−6.3

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

16.2 °C

Air

max 16.6 °C

45%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

19 km/h

Wind

gusts 39 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 13.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:34.133	—	20	285.8
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.431	+0.298	22	271.2
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.808	+0.675	22	279.9
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:35.029	+0.896	21	276.4
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:35.165	+1.032	24	276.9
6	Valentino Rossi	01:35.414	+1.281	22	282.8
7	Randy De Puniet	01:35.687	+1.554	23	277.4
8	Nicky Hayden	01:35.721	+1.588	20	278.2
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.731	+1.598	22	283.5
10	Ben Spies	01:35.743	+1.610	23	286.1
11	Colin Edwards	01:35.871	+1.738	20	271.4
12	Loris Capirossi	01:36.410	+2.277	19	269.9
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:36.448	+2.315	21	280.5
14	Alvaro Bautista	01:36.510	+2.377	21	279.4
15	Toni Elias	01:36.997	+2.864	21	270.7
16	Hector Barbera	01:37.036	+2.903	18	262.3
17	Karel Abraham	01:37.154	+3.021	19	279.6

FP2 · 13.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:33.782	—	20	288.5
2	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.186	+0.404	21	282.9
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.478	+0.696	23	272.8
4	Nicky Hayden	01:34.652	+0.870	21	282.6
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.659	+0.877	21	277.5
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.705	+0.923	21	282.1
7	Colin Edwards	01:34.939	+1.157	21	277.8
8	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:34.959	+1.177	21	286.6
9	Valentino Rossi	01:34.966	+1.184	21	285.5
10	Ben Spies	01:34.976	+1.194	25	288.9
11	Randy De Puniet	01:34.998	+1.216	21	283.8
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.158	+1.376	20	287.8
13	Loris Capirossi	01:35.383	+1.601	23	279.4
14	Hector Barbera	01:35.902	+2.120	19	276.4
15	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.992	+2.210	21	275.6
16	Toni Elias	01:36.304	+2.522	21	275.0
17	Karel Abraham	01:36.327	+2.545	20	278.7

FP3 · 14.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:33.815	—	18	287.8
2	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.075	+0.260	20	277.3
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.244	+0.429	22	285.6
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.545	+0.730	20	273.8
5	Nicky Hayden	01:34.954	+1.139	21	277.8
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:35.051	+1.236	22	279.3
7	Valentino Rossi	01:35.280	+1.465	22	286.1
8	Colin Edwards	01:35.281	+1.466	19	274.5
9	Ben Spies	01:35.302	+1.487	25	284.0
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.442	+1.627	21	288.8
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.645	+1.830	22	286.9
12	Karel Abraham	01:35.799	+1.984	23	285.0
13	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.979	+2.164	22	276.1
14	Randy De Puniet	01:36.091	+2.276	17	278.3
15	Hector Barbera	01:36.268	+2.453	22	275.8
16	Loris Capirossi	01:36.370	+2.555	21	273.1
17	Toni Elias	01:36.467	+2.652	21	277.7

Qualifying · 14.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:33.153	—	27	293.2
2	Marco Simoncelli	01:33.212	+0.059	29	285.1
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.621	+0.468	30	286.7
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.683	+0.530	28	278.6
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.706	+0.553	30	281.2
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:33.804	+0.651	28	289.9
7	Colin Edwards	01:34.063	+0.910	30	284.1
8	Ben Spies	01:34.206	+1.053	30	289.6
9	Valentino Rossi	01:34.206	+1.053	31	286.9
10	Nicky Hayden	01:34.277	+1.124	29	285.0
11	Randy De Puniet	01:34.351	+1.198	26	288.4
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.513	+1.360	29	285.0
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:34.612	+1.459	30	288.8
14	Hector Barbera	01:34.650	+1.497	28	282.4
15	Loris Capirossi	01:34.866	+1.713	27	282.7
16	Karel Abraham	01:35.010	+1.857	27	292.4
17	Toni Elias	01:35.433	+2.280	26	284.7

Warm Up · 15.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:34.221	—	11	287.3
2	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.749	+0.528	12	279.4
3	Nicky Hayden	01:34.863	+0.642	12	283.2
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.996	+0.775	12	275.8
5	Valentino Rossi	01:35.007	+0.786	12	287.4
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:35.070	+0.849	12	281.1
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.136	+0.915	12	292.7
8	Colin Edwards	01:35.448	+1.227	12	280.0
9	Ben Spies	01:35.478	+1.257	12	290.9
10	Randy De Puniet	01:35.489	+1.268	12	284.7
11	Jorge Lorenzo	01:35.655	+1.434	4	274.1
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:36.352	+2.131	11	285.2
13	Karel Abraham	01:36.799	+2.578	11	288.5
14	Alvaro Bautista	01:36.982	+2.761	12	276.8
15	Loris Capirossi	01:37.246	+3.025	10	278.5
16	Hector Barbera	01:37.900	+3.679	10	276.7
17	Toni Elias	01:37.923	+3.702	11	274.7

Race · 15.05

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Casey Stoner	44:03.955	25	28
2	Andrea Dovizioso	+14.214	20	28
3	Valentino Rossi	+14.564	16	28
4	Jorge Lorenzo	+21.075	13	28
5	Marco Simoncelli	+31.245	11	28
6	Ben Spies	+31.609	10	28
7	Nicky Hayden	+35.566	9	28
8	Hiroshi Aoyama	+51.502	8	28
9	Hector Barbera	+63.731	7	28
10	Karel Abraham	+63.885	6	28
11	Toni Elias	+64.068	5	28
12	Alvaro Bautista	+64.192	4	28
13	Colin Edwards	+0.000	3	26
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	6
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		0	17
Retired	Loris Capirossi		0	21
Retired	Randy De Puniet		0	1

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,197 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro +0.44%	Maverick Viñales +0.46%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.52%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.26%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Pedro Acosta +0.43%	Pol Espargaro +0.45%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%	Augusto Fernandez +0.46%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura	Jorge Martin +0.35%	Marc Marquez +0.40%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.06%	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Raul Fernandez +0.22%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.30%	Enea Bastianini +0.33%	Ai Ogura +0.33%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fermin Aldeguer +0.09%	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.20%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Johann Zarco +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.48%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.02%	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Maverick Viñales +0.37%	Pedro Acosta +0.46%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.08%	Aleix Espargaro +0.23%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Jack Miller +0.38%	Pedro Acosta +0.38%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.27%	Aleix Espargaro +0.43%
S2	Johann Zarco	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Jack Miller +0.35%	Maverick Viñales +0.36%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Alex Rins +0.30%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Johann Zarco +0.22%	Aleix Espargaro +0.29%
S3	Jack Miller +0.07%	Aleix Espargaro +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Joan Mir +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.68%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Jack Miller +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.28%	Jack Miller +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Franco Morbidelli +0.53%	Maverick Viñales +0.56%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Cal Crutchlow	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Maverick Viñales +0.43%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.04%	Johann Zarco +0.11%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.17%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Jack Miller +0.11%	Pol Espargaro +0.28%
S4	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Joan Mir +0.24%	Cal Crutchlow +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller +0.10%	Pol Espargaro +0.18%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.25%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.00%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Danilo Petrucci +0.10%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Jack Miller +0.27%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.13%	Fabio Quartararo +0.21%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.48%	Andrea Iannone +0.55%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.12%	Andrea Iannone +0.38%	Marc Marquez +0.49%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Maverick Viñales +0.49%	Andrea Iannone +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Valentino Rossi +0.11%	Andrea Iannone +0.16%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

33/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.69

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 50% of the time (between 22% and 79%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	65	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	61	−4
3	Casey Stoner	41	−24
4	Valentino Rossi	31	−34
5	Andrea Dovizioso	30	−35
6	Nicky Hayden	30	−35

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

17/28

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

5.672 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hector Barbera, from P15 to P8.

Longest battle: Colin Edwards vs Marco Simoncelli (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Jorge MartinAprilia
2025Johann ZarcoHonda
2024Jorge MartinDucati
2023Marco BezzecchiDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Jack MillerDucati
2020Danilo PetrucciDucati
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 27% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/21	24%
2025	6/22	27%
2024	6/22	27%
2023	8/21	38%
2022	7/24	29%
2021	6/22	27%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet