Round 3 of 18 Aftermath

Portuguese Grand Prix 2011

4.182 m · since 1972

29.04 – 01.05.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	45:51.483	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+3.051	20
3	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+7.658	16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+16.530	13
5	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+16.555	11
6	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+32.575	10
7	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+38.749	9
8	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+40.912	8
9	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+54.887	7
10	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+59.697	6
11	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+60.374	5
12	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+61.793	4
13	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+84.370	3
DNF	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	Out on lap 1	0
DNF	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	Retired	0
DNF	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	Out on lap 1	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

4/28

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

3.051 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Randy De Puniet, from P16 to P10.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Valentino Rossi (28 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Loris Capirossi	14	7	+7
Valentino Rossi	9	4	+5
Nicky Hayden	13	9	+4
Cal Crutchlow	8	10	−2
Ben Spies	5	6	−1
Karel Abraham	12	13	−1

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Daniel Pedrosa	3→1	+3.1
Valentino Rossi	9→5	+3.0
Randy De Puniet	16→10	+2.5
Cal Crutchlow	8→8	−0.7
Loris Capirossi	14→12	−0.8
Alvaro Bautista	15→13	−1.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

14.6 °C

Air

max 14.6 °C

91%

Humidity

2.8 mm

Rain

18 km/h

Wind

gusts 36 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 29.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marco Simoncelli	01:38.032	—	20	302.1
2	Casey Stoner	01:38.241	+0.209	17	299.2
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:38.259	+0.227	19	300.6
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:38.413	+0.381	24	292.1
5	Valentino Rossi	01:38.569	+0.537	21	307.7
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:38.781	+0.749	19	294.8
7	Colin Edwards	01:38.862	+0.830	22	298.9
8	Ben Spies	01:38.895	+0.863	22	304.1
9	Hector Barbera	01:39.042	+1.010	23	293.5
10	Randy De Puniet	01:39.779	+1.747	20	289.5
11	Loris Capirossi	01:39.848	+1.816	20	296.7
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:39.856	+1.824	19	299.3
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:40.129	+2.097	19	293.8
14	Nicky Hayden	01:40.199	+2.167	17	304.0
15	Toni Elias	01:40.407	+2.375	20	306.3
16	Karel Abraham	01:40.469	+2.437	18	296.1
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:41.034	+3.002	20	290.2

FP2 · 29.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marco Simoncelli	01:37.663	—	17	308.0
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:37.724	+0.061	21	297.4
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:37.727	+0.064	19	301.4
4	Valentino Rossi	01:38.102	+0.439	21	299.3
5	Casey Stoner	01:38.102	+0.439	15	300.2
6	Colin Edwards	01:38.203	+0.540	22	297.2
7	Karel Abraham	01:38.473	+0.810	20	282.2
8	Ben Spies	01:38.563	+0.900	21	301.1
9	Nicky Hayden	01:38.596	+0.933	20	307.4
10	Hector Barbera	01:38.611	+0.948	21	297.1
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:38.645	+0.982	21	291.3
12	Andrea Dovizioso	01:38.658	+0.995	22	295.8
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:38.760	+1.097	19	295.9
14	Toni Elias	01:38.912	+1.249	21	302.9
15	Loris Capirossi	01:39.021	+1.358	20	297.4
16	Randy De Puniet	01:39.137	+1.474	20	294.0
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.173	+2.510	21	289.2

FP3 · 30.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Loris Capirossi	01:44.515	—	17	283.8
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:45.079	+0.564	17	278.8
3	Nicky Hayden	01:45.955	+1.440	10	276.0
4	Valentino Rossi	01:46.481	+1.966	13	286.1
5	Casey Stoner	01:47.676	+3.161	7	276.2
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:47.849	+3.334	14	276.3
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:48.102	+3.587	11	265.9
8	Toni Elias	01:48.140	+3.625	8	280.5
9	Marco Simoncelli	01:49.117	+4.602	12	267.6
10	Randy De Puniet	01:50.896	+6.381	6	262.7
11	Karel Abraham	01:51.497	+6.982	5	245.8
12	Colin Edwards	01:51.611	+7.096	8	256.3
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		—	0	0.0
—	Ben Spies	01:52.111	+7.596	14	281.3
—	Cal Crutchlow	01:53.872	+9.357	3	274.7
—	Hector Barbera	01:52.704	+8.189	7	267.7
—	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:53.670	+9.155	6	236.4

Qualifying · 30.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:37.161	—	29	298.3
2	Marco Simoncelli	01:37.294	+0.133	22	305.3
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:37.324	+0.163	28	302.1
4	Casey Stoner	01:37.384	+0.223	25	300.3
5	Ben Spies	01:37.866	+0.705	29	307.3
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:38.073	+0.912	29	298.8
7	Colin Edwards	01:38.080	+0.919	27	299.8
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:38.189	+1.028	25	298.8
9	Valentino Rossi	01:38.271	+1.110	29	301.4
10	Hector Barbera	01:38.363	+1.202	27	292.4
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:38.497	+1.336	29	296.5
12	Karel Abraham	01:38.786	+1.625	27	285.5
13	Nicky Hayden	01:38.922	+1.761	28	306.0
14	Loris Capirossi	01:38.934	+1.773	25	305.3
15	Alvaro Bautista	01:39.172	+2.011	27	293.9
16	Randy De Puniet	01:39.378	+2.217	24	295.9
17	Toni Elias	01:39.894	+2.733	28	307.9

Warm Up · 01.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Colin Edwards	01:46.727	—	9	265.6
2	Casey Stoner	01:47.447	+0.720	11	280.2
3	Valentino Rossi	01:47.714	+0.987	9	281.8
4	Nicky Hayden	01:47.945	+1.218	10	286.4
5	Marco Simoncelli	01:48.209	+1.482	11	273.7
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:48.877	+2.150	11	276.1
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:48.934	+2.207	11	272.6
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:48.942	+2.215	9	273.1
9	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:49.239	+2.512	11	273.5
10	Ben Spies	01:49.306	+2.579	10	286.8
11	Loris Capirossi	01:49.339	+2.612	9	261.9
12	Andrea Dovizioso	01:49.567	+2.840	10	275.0
13	Toni Elias	01:50.807	+4.080	10	276.9
14	Karel Abraham	01:51.093	+4.366	10	250.5
15	Hector Barbera	01:51.600	+4.873	7	269.6
16	Randy De Puniet	01:51.685	+4.958	9	261.1
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:51.928	+5.201	10	261.2

Race · 01.05

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	45:51.483	25	28
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+3.051	20	28
3	Casey Stoner	+7.658	16	28
4	Andrea Dovizioso	+16.530	13	28
5	Valentino Rossi	+16.555	11	28
6	Colin Edwards	+32.575	10	28
7	Hiroshi Aoyama	+38.749	9	28
8	Cal Crutchlow	+40.912	8	28
9	Nicky Hayden	+54.887	7	28
10	Randy De Puniet	+59.697	6	28
11	Toni Elias	+60.374	5	28
12	Loris Capirossi	+61.793	4	28
13	Alvaro Bautista	+84.370	3	28
Retired	Ben Spies		0	12
Out on lap 1	Hector Barbera		0	0
Retired	Karel Abraham		0	1
Out on lap 1	Marco Simoncelli		0	0

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line · 4,191 m per lap

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.25%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Jack Miller +0.32%	Jorge Martin +0.33%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.09%	Cal Crutchlow +0.50%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.57%
S4	Cal Crutchlow +0.13%	Pedro Acosta +0.33%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.37%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.15%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.44%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.52%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi	Alex Marquez +0.49%	Pedro Acosta +0.63%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.12%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.35%	Alex Marquez +0.37%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.16%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.37%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.29%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.29%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Jack Miller +0.32%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.07%	Marc Marquez +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.26%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.04%	Pedro Acosta +0.12%	Jorge Martin +0.27%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.29%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.23%	Jorge Martin +0.23%	Jack Miller +0.34%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.13%	Joan Mir +0.33%	Jack Miller +0.34%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.18%	Fabio Quartararo +0.21%	Johann Zarco +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller	Maverick Viñales +0.27%	Alex Marquez +0.36%
S2	Jack Miller	Fabio Quartararo +0.12%	Aleix Espargaro +0.16%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Brad Binder +0.48%	Alex Rins +0.58%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.55%	Johann Zarco +0.60%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Francesco Bagnaia +0.02%	Jack Miller +0.33%
S2	Jack Miller +0.28%	Joan Mir +0.29%	Franco Morbidelli +0.34%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Francesco Bagnaia +0.02%	Marc Marquez +0.76%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Franco Morbidelli +0.37%	Alex Marquez +0.55%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Miguel Oliveira +0.08%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.29%
S2	Miguel Oliveira +0.17%	Franco Morbidelli +0.23%	Jack Miller +0.32%
S3	Miguel Oliveira +0.01%	Johann Zarco +0.43%	Stefan Bradl +0.46%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.02%	Cal Crutchlow +0.13%	Stefan Bradl +0.28%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

An open track: the grid decides less here and there are more comebacks.

14/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

61%

Front row on the podium

0.68

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 100% of the time (between 21% and 100%; 1 cases).

Descriptive, over 6 races (2020–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	45	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	36	−9
3	Casey Stoner	25	−20
4	Nicky Hayden	23	−22
5	Valentino Rossi	20	−25
6	Hiroshi Aoyama	19	−26

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

14/28

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

8.629 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Marco Simoncelli, from P9 to P4.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Randy De Puniet (12 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Marco BezzecchiAprilia
2024Jorge MartinDucati
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2020Miguel OliveiraKTM
2012Casey StonerHonda
2011Daniel PedrosaHonda

Attrition here

Average here 23% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	3/21	14%
2024	4/22	18%
2023	6/20	30%
2022	7/24	29%
2021	5/21	24%
2020	4/22	18%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet