Round 5 of 18 Aftermath

Catalan Grand Prix 2011

4.655 m · 25 laps · since 1991

03.06 – 05.06.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	43:19.779	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+2.403	20
3	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+4.291	16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+5.255	13
5	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+7.371	11
6	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+11.831	10
7	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+26.483	9
8	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+33.243	8
9	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+43.092	7
10	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+43.113	6
11	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	+44.224	5
12	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+45.239	4
13	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+58.268	3
DNF	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

24/25

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

2.403 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Colin Edwards, from P16 to P11.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Valentino Rossi (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Loris Capirossi	13	8	+5
Colin Edwards	16	12	+4
Toni Elias	14	11	+3
Marco Simoncelli	1	7	−6
Hiroshi Aoyama	11	15	−4
Cal Crutchlow	6	9	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Casey Stoner	2→1	+2.5
Jorge Lorenzo	3→2	+2.1
Karel Abraham	15→10	+1.8
Hector Barbera	10→11	−2.4
Marco Simoncelli	1→6	−3.2
Alvaro Bautista	9→12	−4.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

20.0 °C

Air

max 20.2 °C

78%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

12 km/h

Wind

gusts 27 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:43.918	—	12	326.7
2	Marco Simoncelli	01:44.404	+0.486	11	322.3
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.643	+0.725	12	323.7
4	Ben Spies	01:44.646	+0.728	12	323.5
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:44.730	+0.812	12	325.3
6	Colin Edwards	01:44.768	+0.850	16	321.5
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:44.797	+0.879	14	320.8
8	Nicky Hayden	01:44.799	+0.881	15	322.5
9	Valentino Rossi	01:44.844	+0.926	15	323.7
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:45.332	+1.414	16	327.6
11	Randy De Puniet	01:45.821	+1.903	13	319.5
12	Loris Capirossi	01:46.136	+2.218	14	322.0
13	Toni Elias	01:46.714	+2.796	15	322.4
14	Alvaro Bautista	01:46.860	+2.942	12	316.4
15	Karel Abraham	01:47.587	+3.669	13	311.2
16	Hector Barbera	01:47.832	+3.914	12	322.3

FP2 · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:42.940	—	11	327.3
2	Marco Simoncelli	01:43.468	+0.528	15	321.0
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:43.603	+0.663	15	327.1
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:43.810	+0.870	9	325.1
5	Ben Spies	01:44.859	+1.919	14	322.9
6	Valentino Rossi	01:44.944	+2.004	15	322.7
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:45.136	+2.196	12	321.2
8	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:45.666	+2.726	20	326.8
9	Nicky Hayden	01:45.715	+2.775	17	323.9
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:45.751	+2.811	20	322.4
11	Toni Elias	01:45.760	+2.820	16	322.5
12	Randy De Puniet	01:46.126	+3.186	9	321.4
13	Karel Abraham	01:46.280	+3.340	19	313.5
14	Loris Capirossi	01:46.366	+3.426	14	321.0
15	Hector Barbera	01:46.501	+3.561	16	324.8
—	Colin Edwards	01:51.512	+8.572	10	302.5

FP3 · 04.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:42.691	—	17	328.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.813	+0.122	20	326.8
3	Marco Simoncelli	01:43.130	+0.439	18	323.9
4	Ben Spies	01:43.478	+0.787	23	325.6
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:43.628	+0.937	21	328.2
6	Nicky Hayden	01:43.669	+0.978	19	323.7
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:43.883	+1.192	19	323.5
8	Valentino Rossi	01:44.364	+1.673	19	322.5
9	Loris Capirossi	01:44.457	+1.766	18	322.9
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:44.504	+1.813	19	325.3
11	Karel Abraham	01:44.510	+1.819	19	319.9
12	Randy De Puniet	01:44.541	+1.850	17	321.1
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:44.642	+1.951	22	327.6
14	Hector Barbera	01:44.762	+2.071	18	326.3
15	Toni Elias	01:44.963	+2.272	20	323.3
Retired	Colin Edwards		—	0	0.0

Qualifying · 04.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marco Simoncelli	01:42.413	—	26	321.3
2	Casey Stoner	01:42.429	+0.016	24	327.4
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.728	+0.315	25	323.7
4	Ben Spies	01:42.742	+0.329	27	321.7
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:42.749	+0.336	28	327.5
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:43.202	+0.789	22	322.5
7	Valentino Rossi	01:43.223	+0.810	26	324.7
8	Nicky Hayden	01:43.228	+0.815	26	324.3
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.447	+1.034	29	322.4
10	Hector Barbera	01:43.656	+1.243	26	327.6
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:43.734	+1.321	26	326.0
12	Randy De Puniet	01:43.764	+1.351	26	323.5
13	Loris Capirossi	01:44.068	+1.655	23	322.0
14	Toni Elias	01:44.510	+2.097	24	325.5
15	Karel Abraham	01:45.661	+3.248	18	322.6
Retired	Colin Edwards		—	0	0.0

Warm Up · 05.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marco Simoncelli	01:55.292	—	10	308.0
2	Valentino Rossi	01:55.409	+0.117	10	315.0
3	Nicky Hayden	01:55.943	+0.651	10	314.2
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.095	+0.803	10	309.3
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.113	+0.821	8	310.0
6	Casey Stoner	01:56.122	+0.830	9	312.3
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.387	+1.095	10	312.3
8	Ben Spies	01:56.820	+1.528	7	314.3
9	Randy De Puniet	01:57.277	+1.985	10	306.6
10	Hector Barbera	01:58.229	+2.937	10	312.9
11	Toni Elias	01:58.367	+3.075	10	313.0
12	Karel Abraham	01:58.475	+3.183	10	303.7
13	Loris Capirossi	01:58.762	+3.470	10	301.1
14	Jorge Lorenzo	01:59.068	+3.776	7	301.5
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:59.110	+3.818	10	306.2
Retired	Colin Edwards		—	0	0.0

Race · 05.06

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Casey Stoner	43:19.779	25	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+2.403	20	25
3	Ben Spies	+4.291	16	25
4	Andrea Dovizioso	+5.255	13	25
5	Valentino Rossi	+7.371	11	25
6	Marco Simoncelli	+11.831	10	25
7	Cal Crutchlow	+26.483	9	25
8	Nicky Hayden	+33.243	8	25
9	Loris Capirossi	+43.092	7	25
10	Karel Abraham	+43.113	6	25
11	Hector Barbera	+44.224	5	25
12	Alvaro Bautista	+45.239	4	25
13	Toni Elias	+58.268	3	25
Retired	Hiroshi Aoyama		0	3
Retired	Randy De Puniet		0	3

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Colin Edwards	16	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,669 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Marc Marquez +0.51%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.58%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.30%	Pedro Acosta +0.44%	Aleix Espargaro +0.46%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.16%	Marc Marquez +0.36%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.46%	Fabio Quartararo +0.47%	Raul Fernandez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Francesco Bagnaia +0.53%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.78%
S2	Alex Marquez	Joan Mir +0.17%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.02%	Brad Binder +0.16%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.43%
S4	Joan Mir +0.04%	Alex Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Johann Zarco +0.31%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Pedro Acosta +0.51%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Johann Zarco +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.03%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.37%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.12%	Brad Binder +0.17%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Pedro Acosta +0.09%	Jorge Martin +0.13%
S4	Raul Fernandez	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.14%	Brad Binder +0.27%
S2	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S3	Miguel Oliveira +0.23%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.19%	Enea Bastianini +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.44%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S3	Alex Rins +0.21%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.36%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%	Jorge Martin +0.57%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Johann Zarco	Miguel Oliveira +0.14%	Fabio Quartararo +0.40%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.38%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.12%	Franco Morbidelli +0.28%	Johann Zarco +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jack Miller +0.41%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.34%
S3	Valentino Rossi +0.22%	Pol Espargaro +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Valentino Rossi +0.16%	Brad Binder +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Joan Mir +0.33%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.18%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.35%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.26%	Valentino Rossi +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.19%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo +0.15%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Andrea Iannone	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.12%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Johann Zarco +0.19%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

52/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

44%

Front row on the podium

0.71

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 86% of the time (between 49% and 97%; 7 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	78	—
2	Casey Stoner	66	−12
3	Daniel Pedrosa	61	−17
4	Andrea Dovizioso	50	−28
5	Valentino Rossi	47	−31
6	Nicky Hayden	39	−39

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

24/25

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

4.754 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Marco Melandri, from P14 to P9.

Longest battle: Casey Stoner vs Daniel Pedrosa (15 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Aleix EspargaroAprilia
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Miguel OliveiraKTM
2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 25% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/22	23%
2025	7/24	29%
2024	3/23	13%
2023	3/20	15%
2022	8/25	32%
2021	6/21	29%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet