Round 2 of 18 Aftermath

Grand Prix of the Americas 2014

5.510 m · 20 laps · since 2013

11.04 – 13.04.2014

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	43:33.430	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+4.124	20
3	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+20.976	16
4	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+22.790	13
5	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+22.963	11
6	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+26.567	10
7	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+28.257	9
8	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+45.519	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	+47.605	7
10	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+49.111	6
11	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	+60.735	5
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	+63.954	4
13	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Energy T.I. Pramac Racing	+67.333	3
14	Karel Abraham	Honda	Cardion AB Motoracing	+87.972	2
15	Hector Barbera	Avintia	Avintia Racing	+92.376	1
16	Michael Laverty	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+92.543	0
17	Danilo Petrucci	ART	IodaRacing Project	+99.176	0
18	Mike Di Meglio	Avintia	Avintia Racing	+111.962	0
DNF	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Broc Parkes	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Colin Edwards	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Scott Redding	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	Retired	0

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

21/21

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

4.124 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Andrea Dovizioso, from P10 to P3.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Stefan Bradl (17 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:02:11	Jorge Lorenzo	Jump start	jump start
Race	14:02:56	Jorge Lorenzo	Ride through	ride through penalty
Race	14:03:26		Ride through	ride through
Race	14:18:52	Broc Parkes	Retired	entered pits and retired
Race	14:21:18	Alvaro Bautista	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:28:07	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:40:04	Colin Edwards	Retired	retired
Race	14:43:11	Scott Redding	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Marc Marquez (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Andrea Iannone	9	4	+5
Mike Di Meglio	23	19	+4
Jorge Lorenzo	5	2	+3
Aleix Espargaro	4	12	−8
Hector Barbera	18	23	−5
Karel Abraham	17	22	−5

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Andrea Dovizioso	10→3	+5.6
Pol Espargaro	11→6	+3.3
Bradley Smith	8→5	+2.3
Valentino Rossi	6→8	−2.0
Aleix Espargaro	4→9	−4.2
Jorge Lorenzo	5→10	−4.6

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

Race weather

C25

24.5 °C

Air

max 24.9 °C

77%

Humidity

0.4 mm

Rain

21 km/h

Wind

gusts 39 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Alvaro Bautista	78%	1 ✓
2	Aleix Espargaro	50%	2 ✓
3	Yonny Hernandez	39%	5
4	Hiroshi Aoyama	11%	6
5	Scott Redding	17%	3
6	Nicky Hayden	0%	4
7	Karel Abraham	6%	7
8	Colin Edwards	0%	9
9	Hector Barbera	0%	8
10	Danilo Petrucci	0%	12
11	Michael Laverty	0%	10
12	Broc Parkes	0%	11
13	Mike Di Meglio	0%	13

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Marc Marquez	39%	72%	94%	1
2	Stefan Bradl	22%	56%	94%	3
3	Daniel Pedrosa	28%	50%	94%	2
4	Andrea Dovizioso	6%	44%	72%	10
5	Bradley Smith	0%	39%	78%	8
6	Andrea Iannone	6%	17%	56%	9
7	Jorge Lorenzo	0%	17%	50%	5
8	Cal Crutchlow	0%	6%	22%	7
9	Pol Espargaro	0%	0%	17%	11
10	Valentino Rossi	0%	0%	17%	6
11	Alvaro Bautista	0%	0%	0%	12
12	Aleix Espargaro	0%	0%	8%	4

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.20%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Pedro Acosta +0.40%
S2	Marc Marquez	Jorge Martin +0.55%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.60%
S3	Marc Marquez	Francesco Bagnaia +0.59%	Fabio Quartararo +0.67%
S4	Cal Crutchlow +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.39%	Marc Marquez +0.49%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.34%
S2	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.53%	Luca Marini +0.71%
S3	Marc Marquez	Francesco Bagnaia +0.34%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.66%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.04%	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.37%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales	Pedro Acosta +0.07%	Jorge Martin +0.19%
S2	Marc Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Pedro Acosta +0.30%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.24%	Jorge Martin +0.30%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Francesco Bagnaia +0.05%	Raul Fernandez +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Alex Rins +0.11%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.16%	Jorge Martin +0.28%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.10%	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.20%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.04%	Luca Marini +0.18%	Jorge Martin +0.28%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.20%	Aleix Espargaro +0.21%	Brad Binder +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.13%	Alex Rins +0.26%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.40%
S2	Marc Marquez	Enea Bastianini +0.15%	Johann Zarco +0.37%
S3	Enea Bastianini +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.43%
S4	Alex Rins +0.20%	Joan Mir +0.23%	Fabio Quartararo +0.26%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Jack Miller +0.16%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.27%
S2	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.31%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.64%
S3	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.35%
S4	Takaaki Nakagami +0.09%	Johann Zarco +0.25%	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Jack Miller +0.59%
S2	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.53%	Maverick Viñales +0.60%
S3	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.14%	Cal Crutchlow +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.16%	Cal Crutchlow +0.17%	Alex Rins +0.25%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.13%	Alex Rins +0.42%
S2	Marc Marquez	Andrea Iannone +0.59%	Maverick Viñales +0.79%
S3	Marc Marquez	Valentino Rossi +0.74%	Maverick Viñales +0.80%
S4	Andrea Iannone	Cal Crutchlow +0.30%	Johann Zarco +0.32%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

67/100

Position index

14%

Pole wins

62%

Front row on the podium

0.79

Grid ↔ result

Descriptive, over 7 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Marc Marquez	25	—
2	Valentino Rossi	20	−5
3	Daniel Pedrosa	16	−9
4	Aleix Espargaro	13	−12
5	Andrea Dovizioso	11	−14
6	Cal Crutchlow	10	−15

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2013 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

9/21

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

1.534 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Andrea Iannone, from P13 to P10.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Marc Marquez (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Winners here

2025Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2024Maverick ViñalesAprilia
2023Alex RinsHonda
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Marc MarquezHonda
2019Alex RinsSuzuki
2018Marc MarquezHonda
2017Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 20% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	5/22	23%
2024	6/22	27%
2023	9/22	41%
2022	2/24	8%
2021	2/21	10%
2019	4/22	18%