Round 3 of 18 Aftermath

French Grand Prix 2010

4.185 m · 27 laps · since 1969

21.05 – 23.05.2010

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	44:29.114	25
2	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	+5.672	20
3	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+7.872	16
4	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+9.346	13
5	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+12.613	11
6	Marco Melandri	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+21.918	10
7	Randy De Puniet	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+29.288	9
8	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Paginas Amarillas Aspar	+33.128	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+33.493	7
10	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+33.805	6
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	Interwetten Honda MotoGP	+34.346	5
12	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+37.123	4
13	Mika Kallio	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+55.061	3
DNF	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Casey Stoner	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

17/28

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

5.672 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hector Barbera, from P15 to P8.

Longest battle: Colin Edwards vs Marco Simoncelli (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Valentino Rossi (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Marco Melandri	11	6	+5
Marco Simoncelli	13	10	+3
Hector Barbera	15	14	+1
Randy De Puniet	6	8	−2
Loris Capirossi	9	11	−2
Aleix Espargaro	10	12	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Hector Barbera	15→8	+3.8
Andrea Dovizioso	7→3	+3.7
Marco Melandri	11→6	+3.3
Daniel Pedrosa	3→5	−0.9
Randy De Puniet	6→7	−1.0
Colin Edwards	8→12	−4.7

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

24.5 °C

Air

max 24.8 °C

40%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

18 km/h

Wind

gusts 37 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 21.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:34.402	—	28	285.0
2	Casey Stoner	01:34.508	+0.106	23	278.7
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.542	+0.140	31	282.5
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.625	+0.223	24	283.9
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.989	+0.587	28	272.4
6	Colin Edwards	01:35.089	+0.687	26	273.3
7	Nicky Hayden	01:35.223	+0.821	27	274.1
8	Ben Spies	01:35.291	+0.889	27	288.5
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.450	+1.048	28	267.0
10	Marco Melandri	01:35.643	+1.241	26	286.2
11	Loris Capirossi	01:35.685	+1.283	23	276.9
12	Marco Simoncelli	01:35.959	+1.557	27	273.3
13	Hector Barbera	01:36.009	+1.607	24	274.3
14	Randy De Puniet	01:36.086	+1.684	27	283.8
15	Mika Kallio	01:36.292	+1.890	25	276.3
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:36.798	+2.396	27	276.6
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:37.525	+3.123	19	269.5

FP2 · 22.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:34.209	—	23	282.0
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.224	+0.015	29	280.2
3	Valentino Rossi	01:34.451	+0.242	28	288.7
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.497	+0.288	28	271.8
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.538	+0.329	28	280.8
6	Nicky Hayden	01:34.970	+0.761	27	278.8
7	Randy De Puniet	01:34.985	+0.776	26	280.3
8	Colin Edwards	01:35.015	+0.806	26	277.4
9	Loris Capirossi	01:35.083	+0.874	29	274.2
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.351	+1.142	30	281.8
11	Marco Melandri	01:35.511	+1.302	25	286.2
12	Marco Simoncelli	01:36.010	+1.801	23	276.3
13	Hector Barbera	01:36.048	+1.839	28	279.1
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:36.175	+1.966	26	282.6
—	Alvaro Bautista	01:44.784	+10.575	2	247.9
—	Ben Spies	01:42.712	+8.503	2	279.9
—	Mika Kallio	01:42.708	+8.499	2	268.3

Qualifying · 22.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:33.408	—	30	290.6
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.462	+0.054	31	283.5
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.573	+0.165	29	279.3
4	Casey Stoner	01:33.824	+0.416	25	288.8
5	Nicky Hayden	01:33.845	+0.437	31	284.1
6	Randy De Puniet	01:34.074	+0.666	30	290.0
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.204	+0.796	30	280.1
8	Colin Edwards	01:34.304	+0.896	27	276.6
9	Loris Capirossi	01:34.306	+0.898	26	281.5
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.514	+1.106	29	281.2
11	Marco Melandri	01:34.523	+1.115	29	286.2
12	Ben Spies	01:34.920	+1.512	27	287.5
13	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.942	+1.534	27	279.3
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:34.979	+1.571	27	285.8
15	Hector Barbera	01:35.323	+1.915	30	278.0
16	Mika Kallio	01:35.810	+2.402	25	278.5
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		—	0	0.0

Warm Up · 23.05

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:34.558	—	11	283.3
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.648	+0.090	12	275.9
3	Nicky Hayden	01:34.936	+0.378	12	282.6
4	Randy De Puniet	01:35.030	+0.472	12	284.3
5	Valentino Rossi	01:35.031	+0.473	12	284.6
6	Ben Spies	01:35.037	+0.479	11	283.4
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:35.174	+0.616	12	276.1
8	Daniel Pedrosa	01:35.241	+0.683	12	270.5
9	Loris Capirossi	01:35.402	+0.844	12	275.6
10	Marco Melandri	01:35.449	+0.891	13	283.7
11	Hector Barbera	01:35.508	+0.950	11	275.9
12	Marco Simoncelli	01:35.510	+0.952	12	275.9
13	Colin Edwards	01:35.674	+1.116	12	271.8
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.816	+1.258	12	273.6
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.867	+1.309	12	277.5
16	Mika Kallio	01:37.756	+3.198	12	273.8

Race · 23.05

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	44:29.114	25	28
2	Valentino Rossi	+5.672	20	28
3	Andrea Dovizioso	+7.872	16	28
4	Nicky Hayden	+9.346	13	28
5	Daniel Pedrosa	+12.613	11	28
6	Marco Melandri	+21.918	10	28
7	Randy De Puniet	+29.288	9	28
8	Hector Barbera	+33.128	8	28
9	Aleix Espargaro	+33.493	7	28
10	Marco Simoncelli	+33.805	6	28
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	+34.346	5	28
12	Colin Edwards	+37.123	4	28
13	Mika Kallio	+55.061	3	28
Retired	Ben Spies		0	6
Retired	Casey Stoner		0	2
Retired	Loris Capirossi		0	6

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Alvaro Bautista	17	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,197 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro +0.44%	Maverick Viñales +0.46%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.52%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.26%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Pedro Acosta +0.43%	Pol Espargaro +0.45%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%	Augusto Fernandez +0.46%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura	Jorge Martin +0.35%	Marc Marquez +0.40%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.06%	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Raul Fernandez +0.22%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.30%	Enea Bastianini +0.33%	Ai Ogura +0.33%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fermin Aldeguer +0.09%	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.20%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Johann Zarco +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.48%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.02%	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Maverick Viñales +0.37%	Pedro Acosta +0.46%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.08%	Aleix Espargaro +0.23%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Jack Miller +0.38%	Pedro Acosta +0.38%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.24%	Maverick Viñales +0.27%	Aleix Espargaro +0.43%
S2	Johann Zarco	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%	Jorge Martin +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Jack Miller +0.35%	Maverick Viñales +0.36%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Enea Bastianini	Alex Rins +0.30%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Johann Zarco +0.22%	Aleix Espargaro +0.29%
S3	Jack Miller +0.07%	Aleix Espargaro +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Joan Mir +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.28%	Maverick Viñales +0.68%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Jack Miller +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.28%	Jack Miller +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Franco Morbidelli +0.53%	Maverick Viñales +0.56%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Cal Crutchlow	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Maverick Viñales +0.43%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.04%	Johann Zarco +0.11%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.17%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Jack Miller +0.11%	Pol Espargaro +0.28%
S4	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Joan Mir +0.24%	Cal Crutchlow +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller +0.10%	Pol Espargaro +0.18%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.25%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.00%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Danilo Petrucci +0.10%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Jack Miller +0.27%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.13%	Fabio Quartararo +0.21%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.48%	Andrea Iannone +0.55%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.12%	Andrea Iannone +0.38%	Marc Marquez +0.49%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Maverick Viñales +0.49%	Andrea Iannone +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Valentino Rossi +0.11%	Andrea Iannone +0.16%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

33/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.69

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 50% of the time (between 22% and 79%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	45	—
2	Valentino Rossi	41	−4
3	Daniel Pedrosa	29	−16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	26	−19
5	Nicky Hayden	26	−19
6	Randy De Puniet	17	−28

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

Pending · no data yet

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Jorge MartinAprilia
2025Johann ZarcoHonda
2024Jorge MartinDucati
2023Marco BezzecchiDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Jack MillerDucati
2020Danilo PetrucciDucati
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 27% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/21	24%
2025	6/22	27%
2024	6/22	27%
2023	8/21	38%
2022	7/24	29%
2021	6/22	27%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet