Round 1 of 18 Aftermath

Qatar Grand Prix 2017

5.380 m · 21 laps · since 2004

23.03 – 26.03.2017

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Maverick Viñales	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	38:59.999	25
2	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+0.461	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+1.928	16
4	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+6.745	13
5	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+7.128	11
6	Aleix Espargaro	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+7.661	10
7	Scott Redding	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	+9.782	9
8	Jack Miller	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+14.486	8
9	Alex Rins	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+14.788	7
10	Jonas Folger	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+15.069	6
11	Jorge Lorenzo	Ducati	Ducati Team	+20.516	5
12	Loris Baz	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+21.255	4
13	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Reale Avintia Racing	+28.828	3
14	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	+29.123	2
15	Tito Rabat	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+29.470	1
16	Pol Espargaro	KTM	Red Bull KTM Factory Racing	+33.601	0
17	Bradley Smith	KTM	Red Bull KTM Factory Racing	+39.704	0
18	Sam Lowes	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+47.131	0
DNF	Alvaro Bautista	Ducati	Pull&Bear Aspar Team	Retired	0
DNF	Andrea Iannone	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	OCTO Pramac Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Johann Zarco	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

0/20

Laps led by the winner

0.461 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hector Barbera, from P23 to P13.

Longest battle: Jack Miller vs Scott Redding (11 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	21:46:06		Jump start	jump start
Race	21:53:13	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	21:56:08	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	21:57:16	Johann Zarco	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	22:00:51	Alvaro Bautista	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	22:05:29	Andrea Iannone	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	22:15:06	Danilo Petrucci	Retired	retired

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Pending · no data yet

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Pending · no data yet

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

19.0 °C

Air

max 19.1 °C

95%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

16 km/h

Wind

gusts 29 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 23.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	01:54.316	—	18	334.8
2	Marc Marquez	01:54.912	+0.596	18	337.7
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.210	+0.894	16	337.7
4	Jonas Folger	01:55.587	+1.271	15	333.3
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.607	+1.291	17	342.9
6	Loris Baz	01:55.624	+1.308	16	333.6
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:55.639	+1.323	15	334.1
8	Johann Zarco	01:55.792	+1.476	18	334.2
9	Valentino Rossi	01:55.799	+1.483	18	339.6
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:55.872	+1.556	15	332.2
11	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.873	+1.557	17	342.8
12	Scott Redding	01:56.000	+1.684	16	339.9
13	Andrea Iannone	01:56.027	+1.711	17	334.6
14	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.128	+1.812	19	343.8
15	Karel Abraham	01:56.399	+2.083	14	338.4
16	Danilo Petrucci	01:56.419	+2.103	15	341.5
17	Jack Miller	01:56.453	+2.137	16	334.9
18	Alex Rins	01:56.502	+2.186	16	334.9
19	Tito Rabat	01:56.725	+2.409	18	336.0
20	Hector Barbera	01:56.725	+2.409	14	341.5
21	Pol Espargaro	01:57.630	+3.314	16	334.8
22	Sam Lowes	01:57.887	+3.571	14	330.8
23	Bradley Smith	01:58.114	+3.798	17	332.6

FP2 · 24.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Scott Redding	01:55.085	—	16	343.2
2	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.185	+0.100	17	347.8
3	Jonas Folger	01:55.208	+0.123	15	341.0
4	Johann Zarco	01:55.316	+0.231	18	344.8
5	Maverick Viñales	01:55.378	+0.293	16	342.7
6	Valentino Rossi	01:55.414	+0.329	18	341.7
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:55.581	+0.496	18	349.6
8	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.604	+0.519	17	347.8
9	Marc Marquez	01:55.698	+0.613	18	341.5
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:55.750	+0.665	12	339.9
11	Danilo Petrucci	01:55.760	+0.675	17	344.3
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:55.828	+0.743	17	341.2
13	Jack Miller	01:55.959	+0.874	17	341.7
14	Karel Abraham	01:56.003	+0.918	18	345.7
15	Andrea Iannone	01:56.069	+0.984	16	337.3
16	Alex Rins	01:56.179	+1.094	18	341.7
17	Tito Rabat	01:56.368	+1.283	17	343.0
18	Loris Baz	01:56.501	+1.416	15	339.1
19	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.530	+1.445	17	343.2
20	Hector Barbera	01:56.934	+1.849	18	345.8
21	Pol Espargaro	01:57.116	+2.031	16	342.7
22	Sam Lowes	01:57.517	+2.432	15	336.1
23	Bradley Smith	01:58.020	+2.935	17	338.8

FP3 · 24.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	01:54.834	—	17	339.5
2	Andrea Iannone	01:54.848	+0.014	17	337.5
3	Johann Zarco	01:55.008	+0.174	17	341.0
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.042	+0.208	15	348.0
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.113	+0.279	16	344.0
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:55.211	+0.377	16	339.8
7	Marc Marquez	01:55.296	+0.462	15	343.0
8	Danilo Petrucci	01:55.435	+0.601	16	344.7
9	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.461	+0.627	15	348.7
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:55.634	+0.800	16	344.8
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:55.676	+0.842	17	347.0
12	Jonas Folger	01:55.713	+0.879	14	338.3
13	Valentino Rossi	01:55.790	+0.956	15	342.6
14	Karel Abraham	01:56.095	+1.261	16	345.6
15	Alex Rins	01:56.249	+1.415	17	341.3
16	Tito Rabat	01:56.617	+1.783	15	339.9
17	Scott Redding	01:56.662	+1.828	14	342.7
18	Jack Miller	01:56.692	+1.858	17	341.7
19	Sam Lowes	01:56.854	+2.020	13	336.3
20	Loris Baz	01:56.935	+2.101	15	338.3
21	Hector Barbera	01:57.005	+2.171	12	345.8
22	Pol Espargaro	01:57.630	+2.796	17	340.1
23	Bradley Smith	01:57.654	+2.820	18	336.8

Warm Up · 26.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:55.728	—	12	336.5
2	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.917	+0.189	13	342.5
3	Johann Zarco	01:56.003	+0.275	14	335.0
4	Aleix Espargaro	01:56.008	+0.280	13	336.5
5	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.084	+0.356	13	344.2
6	Maverick Viñales	01:56.085	+0.357	13	335.0
7	Jonas Folger	01:56.114	+0.386	13	336.2
8	Andrea Iannone	01:56.181	+0.453	12	333.2
9	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.290	+0.562	14	344.6
10	Karel Abraham	01:56.317	+0.589	12	340.0
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.399	+0.671	13	336.1
12	Alex Rins	01:56.416	+0.688	14	334.3
13	Valentino Rossi	01:56.624	+0.896	12	337.9
14	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.643	+0.915	15	335.0
15	Danilo Petrucci	01:56.684	+0.956	12	338.5
16	Hector Barbera	01:56.722	+0.994	14	342.5
17	Jack Miller	01:56.758	+1.030	14	335.4
18	Scott Redding	01:56.819	+1.091	12	337.9
19	Tito Rabat	01:56.907	+1.179	14	337.9
20	Loris Baz	01:56.962	+1.234	13	335.2
21	Bradley Smith	01:57.444	+1.716	15	332.8
22	Pol Espargaro	01:57.457	+1.729	13	335.5
23	Sam Lowes	01:57.712	+1.984	13	330.4

Race · 26.03

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Maverick Viñales	38:59.999	25	20
2	Andrea Dovizioso	+0.461	20	20
3	Valentino Rossi	+1.928	16	20
4	Marc Marquez	+6.745	13	20
5	Daniel Pedrosa	+7.128	11	20
6	Aleix Espargaro	+7.661	10	20
7	Scott Redding	+9.782	9	20
8	Jack Miller	+14.486	8	20
9	Alex Rins	+14.788	7	20
10	Jonas Folger	+15.069	6	20
11	Jorge Lorenzo	+20.516	5	20
12	Loris Baz	+21.255	4	20
13	Hector Barbera	+28.828	3	20
14	Karel Abraham	+29.123	2	20
15	Tito Rabat	+29.470	1	20
16	Pol Espargaro	+33.601	0	20
17	Bradley Smith	+39.704	0	20
18	Sam Lowes	+47.131	0	20
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		0	7
Retired	Andrea Iannone		0	10
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	4
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		0	14
Retired	Johann Zarco		0	6

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,426 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.41%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.42%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.50%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%	Pedro Acosta +0.47%	Ai Ogura +0.47%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Alex Marquez +0.41%	Alex Rins +0.51%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Franco Morbidelli +0.31%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Alex Marquez +0.29%	Franco Morbidelli +0.29%
S3	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.55%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Aleix Espargaro +0.35%	Enea Bastianini +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.04%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.05%	Alex Marquez +0.29%	Enea Bastianini +0.47%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Enea Bastianini +0.27%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Maverick Viñales +0.39%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.49%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.14%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.19%	Raul Fernandez +0.43%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.19%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.21%	Maverick Viñales +0.21%
S4	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.09%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%	Fabio Quartararo +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin +0.19%	Pol Espargaro +0.23%	Joan Mir +0.37%
S2	Pol Espargaro +0.40%	Aleix Espargaro +0.43%	Enea Bastianini +0.47%
S3	Alex Rins +0.07%	Miguel Oliveira +0.19%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.37%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.25%	Maverick Viñales +0.29%	Jack Miller +0.35%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.16%	Franco Morbidelli +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.46%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Aleix Espargaro +0.28%	Fabio Quartararo +0.37%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.08%	Jack Miller +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.14%	Danilo Petrucci +0.24%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.27%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Valentino Rossi +0.37%	Marc Marquez +0.47%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Quartararo +0.45%
S4	Danilo Petrucci +0.10%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.49%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.20%	Danilo Petrucci +0.22%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.26%
S2	Valentino Rossi +0.23%	Johann Zarco +0.43%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.45%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.15%	Alex Rins +0.32%	Danilo Petrucci +0.35%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.28%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.34%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

57/100

Position index

14%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.77

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 0% of the time (between 0% and 56%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 7 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

Pending · no data yet

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

14/22

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

2.019 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Andrea Dovizioso, from P6 to P2.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Jorge Lorenzo (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2019Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2017Maverick ViñalesYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 17% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	4/22	18%
2024	1/22	5%
2023	2/21	10%
2022	6/24	25%
2021	3/22	14%
2019	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet