MotoGP Data dominance · tyre · race pace
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Round 3 of 18 Aftermath

Grand Prix of the Americas 2017

Circuit Of The Americas United States

5.510 m · 20 laps · since 2013
21.04 – 23.04.2017
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Marc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda Team43:58.77025
2Valentino RossiYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+3.06920
3Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+5.11216
4Cal CrutchlowHondaLCR Honda+7.63813
5Johann ZarcoYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+7.95711
6Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team+14.05810
7Andrea IannoneSuzukiTeam SUZUKI ECSTAR+15.4919
8Danilo PetrucciDucatiOCTO Pramac Racing+16.7728
9Jorge LorenzoDucatiDucati Team+17.9797
10Jack MillerHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDS+18.4946
11Jonas FolgerYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+18.9035
12Scott ReddingDucatiOCTO Pramac Racing+28.7354
13Tito RabatHondaEG 0,0 Marc VDS+30.0413
14Hector BarberaDucatiReale Avintia Racing+31.3642
15Alvaro BautistaDucatiPull&Bear Aspar Team+66.5471
16Bradley SmithKTMRed Bull KTM Factory Racing+82.0900
17Aleix EspargaroApriliaAprilia Racing Team Gresini+0.0000
DNFKarel AbrahamDucatiPull&Bear Aspar TeamRetired0
DNFLoris BazDucatiReale Avintia RacingRetired0
DNFMaverick ViñalesYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGPRetired0
DNFPol EspargaroKTMRed Bull KTM Factory RacingRetired0
DNFSam LowesApriliaAprilia Racing Team GresiniRetired0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
ForecastFavouriteWinnerOrder (model / grid)Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)Marc Marquez · 27% ✓Marc Marquez · 27% · from P10.89 / 0.891.9 / 1.8

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

26
Overtakes
1
Lead changes
2 leaders
13/21
Laps led by the winner
Marc Marquez
2.769 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Cal Crutchlow, from P9 to P4.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Marc Marquez (13 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race14:03:05Jump startJump start
Race14:05:17Karel AbrahamCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:05:29Maverick ViñalesCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:20:34Loris BazCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:21:18Pol EspargaroRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:24:08Alvaro BautistaCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:26:58Sam LowesCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
RaceSanctionFIM MotoGP Stewards - 0.3" penaltiy to rider #46 for gaining advantage

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
— °C
Air
max — °C
—
Humidity
Dry
Rain
— km/h
Wind
gusts — km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 21.04
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Maverick Viñales02:04.923—17331.1
2Marc Marquez02:05.500+0.57719332.4
3Andrea Dovizioso02:05.604+0.68115332.8
4Johann Zarco02:05.790+0.86717330.7
5Alvaro Bautista02:05.833+0.91015336.9
6Jorge Lorenzo02:06.017+1.09417335.8
7Daniel Pedrosa02:06.109+1.18616335.6
8Valentino Rossi02:06.292+1.36915330.7
9Aleix Espargaro02:06.411+1.48814330.9
10Danilo Petrucci02:06.469+1.54613331.8
11Cal Crutchlow02:06.484+1.56113330.8
12Jack Miller02:06.515+1.59216330.4
13Scott Redding02:06.646+1.72314333.3
14Jonas Folger02:06.692+1.76915329.8
15Hector Barbera02:06.786+1.86315335.7
16Andrea Iannone02:06.824+1.90114325.8
17Tito Rabat02:06.894+1.97117332.8
18Loris Baz02:07.127+2.20417325.3
19Karel Abraham02:07.300+2.37715331.8
20Alex Rins02:08.006+3.08316330.3
21Pol Espargaro02:08.128+3.20515331.3
22Sam Lowes02:08.292+3.36916327.6
23Bradley Smith02:08.740+3.81715325.7
FP2 · 21.04
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez02:04.061—14330.9
2Johann Zarco02:04.347+0.28617330.7
3Maverick Viñales02:04.451+0.39017331.0
4Valentino Rossi02:04.806+0.74517331.1
5Daniel Pedrosa02:04.811+0.75015331.8
6Andrea Dovizioso02:04.830+0.76916334.3
7Cal Crutchlow02:05.005+0.94415328.3
8Jonas Folger02:05.033+0.97215332.3
9Scott Redding02:05.116+1.05515333.1
10Andrea Iannone02:05.142+1.08117327.2
11Jorge Lorenzo02:05.282+1.22115336.5
12Danilo Petrucci02:05.284+1.22315332.9
13Jack Miller02:05.463+1.40215331.6
14Aleix Espargaro02:05.468+1.40714327.6
15Hector Barbera02:05.584+1.52314337.9
16Alvaro Bautista02:05.602+1.54117339.9
17Tito Rabat02:05.943+1.88216330.4
18Alex Rins02:06.155+2.09413330.4
19Loris Baz02:06.358+2.29713326.6
20Pol Espargaro02:06.503+2.44215330.2
21Karel Abraham02:06.709+2.64811328.4
22Sam Lowes02:06.741+2.68013326.6
23Bradley Smith02:07.434+3.37315326.8
FP3 · 22.04
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Maverick Viñales02:03.979—14334.6
2Daniel Pedrosa02:04.296+0.31716335.9
3Cal Crutchlow02:04.677+0.69815333.3
4Marc Marquez02:04.687+0.7089332.3
5Scott Redding02:04.956+0.97715338.0
6Jack Miller02:05.272+1.29317336.0
7Johann Zarco02:05.653+1.67413336.5
8Loris Baz02:05.752+1.77314332.5
9Tito Rabat02:05.768+1.78914329.6
10Danilo Petrucci02:05.872+1.89316340.0
11Andrea Dovizioso02:05.910+1.93111341.9
12Jorge Lorenzo02:05.930+1.95113339.6
13Jonas Folger02:06.127+2.14812330.4
14Hector Barbera02:06.188+2.20912341.0
15Valentino Rossi02:06.915+2.93614330.8
16Aleix Espargaro02:07.538+3.5594329.2
17Bradley Smith02:08.257+4.27814326.9
18Alvaro Bautista02:08.350+4.37111341.0
19Pol Espargaro02:09.044+5.06511330.9
20Karel Abraham02:09.135+5.1567334.8
21Sam Lowes02:10.418+6.4394320.3
22Andrea Iannone02:12.196+8.2176326.4
RetiredAlex Rins—00.0
FP4 · 22.04
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez02:04.201—12333.2
2Daniel Pedrosa02:04.658+0.45712341.1
3Maverick Viñales02:04.760+0.55912337.1
4Jack Miller02:05.213+1.01213333.8
5Cal Crutchlow02:05.368+1.16712336.5
6Johann Zarco02:05.388+1.18712336.8
7Andrea Dovizioso02:05.438+1.2377340.4
8Loris Baz02:05.698+1.49710334.1
9Scott Redding02:05.732+1.53112340.3
10Andrea Iannone02:05.783+1.58212334.9
11Valentino Rossi02:05.910+1.70911336.3
12Aleix Espargaro02:05.952+1.7519330.5
13Jorge Lorenzo02:06.032+1.83112340.1
14Jonas Folger02:06.238+2.03712332.7
15Alvaro Bautista02:06.484+2.28312341.1
16Tito Rabat02:06.518+2.31712328.8
17Danilo Petrucci02:06.521+2.32011339.5
18Pol Espargaro02:06.541+2.34010332.4
19Hector Barbera02:07.238+3.03711341.8
20Karel Abraham02:07.565+3.3646336.5
21Sam Lowes02:07.827+3.6268323.4
22Bradley Smith02:08.797+4.59611327.0
Q1 · 22.04
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Jack Miller02:04.438—6334.3
2Jorge Lorenzo02:04.648+0.2106341.9
3Danilo Petrucci02:05.221+0.7836340.5
4Loris Baz02:05.231+0.7936331.5
5Hector Barbera02:05.541+1.1036339.3
6Tito Rabat02:05.920+1.4826334.5
7Karel Abraham02:05.931+1.4936338.8
8Bradley Smith02:06.258+1.8207328.3
9Alvaro Bautista02:06.295+1.8576337.9
10Sam Lowes02:07.232+2.7947325.4
11Pol Espargaro02:07.601+3.1634329.3
RetiredAleix Espargaro—00.0
Q2 · 22.04
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez02:02.741—7332.6
2Maverick Viñales02:02.871+0.1307336.2
3Valentino Rossi02:03.673+0.9327336.4
4Daniel Pedrosa02:03.866+1.1257343.5
5Johann Zarco02:03.928+1.1876335.2
6Jorge Lorenzo02:04.151+1.4106341.6
7Andrea Dovizioso02:04.431+1.6907340.4
8Jonas Folger02:04.623+1.8827334.7
9Cal Crutchlow02:04.661+1.9205332.6
10Scott Redding02:04.673+1.9327339.1
11Andrea Iannone02:05.741+3.0006333.7
12Jack Miller02:05.970+3.2295337.2
Warm Up · 23.04
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez02:04.070—9329.7
2Maverick Viñales02:04.239+0.16910335.7
3Daniel Pedrosa02:05.310+1.24010335.9
4Valentino Rossi02:05.392+1.32210339.8
5Cal Crutchlow02:05.506+1.4369338.6
6Johann Zarco02:05.624+1.55410332.5
7Jonas Folger02:05.698+1.6289338.4
8Danilo Petrucci02:05.782+1.71210341.3
9Aleix Espargaro02:05.797+1.7277331.6
10Andrea Dovizioso02:05.855+1.7859343.0
11Andrea Iannone02:05.995+1.92510337.7
12Jorge Lorenzo02:06.049+1.9799337.5
13Loris Baz02:06.460+2.3909328.6
14Hector Barbera02:06.519+2.4499341.8
15Jack Miller02:06.548+2.4788333.3
16Alvaro Bautista02:06.692+2.6229339.0
17Tito Rabat02:06.718+2.64810328.0
18Scott Redding02:06.791+2.7216338.3
19Bradley Smith02:07.233+3.1639330.5
20Pol Espargaro02:07.456+3.3869331.6
21Sam Lowes02:07.724+3.6549327.1
22Karel Abraham02:08.865+4.7956333.9
Race · 23.04
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Marc Marquez43:58.7702521
2Valentino Rossi+3.0692021
3Daniel Pedrosa+5.1121621
4Cal Crutchlow+7.6381321
5Johann Zarco+7.9571121
6Andrea Dovizioso+14.0581021
7Andrea Iannone+15.491921
8Danilo Petrucci+16.772821
9Jorge Lorenzo+17.979721
10Jack Miller+18.494621
11Jonas Folger+18.903521
12Scott Redding+28.735421
13Tito Rabat+30.041321
14Hector Barbera+31.364221
15Alvaro Bautista+66.547121
16Bradley Smith+82.090021
17Aleix Espargaro+0.000019
RetiredKarel Abraham01
RetiredLoris Baz08
RetiredMaverick Viñales01
RetiredPol Espargaro09
RetiredSam Lowes011

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

RiderGridWinPodiumTop 5Top 10P(DNF)Final
Marc Marquez127%58%72%83%15%1
Maverick Viñales220%54%73%88%9%—
Valentino Rossi315%48%68%88%9%2
Daniel Pedrosa413%39%61%85%10%3
Johann Zarco56%23%43%68%27%5
Jorge Lorenzo65%23%46%83%9%9
Andrea Dovizioso74%17%37%76%13%6
Jonas Folger83%13%30%72%14%11
Cal Crutchlow92%7%18%56%29%4
Scott Redding102%6%15%62%13%12
Andrea Iannone111%3%9%45%29%7
Jack Miller121%3%7%38%31%10
Danilo Petrucci130%2%5%35%24%8
Loris Baz140%2%5%30%21%—
Hector Barbera150%1%4%27%14%14
Tito Rabat160%1%4%23%13%13
Karel Abraham170%1%1%11%32%—
Bradley Smith180%0%1%11%12%16
Alvaro Bautista190%0%1%7%19%15
Sam Lowes200%0%1%6%27%—
Pol Espargaro210%0%0%4%18%—
Aleix Espargaro220%0%0%3%20%17

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

67/100
Position index
14%
Pole wins
62%
Front row on the podium
0.79
Grid ↔ result

Descriptive, over 7 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

2016 edition

69
Overtakes
0
Lead changes
1 leaders
21/21
Laps led by the winner
Marc Marquez
6.107 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Michele Pirro, from P17 to P8.

Longest battle: Eugene Laverty vs Tito Rabat (11 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2025Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2024Maverick ViñalesAprilia
  • 2023Alex RinsHonda
  • 2022Enea BastianiniDucati
  • 2021Marc MarquezHonda
  • 2019Alex RinsSuzuki
  • 2018Marc MarquezHonda
  • 2017Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 20% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20255/2223%
20246/2227%
20239/2241%
20222/248%
20212/2110%
20194/2218%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet