Round 15 of 18 Aftermath

Japanese Grand Prix 2015

4.801 m · 24 laps · since 1999

09.10 – 11.10.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	46:50.767	25
2	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+8.573	20
3	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+12.127	16
4	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+27.841	13
5	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+35.085	11
6	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+37.263	10
7	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+37.667	9
8	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing Team	+44.654	8
9	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+48.572	7
10	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+50.121	6
11	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+60.535	5
12	Takumi Takahashi	Honda	Team HRC with Nissin	+61.211	4
13	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+71.261	3
14	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+73.896	2
15	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+75.421	1
16	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+80.507	0
17	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+91.224	0
18	Stefan Bradl	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+106.833	0
19	Kousuke Akiyoshi	Honda	AB Motoracing	+120.072	0
20	Toni Elias	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+0.000	0
DNF	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	Retired	0
DNF	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Jorge Lorenzo · 32%	Daniel Pedrosa · 5% · from P6	0.84 / 0.84	2.5 / 2.5

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

7/24

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

8.573 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hector Barbera, from P18 to P9.

Longest battle: Scott Redding vs Takumi Takahashi (9 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:02:54		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:14:49	Jack Miller	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:18:27	Danilo Petrucci	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:21:59	Andrea Iannone	Retired	Retired
Race	14:28:49	Maverick Viñales	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:32:54	Loris Baz	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:34:24	Jack Miller	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:47:03	Pol Espargaro	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Danilo Petrucci	17	10	+7
Jack Miller	22	16	+6
Nicky Hayden	21	15	+6
Alvaro Bautista	16	25	−9
Stefan Bradl	13	20	−7
Marc Marquez	3	6	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Daniel Pedrosa	6→1	+5.0
Hector Barbera	18→9	+4.8
Katsuyuki Nakasuga	15→8	+3.8
Alvaro Bautista	16→16	−3.5
Aleix Espargaro	7→11	−4.3
Stefan Bradl	13→18	−7.5

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

19.0 °C

Air

max 19.2 °C

87%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

9 km/h

Wind

gusts 26 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 09.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:45.432	—	15	299.9
2	Andrea Iannone	01:45.827	+0.395	18	310.9
3	Valentino Rossi	01:45.844	+0.412	19	299.0
4	Bradley Smith	01:45.888	+0.456	19	305.4
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:45.896	+0.464	17	305.2
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:45.947	+0.515	17	307.6
7	Marc Marquez	01:45.965	+0.533	17	304.7
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:46.234	+0.802	17	298.3
9	Pol Espargaro	01:46.323	+0.891	18	302.7
10	Stefan Bradl	01:46.371	+0.939	16	295.5
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:46.551	+1.119	15	305.6
12	Hector Barbera	01:46.699	+1.267	21	303.7
13	Maverick Viñales	01:46.765	+1.333	17	301.4
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:47.073	+1.641	16	302.8
15	Takumi Takahashi	01:47.079	+1.647	18	302.5
16	Scott Redding	01:47.171	+1.739	18	298.1
17	Nicky Hayden	01:47.181	+1.749	18	293.0
18	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	01:47.184	+1.752	18	300.1
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.304	+1.872	16	297.4
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.364	+1.932	18	300.3
21	Mike Di Meglio	01:47.503	+2.071	16	299.8
22	Jack Miller	01:47.539	+2.107	16	295.8
23	Toni Elias	01:47.626	+2.194	17	300.6
24	Loris Baz	01:48.083	+2.651	18	292.2
25	Eugene Laverty	01:48.625	+3.193	18	293.3
26	Alex De Angelis	01:49.277	+3.845	17	289.6
27	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:49.846	+4.414	15	288.4

FP2 · 09.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.731	—	15	298.8
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:44.859	+0.128	20	305.2
3	Andrea Iannone	01:45.043	+0.312	19	308.2
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:45.059	+0.328	18	309.6
5	Bradley Smith	01:45.250	+0.519	19	304.1
6	Aleix Espargaro	01:45.348	+0.617	16	300.2
7	Marc Marquez	01:45.492	+0.761	15	303.4
8	Valentino Rossi	01:45.554	+0.823	19	297.1
9	Pol Espargaro	01:45.597	+0.866	19	301.5
10	Hector Barbera	01:45.645	+0.914	19	305.4
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:45.846	+1.115	17	304.5
12	Scott Redding	01:46.074	+1.343	20	299.5
13	Maverick Viñales	01:46.464	+1.733	17	299.3
14	Jack Miller	01:46.477	+1.746	17	299.5
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:46.563	+1.832	16	303.7
16	Danilo Petrucci	01:46.648	+1.917	18	301.5
17	Stefan Bradl	01:46.649	+1.918	16	295.0
18	Takumi Takahashi	01:46.650	+1.919	20	299.7
19	Eugene Laverty	01:46.770	+2.039	18	295.8
20	Nicky Hayden	01:46.827	+2.096	16	292.0
21	Mike Di Meglio	01:46.934	+2.203	15	299.4
22	Alvaro Bautista	01:46.974	+2.243	19	298.2
23	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	01:47.096	+2.365	14	298.4
24	Loris Baz	01:47.219	+2.488	17	292.5
25	Toni Elias	01:47.689	+2.958	18	300.1
26	Alex De Angelis	01:48.572	+3.841	14	292.1
27	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:48.769	+4.038	15	291.7

FP3 · 10.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.089	—	16	302.6
2	Andrea Iannone	01:44.497	+0.408	21	314.3
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:44.568	+0.479	18	310.7
4	Marc Marquez	01:44.771	+0.682	17	304.3
5	Valentino Rossi	01:44.822	+0.733	18	300.4
6	Pol Espargaro	01:45.088	+0.999	16	302.7
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:45.103	+1.014	17	303.7
8	Bradley Smith	01:45.319	+1.230	18	304.9
9	Scott Redding	01:45.446	+1.357	18	303.2
10	Maverick Viñales	01:45.458	+1.369	15	301.1
11	Daniel Pedrosa	01:45.507	+1.418	18	309.3
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:45.557	+1.468	17	298.5
13	Hector Barbera	01:45.716	+1.627	18	305.8
14	Danilo Petrucci	01:45.840	+1.751	18	302.7
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:45.848	+1.759	15	306.3
16	Takumi Takahashi	01:46.090	+2.001	20	302.3
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:46.166	+2.077	16	299.9
18	Nicky Hayden	01:46.190	+2.101	16	293.6
19	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	01:46.280	+2.191	17	300.8
20	Mike Di Meglio	01:46.599	+2.510	13	303.3
21	Jack Miller	01:46.644	+2.555	15	298.0
22	Stefan Bradl	01:46.675	+2.586	20	296.9
23	Eugene Laverty	01:46.755	+2.666	16	296.4
24	Loris Baz	01:47.106	+3.017	16	292.6
25	Toni Elias	01:47.408	+3.319	13	298.3
26	Alex De Angelis	01:48.192	+4.103	10	289.1
27	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:48.449	+4.360	14	290.0

FP4 · 10.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:45.000	—	14	302.7
2	Valentino Rossi	01:45.175	+0.175	16	301.9
3	Marc Marquez	01:45.198	+0.198	16	308.2
4	Bradley Smith	01:45.207	+0.207	18	304.9
5	Andrea Iannone	01:45.290	+0.290	14	311.5
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:45.457	+0.457	15	306.5
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:45.617	+0.617	15	310.3
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:45.874	+0.874	13	297.0
9	Maverick Viñales	01:45.928	+0.928	15	301.7
10	Pol Espargaro	01:46.039	+1.039	15	304.9
11	Scott Redding	01:46.126	+1.126	14	302.0
12	Danilo Petrucci	01:46.549	+1.549	13	302.1
13	Takumi Takahashi	01:46.645	+1.645	16	302.6
14	Stefan Bradl	01:46.667	+1.667	14	296.7
15	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	01:46.705	+1.705	17	302.0
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:46.708	+1.708	13	304.2
17	Cal Crutchlow	01:46.728	+1.728	16	304.7
18	Jack Miller	01:46.807	+1.807	12	297.2
19	Nicky Hayden	01:46.951	+1.951	15	294.5
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:47.056	+2.056	14	299.0
21	Mike Di Meglio	01:47.095	+2.095	10	299.5
22	Toni Elias	01:47.159	+2.159	15	300.3
23	Eugene Laverty	01:47.170	+2.170	13	298.5
24	Hector Barbera	01:47.568	+2.568	9	305.3
25	Loris Baz	01:47.593	+2.593	14	290.0
26	Alex De Angelis	01:48.401	+3.401	4	285.4
27	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:48.709	+3.709	12	292.7

Q1 · 10.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	01:45.030	—	6	301.3
2	Scott Redding	01:45.259	+0.229	7	300.0
3	Stefan Bradl	01:45.432	+0.402	7	298.6
4	Yonny Hernandez	01:45.438	+0.408	7	303.7
5	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	01:45.496	+0.466	7	299.5
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:45.608	+0.578	7	299.3
7	Danilo Petrucci	01:45.691	+0.661	7	301.7
8	Hector Barbera	01:45.724	+0.694	7	306.2
9	Takumi Takahashi	01:45.743	+0.713	8	302.5
10	Eugene Laverty	01:45.751	+0.721	7	298.0
11	Nicky Hayden	01:45.843	+0.813	8	294.5
12	Jack Miller	01:46.039	+1.009	7	298.7
13	Loris Baz	01:46.048	+1.018	6	293.0
14	Mike Di Meglio	01:46.179	+1.149	7	300.3
15	Toni Elias	01:46.256	+1.226	7	299.7
16	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:47.760	+2.730	8	291.0
Retired	Alex De Angelis		—	0	0.0

Q2 · 10.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:43.790	—	8	302.9
2	Valentino Rossi	01:43.871	+0.081	7	303.3
3	Marc Marquez	01:44.216	+0.426	7	306.4
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:44.322	+0.532	7	309.7
5	Andrea Iannone	01:44.436	+0.646	7	312.4
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:44.582	+0.792	8	308.9
7	Aleix Espargaro	01:44.809	+1.019	7	296.7
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:44.932	+1.142	7	302.7
9	Bradley Smith	01:45.067	+1.277	5	304.7
10	Maverick Viñales	01:45.081	+1.291	6	300.2
11	Pol Espargaro	01:45.219	+1.429	8	301.8
12	Scott Redding	01:45.333	+1.543	7	301.0

Warm Up · 11.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.235	—	10	292.2
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.496	+0.261	10	294.1
3	Valentino Rossi	01:55.580	+0.345	10	294.8
4	Andrea Iannone	01:55.954	+0.719	9	300.0
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.963	+0.728	10	302.3
6	Aleix Espargaro	01:56.123	+0.888	10	293.7
7	Marc Marquez	01:56.150	+0.915	10	291.1
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.406	+1.171	10	289.3
9	Maverick Viñales	01:56.467	+1.232	10	296.8
10	Danilo Petrucci	01:56.533	+1.298	10	293.8
11	Jack Miller	01:56.564	+1.329	10	292.0
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:56.750	+1.515	10	295.5
13	Hector Barbera	01:57.061	+1.826	10	286.9
14	Pol Espargaro	01:57.127	+1.892	10	297.8
15	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	01:57.183	+1.948	10	294.7
16	Takumi Takahashi	01:57.252	+2.017	10	289.3
17	Nicky Hayden	01:57.304	+2.069	10	287.2
18	Bradley Smith	01:57.385	+2.150	10	292.6
19	Loris Baz	01:57.597	+2.362	10	284.4
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.888	+2.653	10	285.7
21	Scott Redding	01:58.118	+2.883	9	295.2
22	Eugene Laverty	01:58.123	+2.888	10	285.7
23	Mike Di Meglio	01:58.269	+3.034	10	290.1
24	Stefan Bradl	01:58.481	+3.246	10	288.1
25	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:59.532	+4.297	10	283.9
26	Toni Elias	02:03.929	+8.694	7	277.5
Retired	Alex De Angelis		—	0	0.0

Race · 11.10

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	46:50.767	25	24
2	Valentino Rossi	+8.573	20	24
3	Jorge Lorenzo	+12.127	16	24
4	Marc Marquez	+27.841	13	24
5	Andrea Dovizioso	+35.085	11	24
6	Cal Crutchlow	+37.263	10	24
7	Bradley Smith	+37.667	9	24
8	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	+44.654	8	24
9	Hector Barbera	+48.572	7	24
10	Scott Redding	+50.121	6	24
11	Aleix Espargaro	+60.535	5	24
12	Takumi Takahashi	+61.211	4	24
13	Nicky Hayden	+71.261	3	24
14	Yonny Hernandez	+73.896	2	24
15	Mike Di Meglio	+75.421	1	24
16	Alvaro Bautista	+80.507	0	24
17	Eugene Laverty	+91.224	0	24
18	Stefan Bradl	+106.833	0	24
19	Kousuke Akiyoshi	+120.072	0	24
20	Toni Elias	+0.000	0	23
Retired	Andrea Iannone		0	10
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		0	8
Retired	Jack Miller		0	16
Retired	Loris Baz		0	13
Retired	Maverick Viñales		0	13
Retired	Pol Espargaro		0	22

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Scott Redding	69%	2 ✓
2	Maverick Viñales	49%	1 ✓
3	Hector Barbera	39%	8
4	Danilo Petrucci	16%	7
5	Yonny Hernandez	14%	4
6	Takumi Takahashi	4%	9
7	Alvaro Bautista	8%	6
8	Nicky Hayden	0%	11
9	Katsuyuki Nakasuga	0%	5
10	Stefan Bradl	0%	3
11	Jack Miller	0%	12
12	Mike Di Meglio	0%	14
13	Eugene Laverty	0%	10
14	Loris Baz	0%	13
15	Toni Elias	0%	15
16	Kousuke Akiyoshi	—	16

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Jorge Lorenzo	47%	80%	96%	1
2	Andrea Iannone	22%	55%	86%	5
3	Andrea Dovizioso	18%	53%	90%	4
4	Marc Marquez	2%	31%	65%	3
5	Valentino Rossi	2%	33%	69%	2
6	Daniel Pedrosa	6%	18%	57%	6
7	Pol Espargaro	2%	14%	51%	11
8	Cal Crutchlow	0%	10%	27%	8
9	Bradley Smith	0%	2%	18%	9
10	Aleix Espargaro	0%	2%	16%	7
11	Scott Redding	0%	0%	10%	12
12	Maverick Viñales	0%	2%	17%	10

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Alex De Angelis	27	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Jorge Lorenzo	1	32%	65%	80%	91%	7%	3
Valentino Rossi	2	22%	56%	76%	90%	7%	2
Marc Marquez	3	14%	44%	63%	80%	16%	4
Andrea Dovizioso	4	12%	40%	62%	85%	9%	5
Andrea Iannone	5	6%	24%	45%	72%	21%	—
Daniel Pedrosa	6	5%	23%	47%	82%	9%	1
Aleix Espargaro	7	3%	16%	34%	72%	18%	11
Cal Crutchlow	8	2%	9%	23%	58%	29%	6
Bradley Smith	9	2%	7%	20%	68%	11%	7
Maverick Viñales	10	1%	6%	16%	62%	11%	—
Pol Espargaro	11	1%	3%	10%	47%	24%	—
Scott Redding	12	0%	2%	8%	47%	14%	10
Stefan Bradl	13	0%	2%	6%	35%	24%	18
Yonny Hernandez	14	0%	1%	4%	25%	30%	14
Katsuyuki Nakasuga	15	0%	1%	3%	27%	10%	8
Alvaro Bautista	16	0%	1%	2%	19%	19%	16
Danilo Petrucci	17	0%	0%	1%	12%	25%	—
Hector Barbera	18	0%	0%	1%	9%	16%	9
Takumi Takahashi	19	0%	0%	1%	6%	19%	12
Eugene Laverty	20	0%	0%	1%	4%	16%	17
Nicky Hayden	21	0%	0%	0%	3%	14%	13
Jack Miller	22	0%	0%	0%	1%	36%	—
Loris Baz	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	11%	—
Mike Di Meglio	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	19%	15
Toni Elias	25	0%	0%	0%	1%	18%	20
Kousuke Akiyoshi	26	0%	0%	0%	1%	11%	19
Alex De Angelis	27	0%	0%	0%	0%	22%	—

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,812 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.14%	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Marc Marquez +0.37%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.29%	Jorge Martin +0.38%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.48%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.24%	Marc Marquez +0.28%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.16%	Pedro Acosta +0.30%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.09%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%	Franco Morbidelli +0.34%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.24%	Luca Marini +0.32%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.27%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia	Marc Marquez +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.37%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Pedro Acosta +0.14%	Jorge Martin +0.21%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.32%	Brad Binder +0.65%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Pedro Acosta +0.43%
S4	Pedro Acosta	Enea Bastianini +0.24%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Jack Miller +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.49%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.15%	Brad Binder +0.23%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.14%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.29%	Augusto Fernandez +0.42%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.06%	Jack Miller +0.10%	Jorge Martin +0.15%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller	Jorge Martin +0.27%	Miguel Oliveira +0.38%
S2	Jack Miller	Aleix Espargaro +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.37%
S3	Jorge Martin	Jack Miller +0.28%	Marc Marquez +0.35%
S4	Jack Miller	Francesco Bagnaia +0.48%	Jorge Martin +0.63%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.11%	Alex Rins +0.18%	Fabio Quartararo +0.39%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Danilo Petrucci +0.33%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.15%	Franco Morbidelli +0.24%
S4	Marc Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.18%	Fabio Quartararo +0.61%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Andrea Dovizioso +0.21%	Alex Rins +0.34%
S2	Andrea Iannone +0.09%	Cal Crutchlow +0.35%	Maverick Viñales +0.50%
S3	Marc Marquez	Andrea Iannone +0.37%	Cal Crutchlow +0.40%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.02%	Marc Marquez +0.15%	Cal Crutchlow +0.25%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

An open track: the grid decides less here and there are more comebacks.

24/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

50%

Front row on the podium

0.77

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 50% of the time (between 22% and 79%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 6 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	263	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	249	−14
3	Marc Marquez	184	−79
4	Andrea Iannone	172	−91
5	Bradley Smith	143	−120
6	Andrea Dovizioso	139	−124

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

20/24

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

1.638 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Katsuyuki Nakasuga, from P17 to P12.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Nicky Hayden (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Jorge MartinDucati
2022Jack MillerDucati
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Marc MarquezHonda
2017Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2016Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 18% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	3/21	14%
2024	6/23	26%
2023	2/21	10%
2022	5/25	20%
2019	2/22	9%
2018	4/25	16%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet