Round 11 of 18 Aftermath

Czech Grand Prix 2015

5.403 m · since 1930

14.08 – 16.08.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	42:53.042	25
2	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+4.462	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+10.397	16
4	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	+13.071	13
5	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+15.650	11
6	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+15.725	10
7	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+21.821	9
8	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+23.240	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+43.784	7
10	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+45.261	6
11	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+49.973	5
12	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+50.174	4
13	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+54.437	3
14	Stefan Bradl	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+54.624	2
15	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+60.316	1
16	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+61.595	0
17	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+62.388	0
18	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+65.944	0
19	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+71.407	0
20	Claudio Corti	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+110.033	0
21	Karel Abraham	Honda	AB Motoracing	+122.655	0
DNF	Alex De Angelis	ART	Octo IodaRacing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	Retired	0
DNF	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	Retired	0
DNF	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Jorge Lorenzo · 34% ✓	Jorge Lorenzo · 34% · from P1	0.93 / 0.93	1.7 / 1.6

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

22/22

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

4.462 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P19 to P13.

Longest battle: Maverick Viñales vs Pol Espargaro (11 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:02:06		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:07:52	Alex De Angelis	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:09:36	Eugene Laverty	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:30:20	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:32:14	Maverick Viñales	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Nicky Hayden	21	16	+5
Danilo Petrucci	13	9	+4
Aleix Espargaro	15	12	+3
Hector Barbera	11	15	−4
Cal Crutchlow	10	13	−3
Alvaro Bautista	19	22	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Daniel Pedrosa	9→5	+3.0
Aleix Espargaro	15→9	+2.8
Jorge Lorenzo	1→1	+1.8
Karel Abraham	25→21	−2.8
Mike Di Meglio	17→18	−4.9
Hector Barbera	11→16	−6.7

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

23.7 °C

Air

max 23.9 °C

72%

Humidity

2.5 mm

Rain

8 km/h

Wind

gusts 35 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 14.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.499	—	15	307.8
2	Marc Marquez	01:56.650	+0.151	17	309.7
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.784	+0.285	17	312.0
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.821	+0.322	14	314.7
5	Andrea Iannone	01:56.914	+0.415	16	314.5
6	Valentino Rossi	01:57.038	+0.539	17	307.9
7	Bradley Smith	01:57.137	+0.638	18	310.5
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.597	+1.098	15	303.9
9	Maverick Viñales	01:57.753	+1.254	14	304.6
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.781	+1.282	16	309.9
11	Yonny Hernandez	01:57.983	+1.484	16	309.6
12	Pol Espargaro	01:58.195	+1.696	16	308.7
13	Scott Redding	01:58.365	+1.866	17	307.9
14	Hector Barbera	01:58.416	+1.917	12	308.3
15	Danilo Petrucci	01:58.445	+1.946	15	306.2
16	Nicky Hayden	01:58.549	+2.050	14	300.4
17	Mike Di Meglio	01:58.589	+2.090	14	306.7
18	Eugene Laverty	01:58.656	+2.157	18	301.6
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:58.669	+2.170	17	301.5
20	Loris Baz	01:58.720	+2.221	16	300.0
21	Stefan Bradl	01:59.434	+2.935	17	302.6
22	Jack Miller	01:59.559	+3.060	12	298.0
23	Claudio Corti	02:00.074	+3.575	16	299.7
24	Alex De Angelis	02:00.122	+3.623	17	293.5
25	Karel Abraham	02:01.881	+5.382	12	297.1

FP2 · 14.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:56.513	—	16	310.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.589	+0.076	16	307.3
3	Andrea Iannone	01:56.750	+0.237	19	314.6
4	Valentino Rossi	01:57.074	+0.561	13	304.9
5	Pol Espargaro	01:57.078	+0.565	16	309.1
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.178	+0.665	12	314.2
7	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.202	+0.689	15	301.5
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.229	+0.716	16	309.4
9	Bradley Smith	01:57.494	+0.981	16	310.5
10	Yonny Hernandez	01:57.544	+1.031	16	306.6
11	Danilo Petrucci	01:57.575	+1.062	16	306.5
12	Maverick Viñales	01:57.607	+1.094	16	304.3
13	Hector Barbera	01:57.718	+1.205	16	310.9
14	Scott Redding	01:57.860	+1.347	16	307.2
15	Stefan Bradl	01:58.484	+1.971	16	301.8
16	Jack Miller	01:58.512	+1.999	14	297.8
17	Daniel Pedrosa	01:58.631	+2.118	2	309.2
18	Loris Baz	01:58.678	+2.165	15	298.0
19	Nicky Hayden	01:58.812	+2.299	15	300.0
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:59.120	+2.607	14	300.4
21	Eugene Laverty	01:59.305	+2.792	12	301.0
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:59.482	+2.969	10	305.8
23	Alex De Angelis	01:59.680	+3.167	15	294.1
24	Claudio Corti	02:00.781	+4.268	12	299.9
25	Karel Abraham	02:01.261	+4.748	12	298.3

FP3 · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.476	—	14	308.7
2	Valentino Rossi	01:56.031	+0.555	17	308.3
3	Marc Marquez	01:56.044	+0.568	18	311.3
4	Bradley Smith	01:56.195	+0.719	18	310.7
5	Andrea Iannone	01:56.222	+0.746	18	316.4
6	Maverick Viñales	01:56.271	+0.795	18	306.6
7	Yonny Hernandez	01:56.351	+0.875	15	313.1
8	Hector Barbera	01:56.400	+0.924	12	311.0
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.429	+0.953	15	316.0
10	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.471	+0.995	19	309.7
11	Pol Espargaro	01:56.484	+1.008	18	309.8
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:56.533	+1.057	17	302.8
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.576	+1.100	15	309.1
14	Danilo Petrucci	01:56.756	+1.280	17	308.2
15	Scott Redding	01:56.822	+1.346	17	309.4
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.458	+1.982	18	303.2
17	Mike Di Meglio	01:57.463	+1.987	14	305.9
18	Eugene Laverty	01:57.849	+2.373	15	303.5
19	Stefan Bradl	01:57.910	+2.434	18	302.7
20	Jack Miller	01:58.090	+2.614	12	301.1
21	Alex De Angelis	01:58.239	+2.763	15	299.2
22	Loris Baz	01:58.256	+2.780	15	297.6
23	Nicky Hayden	01:58.280	+2.804	15	300.6
24	Karel Abraham	01:58.947	+3.471	13	302.7
25	Claudio Corti	01:59.165	+3.689	15	299.2

FP4 · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.274	—	12	306.0
2	Valentino Rossi	01:56.371	+0.097	12	305.6
3	Marc Marquez	01:56.449	+0.175	14	308.0
4	Andrea Iannone	01:56.511	+0.237	14	309.0
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.904	+0.630	12	311.7
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:57.248	+0.974	12	307.2
7	Pol Espargaro	01:57.371	+1.097	11	306.2
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.564	+1.290	11	299.2
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:57.719	+1.445	13	304.2
10	Bradley Smith	01:57.750	+1.476	13	306.9
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.779	+1.505	12	305.5
12	Maverick Viñales	01:57.867	+1.593	12	301.0
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.153	+1.879	11	306.3
14	Scott Redding	01:58.195	+1.921	13	305.4
15	Eugene Laverty	01:58.252	+1.978	13	299.9
16	Hector Barbera	01:58.255	+1.981	12	306.9
17	Nicky Hayden	01:58.493	+2.219	12	298.3
18	Mike Di Meglio	01:58.647	+2.373	10	302.9
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:58.721	+2.447	12	299.2
20	Stefan Bradl	01:58.728	+2.454	12	297.0
21	Jack Miller	01:59.007	+2.733	12	298.5
22	Alex De Angelis	01:59.087	+2.813	10	292.2
23	Loris Baz	01:59.303	+3.029	11	295.5
24	Claudio Corti	01:59.624	+3.350	11	296.3
25	Karel Abraham	02:00.354	+4.080	9	299.4

Q1 · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Pol Espargaro	01:56.212	—	6	305.3
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.538	+0.326	7	307.6
3	Danilo Petrucci	01:56.713	+0.501	6	301.7
4	Scott Redding	01:56.765	+0.553	6	303.5
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:56.806	+0.594	7	298.4
6	Stefan Bradl	01:57.133	+0.921	7	297.1
7	Mike Di Meglio	01:57.215	+1.003	7	302.0
8	Loris Baz	01:57.540	+1.328	6	296.1
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.552	+1.340	7	299.5
10	Eugene Laverty	01:57.634	+1.422	7	301.6
11	Nicky Hayden	01:57.645	+1.433	7	297.0
12	Jack Miller	01:57.855	+1.643	6	296.3
13	Alex De Angelis	01:58.599	+2.387	6	291.7
14	Claudio Corti	01:59.145	+2.933	7	297.8
15	Karel Abraham	01:59.903	+3.691	7	298.1

Q2 · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:54.989	—	7	307.6
2	Marc Marquez	01:55.063	+0.074	7	308.5
3	Valentino Rossi	01:55.353	+0.364	7	305.6
4	Andrea Iannone	01:55.390	+0.401	7	310.6
5	Bradley Smith	01:55.460	+0.471	7	308.5
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.935	+0.946	7	314.8
7	Maverick Viñales	01:55.954	+0.965	7	303.4
8	Pol Espargaro	01:55.955	+0.966	3	308.5
9	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.969	+0.980	7	309.1
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.192	+1.203	7	307.5
11	Hector Barbera	01:56.399	+1.410	7	309.1
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:56.739	+1.750	7	306.8

Warm Up · 16.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.048	—	10	310.7
2	Andrea Iannone	01:56.419	+0.371	9	312.5
3	Marc Marquez	01:56.543	+0.495	10	311.8
4	Valentino Rossi	01:56.593	+0.545	10	305.6
5	Bradley Smith	01:56.604	+0.556	10	309.8
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.607	+0.559	10	310.7
7	Pol Espargaro	01:57.113	+1.065	10	308.2
8	Maverick Viñales	01:57.114	+1.066	10	304.0
9	Yonny Hernandez	01:57.256	+1.208	10	309.0
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.357	+1.309	9	307.6
11	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.367	+1.319	9	312.5
12	Scott Redding	01:57.596	+1.548	10	306.4
13	Danilo Petrucci	01:57.801	+1.753	9	306.1
14	Jack Miller	01:57.895	+1.847	10	302.7
15	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.038	+1.990	10	302.3
16	Hector Barbera	01:58.230	+2.182	10	309.7
17	Stefan Bradl	01:58.292	+2.244	10	303.0
18	Nicky Hayden	01:58.299	+2.251	10	299.6
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:58.324	+2.276	10	302.5
20	Eugene Laverty	01:58.488	+2.440	9	302.5
21	Mike Di Meglio	01:58.575	+2.527	10	305.1
22	Loris Baz	01:58.857	+2.809	10	296.8
23	Alex De Angelis	01:59.132	+3.084	9	296.3
24	Claudio Corti	02:00.186	+4.138	10	297.2
25	Karel Abraham	02:00.677	+4.629	9	300.2

Race · 16.08

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	42:53.042	25	22
2	Marc Marquez	+4.462	20	22
3	Valentino Rossi	+10.397	16	22
4	Andrea Iannone	+13.071	13	22
5	Daniel Pedrosa	+15.650	11	22
6	Andrea Dovizioso	+15.725	10	22
7	Bradley Smith	+21.821	9	22
8	Pol Espargaro	+23.240	8	22
9	Aleix Espargaro	+43.784	7	22
10	Danilo Petrucci	+45.261	6	22
11	Yonny Hernandez	+49.973	5	22
12	Scott Redding	+50.174	4	22
13	Alvaro Bautista	+54.437	3	22
14	Stefan Bradl	+54.624	2	22
15	Loris Baz	+60.316	1	22
16	Hector Barbera	+61.595	0	22
17	Nicky Hayden	+62.388	0	22
18	Mike Di Meglio	+65.944	0	22
19	Jack Miller	+71.407	0	22
20	Claudio Corti	+110.033	0	22
21	Karel Abraham	+122.655	0	22
Retired	Alex De Angelis		0	3
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	14
Retired	Eugene Laverty		0	4
Retired	Maverick Viñales		0	15

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Pol Espargaro	71%	1 ✓
2	Aleix Espargaro	49%	5
3	Cal Crutchlow	38%	2 ✓
4	Danilo Petrucci	13%	3
5	Scott Redding	16%	4
6	Alvaro Bautista	4%	9
7	Mike Di Meglio	9%	7
8	Eugene Laverty	0%	10
9	Stefan Bradl	0%	6
10	Jack Miller	0%	12
11	Alex De Angelis	0%	13
12	Loris Baz	0%	8
13	Nicky Hayden	0%	11
14	Karel Abraham	0%	15
15	Claudio Corti	0%	14

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Jorge Lorenzo	44%	78%	96%	1
2	Valentino Rossi	22%	51%	84%	3
3	Marc Marquez	20%	53%	91%	2
4	Bradley Smith	2%	31%	64%	5
5	Andrea Iannone	2%	33%	69%	4
6	Maverick Viñales	7%	20%	58%	7
7	Yonny Hernandez	2%	16%	51%	12
8	Hector Barbera	0%	11%	27%	11
9	Andrea Dovizioso	0%	2%	18%	6
10	Daniel Pedrosa	0%	2%	16%	9
11	Pol Espargaro	0%	0%	11%	8
12	Cal Crutchlow	0%	3%	18%	10

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Jorge Lorenzo	1	34%	65%	81%	92%	6%	1
Marc Marquez	2	21%	52%	68%	83%	14%	2
Valentino Rossi	3	15%	48%	69%	88%	7%	3
Andrea Iannone	4	9%	31%	51%	71%	23%	4
Bradley Smith	5	7%	29%	52%	81%	12%	7
Andrea Dovizioso	6	5%	22%	45%	81%	10%	6
Maverick Viñales	7	4%	19%	40%	81%	7%	—
Pol Espargaro	8	3%	11%	25%	64%	21%	8
Daniel Pedrosa	9	1%	7%	21%	70%	10%	5
Cal Crutchlow	10	1%	5%	13%	50%	28%	—
Hector Barbera	11	1%	3%	10%	52%	16%	16
Yonny Hernandez	12	0%	2%	7%	38%	29%	11
Danilo Petrucci	13	0%	2%	5%	33%	24%	10
Scott Redding	14	0%	1%	4%	32%	15%	12
Aleix Espargaro	15	0%	1%	3%	25%	19%	9
Stefan Bradl	16	0%	1%	2%	18%	24%	14
Mike Di Meglio	17	0%	0%	1%	13%	21%	18
Loris Baz	18	0%	0%	1%	10%	14%	15
Alvaro Bautista	19	0%	0%	1%	6%	20%	13
Eugene Laverty	20	0%	0%	0%	5%	13%	—
Nicky Hayden	21	0%	0%	0%	3%	15%	17
Jack Miller	22	0%	0%	0%	2%	38%	19
Alex De Angelis	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	15%	—
Claudio Corti	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	27%	20
Karel Abraham	25	0%	0%	0%	0%	34%	21

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,401 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Maverick Viñales +0.47%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Raul Fernandez +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.34%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.10%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.38%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.46%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.34%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.43%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.49%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.11%	Raul Fernandez +0.24%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%	Joan Mir +0.42%
S4	Ai Ogura +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Pol Espargaro +0.34%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.05%	Raul Fernandez +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%
S3	Marc Marquez	Pedro Acosta +0.41%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.48%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.21%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.32%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.40%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.05%	Franco Morbidelli +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.24%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.06%	Franco Morbidelli +0.21%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.27%
S4	Pol Espargaro +0.09%	Johann Zarco +0.39%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.03%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Alex Rins +0.30%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.28%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.37%	Marc Marquez +0.41%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.10%	Cal Crutchlow +0.23%	Marc Marquez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Maverick Viñales +0.36%	Andrea Iannone +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez	Daniel Pedrosa +0.44%	Valentino Rossi +0.45%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Andrea Iannone +0.14%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.41%	Maverick Viñales +0.48%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

81/100

Position index

40%

Pole wins

60%

Front row on the podium

0.78

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 100% of the time (between 44% and 100%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 5 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	195	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	186	−9
3	Marc Marquez	139	−56
4	Andrea Iannone	129	−66
5	Bradley Smith	97	−98
6	Andrea Dovizioso	94	−101

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

17/22

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

0.410 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P14 to P10.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Andrea Iannone (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2020Brad BinderKTM
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2017Marc MarquezHonda
2016Cal CrutchlowHonda
2015Jorge LorenzoYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/20	15%
2025	3/21	14%
2020	3/21	14%
2019	3/23	13%
2018	5/25	20%
2017	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet