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Round 18 of 18 Aftermath

Valencia Grand Prix 2014

Circuit Ricardo Tormo Spain

4.005 m · 27 laps · since 1999
07.11 – 09.11.2014
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Marc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda Team46:39.62725
2Valentino RossiYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP+3.51620
3Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+14.04016
4Andrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati Team+16.70513
5Cal CrutchlowDucatiDucati Team+16.77311
6Pol EspargaroYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+37.88410
7Aleix EspargaroForward YamahaNGM Forward Racing+38.1689
8Stefan BradlHondaLCR Honda MotoGP+41.8038
9Michele PirroDucatiDucati Team+45.7107
10Scott ReddingHondaGO&FUN Honda Gresini+51.1916
11Hector BarberaDucatiAvintia Racing+56.5125
12Danilo PetrucciARTIodaRacing Project+57.0004
13Nicky HaydenHondaDrive M7 Aspar+57.2623
14Bradley SmithYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+57.5172
15Hiroshi AoyamaHondaDrive M7 Aspar+58.7751
16Alvaro BautistaHondaGO&FUN Honda Gresini+58.8640
17Karel AbrahamHondaCardion AB Motoracing+62.3890
18Alex De AngelisForward YamahaNGM Forward Racing+75.7950
19Michael LavertyPBMPaul Bird Motorsport+86.3090
20Broc ParkesPBMPaul Bird Motorsport+97.2120
21Mike Di MeglioAvintiaAvintia Racing+0.0000
22Andrea IannoneDucatiPramac Racing+0.0000
DNFJorge LorenzoYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGPRetired0
DNFRandy De PunietSuzukiTeam Suzuki MotoGPRetired0
DNFYonny HernandezDucatiEnergy T.I. Pramac RacingRetired0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

124
Overtakes
1
Lead changes
2 leaders
20/30
Laps led by the winner
Marc Marquez
3.516 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Danilo Petrucci, from P21 to P12.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Cal Crutchlow (17 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race14:03:05Red flagWhite flag displayed
Race14:03:36Jump startJump start
Race14:15:33Yonny HernandezRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:20:39Randy De PunietRetiredEntered pits and retired
Race14:28:50Bradley SmithCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:39:55Jorge LorenzoRetiredEntered pits and retired

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
17.6 °C
Air
max 17.9 °C
50%
Humidity
Dry
Rain
10 km/h
Wind
gusts 32 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 07.11
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:31.296—19325.0
2Jorge Lorenzo01:31.489+0.19319322.5
3Aleix Espargaro01:31.640+0.34417316.9
4Daniel Pedrosa01:31.647+0.35119329.0
5Valentino Rossi01:31.767+0.47121324.6
6Bradley Smith01:32.019+0.72322323.7
7Andrea Dovizioso01:32.071+0.77518324.3
8Hector Barbera01:32.153+0.85720322.5
9Pol Espargaro01:32.155+0.85922325.3
10Michele Pirro01:32.499+1.20318322.0
11Stefan Bradl01:32.544+1.24821327.2
12Yonny Hernandez01:32.698+1.40215320.7
13Cal Crutchlow01:32.700+1.40418322.2
14Alvaro Bautista01:32.711+1.41522324.7
15Andrea Iannone01:32.837+1.54120324.9
16Randy De Puniet01:33.345+2.04919306.5
17Scott Redding01:33.473+2.17719309.2
18Alex De Angelis01:33.523+2.22719325.9
19Nicky Hayden01:33.533+2.23720311.5
20Hiroshi Aoyama01:33.711+2.41520323.8
21Danilo Petrucci01:33.820+2.52423309.8
22Karel Abraham01:33.974+2.67818312.9
23Michael Laverty01:34.393+3.09719312.3
24Broc Parkes01:35.276+3.98015306.9
25Mike Di Meglio01:35.607+4.31117305.8
FP2 · 07.11
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:31.454—21327.5
2Andrea Dovizioso01:31.558+0.10419326.8
3Aleix Espargaro01:31.565+0.11116319.1
4Jorge Lorenzo01:31.568+0.11420325.2
5Cal Crutchlow01:31.731+0.27720327.4
6Daniel Pedrosa01:31.895+0.44121329.5
7Stefan Bradl01:31.935+0.48121326.8
8Pol Espargaro01:32.013+0.55921327.8
9Bradley Smith01:32.024+0.57021324.1
10Valentino Rossi01:32.049+0.59521323.0
11Hector Barbera01:32.194+0.74022325.4
12Michele Pirro01:32.267+0.81318324.6
13Andrea Iannone01:32.486+1.03219331.1
14Alex De Angelis01:32.562+1.10819320.5
15Yonny Hernandez01:32.689+1.23520322.5
16Karel Abraham01:32.725+1.27118314.6
17Scott Redding01:32.771+1.31721309.9
18Randy De Puniet01:32.799+1.34518312.5
19Alvaro Bautista01:32.860+1.40620327.5
20Nicky Hayden01:33.434+1.98018310.6
21Hiroshi Aoyama01:33.436+1.98221324.1
22Danilo Petrucci01:33.504+2.05019309.1
23Michael Laverty01:33.737+2.28317311.0
24Broc Parkes01:34.106+2.65219308.6
25Mike Di Meglio01:34.988+3.53417305.6
FP3 · 08.11
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:30.950—18328.0
2Pol Espargaro01:31.083+0.13322325.0
3Jorge Lorenzo01:31.146+0.19620322.7
4Andrea Iannone01:31.148+0.19820327.7
5Andrea Dovizioso01:31.159+0.20919330.7
6Daniel Pedrosa01:31.259+0.30923326.8
7Valentino Rossi01:31.318+0.36822323.7
8Aleix Espargaro01:31.389+0.43920317.6
9Cal Crutchlow01:31.408+0.45820328.0
10Bradley Smith01:31.469+0.51924325.0
11Stefan Bradl01:31.499+0.54922325.9
12Yonny Hernandez01:31.859+0.90919321.4
13Alvaro Bautista01:32.112+1.16222325.4
14Michele Pirro01:32.152+1.20218325.3
15Alex De Angelis01:32.169+1.21920317.0
16Hector Barbera01:32.374+1.42417323.8
17Hiroshi Aoyama01:32.513+1.56310321.5
18Karel Abraham01:32.585+1.63519310.8
19Nicky Hayden01:32.591+1.64118309.9
20Randy De Puniet01:32.611+1.66118307.1
21Scott Redding01:32.626+1.67618308.3
22Danilo Petrucci01:33.375+2.42515311.1
23Michael Laverty01:33.795+2.84518309.9
24Mike Di Meglio01:34.236+3.28619307.2
25Broc Parkes01:34.304+3.35418306.3
FP4 · 08.11
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:31.372—15330.2
2Daniel Pedrosa01:31.425+0.05314329.9
3Andrea Iannone01:31.696+0.32412330.2
4Jorge Lorenzo01:31.714+0.34214324.3
5Cal Crutchlow01:31.826+0.45415329.0
6Andrea Dovizioso01:31.870+0.49814327.7
7Valentino Rossi01:31.870+0.49816325.6
8Pol Espargaro01:31.937+0.56517324.7
9Stefan Bradl01:32.103+0.73114326.0
10Bradley Smith01:32.321+0.94918325.6
11Michele Pirro01:32.605+1.23313325.0
12Aleix Espargaro01:32.617+1.24511317.8
13Alvaro Bautista01:32.672+1.30015326.6
14Yonny Hernandez01:32.680+1.30813322.8
15Hector Barbera01:32.751+1.37914322.7
16Randy De Puniet01:32.936+1.56414311.9
17Hiroshi Aoyama01:33.058+1.68612324.6
18Scott Redding01:33.060+1.68815308.3
19Alex De Angelis01:33.147+1.77511322.7
20Danilo Petrucci01:33.204+1.83217308.3
21Nicky Hayden01:33.345+1.97315312.0
22Michael Laverty01:33.488+2.11615311.6
23Karel Abraham01:33.543+2.17113310.4
24Broc Parkes01:33.889+2.51714310.7
25Mike Di Meglio01:34.709+3.33714307.4
Q1 · 08.11
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Stefan Bradl01:31.506—5329.6
2Michele Pirro01:31.984+0.4788325.4
3Alvaro Bautista01:32.160+0.6549325.3
4Scott Redding01:32.315+0.8099310.6
5Yonny Hernandez01:32.321+0.8159320.4
6Nicky Hayden01:32.395+0.8899312.5
7Hector Barbera01:32.443+0.9378323.3
8Hiroshi Aoyama01:32.449+0.9439323.8
9Alex De Angelis01:32.453+0.9478325.4
10Randy De Puniet01:32.509+1.0039309.8
11Danilo Petrucci01:32.683+1.1779307.9
12Michael Laverty01:32.808+1.3029313.3
13Karel Abraham01:33.019+1.5139312.6
14Broc Parkes01:33.972+2.4669310.0
15Mike Di Meglio01:34.510+3.0049306.9
Q2 · 08.11
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Valentino Rossi01:30.843—8323.4
2Andrea Iannone01:30.975+0.1328329.8
3Daniel Pedrosa01:30.999+0.1569330.2
4Jorge Lorenzo01:31.049+0.2067324.1
5Marc Marquez01:31.144+0.3016328.6
6Pol Espargaro01:31.307+0.4649328.4
7Bradley Smith01:31.324+0.4819324.9
8Cal Crutchlow01:31.359+0.5168332.4
9Andrea Dovizioso01:31.426+0.5837329.3
10Stefan Bradl01:31.443+0.6009328.4
11Aleix Espargaro01:31.486+0.6439318.7
12Michele Pirro01:32.617+1.7748326.6
Warm Up · 09.11
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:31.675—9324.3
2Pol Espargaro01:31.734+0.05911325.2
3Jorge Lorenzo01:31.748+0.07313320.9
4Andrea Iannone01:31.792+0.11710324.9
5Valentino Rossi01:31.838+0.16313321.1
6Stefan Bradl01:32.108+0.4339324.7
7Bradley Smith01:32.137+0.46213322.8
8Aleix Espargaro01:32.140+0.4658318.3
9Cal Crutchlow01:32.255+0.58011326.0
10Andrea Dovizioso01:32.384+0.70911323.5
11Yonny Hernandez01:32.541+0.86610322.2
12Alvaro Bautista01:32.657+0.9829328.0
13Michele Pirro01:32.668+0.99310321.5
14Daniel Pedrosa01:32.694+1.01911329.3
15Hector Barbera01:32.736+1.06111321.4
16Nicky Hayden01:32.856+1.18111310.2
17Scott Redding01:32.998+1.32312306.9
18Hiroshi Aoyama01:33.106+1.4318319.8
19Alex De Angelis01:33.121+1.4469317.1
20Danilo Petrucci01:33.208+1.53310306.3
21Karel Abraham01:33.370+1.69511311.0
22Randy De Puniet01:33.934+2.2598307.2
23Broc Parkes01:34.293+2.6189308.8
24Michael Laverty01:34.904+3.22910306.7
25Mike Di Meglio01:35.196+3.52110302.3
Race · 09.11
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Marc Marquez46:39.6272530
2Valentino Rossi+3.5162030
3Daniel Pedrosa+14.0401630
4Andrea Dovizioso+16.7051330
5Cal Crutchlow+16.7731130
6Pol Espargaro+37.8841030
7Aleix Espargaro+38.168930
8Stefan Bradl+41.803830
9Michele Pirro+45.710730
10Scott Redding+51.191630
11Hector Barbera+56.512530
12Danilo Petrucci+57.000430
13Nicky Hayden+57.262330
14Bradley Smith+57.517230
15Hiroshi Aoyama+58.775130
16Alvaro Bautista+58.864030
17Karel Abraham+62.389030
18Alex De Angelis+75.795030
19Michael Laverty+86.309030
20Broc Parkes+97.212030
21Mike Di Meglio+0.000029
22Andrea Iannone+0.000029
RetiredJorge Lorenzo024
RetiredRandy De Puniet012
RetiredYonny Hernandez09

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a
Pred.RiderP(through)Actual in Q1
1Stefan Bradl79%1 ✓
2Yonny Hernandez47%5
3Alvaro Bautista38%3
4Michele Pirro12%2 ✓
5Hector Barbera15%7
6Alex De Angelis0%9
7Hiroshi Aoyama9%8
8Karel Abraham0%13
9Nicky Hayden0%6
10Randy De Puniet0%10
11Scott Redding0%4
12Danilo Petrucci0%11
13Michael Laverty0%12
14Broc Parkes0%14
15Mike Di Meglio—15

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6
S1 · MartinS2 · AcostaS3 · AcostaS4 · M. Marquez

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,007 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

91/100
Position index
43%
Pole wins
71%
Front row on the podium
0.83
Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 25% of the time (between 5% and 70%; 4 cases).

Descriptive, over 7 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

2013 edition

41
Overtakes
3
Lead changes
3 leaders
28/30
Laps led by the winner
Jorge Lorenzo
3.934 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P10 to P8.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Andrea Iannone (22 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2025Marco BezzecchiAprilia
  • 2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2022Alex RinsSuzuki
  • 2021Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2020Franco MorbidelliYamaha
  • 2019Marc MarquezHonda
  • 2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
  • 2017Daniel PedrosaHonda

Attrition here

Average here 24% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20257/2429%
20237/2133%
20227/2429%
20212/2010%
20203/2114%
20197/2232%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet