Round 8 of 18 Aftermath

German Grand Prix 2013

3.671 m · 30 laps · since 1998

12.07 – 14.07.2013

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	41:14.653	25
2	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+1.559	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+9.620	16
4	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+13.992	13
5	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+21.775	11
6	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+25.080	10
7	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+30.027	9
8	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+30.324	8
9	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+45.355	7
10	Michele Pirro	Ducati	Ignite Pramac Racing	+47.142	6
11	Hector Barbera	FTR	Avintia Blusens	+47.824	5
12	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+48.523	4
13	Colin Edwards	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+54.428	3
14	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	+60.323	2
15	Claudio Corti	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+65.530	1
16	Michael Laverty	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+69.153	0
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	FTR	Avintia Blusens	+75.601	0
18	Karel Abraham	ART	Cardion AB Motoracing	+79.683	0
19	Lukas Pesek	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	+0.000	0
DNF	Bryan Staring	FTR Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Yonny Hernandez	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

25/30

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

1.559 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Michele Pirro, from P14 to P10.

Longest battle: Aleix Espargaro vs Andrea Dovizioso (24 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Stefan Bradl (started P4).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Colin Edwards	17	13	+4
Michele Pirro	14	11	+3
Stefan Bradl	4	1	+3
Hector Barbera	13	16	−3
Marc Marquez	1	4	−3
Michael Laverty	15	18	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Alvaro Bautista	8→5	+2.3
Marc Marquez	1→1	+1.8
Cal Crutchlow	2→2	+1.5
Karel Abraham	18→18	−4.2
Danilo Petrucci	11→14	−4.7
Claudio Corti	10→15	−6.4

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

20.1 °C

Air

max 20.3 °C

57%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

9 km/h

Wind

gusts 28 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 12.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:22.047	—	20	290.4
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:22.221	+0.174	24	292.6
3	Valentino Rossi	01:22.241	+0.194	25	288.2
4	Marc Marquez	01:22.397	+0.350	22	291.1
5	Stefan Bradl	01:22.460	+0.413	23	292.3
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.469	+0.422	21	289.7
7	Aleix Espargaro	01:22.641	+0.594	22	278.9
8	Nicky Hayden	01:22.816	+0.769	21	287.2
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.882	+0.835	20	290.6
10	Andrea Dovizioso	01:23.068	+1.021	18	289.0
11	Randy De Puniet	01:23.131	+1.084	21	272.2
12	Andrea Iannone	01:23.578	+1.531	18	287.9
13	Hector Barbera	01:23.672	+1.625	20	274.9
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:23.695	+1.648	19	273.9
15	Bradley Smith	01:23.726	+1.679	24	285.3
16	Michele Pirro	01:23.868	+1.821	21	283.4
17	Colin Edwards	01:24.521	+2.474	19	278.4
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:24.575	+2.528	25	271.8
19	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:24.682	+2.635	20	279.0
20	Claudio Corti	01:24.728	+2.681	19	274.5
21	Bryan Staring	01:24.798	+2.751	22	270.5
22	Michael Laverty	01:25.129	+3.082	23	274.8
23	Karel Abraham	01:26.195	+4.148	13	275.4
24	Lukas Pesek	01:27.172	+5.125	19	262.5

FP2 · 12.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Stefan Bradl	01:22.030	—	23	291.5
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:22.239	+0.209	25	290.7
3	Marc Marquez	01:22.251	+0.221	23	289.8
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:22.252	+0.222	3	288.3
5	Valentino Rossi	01:22.395	+0.365	24	288.0
6	Nicky Hayden	01:22.572	+0.542	19	286.8
7	Aleix Espargaro	01:22.763	+0.733	20	276.1
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.850	+0.820	22	287.2
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.976	+0.946	23	289.0
10	Andrea Iannone	01:23.008	+0.978	22	286.0
11	Bradley Smith	01:23.040	+1.010	24	286.0
12	Randy De Puniet	01:23.255	+1.225	25	271.3
13	Michele Pirro	01:23.491	+1.461	19	282.1
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:23.524	+1.494	22	271.0
15	Hector Barbera	01:23.627	+1.597	24	274.1
16	Michael Laverty	01:23.636	+1.606	22	274.3
17	Danilo Petrucci	01:23.866	+1.836	26	275.0
18	Colin Edwards	01:23.911	+1.881	24	277.7
19	Cal Crutchlow	01:23.932	+1.902	6	287.5
20	Claudio Corti	01:24.078	+2.048	23	273.4
21	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:24.647	+2.617	24	276.9
22	Bryan Staring	01:24.862	+2.832	21	270.3
23	Lukas Pesek	01:25.568	+3.538	23	268.5
Retired	Karel Abraham		—	0	0.0

FP3 · 13.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:21.903	—	17	291.2
2	Aleix Espargaro	01:22.129	+0.226	18	280.3
3	Valentino Rossi	01:22.306	+0.403	23	286.5
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.377	+0.474	20	286.2
5	Stefan Bradl	01:22.389	+0.486	20	290.7
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.614	+0.711	21	290.7
7	Bradley Smith	01:22.758	+0.855	20	285.4
8	Nicky Hayden	01:22.874	+0.971	20	286.0
9	Andrea Iannone	01:23.031	+1.128	20	286.6
10	Andrea Dovizioso	01:23.063	+1.160	19	287.0
11	Randy De Puniet	01:23.174	+1.271	20	270.6
12	Claudio Corti	01:23.426	+1.523	19	276.2
13	Hector Barbera	01:23.556	+1.653	14	273.5
14	Michele Pirro	01:23.557	+1.654	17	281.9
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:23.745	+1.842	17	271.4
16	Danilo Petrucci	01:23.842	+1.939	22	275.5
17	Colin Edwards	01:23.978	+2.075	18	278.6
18	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:24.310	+2.407	20	278.2
19	Karel Abraham	01:24.555	+2.652	19	276.4
20	Michael Laverty	01:24.606	+2.703	18	276.8
21	Bryan Staring	01:25.873	+3.970	14	267.9
22	Lukas Pesek	01:27.617	+5.714	9	266.0
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0

FP4 · 13.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:21.978	—	18	286.3
2	Stefan Bradl	01:22.046	+0.068	18	290.0
3	Marc Marquez	01:22.115	+0.137	17	289.3
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.280	+0.302	16	286.4
5	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.556	+0.578	16	289.2
6	Aleix Espargaro	01:22.775	+0.797	16	276.4
7	Nicky Hayden	01:22.855	+0.877	16	286.0
8	Bradley Smith	01:22.980	+1.002	17	285.5
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:23.115	+1.137	17	286.2
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:23.238	+1.260	16	276.0
11	Claudio Corti	01:23.271	+1.293	15	274.6
12	Andrea Iannone	01:23.313	+1.335	5	286.9
13	Michele Pirro	01:23.468	+1.490	14	285.4
14	Randy De Puniet	01:23.532	+1.554	12	271.3
15	Colin Edwards	01:23.710	+1.732	16	277.3
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:23.754	+1.776	16	271.1
17	Michael Laverty	01:24.055	+2.077	14	275.9
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:24.108	+2.130	15	272.8
19	Karel Abraham	01:24.454	+2.476	15	273.5
20	Hector Barbera	01:24.578	+2.600	12	269.5
21	Bryan Staring	01:25.120	+3.142	14	269.2
22	Lukas Pesek	01:25.336	+3.358	13	267.0
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0

Q1 · 13.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Danilo Petrucci	01:23.100	—	10	272.7
2	Claudio Corti	01:23.148	+0.048	9	274.1
3	Randy De Puniet	01:23.152	+0.052	10	270.5
4	Hector Barbera	01:23.333	+0.233	9	274.3
5	Michele Pirro	01:23.349	+0.249	9	284.2
6	Michael Laverty	01:23.549	+0.449	10	276.7
7	Yonny Hernandez	01:23.565	+0.465	3	270.6
8	Colin Edwards	01:23.631	+0.531	10	278.3
9	Karel Abraham	01:23.752	+0.652	10	272.1
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:23.820	+0.720	10	276.5
11	Lukas Pesek	01:24.395	+1.295	9	267.2
12	Bryan Staring	01:27.273	+4.173	2	269.5
Retired	Andrea Iannone		—	0	0.0

Q2 · 13.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:21.311	—	10	291.1
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:21.434	+0.123	10	288.0
3	Valentino Rossi	01:21.493	+0.182	10	288.7
4	Stefan Bradl	01:21.862	+0.551	10	290.4
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:21.887	+0.576	8	278.0
6	Nicky Hayden	01:22.157	+0.846	10	286.8
7	Bradley Smith	01:22.297	+0.986	10	286.7
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.484	+1.173	9	290.7
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.561	+1.250	10	287.4
10	Claudio Corti	01:23.059	+1.748	8	275.7
11	Danilo Petrucci	01:23.361	+2.050	6	272.2
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0

Warm Up · 14.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:21.895	—	13	292.6
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.268	+0.373	13	288.0
3	Stefan Bradl	01:22.364	+0.469	14	291.7
4	Valentino Rossi	01:22.646	+0.751	14	287.6
5	Bradley Smith	01:22.672	+0.777	14	286.4
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.679	+0.784	14	291.7
7	Nicky Hayden	01:22.837	+0.942	11	286.2
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:23.283	+1.388	10	275.7
9	Randy De Puniet	01:23.318	+1.423	13	269.7
10	Claudio Corti	01:23.431	+1.536	14	274.9
11	Colin Edwards	01:23.560	+1.665	13	277.7
12	Hector Barbera	01:23.565	+1.670	14	276.9
13	Michele Pirro	01:23.592	+1.697	13	285.6
14	Andrea Dovizioso	01:23.622	+1.727	14	286.5
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:23.864	+1.969	5	271.3
16	Karel Abraham	01:23.950	+2.055	6	277.8
17	Danilo Petrucci	01:24.103	+2.208	11	272.2
18	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:24.476	+2.581	13	277.7
19	Bryan Staring	01:25.326	+3.431	11	271.6
20	Lukas Pesek	01:25.692	+3.797	10	267.5
21	Michael Laverty	01:26.669	+4.774	10	276.2
Retired	Andrea Iannone		—	0	0.0
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0

Race · 14.07

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Marc Marquez	41:14.653	25	30
2	Cal Crutchlow	+1.559	20	30
3	Valentino Rossi	+9.620	16	30
4	Stefan Bradl	+13.992	13	30
5	Alvaro Bautista	+21.775	11	30
6	Bradley Smith	+25.080	10	30
7	Andrea Dovizioso	+30.027	9	30
8	Aleix Espargaro	+30.324	8	30
9	Nicky Hayden	+45.355	7	30
10	Michele Pirro	+47.142	6	30
11	Hector Barbera	+47.824	5	30
12	Randy De Puniet	+48.523	4	30
13	Colin Edwards	+54.428	3	30
14	Danilo Petrucci	+60.323	2	30
15	Claudio Corti	+65.530	1	30
16	Michael Laverty	+69.153	0	30
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	+75.601	0	30
18	Karel Abraham	+79.683	0	30
19	Lukas Pesek	+0.000	0	29
Retired	Bryan Staring		0	27
Retired	Yonny Hernandez		0	1

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Randy De Puniet	—	3
2	Claudio Corti	—	2 ✓
3	Michele Pirro	—	5
4	Yonny Hernandez	—	7
5	Hector Barbera	—	4
6	Michael Laverty	—	6
7	Danilo Petrucci	—	1 ✓
8	Colin Edwards	—	8
9	Hiroshi Aoyama	—	10
10	Karel Abraham	—	9
11	Bryan Staring	—	12
12	Lukas Pesek	—	11

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Marc Marquez	—	—	—	1
2	Stefan Bradl	—	—	—	4
3	Aleix Espargaro	—	—	—	5
4	Valentino Rossi	—	—	—	3
5	Cal Crutchlow	—	—	—	2
6	Nicky Hayden	—	—	—	6
7	Alvaro Bautista	—	—	—	8
8	Bradley Smith	—	—	—	7
9	Andrea Dovizioso	—	—	—	9
10	Claudio Corti	—	—	—	10
11	Danilo Petrucci	—	—	—	11

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Andrea Iannone	23	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)
Race	Daniel Pedrosa	12	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 3,649 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.34%	Marc Marquez +0.38%	Jack Miller +0.44%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Jorge Martin +0.44%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.48%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.50%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.51%	Aleix Espargaro +0.52%
S4	Miguel Oliveira +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.31%	Aleix Espargaro +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.20%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.30%
S2	Raul Fernandez +0.09%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.21%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.07%	Raul Fernandez +0.14%	Alex Marquez +0.17%
S4	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.42%	Raul Fernandez +0.63%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.10%	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.24%
S2	Jack Miller +0.36%	Marc Marquez +0.59%	Alex Marquez +0.61%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.45%	Alex Marquez +0.56%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.26%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Franco Morbidelli +0.34%	Brad Binder +0.42%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.14%	Jorge Martin +0.26%	Miguel Oliveira +0.37%
S4	Miguel Oliveira	Marc Marquez +0.31%	Jorge Martin +0.56%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller +0.32%	Luca Marini +0.36%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.70%
S2	Johann Zarco	Jack Miller +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.28%
S3	Johann Zarco +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.29%	Jorge Martin +0.33%
S4	Miguel Oliveira	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Jorge Martin +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%
S2	Jack Miller +0.04%	Jorge Martin +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%
S3	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Miguel Oliveira +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%	Miguel Oliveira +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%	Joan Mir +0.88%
S2	Jack Miller +0.27%	Joan Mir +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.38%
S3	Takaaki Nakagami +0.11%	Miguel Oliveira +0.31%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S4	Miguel Oliveira +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.12%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%
S2	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.23%	Alex Rins +0.48%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.24%	Alex Rins +0.27%	Maverick Viñales +0.38%
S4	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.49%	Alex Rins +0.53%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.23%	Marc Marquez +0.26%
S2	Andrea Iannone +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Cal Crutchlow +0.24%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.28%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.39%	Danilo Petrucci +0.51%
S4	Alex Rins +0.12%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.13%	Andrea Iannone +0.14%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

95/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

38%

Front row on the podium

0.82

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 13% of the time (between 2% and 47%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Daniel Pedrosa	136	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	127	−9
3	Marc Marquez	113	−23
4	Cal Crutchlow	87	−49
5	Valentino Rossi	85	−51
6	Andrea Dovizioso	65	−71

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2012 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

13/30

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

14.996 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P21 to P7.

Longest battle: Casey Stoner vs Daniel Pedrosa (29 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Jorge MartinDucati
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Marc MarquezHonda
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/20	25%
2025	8/18	44%
2024	2/22	9%
2023	2/19	11%
2022	7/23	30%
2021	3/22	14%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet