Round 13 of 18 Aftermath

San Marino Grand Prix 2012

Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli San Marino

4.226 m · 27 laps · since 1980

14.09 – 16.09.2012

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	42:49.836	25
2	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+4.398	20
3	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+6.055	16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+6.058	13
5	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+7.543	11
6	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+13.272	10
7	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+40.907	9
8	Jonathan Rea	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+43.162	8
9	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+69.627	7
10	Michele Pirro	FTR	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+73.605	6
11	Colin Edwards	Suter	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+76.695	5
12	Yonny Hernandez	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+79.073	4
13	James Ellison	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	+79.408	3
14	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	+0.000	2
15	David Salom	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+0.000	1
DNF	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	Retired	0
DNF	Mattia Pasini	ART	Speed Master	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

27/27

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

4.398 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P6 to P2.

Longest battle: Stefan Bradl vs Valentino Rossi (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P2).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Colin Edwards	20	11	+9
Mattia Pasini	17	10	+7
Danilo Petrucci	19	14	+5
Randy De Puniet	12	15	−3
Cal Crutchlow	3	5	−2
Alvaro Bautista	5	7	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	6→2	+4.0
Colin Edwards	20→11	+4.0
Andrea Dovizioso	7→4	+2.7
Jonathan Rea	9→8	−0.0
James Ellison	16→13	−0.5
Stefan Bradl	4→6	−1.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

21.1 °C

Air

max 21.1 °C

65%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

11 km/h

Wind

gusts 24 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 14.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Danilo Petrucci	01:43.178	—	11	252.0
2	Michele Pirro	01:43.327	+0.149	13	261.5
3	James Ellison	01:45.730	+2.552	15	259.2
4	David Salom	01:46.886	+3.708	12	257.4
5	Ben Spies	01:48.298	+5.120	6	265.6
6	Nicky Hayden	01:48.409	+5.231	5	263.8
7	Yonny Hernandez	01:48.553	+5.375	9	254.6
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		—	0	0.0
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		—	0	0.0
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		—	0	0.0
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		—	0	0.0
—	Colin Edwards	01:53.064	+9.886	7	250.3
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0
Retired	Hector Barbera		—	0	0.0
Retired	Jonathan Rea		—	0	0.0
Retired	Jorge Lorenzo		—	0	0.0
Retired	Karel Abraham		—	0	0.0
—	Mattia Pasini	01:50.482	+7.304	9	258.7
Retired	Randy De Puniet		—	0	0.0
Retired	Stefan Bradl		—	0	0.0
Retired	Valentino Rossi		—	0	0.0

FP2 · 14.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Karel Abraham	01:42.030	—	14	273.6
2	James Ellison	01:43.204	+1.174	9	258.9
3	Michele Pirro	01:44.299	+2.269	7	257.5
4	Yonny Hernandez	01:44.565	+2.535	2	261.6
5	Jonathan Rea	01:44.999	+2.969	7	275.6
6	Danilo Petrucci	01:45.048	+3.018	9	250.6
7	David Salom	01:46.351	+4.321	7	259.3
8	Ben Spies	01:46.471	+4.441	4	266.5
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		—	0	0.0
—	Alvaro Bautista	01:50.977	+8.947	8	268.7
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		—	0	0.0
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		—	0	0.0
Retired	Colin Edwards		—	0	0.0
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0
Retired	Hector Barbera		—	0	0.0
Retired	Jorge Lorenzo		—	0	0.0
—	Mattia Pasini	01:50.641	+8.611	3	252.4
Retired	Nicky Hayden		—	0	0.0
—	Randy De Puniet	01:50.103	+8.073	3	255.5
Retired	Stefan Bradl		—	0	0.0
Retired	Valentino Rossi		—	0	0.0

FP3 · 15.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Alvaro Bautista	01:42.393	—	16	280.8
2	Valentino Rossi	01:43.452	+1.059	17	275.2
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:45.422	+3.029	14	271.6
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:46.120	+3.727	10	274.6
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:46.728	+4.335	10	273.3
6	Danilo Petrucci	01:46.790	+4.397	10	253.2
7	Stefan Bradl	01:46.840	+4.447	8	267.7
8	Michele Pirro	01:46.847	+4.454	5	261.3
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:46.970	+4.577	13	261.3
10	Nicky Hayden	01:47.130	+4.737	12	271.5
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:47.340	+4.947	10	275.6
12	Ben Spies	01:47.570	+5.177	8	268.9
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:48.139	+5.746	13	255.6
14	Karel Abraham	01:48.551	+6.158	10	270.9
15	Jonathan Rea	01:48.591	+6.198	13	273.2
16	Colin Edwards	01:48.962	+6.569	13	256.1
17	Mattia Pasini	01:49.072	+6.679	11	257.9
—	David Salom	01:49.964	+7.571	12	251.2
—	Hector Barbera	01:53.035	+10.642	9	258.7
Retired	James Ellison		—	0	0.0
—	Randy De Puniet	01:53.614	+11.221	4	254.7

Qualifying · 15.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.857	—	27	289.4
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.875	+0.018	24	284.1
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.001	+0.144	27	283.2
4	Stefan Bradl	01:34.221	+0.364	29	284.1
5	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.299	+0.442	27	283.4
6	Valentino Rossi	01:34.619	+0.762	28	280.7
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.916	+1.059	28	281.0
8	Ben Spies	01:34.988	+1.131	26	285.9
9	Jonathan Rea	01:35.358	+1.501	27	285.6
10	Nicky Hayden	01:35.401	+1.544	23	280.0
11	Karel Abraham	01:35.648	+1.791	26	281.9
12	Randy De Puniet	01:35.756	+1.899	25	269.1
13	Hector Barbera	01:36.048	+2.191	20	284.6
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:36.284	+2.427	22	268.7
15	Michele Pirro	01:36.340	+2.483	24	271.1
16	James Ellison	01:37.124	+3.267	26	266.1
17	Mattia Pasini	01:37.162	+3.305	21	267.1
18	Yonny Hernandez	01:37.316	+3.459	25	266.3
19	Danilo Petrucci	01:37.751	+3.894	22	265.0
20	Colin Edwards	01:38.068	+4.211	23	265.3
21	David Salom	01:40.075	+6.218	20	266.1

Warm Up · 16.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.470	—	13	286.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.480	+0.010	10	288.2
3	Ben Spies	01:34.596	+0.126	12	284.6
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.654	+0.184	12	281.7
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.763	+0.293	12	283.5
6	Stefan Bradl	01:34.891	+0.421	7	285.7
7	Valentino Rossi	01:35.374	+0.904	12	282.1
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.467	+0.997	12	286.9
9	Karel Abraham	01:35.678	+1.208	12	285.3
10	Randy De Puniet	01:35.856	+1.386	7	270.9
11	Nicky Hayden	01:36.429	+1.959	11	281.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:36.664	+2.194	11	270.9
13	Hector Barbera	01:36.682	+2.212	7	286.8
14	Michele Pirro	01:36.935	+2.465	10	270.9
15	Jonathan Rea	01:37.169	+2.699	11	286.7
16	Mattia Pasini	01:37.645	+3.175	11	268.2
17	Yonny Hernandez	01:37.766	+3.296	11	271.2
18	James Ellison	01:38.018	+3.548	11	267.5
19	Colin Edwards	01:38.313	+3.843	11	269.1
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:38.539	+4.069	10	264.8
21	David Salom	01:39.482	+5.012	9	268.1

Race · 16.09

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	42:49.836	25	27
2	Valentino Rossi	+4.398	20	27
3	Alvaro Bautista	+6.055	16	27
4	Andrea Dovizioso	+6.058	13	27
5	Ben Spies	+7.543	11	27
6	Stefan Bradl	+13.272	10	27
7	Nicky Hayden	+40.907	9	27
8	Jonathan Rea	+43.162	8	27
9	Randy De Puniet	+69.627	7	27
10	Michele Pirro	+73.605	6	27
11	Colin Edwards	+76.695	5	27
12	Yonny Hernandez	+79.073	4	27
13	James Ellison	+79.408	3	27
14	Danilo Petrucci	+0.000	2	26
15	David Salom	+0.000	1	26
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		0	23
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	4
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		0	0
Retired	Hector Barbera		0	0
Retired	Karel Abraham		0	0
Retired	Mattia Pasini		0	1

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,218 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.44%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.44%
S2	Pedro Acosta +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.37%	Jorge Martin +0.47%
S3	Marco Bezzecchi +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.42%	Fabio Quartararo +0.53%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.06%	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Jack Miller +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Alex Marquez +0.35%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Alex Marquez +0.31%
S3	Marco Bezzecchi	Fermin Aldeguer +0.48%	Raul Fernandez +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.27%	Jorge Martin +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi	Marc Marquez +0.24%	Fabio Quartararo +0.26%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.14%	Pedro Acosta +0.22%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.10%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.25%	Luca Marini +0.29%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.03%	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Enea Bastianini +0.32%	Fabio Quartararo +0.37%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.27%	Marc Marquez +0.38%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Jorge Martin +0.24%	Pedro Acosta +0.41%
S4	Marc Marquez	Franco Morbidelli +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Brad Binder +0.39%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%
S2	Jorge Martin	Daniel Pedrosa +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Marco Bezzecchi +0.23%	Luca Marini +0.29%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Jack Miller +0.47%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.12%	Maverick Viñales +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.34%	Enea Bastianini +0.55%
S3	Enea Bastianini +0.14%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%
S4	Jack Miller	Johann Zarco +0.40%	Fabio Quartararo +0.58%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Joan Mir +0.36%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.49%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.17%	Jack Miller +0.37%	Enea Bastianini +0.38%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.25%	Alex Rins +0.34%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.06%	Jack Miller +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.18%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.04%	Franco Morbidelli +0.10%	Fabio Quartararo +0.23%
S2	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%	Pol Espargaro +0.22%	Miguel Oliveira +0.35%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Pol Espargaro +0.59%
S4	Jack Miller +0.17%	Miguel Oliveira +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.56%	Marc Marquez +0.62%
S2	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.45%	Maverick Viñales +0.53%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Valentino Rossi +0.52%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Pol Espargaro +0.07%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.13%	Cal Crutchlow +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.32%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo	Andrea Dovizioso +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.54%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%	Cal Crutchlow +0.44%	Marc Marquez +0.45%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.19%	Jack Miller +0.20%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

An open track: the grid decides less here and there are more comebacks.

29/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.73

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 13% of the time (between 2% and 47%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	245	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	232	−13
3	Casey Stoner	186	−59
4	Andrea Dovizioso	150	−95
5	Cal Crutchlow	122	−123
6	Stefan Bradl	105	−140

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2011 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

28/28

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

7.299 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P11 to P7.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Marco Simoncelli (12 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Marc MarquezDucati
2023Jorge MartinDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2020Franco MorbidelliYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 19% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	7/21	33%
2025	7/23	30%
2024	3/22	14%
2023	4/23	17%
2022	4/25	16%
2021	3/24	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet