Round 9 of 18 Aftermath

German Grand Prix 2011

3.671 m · 30 laps · since 1998

15.07 – 17.07.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	41:12.482	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+1.477	20
3	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+1.568	16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+10.513	13
5	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+10.719	11
6	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+10.923	10
7	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+27.451	9
8	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+27.510	8
9	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+27.576	7
10	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+33.491	6
11	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	+38.944	5
12	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+39.148	4
13	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+39.415	3
14	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+39.477	2
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+54.516	1
16	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+72.335	0
17	Sylvain Guintoli	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+0.000	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

9/30

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

1.477 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P16 to P9.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Marco Simoncelli (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Toni Elias	14	10	+4
Andrea Dovizioso	6	3	+3
Jorge Lorenzo	3	1	+2
Randy De Puniet	9	13	−4
Karel Abraham	13	16	−3
Casey Stoner	1	4	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	16→9	+3.5
Daniel Pedrosa	2→1	+2.5
Jorge Lorenzo	3→2	+2.1
Cal Crutchlow	12→14	−4.1
Toni Elias	14→16	−4.8
Randy De Puniet	9→13	−5.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

20.7 °C

Air

max 21.2 °C

70%

Humidity

1.9 mm

Rain

18 km/h

Wind

gusts 45 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 15.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marco Simoncelli	01:22.823	—	23	277.5
2	Casey Stoner	01:23.004	+0.181	15	284.4
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:23.046	+0.223	24	278.6
4	Nicky Hayden	01:23.205	+0.382	22	278.2
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:23.355	+0.532	23	281.1
6	Karel Abraham	01:23.416	+0.593	23	272.1
7	Hector Barbera	01:23.433	+0.610	23	279.3
8	Randy De Puniet	01:23.534	+0.711	25	271.4
9	Ben Spies	01:23.558	+0.735	24	274.6
10	Colin Edwards	01:23.594	+0.771	20	277.1
11	Daniel Pedrosa	01:23.604	+0.781	19	282.7
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:23.989	+1.166	24	277.8
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:24.162	+1.339	22	276.5
14	Valentino Rossi	01:24.512	+1.689	11	275.2
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:24.620	+1.797	24	277.6
16	Toni Elias	01:26.060	+3.237	7	278.9
17	Loris Capirossi	01:26.334	+3.511	18	274.9

FP2 · 15.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marco Simoncelli	01:22.225	—	23	278.4
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:22.320	+0.095	24	279.4
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:22.432	+0.207	22	282.0
4	Casey Stoner	01:22.542	+0.317	19	282.7
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.654	+0.429	25	280.3
6	Nicky Hayden	01:22.882	+0.657	25	276.5
7	Ben Spies	01:22.894	+0.669	24	275.9
8	Randy De Puniet	01:23.037	+0.812	26	272.0
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:23.261	+1.036	25	277.6
10	Karel Abraham	01:23.352	+1.127	24	273.7
11	Colin Edwards	01:23.431	+1.206	21	275.8
12	Valentino Rossi	01:23.533	+1.308	20	277.1
13	Hector Barbera	01:23.625	+1.400	22	277.1
14	Cal Crutchlow	01:23.760	+1.535	21	276.9
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:23.906	+1.681	25	281.3
16	Toni Elias	01:24.304	+2.079	24	280.0
17	Sylvain Guintoli	01:25.964	+3.739	22	271.2

FP3 · 16.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:22.112	—	23	280.7
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:22.153	+0.041	22	283.9
3	Marco Simoncelli	01:22.159	+0.047	18	279.4
4	Casey Stoner	01:22.386	+0.274	21	283.9
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.441	+0.329	23	281.6
6	Nicky Hayden	01:22.500	+0.388	24	277.3
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.594	+0.482	25	280.4
8	Ben Spies	01:22.772	+0.660	22	275.2
9	Randy De Puniet	01:22.841	+0.729	25	274.2
10	Colin Edwards	01:23.118	+1.006	21	275.5
11	Karel Abraham	01:23.268	+1.156	21	274.0
12	Valentino Rossi	01:23.279	+1.167	26	279.2
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:23.296	+1.184	22	275.0
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:23.362	+1.250	24	281.5
15	Hector Barbera	01:23.393	+1.281	25	277.8
16	Toni Elias	01:24.246	+2.134	24	279.6
17	Sylvain Guintoli	01:25.975	+3.863	24	272.6

Qualifying · 16.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:21.681	—	27	283.4
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:21.933	+0.252	32	283.8
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:21.944	+0.263	33	279.2
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:21.954	+0.273	31	279.2
5	Ben Spies	01:22.056	+0.375	32	275.6
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.157	+0.476	34	283.1
7	Colin Edwards	01:22.368	+0.687	30	276.6
8	Nicky Hayden	01:22.388	+0.707	33	277.6
9	Randy De Puniet	01:22.503	+0.822	31	274.8
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.604	+0.923	36	279.9
11	Hector Barbera	01:22.676	+0.995	31	279.5
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.676	+0.995	26	274.5
13	Karel Abraham	01:23.164	+1.483	26	273.7
14	Toni Elias	01:23.201	+1.520	30	280.2
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:23.248	+1.567	33	280.2
16	Valentino Rossi	01:23.320	+1.639	30	279.1
17	Sylvain Guintoli	01:24.707	+3.026	28	273.8

Warm Up · 17.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:22.132	—	13	283.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:22.309	+0.177	14	279.2
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:22.412	+0.280	13	282.7
4	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.555	+0.423	11	281.0
5	Marco Simoncelli	01:22.587	+0.455	14	277.2
6	Ben Spies	01:22.603	+0.471	14	275.9
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.765	+0.633	14	281.0
8	Nicky Hayden	01:22.965	+0.833	14	274.3
9	Colin Edwards	01:22.967	+0.835	14	278.2
10	Randy De Puniet	01:23.163	+1.031	14	275.9
11	Valentino Rossi	01:23.260	+1.128	14	277.3
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:23.355	+1.223	13	280.2
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:23.358	+1.226	12	273.5
14	Hector Barbera	01:23.418	+1.286	14	279.9
15	Toni Elias	01:23.838	+1.706	13	278.3
16	Karel Abraham	01:24.154	+2.022	13	275.5
17	Sylvain Guintoli	01:25.739	+3.607	13	273.6

Race · 17.07

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	41:12.482	25	30
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+1.477	20	30
3	Casey Stoner	+1.568	16	30
4	Andrea Dovizioso	+10.513	13	30
5	Ben Spies	+10.719	11	30
6	Marco Simoncelli	+10.923	10	30
7	Alvaro Bautista	+27.451	9	30
8	Nicky Hayden	+27.510	8	30
9	Valentino Rossi	+27.576	7	30
10	Colin Edwards	+33.491	6	30
11	Hector Barbera	+38.944	5	30
12	Karel Abraham	+39.148	4	30
13	Randy De Puniet	+39.415	3	30
14	Cal Crutchlow	+39.477	2	30
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	+54.516	1	30
16	Toni Elias	+72.335	0	30
17	Sylvain Guintoli	+0.000	0	29

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 3,649 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.34%	Marc Marquez +0.38%	Jack Miller +0.44%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Jorge Martin +0.44%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.48%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.50%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.51%	Aleix Espargaro +0.52%
S4	Miguel Oliveira +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.31%	Aleix Espargaro +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.20%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.30%
S2	Raul Fernandez +0.09%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.21%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.07%	Raul Fernandez +0.14%	Alex Marquez +0.17%
S4	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.42%	Raul Fernandez +0.63%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.10%	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.24%
S2	Jack Miller +0.36%	Marc Marquez +0.59%	Alex Marquez +0.61%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.45%	Alex Marquez +0.56%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.26%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Franco Morbidelli +0.34%	Brad Binder +0.42%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.14%	Jorge Martin +0.26%	Miguel Oliveira +0.37%
S4	Miguel Oliveira	Marc Marquez +0.31%	Jorge Martin +0.56%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller +0.32%	Luca Marini +0.36%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.70%
S2	Johann Zarco	Jack Miller +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.28%
S3	Johann Zarco +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.29%	Jorge Martin +0.33%
S4	Miguel Oliveira	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Jorge Martin +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%
S2	Jack Miller +0.04%	Jorge Martin +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%
S3	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Miguel Oliveira +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%	Miguel Oliveira +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%	Joan Mir +0.88%
S2	Jack Miller +0.27%	Joan Mir +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.38%
S3	Takaaki Nakagami +0.11%	Miguel Oliveira +0.31%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S4	Miguel Oliveira +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.12%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%
S2	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.23%	Alex Rins +0.48%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.24%	Alex Rins +0.27%	Maverick Viñales +0.38%
S4	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.49%	Alex Rins +0.53%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.23%	Marc Marquez +0.26%
S2	Andrea Iannone +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Cal Crutchlow +0.24%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.28%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.39%	Danilo Petrucci +0.51%
S4	Alex Rins +0.12%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.13%	Andrea Iannone +0.14%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

95/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

38%

Front row on the podium

0.82

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 13% of the time (between 2% and 47%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Casey Stoner	152	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	133	−19
3	Andrea Dovizioso	119	−33
4	Valentino Rossi	91	−61
5	Nicky Hayden	77	−75
6	Ben Spies	74	−78

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

13/21

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

3.355 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P15 to P7.

Longest battle: Loris Capirossi vs Roger Lee Hayden (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Jorge MartinDucati
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Marc MarquezHonda
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/20	25%
2025	8/18	44%
2024	2/22	9%
2023	2/19	11%
2022	7/23	30%
2021	3/22	14%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet