Round 3 of 18 Aftermath

Argentine Grand Prix 2015

4.805 m · 25 laps · since 2014

17.04 – 19.04.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	41:35.644	25
2	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+5.685	20
3	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+8.298	16
4	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	+8.352	13
5	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+10.192	11
6	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+19.876	10
7	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+24.333	9
8	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+27.670	8
9	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+34.397	7
10	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+34.808	6
11	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+40.206	5
12	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+42.654	4
13	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+42.729	3
14	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Athinà Forward Racing	+42.853	2
15	Stefan Bradl	Yamaha Forward	Athinà Forward Racing	+43.037	1
16	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+43.252	0
17	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+43.400	0
18	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+43.808	0
19	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+44.878	0
20	Marco Melandri	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+56.236	0
21	Karel Abraham	Honda	AB Motoracing	+63.371	0
22	Alex De Angelis	ART	Octo IodaRacing Team	+68.444	0
DNF	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Marc Marquez · 29%	Valentino Rossi · 3% · from P8	0.81 / 0.81	3.0 / 3.7

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

2/25

Laps led by the winner

Valentino Rossi

5.685 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Pol Espargaro, from P18 to P8.

Longest battle: Andrea Iannone vs Cal Crutchlow (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	16:02:51		Jump start	jump start
Race	16:11:26	Yonny Hernandez	Retired	retired
Race	16:39:51	Marc Marquez	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK
Race	16:43:10	Hiroshi Aoyama	Crash	crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Marc Marquez (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Jack Miller	21	15	+6
Loris Baz	22	16	+6
Pol Espargaro	18	13	+5
Hiroshi Aoyama	15	22	−7
Hector Barbera	12	17	−5
Alvaro Bautista	19	24	−5

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	8→1	+6.3
Pol Espargaro	18→8	+5.8
Andrea Dovizioso	6→2	+4.0
Alvaro Bautista	19→19	−4.6
Eugene Laverty	14→17	−5.8
Karel Abraham	17→21	−7.9

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

25.7 °C

Air

max 25.8 °C

59%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

5 km/h

Wind

gusts 18 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 17.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Aleix Espargaro	01:40.806	—	16	314.4
2	Andrea Iannone	01:41.379	+0.573	15	324.0
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.527	+0.721	17	323.0
4	Yonny Hernandez	01:41.785	+0.979	17	323.3
5	Scott Redding	01:41.884	+1.078	15	319.4
6	Nicky Hayden	01:41.932	+1.126	15	315.2
7	Maverick Viñales	01:42.174	+1.368	16	317.0
8	Mike Di Meglio	01:42.246	+1.440	13	321.8
9	Jack Miller	01:42.391	+1.585	18	317.5
10	Marc Marquez	01:42.605	+1.799	14	328.0
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:42.828	+2.022	16	314.8
12	Hector Barbera	01:43.297	+2.491	15	324.4
13	Alex De Angelis	01:43.330	+2.524	16	305.6
14	Valentino Rossi	01:43.373	+2.567	15	320.4
15	Pol Espargaro	01:43.390	+2.584	16	319.6
16	Cal Crutchlow	01:43.891	+3.085	15	320.5
17	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.300	+3.494	18	322.5
18	Eugene Laverty	01:44.313	+3.507	19	318.0
19	Marco Melandri	01:44.572	+3.766	14	306.3
20	Jorge Lorenzo	01:44.750	+3.944	14	319.9
21	Karel Abraham	01:45.001	+4.195	15	313.4
22	Bradley Smith	01:45.237	+4.431	17	322.3
23	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:45.688	+4.882	18	323.2
24	Stefan Bradl	01:45.747	+4.941	16	316.0
25	Loris Baz	01:46.239	+5.433	16	311.7

FP2 · 17.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Aleix Espargaro	01:38.776	—	14	316.1
2	Andrea Iannone	01:39.311	+0.535	16	329.8
3	Marc Marquez	01:39.336	+0.560	15	331.9
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:39.403	+0.627	17	324.2
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:39.434	+0.658	16	325.2
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.463	+0.687	18	323.5
7	Pol Espargaro	01:39.648	+0.872	19	327.2
8	Scott Redding	01:39.892	+1.116	17	322.0
9	Valentino Rossi	01:39.947	+1.171	18	323.7
10	Yonny Hernandez	01:40.088	+1.312	14	325.5
11	Maverick Viñales	01:40.126	+1.350	16	318.6
12	Bradley Smith	01:40.195	+1.419	22	327.0
13	Danilo Petrucci	01:40.438	+1.662	17	326.5
14	Nicky Hayden	01:40.522	+1.746	16	317.3
15	Karel Abraham	01:40.586	+1.810	18	317.0
16	Hector Barbera	01:40.626	+1.850	13	327.7
17	Stefan Bradl	01:40.672	+1.896	17	323.4
18	Eugene Laverty	01:40.846	+2.070	16	317.8
19	Jack Miller	01:40.864	+2.088	17	320.3
20	Alex De Angelis	01:41.152	+2.376	18	309.5
21	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:41.380	+2.604	18	325.7
22	Alvaro Bautista	01:41.490	+2.714	17	317.5
23	Mike Di Meglio	01:41.531	+2.755	13	322.9
24	Marco Melandri	01:41.576	+2.800	17	317.2
25	Loris Baz	01:41.784	+3.008	16	317.4

FP3 · 18.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:38.602	—	19	330.4
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:38.658	+0.056	19	322.6
3	Andrea Iannone	01:38.791	+0.189	18	327.2
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:38.818	+0.216	17	325.8
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:38.919	+0.317	17	315.8
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:38.952	+0.350	19	322.9
7	Valentino Rossi	01:39.019	+0.417	21	324.6
8	Danilo Petrucci	01:39.197	+0.595	17	324.7
9	Maverick Viñales	01:39.253	+0.651	16	317.6
10	Scott Redding	01:39.312	+0.710	19	324.0
11	Pol Espargaro	01:39.326	+0.724	19	326.0
12	Eugene Laverty	01:39.362	+0.760	18	319.2
13	Bradley Smith	01:39.471	+0.869	22	326.5
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:39.728	+1.126	19	326.8
15	Nicky Hayden	01:39.762	+1.160	17	319.1
16	Hector Barbera	01:39.794	+1.192	17	326.2
17	Stefan Bradl	01:39.812	+1.210	19	325.0
18	Alvaro Bautista	01:39.938	+1.336	17	319.3
19	Jack Miller	01:39.999	+1.397	18	322.3
20	Karel Abraham	01:40.135	+1.533	16	317.8
21	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:40.188	+1.586	20	326.7
22	Mike Di Meglio	01:40.255	+1.653	20	326.9
23	Marco Melandri	01:40.532	+1.930	18	318.5
24	Loris Baz	01:40.805	+2.203	19	316.1
25	Alex De Angelis	01:41.565	+2.963	19	310.5

FP4 · 18.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:39.265	—	14	327.5
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:39.444	+0.179	15	322.6
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.506	+0.241	15	321.5
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:39.614	+0.349	14	323.6
5	Valentino Rossi	01:39.666	+0.401	15	322.2
6	Yonny Hernandez	01:39.918	+0.653	11	325.2
7	Andrea Iannone	01:39.963	+0.698	13	325.3
8	Scott Redding	01:40.006	+0.741	13	322.3
9	Pol Espargaro	01:40.047	+0.782	16	325.0
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:40.080	+0.815	13	315.4
11	Maverick Viñales	01:40.225	+0.960	12	313.3
12	Bradley Smith	01:40.394	+1.129	16	325.2
13	Eugene Laverty	01:40.451	+1.186	15	316.1
14	Hector Barbera	01:40.576	+1.311	9	327.2
15	Danilo Petrucci	01:40.601	+1.336	11	323.3
16	Nicky Hayden	01:40.672	+1.407	13	314.4
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.727	+1.462	13	313.1
18	Stefan Bradl	01:40.738	+1.473	14	321.9
19	Loris Baz	01:40.819	+1.554	14	316.7
20	Jack Miller	01:40.860	+1.595	14	319.4
21	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:40.862	+1.597	14	325.0
22	Alex De Angelis	01:41.083	+1.818	13	312.4
23	Karel Abraham	01:41.105	+1.840	11	315.2
24	Mike Di Meglio	01:41.121	+1.856	11	323.8
25	Marco Melandri	01:41.125	+1.860	11	313.8

Q1 · 18.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Bradley Smith	01:38.956	—	7	325.7
2	Hector Barbera	01:39.320	+0.364	6	324.1
3	Yonny Hernandez	01:39.405	+0.449	7	321.3
4	Eugene Laverty	01:39.434	+0.478	8	314.0
5	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:39.715	+0.759	8	325.6
6	Stefan Bradl	01:39.734	+0.778	8	318.6
7	Karel Abraham	01:39.758	+0.802	8	315.3
8	Pol Espargaro	01:39.808	+0.852	8	319.4
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:39.828	+0.872	8	310.6
10	Nicky Hayden	01:39.876	+0.920	8	314.7
11	Jack Miller	01:39.888	+0.932	8	320.1
12	Loris Baz	01:39.972	+1.016	8	312.3
13	Mike Di Meglio	01:40.133	+1.177	7	320.3
14	Marco Melandri	01:40.403	+1.447	7	315.7
15	Alex De Angelis	01:40.485	+1.529	8	309.8

Q2 · 18.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:37.802	—	9	326.0
2	Aleix Espargaro	01:38.316	+0.514	9	312.3
3	Andrea Iannone	01:38.467	+0.665	8	328.1
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:38.485	+0.683	7	323.5
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:38.485	+0.683	8	320.0
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:38.520	+0.718	7	318.3
7	Danilo Petrucci	01:38.786	+0.984	7	323.2
8	Valentino Rossi	01:38.890	+1.088	8	317.0
9	Maverick Viñales	01:39.187	+1.385	8	314.4
10	Bradley Smith	01:39.197	+1.395	8	322.7
11	Scott Redding	01:39.380	+1.578	7	321.3
12	Hector Barbera	01:40.526	+2.724	9	321.7

Warm Up · 19.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:38.671	—	12	326.2
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:39.011	+0.340	10	327.0
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.039	+0.368	13	320.5
4	Andrea Iannone	01:39.062	+0.391	12	329.0
5	Valentino Rossi	01:39.398	+0.727	12	317.5
6	Pol Espargaro	01:39.526	+0.855	12	322.7
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:39.577	+0.906	12	327.7
8	Scott Redding	01:39.716	+1.045	12	323.7
9	Yonny Hernandez	01:39.733	+1.062	11	321.0
10	Bradley Smith	01:39.770	+1.099	12	324.4
11	Aleix Espargaro	01:40.014	+1.343	10	316.6
12	Nicky Hayden	01:40.189	+1.518	11	315.7
13	Eugene Laverty	01:40.262	+1.591	10	319.0
14	Karel Abraham	01:40.264	+1.593	11	319.2
15	Stefan Bradl	01:40.393	+1.722	11	320.4
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:40.394	+1.723	10	324.4
17	Mike Di Meglio	01:40.530	+1.859	8	324.2
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:40.554	+1.883	11	323.4
19	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.653	+1.982	12	313.4
20	Alex De Angelis	01:40.663	+1.992	12	310.0
21	Jack Miller	01:40.765	+2.094	11	318.3
22	Hector Barbera	01:40.831	+2.160	10	321.6
23	Loris Baz	01:40.850	+2.179	12	313.6
24	Marco Melandri	01:40.862	+2.191	12	314.7
25	Maverick Viñales	01:41.237	+2.566	12	316.0

Race · 19.04

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Valentino Rossi	41:35.644	25	25
2	Andrea Dovizioso	+5.685	20	25
3	Cal Crutchlow	+8.298	16	25
4	Andrea Iannone	+8.352	13	25
5	Jorge Lorenzo	+10.192	11	25
6	Bradley Smith	+19.876	10	25
7	Aleix Espargaro	+24.333	9	25
8	Pol Espargaro	+27.670	8	25
9	Scott Redding	+34.397	7	25
10	Maverick Viñales	+34.808	6	25
11	Danilo Petrucci	+40.206	5	25
12	Jack Miller	+42.654	4	25
13	Hector Barbera	+42.729	3	25
14	Loris Baz	+42.853	2	25
15	Stefan Bradl	+43.037	1	25
16	Nicky Hayden	+43.252	0	25
17	Eugene Laverty	+43.400	0	25
18	Mike Di Meglio	+43.808	0	25
19	Alvaro Bautista	+44.878	0	25
20	Marco Melandri	+56.236	0	25
21	Karel Abraham	+63.371	0	25
22	Alex De Angelis	+68.444	0	25
Retired	Hiroshi Aoyama		0	24
Retired	Marc Marquez		0	23
Retired	Yonny Hernandez		0	6

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Pol Espargaro	78%	8
2	Eugene Laverty	46%	4
3	Bradley Smith	35%	1 ✓
4	Yonny Hernandez	14%	3
5	Nicky Hayden	14%	10
6	Hector Barbera	3%	2 ✓
7	Stefan Bradl	11%	6
8	Alvaro Bautista	0%	9
9	Jack Miller	0%	11
10	Karel Abraham	0%	7
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	0%	5
12	Mike Di Meglio	0%	13
13	Marco Melandri	0%	14
14	Loris Baz	0%	12
15	Alex De Angelis	—	15

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Marc Marquez	41%	73%	95%	1
2	Cal Crutchlow	22%	54%	84%	4
3	Aleix Espargaro	24%	57%	95%	2
4	Andrea Iannone	3%	30%	62%	3
5	Andrea Dovizioso	3%	35%	70%	6
6	Jorge Lorenzo	5%	19%	54%	5
7	Valentino Rossi	3%	16%	57%	8
8	Danilo Petrucci	0%	11%	30%	7
9	Maverick Viñales	0%	3%	16%	9
10	Scott Redding	0%	3%	19%	11
11	Bradley Smith	0%	0%	8%	10
12	Hector Barbera	0%	0%	13%	12

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Marc Marquez	1	29%	59%	74%	85%	9%	—
Aleix Espargaro	2	21%	51%	66%	80%	17%	7
Andrea Iannone	3	12%	37%	52%	68%	27%	4
Cal Crutchlow	4	9%	32%	50%	67%	27%	3
Jorge Lorenzo	5	9%	34%	58%	85%	7%	5
Andrea Dovizioso	6	6%	26%	48%	81%	7%	2
Danilo Petrucci	7	4%	15%	32%	61%	28%	11
Valentino Rossi	8	3%	14%	35%	77%	8%	1
Maverick Viñales	9	2%	9%	23%	65%	14%	10
Bradley Smith	10	1%	6%	17%	61%	14%	6
Scott Redding	11	1%	5%	14%	58%	12%	9
Hector Barbera	12	1%	4%	9%	49%	16%	13
Yonny Hernandez	13	1%	2%	7%	35%	29%	—
Eugene Laverty	14	0%	2%	5%	34%	14%	17
Hiroshi Aoyama	15	0%	1%	4%	31%	6%	—
Stefan Bradl	16	0%	1%	3%	20%	22%	15
Karel Abraham	17	0%	0%	1%	11%	33%	21
Pol Espargaro	18	0%	0%	1%	10%	24%	8
Alvaro Bautista	19	0%	0%	1%	7%	22%	19
Nicky Hayden	20	0%	0%	1%	6%	14%	16
Jack Miller	21	0%	0%	0%	3%	27%	12
Loris Baz	22	0%	0%	0%	3%	14%	14
Mike Di Meglio	23	0%	0%	0%	2%	20%	18
Marco Melandri	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	17%	20
Alex De Angelis	25	0%	0%	0%	1%	11%	22

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,820 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.06%	Cal Crutchlow +0.31%	Pedro Acosta +0.38%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi +0.16%	Marc Marquez +0.31%	Cal Crutchlow +0.31%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Alex Marquez +0.37%	Maverick Viñales +0.38%
S4	Marc Marquez	Jorge Martin +0.30%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.43%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Alex Marquez +0.03%	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.02%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%	Marc Marquez +0.33%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.03%	Alex Marquez +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.28%
S4	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.24%	Johann Zarco +0.47%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.25%	Alex Rins +0.42%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.44%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.27%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.48%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.79%
S3	Aleix Espargaro	Maverick Viñales +0.05%	Jorge Martin +0.44%
S4	Takaaki Nakagami +0.10%	Luca Marini +0.13%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Brad Binder +0.25%	Aleix Espargaro +0.27%	Pol Espargaro +0.34%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi	Aleix Espargaro +0.00%	Alex Rins +0.32%
S3	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.12%	Fabio Quartararo +0.25%
S4	Brad Binder	Takaaki Nakagami +0.27%	Jorge Martin +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.08%	Franco Morbidelli +0.27%
S2	Jack Miller +0.04%	Cal Crutchlow +0.16%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%
S3	Marc Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.23%	Jack Miller +0.42%
S4	Marc Marquez	Valentino Rossi +0.32%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.43%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Cal Crutchlow +0.22%	Valentino Rossi +0.58%
S2	Danilo Petrucci	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Cal Crutchlow +0.47%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.14%	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Cal Crutchlow +0.30%
S4	Marc Marquez	Andrea Iannone +0.39%	Cal Crutchlow +0.93%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

An open track: the grid decides less here and there are more comebacks.

10/100

Position index

60%

Pole wins

60%

Front row on the podium

0.69

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 20% of the time (between 4% and 62%; 5 cases).

Descriptive, over 5 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	41	—
2	Andrea Dovizioso	40	−1
3	Marc Marquez	36	−5
4	Andrea Iannone	27	−14
5	Jorge Lorenzo	26	−15
6	Cal Crutchlow	18	−23

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

9/25

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

1.837 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hiroshi Aoyama, from P16 to P10.

Longest battle: Colin Edwards vs Michael Laverty (13 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Marc MarquezDucati
2023Marco BezzecchiDucati
2022Aleix EspargaroAprilia
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Cal CrutchlowHonda
2017Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2016Marc MarquezHonda
2015Valentino RossiYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 17% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	2/20	10%
2023	0/17	0%
2022	4/24	17%
2019	5/22	23%
2018	3/24	13%
2017	7/23	30%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet