Round 12 of 18 Aftermath

British Grand Prix 2014

5.900 m · 20 laps · since 1977

29.08 – 31.08.2014

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	40:51.835	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+0.732	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+8.519	16
4	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+8.694	13
5	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+9.238	11
6	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+24.746	10
7	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+26.717	9
8	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+26.910	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	+33.455	7
10	Scott Redding	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+39.094	6
11	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Energy T.I. Pramac Racing	+40.255	5
12	Cal Crutchlow	Ducati	Ducati Team	+43.027	4
13	Karel Abraham	Honda	Cardion AB Motoracing	+52.245	3
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	+58.981	2
15	Alex De Angelis	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	+59.164	1
16	Leon Camier	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	+65.680	0
17	Michael Laverty	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+70.939	0
18	Danilo Petrucci	ART	IodaRacing Project	+76.834	0
19	Hector Barbera	Avintia	Avintia Racing	+76.904	0
20	Mike Di Meglio	Avintia	Avintia Racing	+94.939	0
21	Broc Parkes	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+98.442	0
22	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+0.000	0
DNF	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

5/20

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

0.732 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Michele Pirro, from P13 to P10.

Longest battle: Jorge Lorenzo vs Marc Marquez (20 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	13:02:43		Jump start	Jump start
Race	13:40:41	Alvaro Bautista	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Michael Laverty	20	16	+4
Leon Camier	18	15	+3
Mike Di Meglio	22	19	+3
Alex De Angelis	17	21	−4
Karel Abraham	14	17	−3
Hiroshi Aoyama	16	18	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	6→3	+3.0
Jorge Lorenzo	3→2	+2.1
Marc Marquez	1→1	+1.8
Broc Parkes	23→21	−4.0
Aleix Espargaro	4→9	−4.2
Bradley Smith	7→22	−15.3

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

17.6 °C

Air

max 17.8 °C

57%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

16 km/h

Wind

gusts 36 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 29.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:03.208	—	16	318.0
2	Andrea Iannone	02:03.869	+0.661	15	318.7
3	Andrea Dovizioso	02:04.052	+0.844	13	316.6
4	Alvaro Bautista	02:04.187	+0.979	14	320.0
5	Aleix Espargaro	02:04.212	+1.004	13	310.1
6	Stefan Bradl	02:04.232	+1.024	17	318.8
7	Jorge Lorenzo	02:04.240	+1.032	14	313.6
8	Valentino Rossi	02:04.281	+1.073	15	315.4
9	Yonny Hernandez	02:04.301	+1.093	16	315.8
10	Daniel Pedrosa	02:04.338	+1.130	14	316.9
11	Bradley Smith	02:04.609	+1.401	16	317.2
12	Pol Espargaro	02:04.628	+1.420	19	319.2
13	Cal Crutchlow	02:05.130	+1.922	15	319.4
14	Scott Redding	02:05.503	+2.295	16	303.0
15	Karel Abraham	02:06.085	+2.877	14	306.7
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:06.250	+3.042	19	309.4
17	Alex De Angelis	02:06.333	+3.125	18	308.6
18	Danilo Petrucci	02:07.761	+4.553	15	301.5
19	Leon Camier	02:07.774	+4.566	16	301.7
20	Hector Barbera	02:08.358	+5.150	16	302.0
21	Mike Di Meglio	02:09.056	+5.848	12	301.8
22	Broc Parkes	02:10.042	+6.834	13	297.4
—	Michael Laverty	02:11.919	+8.711	10	299.0

FP2 · 29.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:02.126	—	16	318.0
2	Stefan Bradl	02:02.635	+0.509	18	319.1
3	Andrea Dovizioso	02:03.011	+0.885	14	318.3
4	Bradley Smith	02:03.070	+0.944	17	317.9
5	Yonny Hernandez	02:03.327	+1.201	17	316.8
6	Scott Redding	02:03.333	+1.207	16	308.6
7	Andrea Iannone	02:03.353	+1.227	15	318.2
8	Alvaro Bautista	02:03.391	+1.265	16	319.0
9	Daniel Pedrosa	02:03.410	+1.284	15	319.8
10	Aleix Espargaro	02:03.468	+1.342	15	311.3
11	Jorge Lorenzo	02:03.500	+1.374	14	315.6
12	Pol Espargaro	02:03.542	+1.416	17	321.5
13	Valentino Rossi	02:03.952	+1.826	15	314.9
14	Cal Crutchlow	02:04.057	+1.931	15	318.4
15	Alex De Angelis	02:04.411	+2.285	16	307.6
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:04.762	+2.636	14	307.9
17	Leon Camier	02:04.928	+2.802	12	304.5
18	Karel Abraham	02:05.002	+2.876	14	308.4
19	Danilo Petrucci	02:05.827	+3.701	15	297.6
20	Michael Laverty	02:06.335	+4.209	15	301.4
21	Hector Barbera	02:06.369	+4.243	16	304.0
22	Broc Parkes	02:07.855	+5.729	14	298.4
23	Mike Di Meglio	02:08.397	+6.271	15	300.5

FP3 · 30.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:01.906	—	12	322.5
2	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.940	+0.034	15	322.9
3	Daniel Pedrosa	02:02.116	+0.210	16	323.4
4	Valentino Rossi	02:02.243	+0.337	18	319.5
5	Jorge Lorenzo	02:02.359	+0.453	15	320.5
6	Pol Espargaro	02:02.368	+0.462	18	324.9
7	Stefan Bradl	02:02.564	+0.658	15	324.5
8	Bradley Smith	02:02.605	+0.699	16	323.6
9	Andrea Iannone	02:02.726	+0.820	17	323.7
10	Aleix Espargaro	02:02.886	+0.980	14	313.7
11	Alvaro Bautista	02:02.912	+1.006	16	322.5
12	Yonny Hernandez	02:02.912	+1.006	17	320.3
13	Scott Redding	02:03.368	+1.462	16	307.3
14	Karel Abraham	02:03.845	+1.939	16	310.7
15	Cal Crutchlow	02:04.319	+2.413	18	321.2
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:04.350	+2.444	14	314.5
17	Alex De Angelis	02:04.655	+2.749	18	316.1
18	Leon Camier	02:04.735	+2.829	13	305.3
19	Michael Laverty	02:05.732	+3.826	13	305.4
20	Danilo Petrucci	02:06.021	+4.115	16	302.3
21	Hector Barbera	02:06.053	+4.147	13	306.2
22	Mike Di Meglio	02:06.909	+5.003	14	300.3
23	Broc Parkes	02:07.648	+5.742	14	301.0

FP4 · 30.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:02.346	—	12	325.3
2	Andrea Dovizioso	02:02.610	+0.264	11	323.5
3	Daniel Pedrosa	02:02.749	+0.403	11	323.7
4	Valentino Rossi	02:02.762	+0.416	13	320.3
5	Andrea Iannone	02:02.946	+0.600	12	322.3
6	Jorge Lorenzo	02:02.998	+0.652	13	322.1
7	Bradley Smith	02:03.049	+0.703	14	322.5
8	Stefan Bradl	02:03.198	+0.852	9	321.9
9	Pol Espargaro	02:03.277	+0.931	13	320.1
10	Aleix Espargaro	02:03.486	+1.140	9	315.6
11	Alvaro Bautista	02:03.695	+1.349	12	323.4
12	Scott Redding	02:03.840	+1.494	11	307.9
13	Cal Crutchlow	02:03.894	+1.548	12	321.2
14	Leon Camier	02:04.190	+1.844	11	308.6
15	Karel Abraham	02:04.360	+2.014	10	310.6
16	Yonny Hernandez	02:04.529	+2.183	9	319.8
17	Alex De Angelis	02:04.532	+2.186	13	315.5
18	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:04.935	+2.589	12	312.9
19	Danilo Petrucci	02:05.893	+3.547	12	302.0
20	Hector Barbera	02:06.007	+3.661	10	308.2
21	Michael Laverty	02:06.060	+3.714	8	304.6
22	Broc Parkes	02:06.966	+4.620	7	306.4
23	Mike Di Meglio	02:07.027	+4.681	9	304.1

Q1 · 30.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Scott Redding	02:02.639	—	7	307.4
2	Alvaro Bautista	02:02.699	+0.060	7	321.4
3	Yonny Hernandez	02:03.046	+0.407	7	318.8
4	Karel Abraham	02:03.206	+0.567	7	309.6
5	Cal Crutchlow	02:03.407	+0.768	6	322.0
6	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:03.563	+0.924	7	312.1
7	Alex De Angelis	02:03.686	+1.047	6	319.2
8	Leon Camier	02:03.696	+1.057	5	309.8
9	Danilo Petrucci	02:04.755	+2.116	7	298.5
10	Michael Laverty	02:04.836	+2.197	7	308.1
11	Hector Barbera	02:04.957	+2.318	6	310.5
12	Mike Di Meglio	02:05.451	+2.812	6	305.0
13	Broc Parkes	02:06.106	+3.467	7	306.1

Q2 · 30.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:00.829	—	7	322.7
2	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.140	+0.311	5	326.4
3	Jorge Lorenzo	02:01.175	+0.346	7	320.4
4	Aleix Espargaro	02:01.448	+0.619	6	314.5
5	Daniel Pedrosa	02:01.464	+0.635	7	322.6
6	Valentino Rossi	02:01.550	+0.721	7	322.9
7	Bradley Smith	02:01.593	+0.764	7	321.8
8	Pol Espargaro	02:01.747	+0.918	7	321.6
9	Stefan Bradl	02:01.973	+1.144	7	325.4
10	Andrea Iannone	02:02.064	+1.235	5	320.9
11	Scott Redding	02:02.116	+1.287	7	310.4
12	Alvaro Bautista	02:03.618	+2.789	5	320.2

Warm Up · 31.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:02.506	—	9	321.2
2	Jorge Lorenzo	02:02.821	+0.315	9	320.9
3	Pol Espargaro	02:03.068	+0.562	10	326.4
4	Daniel Pedrosa	02:03.072	+0.566	10	321.6
5	Valentino Rossi	02:03.091	+0.585	10	321.0
6	Aleix Espargaro	02:03.104	+0.598	8	319.8
7	Stefan Bradl	02:03.198	+0.692	10	322.8
8	Bradley Smith	02:03.377	+0.871	10	321.9
9	Alvaro Bautista	02:03.568	+1.062	8	320.8
10	Andrea Dovizioso	02:03.632	+1.126	9	323.3
11	Scott Redding	02:03.746	+1.240	10	306.7
12	Andrea Iannone	02:03.754	+1.248	9	322.1
13	Yonny Hernandez	02:03.851	+1.345	9	321.6
14	Karel Abraham	02:04.066	+1.560	10	310.7
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:04.493	+1.987	10	314.1
16	Cal Crutchlow	02:05.128	+2.622	9	320.8
17	Leon Camier	02:05.337	+2.831	8	308.2
18	Hector Barbera	02:05.724	+3.218	9	310.5
19	Danilo Petrucci	02:05.744	+3.238	9	306.2
20	Mike Di Meglio	02:06.010	+3.504	10	303.9
21	Michael Laverty	02:06.754	+4.248	9	309.3
22	Broc Parkes	02:06.898	+4.392	8	304.9
23	Alex De Angelis	02:11.705	+9.199	2	320.3

Race · 31.08

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Marc Marquez	40:51.835	25	20
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+0.732	20	20
3	Valentino Rossi	+8.519	16	20
4	Daniel Pedrosa	+8.694	13	20
5	Andrea Dovizioso	+9.238	11	20
6	Pol Espargaro	+24.746	10	20
7	Stefan Bradl	+26.717	9	20
8	Andrea Iannone	+26.910	8	20
9	Aleix Espargaro	+33.455	7	20
10	Scott Redding	+39.094	6	20
11	Yonny Hernandez	+40.255	5	20
12	Cal Crutchlow	+43.027	4	20
13	Karel Abraham	+52.245	3	20
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	+58.981	2	20
15	Alex De Angelis	+59.164	1	20
16	Leon Camier	+65.680	0	20
17	Michael Laverty	+70.939	0	20
18	Danilo Petrucci	+76.834	0	20
19	Hector Barbera	+76.904	0	20
20	Mike Di Meglio	+94.939	0	20
21	Broc Parkes	+98.442	0	20
22	Bradley Smith	+0.000	0	19
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		0	18

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Alvaro Bautista	79%	2 ✓
2	Yonny Hernandez	46%	3
3	Scott Redding	39%	1 ✓
4	Karel Abraham	11%	4
5	Cal Crutchlow	18%	5
6	Leon Camier	0%	8
7	Hiroshi Aoyama	7%	6
8	Alex De Angelis	0%	7
9	Michael Laverty	0%	10
10	Danilo Petrucci	0%	9
11	Hector Barbera	0%	11
12	Mike Di Meglio	0%	12
13	Broc Parkes	0%	13

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Marc Marquez	43%	71%	93%	1
2	Andrea Dovizioso	21%	57%	89%	2
3	Daniel Pedrosa	25%	54%	93%	5
4	Valentino Rossi	4%	36%	61%	6
5	Jorge Lorenzo	4%	39%	75%	3
6	Pol Espargaro	4%	18%	54%	8
7	Stefan Bradl	0%	14%	57%	9
8	Bradley Smith	0%	7%	29%	7
9	Andrea Iannone	0%	0%	11%	10
10	Aleix Espargaro	0%	4%	21%	4
11	Alvaro Bautista	0%	0%	4%	12
12	Scott Redding	0%	0%	17%	11

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,905 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.38%	Marc Marquez +0.50%	Pedro Acosta +0.52%
S2	Maverick Viñales +0.28%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.32%	Alex Marquez +0.40%
S3	Ai Ogura +0.14%	Fabio Quartararo +0.42%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.42%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.36%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Raul Fernandez +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.28%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.32%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi +0.04%	Alex Marquez +0.06%	Raul Fernandez +0.19%
S3	Raul Fernandez +0.00%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.07%	Ai Ogura +0.09%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.14%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.29%	Jorge Martin +0.29%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.19%	Alex Marquez +0.40%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.06%	Johann Zarco +0.16%	Marc Marquez +0.27%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Fermin Aldeguer +0.42%	Marc Marquez +0.44%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.18%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.37%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.39%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.17%	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Marc Marquez +0.22%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.15%	Aleix Espargaro +0.22%	Jack Miller +0.29%
S3	Aleix Espargaro +0.19%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.24%	Enea Bastianini +0.27%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.04%	Aleix Espargaro +0.05%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.10%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.51%	Luca Marini +0.56%	Jorge Martin +0.68%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.37%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.41%	Miguel Oliveira +0.45%
S3	Brad Binder +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.23%	Johann Zarco +0.24%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.08%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.23%	Aleix Espargaro +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Alex Rins +0.05%	Aleix Espargaro +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.25%
S2	Alex Rins +0.11%	Maverick Viñales +0.14%	Jack Miller +0.28%
S3	Johann Zarco +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.30%	Maverick Viñales +0.32%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.23%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%	Jack Miller +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Pol Espargaro +0.41%	Aleix Espargaro +0.41%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.21%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.09%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%	Jack Miller +0.37%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Aleix Espargaro +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.25%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.32%	Alex Rins +0.42%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Alex Rins +0.53%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.20%	Cal Crutchlow +0.28%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.04%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Cal Crutchlow +0.49%
S2	Maverick Viñales	Andrea Dovizioso +0.30%	Cal Crutchlow +0.35%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.22%	Marc Marquez +0.25%	Maverick Viñales +0.30%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Cal Crutchlow +0.31%	Johann Zarco +0.55%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

48/100

Position index

Pole wins

38%

Front row on the podium

0.72

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 33% of the time (between 6% and 79%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 7 races (2019–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Marc Marquez	263	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	186	−77
3	Valentino Rossi	173	−90
4	Jorge Lorenzo	137	−126
5	Andrea Dovizioso	118	−145
6	Aleix Espargaro	85	−178

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2013 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

19/20

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

0.081 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Andrea Iannone, from P16 to P11.

Longest battle: Jorge Lorenzo vs Marc Marquez (20 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Raul FernandezAprilia
2025Marco BezzecchiAprilia
2024Enea BastianiniDucati
2023Aleix EspargaroAprilia
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Alex RinsSuzuki
2017Andrea DoviziosoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	7/23	30%
2025	3/22	14%
2024	4/22	18%
2023	5/22	23%
2022	2/24	8%
2021	2/21	10%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet