Round 11 of 18 Aftermath

Czech Grand Prix 2014

5.403 m · since 1930

15.08 – 17.08.2014

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	42:47.800	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+0.410	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+5.259	16
4	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+10.454	13
5	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+17.639	11
6	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+17.834	10
7	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+23.819	9
8	Aleix Espargaro	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	+29.621	8
9	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+30.364	7
10	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+37.639	6
11	Scott Redding	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+55.604	5
12	Michele Pirro	Ducati	Ducati Team	+56.727	4
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	+56.908	3
14	Karel Abraham	Honda	Cardion AB Motoracing	+64.135	2
15	Leon Camier	Honda	Drive M7 Aspar	+64.902	1
16	Alex De Angelis	Forward Yamaha	NGM Forward Racing	+80.666	0
17	Hector Barbera	Avintia	Avintia Racing	+84.282	0
18	Mike Di Meglio	Avintia	Avintia Racing	+87.436	0
19	Broc Parkes	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+98.867	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Danilo Petrucci	ART	IodaRacing Project	Retired	0
DNF	Michael Laverty	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	Retired	0
DNF	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Energy T.I. Pramac Racing	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

17/22

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

0.410 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P14 to P10.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Andrea Iannone (18 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	14:02:01		Jump start	Jump start
Race	14:03:44	Cal Crutchlow	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:11:20	Yonny Hernandez	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:13:51	Michael Laverty	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:14:06	Pol Espargaro	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	14:16:21	Cal Crutchlow	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	14:42:53	Danilo Petrucci	Retired	Retired

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Andrea Iannone (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Jorge Lorenzo	6	3	+3
Mike Di Meglio	24	22	+2
Andrea Iannone	3	1	+2
Bradley Smith	4	9	−5
Marc Marquez	1	5	−4
Danilo Petrucci	19	21	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Daniel Pedrosa	5→1	+4.4
Jorge Lorenzo	6→2	+4.0
Valentino Rossi	7→3	+3.7
Broc Parkes	23→19	−2.0
Andrea Dovizioso	2→6	−2.5
Bradley Smith	4→9	−4.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

18.6 °C

Air

max 19.1 °C

53%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

14 km/h

Wind

gusts 35 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:56.803	—	17	310.7
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.840	+0.037	15	306.9
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.855	+0.052	17	312.5
4	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.002	+0.199	15	302.6
5	Valentino Rossi	01:57.065	+0.262	18	308.6
6	Stefan Bradl	01:57.084	+0.281	18	312.0
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.169	+0.366	15	305.8
8	Yonny Hernandez	01:57.190	+0.387	17	306.9
9	Pol Espargaro	01:57.634	+0.831	18	309.6
10	Bradley Smith	01:57.816	+1.013	16	306.8
11	Michele Pirro	01:58.040	+1.237	14	309.6
12	Andrea Iannone	01:58.061	+1.258	14	304.6
13	Scott Redding	01:58.301	+1.498	15	295.0
14	Cal Crutchlow	01:58.340	+1.537	16	305.8
15	Alvaro Bautista	01:58.698	+1.895	16	309.0
16	Hector Barbera	01:58.714	+1.911	14	298.4
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.895	+2.092	18	299.0
18	Karel Abraham	01:59.216	+2.413	15	298.0
19	Alex De Angelis	01:59.959	+3.156	18	302.4
20	Mike Di Meglio	02:00.240	+3.437	13	294.5
21	Michael Laverty	02:00.345	+3.542	16	296.2
22	Leon Camier	02:00.445	+3.642	16	290.7
23	Danilo Petrucci	02:00.497	+3.694	14	293.1
24	Broc Parkes	02:00.752	+3.949	16	291.0

FP2 · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Iannone	02:03.179	—	12	302.1
2	Hector Barbera	02:04.462	+1.283	12	288.5
3	Marc Marquez	02:07.846	+4.667	12	292.4
4	Daniel Pedrosa	02:07.848	+4.669	13	297.6
5	Valentino Rossi	02:08.827	+5.648	12	305.6
6	Cal Crutchlow	02:08.981	+5.802	11	304.3
7	Jorge Lorenzo	02:09.114	+5.935	14	290.0
8	Pol Espargaro	02:09.412	+6.233	15	306.9
9	Bradley Smith	02:09.722	+6.543	15	299.9
10	Stefan Bradl	02:09.747	+6.568	13	304.4
11	Scott Redding	02:09.869	+6.690	13	292.4
12	Andrea Dovizioso	02:10.174	+6.995	10	304.3
13	Yonny Hernandez	02:10.217	+7.038	13	297.5
14	Danilo Petrucci	02:10.264	+7.085	12	290.7
15	Aleix Espargaro	02:10.556	+7.377	14	294.1
16	Karel Abraham	02:10.668	+7.489	12	284.5
17	Michele Pirro	02:10.828	+7.649	11	293.6
18	Alvaro Bautista	02:11.004	+7.825	14	286.7
19	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:11.019	+7.840	15	290.4
20	Michael Laverty	02:11.337	+8.158	10	282.3
21	Broc Parkes	02:11.741	+8.562	10	285.5
—	Alex De Angelis	02:15.514	+12.335	13	300.0
—	Leon Camier	02:12.934	+9.755	14	282.7
—	Mike Di Meglio	02:12.270	+9.091	12	290.7

FP3 · 16.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.282	—	17	309.4
2	Marc Marquez	01:56.599	+0.317	15	307.4
3	Bradley Smith	01:56.780	+0.498	18	306.2
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.786	+0.504	16	306.2
5	Valentino Rossi	01:56.791	+0.509	16	302.8
6	Andrea Iannone	01:56.816	+0.534	14	308.5
7	Pol Espargaro	01:56.825	+0.543	17	305.9
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.882	+0.600	15	309.1
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.016	+0.734	16	305.3
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.090	+0.808	14	301.0
11	Stefan Bradl	01:57.091	+0.809	17	311.1
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.494	+1.212	18	309.3
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:57.517	+1.235	15	304.0
14	Michele Pirro	01:57.785	+1.503	13	306.3
15	Scott Redding	01:57.790	+1.508	16	293.3
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.865	+2.583	18	295.8
17	Karel Abraham	01:59.153	+2.871	15	295.4
18	Hector Barbera	01:59.561	+3.279	11	291.5
19	Leon Camier	01:59.593	+3.311	17	289.2
20	Alex De Angelis	01:59.889	+3.607	17	300.9
21	Mike Di Meglio	02:00.117	+3.835	17	291.3
22	Danilo Petrucci	02:00.173	+3.891	15	287.5
23	Michael Laverty	02:00.895	+4.613	14	291.6
24	Broc Parkes	02:01.293	+5.011	13	288.2

FP4 · 16.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Valentino Rossi	01:56.207	—	5	306.3
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.252	+0.045	12	308.5
3	Marc Marquez	01:56.312	+0.105	11	306.6
4	Pol Espargaro	01:56.746	+0.539	13	308.1
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.763	+0.556	11	306.4
6	Andrea Iannone	01:56.861	+0.654	13	309.1
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:57.079	+0.872	12	306.1
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.517	+1.310	10	307.9
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.532	+1.325	10	300.3
10	Stefan Bradl	01:57.544	+1.337	14	309.5
11	Bradley Smith	01:57.602	+1.395	12	305.3
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:57.754	+1.547	9	306.2
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.842	+1.635	12	307.3
14	Michele Pirro	01:58.379	+2.172	12	305.2
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.631	+2.424	12	296.5
16	Scott Redding	01:58.732	+2.525	10	291.2
17	Leon Camier	01:58.832	+2.625	12	291.4
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.092	+2.885	12	290.9
19	Karel Abraham	01:59.153	+2.946	10	295.8
20	Hector Barbera	01:59.979	+3.772	8	288.4
21	Mike Di Meglio	02:00.138	+3.931	6	289.7
22	Broc Parkes	02:00.589	+4.382	11	291.6
23	Alex De Angelis	02:00.702	+4.495	14	297.6
24	Michael Laverty	02:01.172	+4.965	9	289.2

Q1 · 16.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Stefan Bradl	01:56.722	—	4	307.3
2	Yonny Hernandez	01:56.849	+0.127	7	304.9
3	Michele Pirro	01:57.093	+0.371	6	307.1
4	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.428	+0.706	7	308.8
5	Scott Redding	01:57.557	+0.835	7	293.6
6	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:57.984	+1.262	8	297.1
7	Karel Abraham	01:58.100	+1.378	7	295.4
8	Leon Camier	01:58.635	+1.913	7	291.7
9	Danilo Petrucci	01:58.863	+2.141	6	290.7
10	Alex De Angelis	01:58.948	+2.226	7	300.7
11	Hector Barbera	01:58.968	+2.246	6	294.7
12	Michael Laverty	01:58.968	+2.246	7	295.6
13	Broc Parkes	01:59.581	+2.859	6	289.1
Retired	Mike Di Meglio		—	0	0.0

Q2 · 16.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:55.585	—	7	307.9
2	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.714	+0.129	6	308.3
3	Andrea Iannone	01:55.726	+0.141	7	309.7
4	Bradley Smith	01:55.730	+0.145	6	307.1
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.812	+0.227	7	310.3
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.815	+0.230	6	307.7
7	Valentino Rossi	01:55.821	+0.236	7	306.5
8	Stefan Bradl	01:55.871	+0.286	7	310.7
9	Pol Espargaro	01:55.899	+0.314	7	307.3
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:56.090	+0.505	6	299.0
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.129	+0.544	7	307.6
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:56.622	+1.037	7	303.8

Warm Up · 17.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.973	—	10	309.0
2	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.450	+0.477	10	309.9
3	Marc Marquez	01:56.467	+0.494	10	307.6
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.628	+0.655	10	311.1
5	Andrea Iannone	01:56.662	+0.689	10	308.4
6	Stefan Bradl	01:56.757	+0.784	10	308.8
7	Bradley Smith	01:56.895	+0.922	10	307.2
8	Aleix Espargaro	01:56.982	+1.009	9	301.0
9	Valentino Rossi	01:56.999	+1.026	9	305.5
10	Pol Espargaro	01:57.097	+1.124	10	306.9
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.123	+1.150	10	309.8
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.451	+1.478	9	311.3
13	Michele Pirro	01:57.683	+1.710	8	306.9
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:57.816	+1.843	9	303.7
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.114	+2.141	10	299.1
16	Scott Redding	01:58.765	+2.792	6	290.4
17	Karel Abraham	01:59.018	+3.045	9	296.7
18	Leon Camier	01:59.250	+3.277	9	293.0
19	Alex De Angelis	01:59.319	+3.346	10	301.8
20	Hector Barbera	01:59.494	+3.521	10	292.6
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.573	+3.600	10	291.1
22	Broc Parkes	01:59.600	+3.627	10	294.1
23	Michael Laverty	01:59.927	+3.954	9	295.4
24	Mike Di Meglio	02:00.687	+4.714	9	291.8

Race · 17.08

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	42:47.800	25	22
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+0.410	20	22
3	Valentino Rossi	+5.259	16	22
4	Marc Marquez	+10.454	13	22
5	Andrea Iannone	+17.639	11	22
6	Andrea Dovizioso	+17.834	10	22
7	Stefan Bradl	+23.819	9	22
8	Aleix Espargaro	+29.621	8	22
9	Bradley Smith	+30.364	7	22
10	Alvaro Bautista	+37.639	6	22
11	Scott Redding	+55.604	5	22
12	Michele Pirro	+56.727	4	22
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	+56.908	3	22
14	Karel Abraham	+64.135	2	22
15	Leon Camier	+64.902	1	22
16	Alex De Angelis	+80.666	0	22
17	Hector Barbera	+84.282	0	22
18	Mike Di Meglio	+87.436	0	22
19	Broc Parkes	+98.867	0	22
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	7
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		0	20
Retired	Michael Laverty		0	6
Retired	Pol Espargaro		0	6
Retired	Yonny Hernandez		0	5

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Stefan Bradl	78%	1 ✓
2	Yonny Hernandez	44%	2 ✓
3	Alvaro Bautista	41%	4
4	Michele Pirro	11%	3
5	Scott Redding	19%	5
6	Hiroshi Aoyama	0%	6
7	Hector Barbera	7%	11
8	Leon Camier	0%	8
9	Danilo Petrucci	0%	9
10	Karel Abraham	0%	7
11	Alex De Angelis	0%	10
12	Michael Laverty	0%	12
13	Broc Parkes	0%	13

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Valentino Rossi	44%	74%	96%	7
2	Daniel Pedrosa	22%	59%	89%	5
3	Marc Marquez	22%	52%	93%	1
4	Pol Espargaro	4%	37%	63%	9
5	Andrea Dovizioso	4%	37%	74%	2
6	Bradley Smith	4%	19%	52%	4
7	Jorge Lorenzo	0%	15%	56%	6
8	Andrea Iannone	0%	4%	26%	3
9	Aleix Espargaro	0%	0%	11%	10
10	Cal Crutchlow	0%	4%	22%	11
11	Stefan Bradl	0%	0%	4%	8
12	Yonny Hernandez	0%	0%	18%	12

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,401 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Maverick Viñales +0.47%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Raul Fernandez +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.34%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.10%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.38%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.46%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.34%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.43%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.49%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.11%	Raul Fernandez +0.24%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%	Joan Mir +0.42%
S4	Ai Ogura +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Pol Espargaro +0.34%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.05%	Raul Fernandez +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%
S3	Marc Marquez	Pedro Acosta +0.41%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.48%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.21%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.32%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.40%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.05%	Franco Morbidelli +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.24%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.06%	Franco Morbidelli +0.21%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.27%
S4	Pol Espargaro +0.09%	Johann Zarco +0.39%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.03%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Alex Rins +0.30%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.28%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.37%	Marc Marquez +0.41%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.10%	Cal Crutchlow +0.23%	Marc Marquez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Maverick Viñales +0.36%	Andrea Iannone +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez	Daniel Pedrosa +0.44%	Valentino Rossi +0.45%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Andrea Iannone +0.14%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.41%	Maverick Viñales +0.48%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

81/100

Position index

40%

Pole wins

60%

Front row on the podium

0.78

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 100% of the time (between 44% and 100%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 5 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Marc Marquez	250	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	161	−89
3	Valentino Rossi	157	−93
4	Jorge Lorenzo	117	−133
5	Andrea Dovizioso	108	−142
6	Pol Espargaro	78	−172

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2013 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

6/22

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

0.313 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P7 to P4.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Nicky Hayden (22 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2020Brad BinderKTM
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2017Marc MarquezHonda
2016Cal CrutchlowHonda
2015Jorge LorenzoYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/20	15%
2025	3/21	14%
2020	3/21	14%
2019	3/23	13%
2018	5/25	20%
2017	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet