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Round 14 of 18 Aftermath

Aragon Grand Prix 2014

MotorLand Aragón Spain

5.078 m · 23 laps · since 2010
26.09 – 28.09.2014
Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.RiderBikeTeamTime / gapPoints
1Jorge LorenzoYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGP44:20.40625
2Aleix EspargaroForward YamahaNGM Forward Racing+10.29520
3Cal CrutchlowDucatiDucati Team+10.31216
4Stefan BradlHondaLCR Honda MotoGP+11.71813
5Bradley SmithYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+29.48311
6Pol EspargaroYamahaMonster Yamaha Tech 3+29.68610
7Alvaro BautistaHondaGO&FUN Honda Gresini+29.7639
8Hiroshi AoyamaHondaDrive M7 Aspar+37.8418
9Nicky HaydenHondaDrive M7 Aspar+42.9577
10Scott ReddingHondaGO&FUN Honda Gresini+53.9376
11Danilo PetrucciARTIodaRacing Project+59.8245
12Alex De AngelisForward YamahaNGM Forward Racing+60.7184
13Marc MarquezHondaRepsol Honda Team+75.2273
14Daniel PedrosaHondaRepsol Honda Team+84.5262
15Yonny HernandezDucatiEnergy T.I. Pramac Racing+98.2551
16Michael LavertyPBMPaul Bird Motorsport+0.0000
17Mike Di MeglioAvintiaAvintia Racing+0.0000
18Broc ParkesPBMPaul Bird Motorsport+0.0000
19Hector BarberaDucatiAvintia Racing+0.0000
DNFAndrea DoviziosoDucatiDucati TeamRetired0
DNFAndrea IannoneDucatiPramac RacingRetired0
DNFKarel AbrahamHondaCardion AB MotoracingRetired0
DNFValentino RossiYamahaMovistar Yamaha MotoGPRetired0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14
Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

82
Overtakes
8
Lead changes
4 leaders
7/23
Laps led by the winner
Jorge Lorenzo
10.295 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Danilo Petrucci, from P20 to P11.

Longest battle: Jorge Lorenzo vs Marc Marquez (15 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

SessionTimeRiderWhatDetail
Race14:01:52Jump startJump start
Race14:02:55Karel AbrahamRetiredRetired
Race14:03:58Andrea IannoneCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:07:06Valentino RossiCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:22:30Red flagWhite flag displayed
Race14:34:57Yonny HernandezCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:35:38Andrea DoviziosoCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:36:40Daniel PedrosaCrashCrashed out - Rider OK
Race14:39:05Marc MarquezCrashCrashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25
19.4 °C
Air
max 19.6 °C
83%
Humidity
1.4 mm
Rain
7 km/h
Wind
gusts 24 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 26.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Iannone01:48.995—19336.1
2Aleix Espargaro01:49.185+0.19016324.7
3Marc Marquez01:49.290+0.29516330.5
4Jorge Lorenzo01:49.496+0.50117330.8
5Daniel Pedrosa01:49.715+0.72017332.3
6Valentino Rossi01:49.942+0.94717330.8
7Andrea Dovizioso01:50.043+1.04816331.7
8Pol Espargaro01:50.120+1.12519330.9
9Stefan Bradl01:50.224+1.22919338.8
10Bradley Smith01:50.246+1.25118331.3
11Alvaro Bautista01:50.268+1.27319333.1
12Cal Crutchlow01:50.339+1.34414330.7
13Yonny Hernandez01:50.397+1.40213329.7
14Hector Barbera01:50.731+1.73611332.2
15Karel Abraham01:50.793+1.79815317.8
16Scott Redding01:50.912+1.91717315.3
17Hiroshi Aoyama01:51.051+2.05618324.0
18Alex De Angelis01:51.391+2.39617326.0
19Nicky Hayden01:51.680+2.68516315.9
20Danilo Petrucci01:52.569+3.57418311.2
21Mike Di Meglio01:52.913+3.91816311.9
22Michael Laverty01:53.532+4.53717315.7
23Broc Parkes01:53.643+4.64815307.5
FP2 · 26.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Andrea Dovizioso01:48.285—16335.7
2Marc Marquez01:48.328+0.04318332.7
3Daniel Pedrosa01:48.734+0.44918336.4
4Andrea Iannone01:48.747+0.46218339.0
5Aleix Espargaro01:48.938+0.65317325.5
6Pol Espargaro01:48.966+0.68118334.4
7Jorge Lorenzo01:48.969+0.68417328.8
8Stefan Bradl01:49.002+0.71718336.0
9Bradley Smith01:49.011+0.72619330.7
10Valentino Rossi01:49.312+1.02718330.6
11Cal Crutchlow01:49.373+1.08818328.3
12Yonny Hernandez01:49.650+1.36517331.0
13Alvaro Bautista01:49.711+1.42618333.9
14Hiroshi Aoyama01:50.283+1.99818322.0
15Alex De Angelis01:50.408+2.12316324.3
16Karel Abraham01:50.472+2.18716318.2
17Hector Barbera01:50.487+2.2025326.5
18Nicky Hayden01:50.890+2.60517318.8
19Scott Redding01:51.110+2.82515316.0
20Danilo Petrucci01:51.510+3.22518312.6
21Broc Parkes01:52.415+4.13014309.8
22Michael Laverty01:52.600+4.31516318.3
23Mike Di Meglio01:52.684+4.39915313.2
FP3 · 27.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:48.123—22332.8
2Andrea Iannone01:48.366+0.24318337.1
3Pol Espargaro01:48.377+0.25420335.8
4Andrea Dovizioso01:48.394+0.27116337.2
5Stefan Bradl01:48.417+0.29421337.8
6Bradley Smith01:48.615+0.49219334.2
7Daniel Pedrosa01:48.633+0.51019336.2
8Jorge Lorenzo01:48.714+0.59115332.4
9Cal Crutchlow01:48.796+0.67317331.3
10Aleix Espargaro01:48.800+0.67716324.9
11Valentino Rossi01:48.944+0.82120333.7
12Yonny Hernandez01:49.069+0.94617334.6
13Alvaro Bautista01:49.584+1.46118337.3
14Karel Abraham01:49.596+1.47318320.5
15Scott Redding01:49.781+1.65817320.3
16Danilo Petrucci01:50.038+1.91518316.6
17Hiroshi Aoyama01:50.092+1.96920327.3
18Alex De Angelis01:50.787+2.66412325.5
19Nicky Hayden01:50.859+2.73617318.8
20Hector Barbera01:50.893+2.7706330.5
21Broc Parkes01:52.007+3.88414315.5
22Michael Laverty01:52.315+4.19215317.1
23Mike Di Meglio01:52.424+4.30115319.0
FP4 · 27.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:48.738—12330.0
2Andrea Dovizioso01:48.796+0.05813335.4
3Daniel Pedrosa01:48.847+0.10914334.8
4Stefan Bradl01:48.855+0.11714333.0
5Aleix Espargaro01:49.088+0.35012326.1
6Jorge Lorenzo01:49.162+0.42413327.5
7Pol Espargaro01:49.316+0.57814333.5
8Andrea Iannone01:49.338+0.60014334.4
9Cal Crutchlow01:49.525+0.78713332.7
10Valentino Rossi01:49.565+0.82714332.5
11Bradley Smith01:49.770+1.03214330.2
12Alvaro Bautista01:49.992+1.25413331.0
13Hector Barbera01:50.090+1.35213329.6
14Yonny Hernandez01:50.131+1.3939327.0
15Nicky Hayden01:50.383+1.64512317.3
16Karel Abraham01:50.796+2.05810313.6
17Hiroshi Aoyama01:50.853+2.11512321.9
18Danilo Petrucci01:51.030+2.29214314.4
19Alex De Angelis01:51.178+2.44013325.1
20Scott Redding01:51.385+2.64711314.1
21Michael Laverty01:51.606+2.86813314.3
22Mike Di Meglio01:51.862+3.12414314.3
23Broc Parkes01:52.102+3.36412313.4
Q1 · 27.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Valentino Rossi01:48.692—7327.1
2Hector Barbera01:48.991+0.2997328.5
3Yonny Hernandez01:49.051+0.3597325.8
4Hiroshi Aoyama01:49.209+0.5177322.9
5Alvaro Bautista01:49.274+0.5827327.6
6Scott Redding01:49.703+1.0117312.6
7Karel Abraham01:49.790+1.0986313.9
8Nicky Hayden01:49.835+1.1437314.5
9Alex De Angelis01:50.263+1.5717317.0
10Danilo Petrucci01:50.635+1.9437308.5
11Michael Laverty01:51.280+2.5888313.3
12Broc Parkes01:51.489+2.7977311.8
13Mike Di Meglio01:52.181+3.4896313.0
Q2 · 27.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Marc Marquez01:47.187—7328.2
2Daniel Pedrosa01:47.549+0.3628329.1
3Andrea Iannone01:47.685+0.4987332.2
4Pol Espargaro01:47.865+0.6788327.3
5Cal Crutchlow01:47.897+0.7106326.7
6Valentino Rossi01:48.226+1.0398328.3
7Jorge Lorenzo01:48.246+1.0598327.2
8Stefan Bradl01:48.368+1.1818330.3
9Andrea Dovizioso01:48.542+1.3554331.2
10Aleix Espargaro01:48.568+1.3817321.4
11Bradley Smith01:48.810+1.6235327.9
RetiredHector Barbera—00.0
Warm Up · 28.09
Pos.RiderBest lapGapLapsTop km/h
1Daniel Pedrosa02:01.779—10325.4
2Hiroshi Aoyama02:02.376+0.5978311.7
3Andrea Dovizioso02:02.828+1.0499325.1
4Valentino Rossi02:02.940+1.16110324.8
5Marc Marquez02:02.953+1.17410323.5
6Jorge Lorenzo02:03.083+1.30410322.8
7Stefan Bradl02:03.399+1.62010327.2
8Cal Crutchlow02:03.551+1.7729319.3
9Danilo Petrucci02:03.691+1.91210310.4
10Yonny Hernandez02:03.877+2.0988321.3
11Pol Espargaro02:03.974+2.19510322.8
12Aleix Espargaro02:04.032+2.2538316.5
13Nicky Hayden02:04.041+2.26210311.8
14Hector Barbera02:04.082+2.30310323.3
15Bradley Smith02:04.276+2.4979323.3
16Alvaro Bautista02:04.536+2.75710324.7
17Karel Abraham02:04.574+2.7958310.8
18Alex De Angelis02:04.787+3.00810316.5
19Andrea Iannone02:05.329+3.5507316.9
20Scott Redding02:06.237+4.4587308.3
21Michael Laverty02:08.235+6.4567305.9
22Broc Parkes02:09.214+7.4359304.3
23Mike Di Meglio02:09.921+8.1428309.4
Race · 28.09
Pos.RiderTime / gapPointsLaps
1Jorge Lorenzo44:20.4062523
2Aleix Espargaro+10.2952023
3Cal Crutchlow+10.3121623
4Stefan Bradl+11.7181323
5Bradley Smith+29.4831123
6Pol Espargaro+29.6861023
7Alvaro Bautista+29.763923
8Hiroshi Aoyama+37.841823
9Nicky Hayden+42.957723
10Scott Redding+53.937623
11Danilo Petrucci+59.824523
12Alex De Angelis+60.718423
13Marc Marquez+75.227323
14Daniel Pedrosa+84.526223
15Yonny Hernandez+98.255123
16Michael Laverty+0.000022
17Mike Di Meglio+0.000022
18Broc Parkes+0.000022
19Hector Barbera+0.000022
RetiredAndrea Dovizioso018
RetiredAndrea Iannone01
RetiredKarel Abraham01
RetiredValentino Rossi03

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet
Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

C6
S1 · M. MarquezS2 · M. MarquezS3 · M. MarquezS4 · M. Marquez

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,068 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

71/100
Position index
50%
Pole wins
50%
Front row on the podium
0.78
Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 29% of the time (between 8% and 64%; 7 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

The last race here in numbers

2013 edition

22
Overtakes
1
Lead changes
2 leaders
10/23
Laps led by the winner
Marc Marquez
1.356 s
Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P6 to P4.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Bradley Smith (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

C1
Pending · no data yet

Winners here

  • 2026Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2025Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2024Marc MarquezDucati
  • 2022Enea BastianiniDucati
  • 2021Francesco BagnaiaDucati
  • 2020Alex RinsSuzuki
  • 2019Marc MarquezHonda
  • 2018Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 14% · global 19%
YearDNFs%
20264/2218%
20253/2114%
20245/2223%
20223/2313%
20212/229%
20201/215%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet