Round 1 of 18 Aftermath

Qatar Grand Prix 2013

5.380 m · 21 laps · since 2004

04.04 – 07.04.2013

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	42:39.802	25
2	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+5.990	20
3	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+6.201	16
4	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+9.473	13
5	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+18.764	11
6	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+22.148	10
7	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+24.355	9
8	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+24.920	8
9	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Energy T.I. Pramac Racing	+37.124	7
10	Ben Spies	Ducati	Ignite Pramac Racing	+44.908	6
11	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+49.809	5
12	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+56.495	4
13	Hector Barbera	FTR	Avintia Blusens	+69.599	3
14	Yonny Hernandez	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	+70.742	2
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	FTR	Avintia Blusens	+73.600	1
16	Claudio Corti	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+89.444	0
17	Michael Laverty	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+94.341	0
18	Lukas Pesek	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	+94.683	0
DNF	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Bryan Staring	FTR Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Colin Edwards	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	Retired	0
DNF	Karel Abraham	ART	Cardion AB Motoracing	Retired	0
DNF	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

22/22

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

5.990 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P7 to P2.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Marc Marquez (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	22:02:31		Jump start	Jump start
Race	22:03:10	Karel Abraham	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	22:04:44	Bryan Staring	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	22:10:37	Bradley Smith	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	22:18:13	Stefan Bradl	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	22:27:38	Danilo Petrucci	Retired	Retired
Race	22:33:20	Colin Edwards	Retired	Retired

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Claudio Corti	21	15	+6
Hector Barbera	22	18	+4
Valentino Rossi	7	4	+3
Hiroshi Aoyama	17	20	−3
Cal Crutchlow	2	5	−3
Lukas Pesek	15	17	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Valentino Rossi	7→2	+4.7
Hector Barbera	22→13	+3.3
Marc Marquez	6→3	+3.0
Hiroshi Aoyama	17→15	−1.9
Andrea Dovizioso	4→7	−2.2
Lukas Pesek	15→18	−6.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

20.3 °C

Air

max 20.3 °C

72%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

2 km/h

Wind

gusts 9 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 04.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.685	—	16	341.7
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.743	+0.058	17	338.5
3	Valentino Rossi	01:56.756	+0.071	18	338.2
4	Marc Marquez	01:57.276	+0.591	18	344.7
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.538	+0.853	15	343.0
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.601	+0.916	16	340.4
7	Stefan Bradl	01:57.670	+0.985	16	343.5
8	Daniel Pedrosa	01:57.749	+1.064	17	344.4
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.843	+1.158	15	325.3
10	Nicky Hayden	01:57.926	+1.241	17	341.7
11	Bradley Smith	01:58.369	+1.684	18	328.5
12	Andrea Iannone	01:58.559	+1.874	16	340.5
13	Ben Spies	01:58.575	+1.890	17	341.0
14	Hector Barbera	01:59.608	+2.923	13	319.1
15	Randy De Puniet	01:59.633	+2.948	16	323.2
16	Karel Abraham	01:59.758	+3.073	16	324.3
17	Colin Edwards	02:00.341	+3.656	17	320.6
18	Yonny Hernandez	02:00.426	+3.741	12	317.6
19	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:00.563	+3.878	16	311.4
20	Claudio Corti	02:01.227	+4.542	14	321.0
21	Danilo Petrucci	02:01.438	+4.753	10	317.7
22	Bryan Staring	02:01.942	+5.257	15	317.9
23	Lukas Pesek	02:02.079	+5.394	15	317.2
24	Michael Laverty	02:02.135	+5.450	15	318.3

FP2 · 05.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:56.477	—	15	341.0
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.745	+0.268	17	338.2
3	Valentino Rossi	01:56.805	+0.328	15	339.0
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.169	+0.692	16	337.8
5	Stefan Bradl	01:57.257	+0.780	17	340.1
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.833	+1.356	14	343.4
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:57.877	+1.400	16	342.2
8	Nicky Hayden	01:58.040	+1.563	16	337.0
9	Ben Spies	01:58.137	+1.660	16	339.0
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:58.298	+1.821	14	337.3
11	Bradley Smith	01:58.340	+1.863	17	335.5
12	Andrea Iannone	01:58.575	+2.098	13	340.6
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.631	+2.154	13	321.7
14	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.871	+2.394	15	320.0
15	Hector Barbera	01:58.904	+2.427	13	320.0
16	Randy De Puniet	01:59.185	+2.708	14	321.5
17	Karel Abraham	01:59.809	+3.332	14	315.9
18	Danilo Petrucci	02:00.557	+4.080	17	322.6
19	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:00.652	+4.175	16	318.2
20	Lukas Pesek	02:00.919	+4.442	14	309.8
21	Colin Edwards	02:00.940	+4.463	16	319.8
22	Claudio Corti	02:01.321	+4.844	13	317.4
23	Bryan Staring	02:01.622	+5.145	15	317.2
24	Michael Laverty	02:01.816	+5.339	13	318.0

FP3 · 05.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:56.084	—	17	344.2
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.085	+0.001	17	341.0
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.326	+0.242	16	337.5
4	Valentino Rossi	01:56.416	+0.332	18	340.2
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.417	+0.333	18	343.0
6	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.502	+0.418	17	344.4
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.572	+0.488	17	341.0
8	Nicky Hayden	01:56.670	+0.586	17	340.2
9	Bradley Smith	01:56.901	+0.817	17	332.6
10	Stefan Bradl	01:56.984	+0.900	18	343.0
11	Andrea Iannone	01:57.169	+1.085	16	342.2
12	Ben Spies	01:57.308	+1.224	17	341.2
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.420	+1.336	16	325.2
14	Hector Barbera	01:57.956	+1.872	17	320.7
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.211	+2.127	16	320.7
16	Randy De Puniet	01:58.396	+2.312	16	324.2
17	Colin Edwards	01:58.863	+2.779	16	320.8
18	Karel Abraham	01:59.180	+3.096	17	318.2
19	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:59.212	+3.128	17	318.3
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.755	+3.671	16	321.2
21	Bryan Staring	01:59.758	+3.674	19	322.8
22	Lukas Pesek	01:59.837	+3.753	15	317.8
23	Michael Laverty	02:00.080	+3.996	15	317.1
24	Claudio Corti	02:00.439	+4.355	13	317.8

FP4 · 06.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Cal Crutchlow	01:55.655	—	13	333.3
2	Marc Marquez	01:55.997	+0.342	14	340.8
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.140	+0.485	13	337.0
4	Valentino Rossi	01:56.161	+0.506	14	334.6
5	Stefan Bradl	01:56.312	+0.657	14	337.3
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.378	+0.723	12	334.7
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.398	+0.743	13	339.9
8	Nicky Hayden	01:56.885	+1.230	13	334.2
9	Ben Spies	01:57.060	+1.405	7	334.7
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.063	+1.408	13	338.0
11	Andrea Iannone	01:57.118	+1.463	13	338.7
12	Bradley Smith	01:57.453	+1.798	13	331.3
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.454	+1.799	11	318.6
14	Randy De Puniet	01:58.388	+2.733	11	318.3
15	Karel Abraham	01:58.466	+2.811	11	315.7
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.466	+2.811	9	314.2
17	Hector Barbera	01:58.746	+3.091	7	314.5
18	Colin Edwards	01:58.788	+3.133	12	314.3
19	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.816	+3.161	10	313.0
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.118	+3.463	11	315.4
21	Claudio Corti	01:59.187	+3.532	10	307.9
22	Lukas Pesek	01:59.337	+3.682	10	314.6
23	Bryan Staring	01:59.867	+4.212	11	313.1
24	Michael Laverty	01:59.890	+4.235	8	315.2

Q1 · 06.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.151	—	4	315.4
2	Andrea Iannone	01:57.203	+0.052	6	339.0
3	Ben Spies	01:57.440	+0.289	6	334.7
4	Randy De Puniet	01:57.551	+0.400	7	316.4
5	Lukas Pesek	01:57.926	+0.775	7	314.5
6	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.058	+0.907	7	314.4
7	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.263	+1.112	8	312.0
8	Karel Abraham	01:58.271	+1.120	7	314.2
9	Colin Edwards	01:58.361	+1.210	8	313.9
10	Danilo Petrucci	01:58.486	+1.335	7	313.2
11	Claudio Corti	01:58.755	+1.604	6	311.4
12	Hector Barbera	01:58.806	+1.655	5	319.5
13	Bryan Staring	01:58.912	+1.761	7	315.6
14	Michael Laverty	01:59.572	+2.421	5	312.5

Q2 · 06.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:54.714	—	7	335.9
2	Cal Crutchlow	01:54.916	+0.202	7	334.7
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.151	+0.437	7	339.8
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.160	+0.446	7	336.4
5	Stefan Bradl	01:55.477	+0.763	7	340.0
6	Marc Marquez	01:55.645	+0.931	7	339.0
7	Valentino Rossi	01:55.711	+0.997	7	337.7
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:55.870	+1.156	6	338.5
9	Bradley Smith	01:56.315	+1.601	8	333.9
10	Andrea Iannone	01:56.523	+1.809	7	339.8
11	Nicky Hayden	01:56.667	+1.953	7	337.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.064	+2.350	6	318.8

Warm Up · 07.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.273	—	10	332.2
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.410	+0.137	9	335.9
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.411	+0.138	10	341.1
4	Valentino Rossi	01:56.480	+0.207	11	334.7
5	Stefan Bradl	01:56.528	+0.255	10	337.5
6	Marc Marquez	01:56.578	+0.305	10	336.4
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.682	+0.409	8	334.6
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.059	+0.786	10	335.1
9	Nicky Hayden	01:57.239	+0.966	10	331.4
10	Bradley Smith	01:57.267	+0.994	10	333.7
11	Ben Spies	01:57.483	+1.210	10	337.9
12	Andrea Iannone	01:57.561	+1.288	9	339.6
13	Hector Barbera	01:58.094	+1.821	8	316.1
14	Randy De Puniet	01:58.161	+1.888	10	316.8
15	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.175	+1.902	9	315.6
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.375	+2.102	10	313.8
17	Karel Abraham	01:58.848	+2.575	10	316.2
18	Colin Edwards	01:58.912	+2.639	10	314.5
19	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:59.243	+2.970	10	312.5
20	Claudio Corti	01:59.763	+3.490	9	313.3
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.772	+3.499	10	317.5
22	Bryan Staring	01:59.788	+3.515	10	310.8
23	Michael Laverty	02:00.080	+3.807	9	312.5
24	Lukas Pesek	02:00.200	+3.927	9	313.5

Race · 07.04

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	42:39.802	25	22
2	Valentino Rossi	+5.990	20	22
3	Marc Marquez	+6.201	16	22
4	Daniel Pedrosa	+9.473	13	22
5	Cal Crutchlow	+18.764	11	22
6	Alvaro Bautista	+22.148	10	22
7	Andrea Dovizioso	+24.355	9	22
8	Nicky Hayden	+24.920	8	22
9	Andrea Iannone	+37.124	7	22
10	Ben Spies	+44.908	6	22
11	Aleix Espargaro	+49.809	5	22
12	Randy De Puniet	+56.495	4	22
13	Hector Barbera	+69.599	3	22
14	Yonny Hernandez	+70.742	2	22
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	+73.600	1	22
16	Claudio Corti	+89.444	0	22
17	Michael Laverty	+94.341	0	22
18	Lukas Pesek	+94.683	0	22
Retired	Bradley Smith		0	4
Retired	Bryan Staring		0	1
Retired	Colin Edwards		0	15
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		0	12
Retired	Karel Abraham		0	0
Retired	Stefan Bradl		0	8

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Ben Spies	—	3
2	Andrea Iannone	—	2 ✓
3	Aleix Espargaro	—	1 ✓
4	Hector Barbera	—	12
5	Yonny Hernandez	—	6
6	Randy De Puniet	—	4
7	Karel Abraham	—	8
8	Colin Edwards	—	9
9	Hiroshi Aoyama	—	7
10	Danilo Petrucci	—	10
11	Claudio Corti	—	11
12	Lukas Pesek	—	5
13	Bryan Staring	—	13
14	Michael Laverty	—	14

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Cal Crutchlow	—	—	—	2
2	Marc Marquez	—	—	—	6
3	Jorge Lorenzo	—	—	—	1
4	Valentino Rossi	—	—	—	7
5	Stefan Bradl	—	—	—	5
6	Andrea Dovizioso	—	—	—	4
7	Daniel Pedrosa	—	—	—	3
8	Alvaro Bautista	—	—	—	8
9	Nicky Hayden	—	—	—	11
10	Bradley Smith	—	—	—	9
11	Andrea Iannone	—	—	—	10
12	Aleix Espargaro	—	—	—	12

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,426 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.41%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.42%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.50%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%	Pedro Acosta +0.47%	Ai Ogura +0.47%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Alex Marquez +0.41%	Alex Rins +0.51%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Franco Morbidelli +0.31%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Alex Marquez +0.29%	Franco Morbidelli +0.29%
S3	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.55%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Aleix Espargaro +0.35%	Enea Bastianini +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.04%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.05%	Alex Marquez +0.29%	Enea Bastianini +0.47%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Enea Bastianini +0.27%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Maverick Viñales +0.39%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.49%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.14%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.19%	Raul Fernandez +0.43%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.19%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.21%	Maverick Viñales +0.21%
S4	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.09%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%	Fabio Quartararo +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin +0.19%	Pol Espargaro +0.23%	Joan Mir +0.37%
S2	Pol Espargaro +0.40%	Aleix Espargaro +0.43%	Enea Bastianini +0.47%
S3	Alex Rins +0.07%	Miguel Oliveira +0.19%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.37%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.25%	Maverick Viñales +0.29%	Jack Miller +0.35%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.16%	Franco Morbidelli +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.46%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Aleix Espargaro +0.28%	Fabio Quartararo +0.37%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.08%	Jack Miller +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.14%	Danilo Petrucci +0.24%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.27%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Valentino Rossi +0.37%	Marc Marquez +0.47%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Quartararo +0.45%
S4	Danilo Petrucci +0.10%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.49%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.20%	Danilo Petrucci +0.22%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.26%
S2	Valentino Rossi +0.23%	Johann Zarco +0.43%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.45%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.15%	Alex Rins +0.32%	Danilo Petrucci +0.35%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.28%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.34%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

57/100

Position index

14%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.77

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 0% of the time (between 0% and 56%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 7 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

Pending · no data yet

The last race here in numbers

2012 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

6/22

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

0.852 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Daniel Pedrosa, from P7 to P2.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Cal Crutchlow (22 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2019Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2017Maverick ViñalesYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 17% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	4/22	18%
2024	1/22	5%
2023	2/21	10%
2022	6/24	25%
2021	3/22	14%
2019	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet