Round 11 of 18 Aftermath

Czech Grand Prix 2013

5.403 m · since 1930

23.08 – 25.08.2013

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	42:50.729	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+0.313	20
3	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+2.277	16
4	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+10.101	13
5	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+10.178	11
6	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+19.807	10
7	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+35.015	9
8	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+35.354	8
9	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Energy T.I. Pramac Racing	+51.149	7
10	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+56.392	6
11	Colin Edwards	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+57.420	5
12	Michele Pirro	Ducati	Ignite Pramac Racing	+65.430	4
13	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	+72.364	3
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	FTR	Avintia Blusens	+73.500	2
15	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+74.128	1
16	Yonny Hernandez	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	+74.991	0
17	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+80.640	0
18	Michael Laverty	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	+94.462	0
19	Karel Abraham	ART	Cardion AB Motoracing	+109.713	0
20	Bryan Staring	FTR Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+110.024	0
21	Martin Bauer	S&B Suter	Remus Racing Team	+0.000	0
DNF	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Claudio Corti	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Hector Barbera	FTR	Avintia Blusens	Retired	0
DNF	Lukas Pesek	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

6/22

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

0.313 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P7 to P4.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Nicky Hayden (22 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P5).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Jorge Lorenzo	5	1	+4
Hiroshi Aoyama	22	20	+2
Aleix Espargaro	13	12	+1
Cal Crutchlow	1	4	−3
Alvaro Bautista	2	5	−3
Lukas Pesek	20	22	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Marc Marquez	3→1	+3.1
Daniel Pedrosa	4→2	+2.8
Valentino Rossi	7→4	+2.7
Randy De Puniet	15→15	−3.2
Yonny Hernandez	16→16	−3.5
Cal Crutchlow	1→17	−14.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

18.3 °C

Air

max 18.5 °C

64%

Humidity

0.2 mm

Rain

12 km/h

Wind

gusts 30 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 23.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.698	—	15	309.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:57.041	+0.343	17	312.9
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.058	+0.360	15	307.6
4	Marc Marquez	01:57.120	+0.422	18	313.9
5	Valentino Rossi	01:57.243	+0.545	19	308.6
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.610	+0.912	18	310.9
7	Stefan Bradl	01:57.694	+0.996	18	311.5
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.930	+1.232	16	308.3
9	Bradley Smith	01:57.947	+1.249	16	309.1
10	Nicky Hayden	01:58.030	+1.332	16	308.3
11	Andrea Iannone	01:58.725	+2.027	17	304.7
12	Michele Pirro	01:59.019	+2.321	15	302.2
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:59.092	+2.394	13	293.7
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:59.178	+2.480	15	297.9
15	Colin Edwards	01:59.416	+2.718	14	295.9
16	Hector Barbera	01:59.531	+2.833	14	296.0
17	Claudio Corti	02:00.293	+3.595	14	292.9
18	Yonny Hernandez	02:00.307	+3.609	16	292.1
19	Danilo Petrucci	02:00.316	+3.618	17	295.2
20	Karel Abraham	02:01.213	+4.515	15	294.2
21	Randy De Puniet	02:01.331	+4.633	14	290.4
22	Martin Bauer	02:01.441	+4.743	18	283.0
23	Michael Laverty	02:01.489	+4.791	15	296.3
24	Bryan Staring	02:02.112	+5.414	15	292.6
25	Lukas Pesek	02:04.091	+7.393	12	290.4

FP2 · 23.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Stefan Bradl	01:56.500	—	18	311.6
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.538	+0.038	19	308.4
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.600	+0.100	16	314.6
4	Valentino Rossi	01:56.726	+0.226	19	309.4
5	Marc Marquez	01:56.733	+0.233	17	312.5
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.800	+0.300	17	308.0
7	Bradley Smith	01:57.351	+0.851	16	308.4
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.401	+0.901	15	309.1
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.754	+1.254	14	306.2
10	Nicky Hayden	01:57.896	+1.396	17	308.3
11	Andrea Iannone	01:58.039	+1.539	18	304.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.217	+1.717	13	295.1
13	Michele Pirro	01:58.958	+2.458	14	306.4
14	Hector Barbera	01:59.235	+2.735	14	297.0
15	Claudio Corti	01:59.288	+2.788	17	292.2
16	Colin Edwards	01:59.390	+2.890	15	295.7
17	Yonny Hernandez	01:59.539	+3.039	16	289.1
18	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:59.613	+3.113	11	294.3
19	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.719	+3.219	16	293.4
20	Randy De Puniet	01:59.799	+3.299	17	289.9
21	Michael Laverty	02:00.338	+3.838	16	296.1
22	Karel Abraham	02:00.413	+3.913	14	296.6
23	Martin Bauer	02:00.730	+4.230	15	281.9
24	Lukas Pesek	02:01.549	+5.049	17	289.3
25	Bryan Staring	02:01.746	+5.246	16	291.1

FP3 · 24.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.156	—	19	306.9
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.322	+0.166	19	309.5
3	Marc Marquez	01:56.366	+0.210	18	312.3
4	Valentino Rossi	01:56.486	+0.330	17	307.6
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.642	+0.486	16	313.4
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.921	+0.765	18	309.4
7	Bradley Smith	01:56.956	+0.800	18	309.3
8	Stefan Bradl	01:57.055	+0.899	18	311.6
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.196	+1.040	17	307.7
10	Nicky Hayden	01:57.542	+1.386	16	310.3
11	Andrea Iannone	01:57.862	+1.706	13	306.6
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.210	+2.054	14	295.3
13	Hector Barbera	01:58.374	+2.218	17	297.6
14	Colin Edwards	01:58.821	+2.665	16	295.5
15	Claudio Corti	01:58.846	+2.690	14	294.9
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.873	+2.717	16	293.0
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.896	+2.740	16	298.5
18	Michele Pirro	01:59.148	+2.992	16	305.6
19	Randy De Puniet	01:59.294	+3.138	15	295.2
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.754	+3.598	18	294.1
21	Karel Abraham	02:00.401	+4.245	12	295.8
22	Martin Bauer	02:00.721	+4.565	14	286.1
23	Bryan Staring	02:01.206	+5.050	16	292.4
24	Michael Laverty	02:01.337	+5.181	15	297.6
25	Lukas Pesek	02:01.339	+5.183	14	287.5

FP4 · 24.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	01:56.277	—	13	312.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.470	+0.193	11	308.3
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.552	+0.275	13	307.9
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.749	+0.472	13	313.0
5	Valentino Rossi	01:56.936	+0.659	12	306.2
6	Bradley Smith	01:56.958	+0.681	12	308.4
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.969	+0.692	15	311.9
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.181	+0.904	13	309.8
9	Stefan Bradl	01:57.299	+1.022	13	312.3
10	Andrea Iannone	01:57.448	+1.171	12	305.8
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:58.428	+2.151	11	299.0
12	Nicky Hayden	01:58.454	+2.177	12	307.7
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.671	+2.394	8	296.7
14	Colin Edwards	01:58.705	+2.428	13	296.7
15	Hector Barbera	01:58.883	+2.606	13	296.2
16	Michele Pirro	01:58.923	+2.646	11	306.4
17	Randy De Puniet	01:59.462	+3.185	10	294.3
18	Yonny Hernandez	01:59.503	+3.226	10	290.0
19	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.562	+3.285	13	292.8
20	Claudio Corti	01:59.623	+3.346	13	294.6
21	Karel Abraham	02:00.750	+4.473	9	293.7
22	Michael Laverty	02:00.756	+4.479	11	297.2
23	Martin Bauer	02:00.813	+4.536	9	288.7
24	Bryan Staring	02:01.230	+4.953	12	292.4
25	Lukas Pesek	02:01.627	+5.350	9	290.5

Q1 · 24.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Iannone	01:58.134	—	3	304.7
2	Colin Edwards	01:58.169	+0.035	7	297.8
3	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.378	+0.244	5	292.9
4	Michele Pirro	01:58.812	+0.678	7	306.9
5	Randy De Puniet	01:58.953	+0.819	8	294.7
6	Yonny Hernandez	01:58.983	+0.849	8	293.0
7	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.057	+0.923	7	293.9
8	Claudio Corti	01:59.062	+0.928	7	295.2
9	Hector Barbera	01:59.128	+0.994	6	295.7
10	Lukas Pesek	02:00.522	+2.388	8	289.2
11	Michael Laverty	02:00.584	+2.450	7	298.7
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:00.653	+2.519	3	295.4
13	Karel Abraham	02:00.792	+2.658	7	293.0
14	Bryan Staring	02:00.827	+2.693	7	291.8
15	Martin Bauer	02:01.135	+3.001	6	284.7

Q2 · 24.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Cal Crutchlow	01:55.527	—	7	307.1
2	Alvaro Bautista	01:55.754	+0.227	7	311.7
3	Marc Marquez	01:55.863	+0.336	7	313.6
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.868	+0.341	7	314.8
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.949	+0.422	7	309.4
6	Bradley Smith	01:56.014	+0.487	7	308.8
7	Valentino Rossi	01:56.186	+0.659	7	307.9
8	Stefan Bradl	01:56.477	+0.950	7	312.4
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.825	+1.298	7	307.0
10	Nicky Hayden	01:56.979	+1.452	7	308.4
11	Andrea Iannone	01:57.455	+1.928	7	307.6
12	Colin Edwards	01:58.392	+2.865	3	296.0

Warm Up · 25.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.515	—	10	312.7
2	Marc Marquez	01:56.518	+0.003	10	311.7
3	Valentino Rossi	01:56.613	+0.098	11	307.6
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.640	+0.125	10	309.0
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.774	+0.259	10	306.5
6	Stefan Bradl	01:56.860	+0.345	10	311.4
7	Bradley Smith	01:56.962	+0.447	10	308.1
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.116	+0.601	10	309.5
9	Nicky Hayden	01:57.366	+0.851	10	306.9
10	Andrea Dovizioso	01:58.270	+1.755	10	306.9
11	Michele Pirro	01:58.538	+2.023	8	303.2
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.605	+2.090	8	295.2
13	Andrea Iannone	01:58.619	+2.104	10	305.8
14	Colin Edwards	01:58.674	+2.159	9	295.6
15	Hector Barbera	01:59.168	+2.653	9	296.4
16	Danilo Petrucci	01:59.584	+3.069	10	293.6
17	Randy De Puniet	01:59.636	+3.121	9	295.0
18	Claudio Corti	01:59.665	+3.150	9	293.6
19	Yonny Hernandez	01:59.855	+3.340	8	293.4
20	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:59.961	+3.446	8	294.8
21	Karel Abraham	02:00.494	+3.979	8	296.2
22	Lukas Pesek	02:01.062	+4.547	10	290.1
23	Martin Bauer	02:01.538	+5.023	9	287.4
24	Bryan Staring	02:01.647	+5.132	10	291.8
25	Michael Laverty	02:02.006	+5.491	8	295.1

Race · 25.08

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Marc Marquez	42:50.729	25	22
2	Daniel Pedrosa	+0.313	20	22
3	Jorge Lorenzo	+2.277	16	22
4	Valentino Rossi	+10.101	13	22
5	Alvaro Bautista	+10.178	11	22
6	Stefan Bradl	+19.807	10	22
7	Andrea Dovizioso	+35.015	9	22
8	Nicky Hayden	+35.354	8	22
9	Andrea Iannone	+51.149	7	22
10	Aleix Espargaro	+56.392	6	22
11	Colin Edwards	+57.420	5	22
12	Michele Pirro	+65.430	4	22
13	Danilo Petrucci	+72.364	3	22
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	+73.500	2	22
15	Randy De Puniet	+74.128	1	22
16	Yonny Hernandez	+74.991	0	22
17	Cal Crutchlow	+80.640	0	22
18	Michael Laverty	+94.462	0	22
19	Karel Abraham	+109.713	0	22
20	Bryan Staring	+110.024	0	22
21	Martin Bauer	+0.000	0	21
Retired	Bradley Smith		0	2
Retired	Claudio Corti		0	1
Retired	Hector Barbera		0	1
Retired	Lukas Pesek		0	2

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Andrea Iannone	70%	1 ✓
2	Aleix Espargaro	40%	3
3	Hector Barbera	60%	9
4	Hiroshi Aoyama	10%	12
5	Colin Edwards	10%	2 ✓
6	Claudio Corti	0%	8
7	Yonny Hernandez	10%	6
8	Michele Pirro	0%	4
9	Randy De Puniet	0%	5
10	Danilo Petrucci	0%	7
11	Michael Laverty	0%	11
12	Karel Abraham	0%	13
13	Martin Bauer	—	15
14	Bryan Staring	—	14
15	Lukas Pesek	—	10

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Cal Crutchlow	40%	80%	100%	1
2	Marc Marquez	20%	50%	100%	3
3	Jorge Lorenzo	40%	50%	90%	5
4	Valentino Rossi	0%	30%	60%	7
5	Stefan Bradl	0%	40%	90%	8
6	Daniel Pedrosa	0%	20%	60%	4
7	Alvaro Bautista	0%	20%	40%	2
8	Bradley Smith	0%	10%	10%	6
9	Andrea Dovizioso	0%	0%	20%	9
10	Andrea Iannone	0%	0%	30%	11
11	Nicky Hayden	0%	0%	0%	10
12	Colin Edwards	—	—	—	12

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,401 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Maverick Viñales +0.47%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Raul Fernandez +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.34%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.10%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.38%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.46%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.34%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.43%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.49%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.11%	Raul Fernandez +0.24%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%	Joan Mir +0.42%
S4	Ai Ogura +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Pol Espargaro +0.34%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.05%	Raul Fernandez +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%
S3	Marc Marquez	Pedro Acosta +0.41%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.48%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.21%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.32%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.40%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.05%	Franco Morbidelli +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.24%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.06%	Franco Morbidelli +0.21%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.27%
S4	Pol Espargaro +0.09%	Johann Zarco +0.39%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.03%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Alex Rins +0.30%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.28%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.37%	Marc Marquez +0.41%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.10%	Cal Crutchlow +0.23%	Marc Marquez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Maverick Viñales +0.36%	Andrea Iannone +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez	Daniel Pedrosa +0.44%	Valentino Rossi +0.45%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Andrea Iannone +0.14%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.41%	Maverick Viñales +0.48%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

81/100

Position index

40%

Pole wins

60%

Front row on the podium

0.78

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 100% of the time (between 44% and 100%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 5 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Marc Marquez	188	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	167	−21
3	Jorge Lorenzo	153	−35
4	Valentino Rossi	130	−58
5	Cal Crutchlow	127	−61
6	Stefan Bradl	93	−95

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2012 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

11/22

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

0.178 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P8 to P6.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Jorge Lorenzo (22 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2020Brad BinderKTM
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2017Marc MarquezHonda
2016Cal CrutchlowHonda
2015Jorge LorenzoYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/20	15%
2025	3/21	14%
2020	3/21	14%
2019	3/23	13%
2018	5/25	20%
2017	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet