Round 2 of 18 Aftermath

Spanish Grand Prix 2012

4.428 m · 25 laps · since 1984

27.04 – 29.04.2012

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	45:33.897	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+0.947	20
3	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+2.063	16
4	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+2.465	13
5	Andrea Dovizioso	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+18.100	11
6	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+21.395	10
7	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+28.637	9
8	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+28.869	8
9	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+34.852	7
10	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+35.103	6
11	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+38.041	5
12	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+72.728	4
13	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda	Came IodaRacing Project	+78.669	3
14	Mattia Pasini	ART	Speed Master	+89.142	2
15	Ivan Silva	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+92.478	1
16	Colin Edwards	Suter	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+100.577	0
17	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+0.000	0
DNF	James Ellison	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	Retired	0
DNF	Michele Pirro	FTR	San Carlo Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	Retired	0
DNF	Yonny Hernandez	BQR	Avintia Blusens	Out on lap 1	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

25/27

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

0.947 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P13 to P9.

Longest battle: Casey Stoner vs Jorge Lorenzo (26 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Daniel Pedrosa (started P2).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Andrea Dovizioso	7	2	+5
James Ellison	20	15	+5
Valentino Rossi	13	10	+3
Nicky Hayden	3	6	−3
Jorge Lorenzo	1	3	−2
Karel Abraham	11	13	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Casey Stoner	5→1	+4.4
Andrea Dovizioso	7→5	+1.7
Valentino Rossi	13→9	+1.5
Nicky Hayden	3→8	−3.9
Ben Spies	6→11	−5.0
Karel Abraham	11→17	−7.7

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

14.6 °C

Air

max 14.8 °C

77%

Humidity

2.0 mm

Rain

20 km/h

Wind

gusts 40 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 27.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Ivan Silva	01:48.674	—	8	261.9
2	Stefan Bradl	01:54.641	+5.967	3	261.3
3	Randy De Puniet	01:55.214	+6.540	3	255.1
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		—	0	0.0
—	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.398	+7.724	4	267.5
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		—	0	0.0
Retired	Ben Spies		—	0	0.0
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		—	0	0.0
Retired	Casey Stoner		—	0	0.0
—	Colin Edwards	02:05.991	+17.317	4	232.6
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		—	0	0.0
Retired	Hector Barbera		—	0	0.0
Retired	James Ellison		—	0	0.0
Retired	Jorge Lorenzo		—	0	0.0
Retired	Karel Abraham		—	0	0.0
—	Mattia Pasini	01:56.853	+8.179	3	256.2
—	Michele Pirro	01:59.239	+10.565	4	253.8
Retired	Nicky Hayden		—	0	0.0
Retired	Valentino Rossi		—	0	0.0
—	Yonny Hernandez	02:02.868	+14.194	2	254.4

FP2 · 27.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:50.780	—	14	275.4
2	Valentino Rossi	01:51.440	+0.660	18	275.9
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:51.873	+1.093	13	275.7
4	Casey Stoner	01:52.106	+1.326	15	277.3
5	Nicky Hayden	01:52.254	+1.474	17	272.1
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:53.070	+2.290	11	276.1
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:53.166	+2.386	16	273.3
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:53.352	+2.572	15	272.7
9	Ben Spies	01:53.409	+2.629	18	271.9
10	Stefan Bradl	01:53.409	+2.629	13	273.3
11	Randy De Puniet	01:54.155	+3.375	13	256.4
12	Mattia Pasini	01:54.370	+3.590	7	261.5
13	Karel Abraham	01:54.378	+3.598	16	273.4
14	Hector Barbera	01:54.581	+3.801	14	274.5
15	Colin Edwards	01:54.707	+3.927	14	260.3
16	Ivan Silva	01:54.748	+3.968	15	260.7
17	Yonny Hernandez	01:54.915	+4.135	13	259.0
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:55.752	+4.972	15	248.8
19	Michele Pirro	01:56.067	+5.287	13	259.1
20	James Ellison	01:57.475	+6.695	14	254.1
21	Aleix Espargaro	01:57.789	+7.009	14	257.3

FP3 · 28.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:50.121	—	17	274.7
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:50.232	+0.111	17	273.9
3	Casey Stoner	01:50.455	+0.334	15	277.9
4	Nicky Hayden	01:50.495	+0.374	18	276.3
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:50.692	+0.571	15	277.0
6	Valentino Rossi	01:51.601	+1.480	18	275.9
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:51.615	+1.494	16	275.6
8	Stefan Bradl	01:51.661	+1.540	18	277.1
9	Karel Abraham	01:51.700	+1.579	18	275.7
10	Randy De Puniet	01:51.972	+1.851	15	256.7
11	Ben Spies	01:52.228	+2.107	18	273.8
12	Hector Barbera	01:52.676	+2.555	17	273.8
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:52.730	+2.609	12	258.7
14	Mattia Pasini	01:52.754	+2.633	14	256.9
15	Alvaro Bautista	01:52.756	+2.635	12	272.2
16	Michele Pirro	01:53.489	+3.368	14	258.9
17	Colin Edwards	01:53.583	+3.462	14	260.2
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:53.595	+3.474	17	251.0
19	James Ellison	01:53.612	+3.491	16	256.3
20	Aleix Espargaro	01:53.820	+3.699	16	260.0
21	Ivan Silva	01:54.618	+4.497	15	256.2

Qualifying · 28.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.532	—	24	282.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.667	+0.135	25	283.5
3	Nicky Hayden	01:40.563	+1.031	30	282.3
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:40.570	+1.038	23	281.7
5	Casey Stoner	01:40.577	+1.045	23	285.9
6	Ben Spies	01:41.090	+1.558	26	280.9
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.180	+1.648	29	284.0
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:41.447	+1.915	28	286.9
9	Stefan Bradl	01:41.550	+2.018	25	287.3
10	Randy De Puniet	01:41.700	+2.168	26	265.6
11	Karel Abraham	01:41.724	+2.192	29	284.2
12	Hector Barbera	01:41.871	+2.339	26	288.8
13	Valentino Rossi	01:42.961	+3.429	27	282.3
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:43.135	+3.603	22	267.7
15	Michele Pirro	01:43.363	+3.831	21	268.2
16	Mattia Pasini	01:44.308	+4.776	21	266.5
17	Yonny Hernandez	01:44.467	+4.935	20	269.5
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.645	+5.113	22	257.4
19	Ivan Silva	01:44.717	+5.185	23	261.4
20	James Ellison	01:45.724	+6.192	23	264.8
21	Colin Edwards	01:46.200	+6.668	18	264.5

Warm Up · 29.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:50.860	—	11	275.0
2	Nicky Hayden	01:51.340	+0.480	11	275.4
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:51.477	+0.617	10	278.4
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:51.983	+1.123	11	271.2
5	Valentino Rossi	01:52.061	+1.201	11	276.4
6	Karel Abraham	01:52.368	+1.508	10	275.8
7	Ben Spies	01:52.392	+1.532	10	274.5
8	Hector Barbera	01:52.491	+1.631	8	276.4
9	Stefan Bradl	01:52.711	+1.851	10	273.8
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:52.968	+2.108	7	261.6
11	Michele Pirro	01:53.074	+2.214	10	263.0
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:53.145	+2.285	8	271.7
13	Mattia Pasini	01:53.455	+2.595	9	262.1
14	Ivan Silva	01:53.534	+2.674	10	257.1
15	Danilo Petrucci	01:53.820	+2.960	10	251.5
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:54.074	+3.214	7	258.0
17	Colin Edwards	01:54.483	+3.623	10	260.6
18	Randy De Puniet	01:55.241	+4.381	9	258.9
19	James Ellison	01:55.322	+4.462	9	257.0
20	Alvaro Bautista	01:55.399	+4.539	10	273.7
Retired	Casey Stoner		—	0	0.0

Race · 29.04

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Casey Stoner	45:33.897	25	27
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+0.947	20	27
3	Daniel Pedrosa	+2.063	16	27
4	Cal Crutchlow	+2.465	13	27
5	Andrea Dovizioso	+18.100	11	27
6	Alvaro Bautista	+21.395	10	27
7	Stefan Bradl	+28.637	9	27
8	Nicky Hayden	+28.869	8	27
9	Valentino Rossi	+34.852	7	27
10	Hector Barbera	+35.103	6	27
11	Ben Spies	+38.041	5	27
12	Aleix Espargaro	+72.728	4	27
13	Danilo Petrucci	+78.669	3	27
14	Mattia Pasini	+89.142	2	27
15	Ivan Silva	+92.478	1	27
16	Colin Edwards	+100.577	0	27
17	Karel Abraham	+0.000	0	26
Retired	James Ellison		0	24
Retired	Michele Pirro		0	18
Retired	Randy De Puniet		0	25
Out on lap 1	Yonny Hernandez		0	0

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,430 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.39%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.59%
S2	Fermin Aldeguer +0.39%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.47%	Cal Crutchlow +0.47%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Jorge Martin +0.43%	Fabio Quartararo +0.53%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.24%	Cal Crutchlow +0.39%	Fabio Quartararo +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Alex Marquez +0.14%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.24%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio	Marco Bezzecchi +0.33%	Alex Marquez +0.35%
S3	Alex Marquez	Marc Marquez +0.14%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%
S4	Alex Marquez	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.17%	Jorge Martin +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Francesco Bagnaia +0.27%	Alex Marquez +0.53%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.01%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.21%	Franco Morbidelli +0.23%
S3	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.34%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S4	Alex Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.26%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Alex Marquez +0.63%	Maverick Viñales +0.64%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi +0.07%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.17%	Pedro Acosta +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Alex Marquez +0.48%	Jorge Martin +0.49%
S4	Enea Bastianini	Maverick Viñales +0.07%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.46%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%	Jack Miller +0.38%	Jorge Martin +0.46%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.28%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.33%	Brad Binder +0.40%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.12%	Jack Miller +0.19%	Aleix Espargaro +0.19%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Jack Miller +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%	Joan Mir +0.47%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.15%	Enea Bastianini +0.17%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.22%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.05%	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Joan Mir +0.24%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.29%	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%	Maverick Viñales +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Marc Marquez +0.52%	Joan Mir +0.56%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.03%	Stefan Bradl +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.48%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.01%	Jack Miller +0.20%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.07%	Aleix Espargaro +0.12%	Franco Morbidelli +0.25%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%
S2	Joan Mir +0.11%	Brad Binder +0.19%	Alex Rins +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.21%	Fabio Quartararo +0.43%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Franco Morbidelli +0.29%	Fabio Quartararo +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.30%	Fabio Quartararo +0.43%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.20%	Stefan Bradl +0.20%
S3	Marc Marquez	Danilo Petrucci +0.49%	Maverick Viñales +0.62%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Maverick Viñales +0.32%	Fabio Quartararo +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Andrea Iannone +0.45%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.54%
S2	Andrea Dovizioso +0.14%	Alex Rins +0.26%	Johann Zarco +0.28%
S3	Marc Marquez	Andrea Iannone +0.48%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.65%
S4	Cal Crutchlow +0.15%	Johann Zarco +0.18%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.41%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

100/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

56%

Front row on the podium

0.84

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 0% of the time (between 0% and 39%; 6 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	25	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	20	−5
3	Casey Stoner	16	−9
4	Cal Crutchlow	13	−12
5	Andrea Dovizioso	11	−14
6	Nicky Hayden	10	−15

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2011 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

16/27

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

19.339 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P11 to P3.

Longest battle: Ben Spies vs Daniel Pedrosa (7 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Alex MarquezDucati
2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Jack MillerDucati
2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 20% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/23	13%
2025	5/23	22%
2024	8/25	32%
2023	6/23	26%
2022	3/25	12%
2021	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet