Round 5 of 18 Aftermath

Catalan Grand Prix 2012

4.655 m · 25 laps · since 1991

01.06 – 03.06.2012

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	43:07.681	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+5.003	20
3	Andrea Dovizioso	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+9.361	16
4	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+9.544	13
5	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+12.506	11
6	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+13.948	10
7	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+17.555	9
8	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+23.478	8
9	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+30.410	7
10	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+32.897	6
11	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+36.144	5
12	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+56.229	4
13	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+68.054	3
14	Michele Pirro	FTR	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+68.775	2
15	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+70.483	1
16	James Ellison	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	+73.090	0
17	Mattia Pasini	ART	Speed Master	+80.903	0
18	Yonny Hernandez	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+81.235	0
19	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda	Came IodaRacing Project	+101.207	0
20	Ivan Silva	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+101.888	0
DNF	Colin Edwards	Suter	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	Finished in pit lane	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

11/25

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

5.003 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P10 to P6.

Longest battle: Cal Crutchlow vs Casey Stoner (23 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Daniel Pedrosa (started P5).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Daniel Pedrosa	5	1	+4
Ben Spies	4	2	+2
Michele Pirro	16	14	+2
Casey Stoner	1	5	−4
Colin Edwards	14	17	−3
Cal Crutchlow	3	6	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Daniel Pedrosa	5→2	+3.4
Andrea Dovizioso	6→3	+3.0
Alvaro Bautista	10→6	+2.6
Ivan Silva	21→20	−4.3
Randy De Puniet	13→15	−4.5
Ben Spies	4→10	−5.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

24.3 °C

Air

max 24.4 °C

56%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

12 km/h

Wind

gusts 27 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 01.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:42.775	—	16	335.3
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.875	+0.100	16	335.1
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:43.008	+0.233	18	332.9
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:43.182	+0.407	19	333.2
5	Ben Spies	01:43.191	+0.416	20	334.2
6	Stefan Bradl	01:43.245	+0.470	17	334.9
7	Nicky Hayden	01:43.246	+0.471	20	335.1
8	Karel Abraham	01:43.315	+0.540	20	331.8
9	Andrea Dovizioso	01:43.371	+0.596	20	335.4
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.493	+0.718	19	333.4
11	Valentino Rossi	01:43.537	+0.762	20	337.2
12	Hector Barbera	01:43.624	+0.849	17	329.1
13	Randy De Puniet	01:44.915	+2.140	18	318.7
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:45.281	+2.506	17	313.9
15	Michele Pirro	01:45.939	+3.164	19	313.0
16	Mattia Pasini	01:46.234	+3.459	17	315.4
17	Colin Edwards	01:46.748	+3.973	13	308.9
18	Ivan Silva	01:46.848	+4.073	14	316.4
19	James Ellison	01:46.908	+4.133	19	312.3
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.149	+4.374	15	299.7
21	Yonny Hernandez	01:47.181	+4.406	14	313.8

FP2 · 01.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.099	—	17	334.0
2	Alvaro Bautista	01:42.306	+0.207	19	333.7
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:42.447	+0.348	19	334.0
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:42.592	+0.493	21	335.6
5	Hector Barbera	01:42.639	+0.540	15	335.0
6	Ben Spies	01:42.802	+0.703	22	333.4
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.870	+0.771	18	336.6
8	Stefan Bradl	01:42.943	+0.844	19	336.0
9	Nicky Hayden	01:43.057	+0.958	19	334.6
10	Casey Stoner	01:43.134	+1.035	16	336.6
11	Karel Abraham	01:43.341	+1.242	18	332.7
12	Valentino Rossi	01:43.538	+1.439	17	336.4
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:44.738	+2.639	18	316.6
14	Randy De Puniet	01:44.771	+2.672	16	320.7
15	Michele Pirro	01:45.631	+3.532	15	312.0
16	Colin Edwards	01:45.868	+3.769	16	313.8
17	Yonny Hernandez	01:46.450	+4.351	19	317.4
18	Ivan Silva	01:46.500	+4.401	19	316.0
19	Mattia Pasini	01:46.503	+4.404	9	313.6
20	James Ellison	01:46.836	+4.737	17	312.0
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:47.436	+5.337	11	299.2

FP3 · 02.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:41.646	—	19	334.4
2	Casey Stoner	01:41.966	+0.320	19	335.0
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.993	+0.347	19	334.8
4	Hector Barbera	01:42.353	+0.707	18	331.9
5	Nicky Hayden	01:42.433	+0.787	20	334.8
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.697	+1.051	19	334.3
7	Stefan Bradl	01:42.784	+1.138	19	337.1
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:42.906	+1.260	20	334.0
9	Valentino Rossi	01:43.123	+1.477	20	335.6
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.133	+1.487	18	333.5
11	Ben Spies	01:43.440	+1.794	23	333.6
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:43.882	+2.236	16	315.2
13	Randy De Puniet	01:43.991	+2.345	14	322.7
14	Karel Abraham	01:44.585	+2.939	16	329.6
15	Mattia Pasini	01:44.901	+3.255	17	315.7
16	Colin Edwards	01:45.193	+3.547	15	315.8
17	Michele Pirro	01:45.670	+4.024	18	312.0
18	James Ellison	01:45.785	+4.139	16	314.1
19	Yonny Hernandez	01:45.824	+4.178	17	315.3
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:45.942	+4.296	19	298.6
21	Ivan Silva	01:46.889	+5.243	14	310.3

Qualifying · 02.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:41.295	—	21	334.0
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:41.441	+0.146	24	332.9
3	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.548	+0.253	24	334.6
4	Ben Spies	01:41.552	+0.257	24	332.2
5	Daniel Pedrosa	01:41.656	+0.361	25	334.4
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.687	+0.392	24	336.0
7	Nicky Hayden	01:42.029	+0.734	23	332.8
8	Stefan Bradl	01:42.065	+0.770	27	335.1
9	Valentino Rossi	01:42.175	+0.880	27	338.2
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:42.356	+1.061	25	332.8
11	Hector Barbera	01:42.375	+1.080	21	333.4
12	Karel Abraham	01:43.266	+1.971	22	335.3
13	Randy De Puniet	01:43.500	+2.205	22	320.1
14	Colin Edwards	01:44.024	+2.729	21	316.1
15	Aleix Espargaro	01:44.041	+2.746	22	316.3
16	Michele Pirro	01:44.356	+3.061	19	313.2
17	James Ellison	01:44.763	+3.468	20	314.5
18	Mattia Pasini	01:44.764	+3.469	23	312.7
19	Yonny Hernandez	01:44.833	+3.538	25	312.0
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:45.730	+4.435	24	297.8
21	Ivan Silva	01:45.962	+4.667	21	311.9

Warm Up · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Cal Crutchlow	02:00.239	—	7	291.9
2	Casey Stoner	02:00.283	+0.044	7	298.0
3	Valentino Rossi	02:00.736	+0.497	8	305.5
4	Alvaro Bautista	02:00.745	+0.506	7	298.4
5	Jorge Lorenzo	02:00.783	+0.544	6	299.2
6	Stefan Bradl	02:00.887	+0.648	8	290.4
7	Daniel Pedrosa	02:01.362	+1.123	4	297.0
8	Yonny Hernandez	02:01.466	+1.227	6	299.6
9	Danilo Petrucci	02:01.674	+1.435	4	282.6
10	Ivan Silva	02:02.454	+2.215	6	283.2
11	Michele Pirro	02:02.963	+2.724	6	274.9
12	Ben Spies	02:03.067	+2.828	5	289.8
13	Andrea Dovizioso	02:03.404	+3.165	5	279.7
14	Nicky Hayden	02:03.821	+3.582	6	277.9
15	Hector Barbera	02:04.250	+4.011	6	289.2
16	Mattia Pasini	02:04.332	+4.093	7	272.7
17	Aleix Espargaro	02:04.805	+4.566	7	298.6
18	Randy De Puniet	02:05.083	+4.844	2	301.6
19	Colin Edwards	02:07.781	+7.542	5	246.3
20	Karel Abraham	02:24.064	+23.825	6	287.2
Retired	James Ellison		—	0	0.0

Race · 03.06

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	43:07.681	25	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	+5.003	20	25
3	Andrea Dovizioso	+9.361	16	25
4	Casey Stoner	+9.544	13	25
5	Cal Crutchlow	+12.506	11	25
6	Alvaro Bautista	+13.948	10	25
7	Valentino Rossi	+17.555	9	25
8	Stefan Bradl	+23.478	8	25
9	Nicky Hayden	+30.410	7	25
10	Ben Spies	+32.897	6	25
11	Hector Barbera	+36.144	5	25
12	Karel Abraham	+56.229	4	25
13	Aleix Espargaro	+68.054	3	25
14	Michele Pirro	+68.775	2	25
15	Randy De Puniet	+70.483	1	25
16	James Ellison	+73.090	0	25
17	Mattia Pasini	+80.903	0	25
18	Yonny Hernandez	+81.235	0	25
19	Danilo Petrucci	+101.207	0	25
20	Ivan Silva	+101.888	0	25
Finished in pit lane	Colin Edwards		0	24

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,669 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Marc Marquez +0.51%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.58%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.30%	Pedro Acosta +0.44%	Aleix Espargaro +0.46%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.16%	Marc Marquez +0.36%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.46%	Fabio Quartararo +0.47%	Raul Fernandez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Francesco Bagnaia +0.53%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.78%
S2	Alex Marquez	Joan Mir +0.17%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.02%	Brad Binder +0.16%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.43%
S4	Joan Mir +0.04%	Alex Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Johann Zarco +0.31%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Pedro Acosta +0.51%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Johann Zarco +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.03%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.37%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.12%	Brad Binder +0.17%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Pedro Acosta +0.09%	Jorge Martin +0.13%
S4	Raul Fernandez	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.14%	Brad Binder +0.27%
S2	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S3	Miguel Oliveira +0.23%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.19%	Enea Bastianini +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.44%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S3	Alex Rins +0.21%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.36%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%	Jorge Martin +0.57%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Johann Zarco	Miguel Oliveira +0.14%	Fabio Quartararo +0.40%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.38%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.12%	Franco Morbidelli +0.28%	Johann Zarco +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jack Miller +0.41%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.34%
S3	Valentino Rossi +0.22%	Pol Espargaro +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Valentino Rossi +0.16%	Brad Binder +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Joan Mir +0.33%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.18%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.35%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.26%	Valentino Rossi +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.19%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo +0.15%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Andrea Iannone	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.12%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Johann Zarco +0.19%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

52/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

44%

Front row on the podium

0.71

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 86% of the time (between 49% and 97%; 7 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	90	—
2	Casey Stoner	82	−8
3	Daniel Pedrosa	65	−25
4	Cal Crutchlow	45	−45
5	Andrea Dovizioso	44	−46
6	Valentino Rossi	42	−48

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2011 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

24/25

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

2.403 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Colin Edwards, from P16 to P11.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Valentino Rossi (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Aleix EspargaroAprilia
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Miguel OliveiraKTM
2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 25% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/22	23%
2025	7/24	29%
2024	3/23	13%
2023	3/20	15%
2022	8/25	32%
2021	6/21	29%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet