Round 2 of 18 Aftermath

Spanish Grand Prix 2011

4.428 m · 25 laps · since 1984

01.04 – 03.04.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	50:49.046	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+19.339	20
3	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+29.085	16
4	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+29.551	13
5	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+62.227	11
6	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	+68.440	10
7	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+74.120	9
8	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+79.110	8
9	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+102.906	7
10	John Hopkins	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+108.395	6
11	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+111.876	5
12	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+0.000	4
DNF	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

16/27

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

19.339 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P11 to P3.

Longest battle: Ben Spies vs Daniel Pedrosa (7 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Casey Stoner (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Nicky Hayden	11	6	+5
Valentino Rossi	12	8	+4
Toni Elias	17	14	+3
Daniel Pedrosa	2	9	−7
Randy De Puniet	7	13	−6
Hiroshi Aoyama	10	16	−6

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Nicky Hayden	11→3	+6.3
Karel Abraham	16→7	+5.5
Valentino Rossi	12→5	+4.9
Loris Capirossi	15→11	+0.8
Cal Crutchlow	9→8	−0.0
Andrea Dovizioso	6→12	−6.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

18.3 °C

Air

max 18.3 °C

74%

Humidity

1.4 mm

Rain

9 km/h

Wind

gusts 52 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 01.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:39.551	—	17	277.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.579	+0.028	19	270.6
3	Valentino Rossi	01:40.077	+0.526	21	274.4
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:40.176	+0.625	20	275.9
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:40.420	+0.869	20	268.3
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.429	+0.878	19	277.0
7	Ben Spies	01:40.887	+1.336	21	278.3
8	Colin Edwards	01:41.063	+1.512	20	273.1
9	Randy De Puniet	01:41.064	+1.513	18	272.0
10	Nicky Hayden	01:41.233	+1.682	19	271.8
11	Karel Abraham	01:41.398	+1.847	18	269.5
12	Hector Barbera	01:41.601	+2.050	18	271.4
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:41.816	+2.265	19	271.6
14	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.949	+2.398	18	270.3
15	Toni Elias	01:42.157	+2.606	20	279.3
16	Loris Capirossi	01:42.313	+2.762	17	273.8
17	John Hopkins	01:42.538	+2.987	18	275.2

FP2 · 01.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:40.101	—	17	275.7
2	Casey Stoner	01:40.289	+0.188	15	278.4
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:40.623	+0.522	21	270.0
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:40.701	+0.600	21	278.3
5	Valentino Rossi	01:40.956	+0.855	21	276.6
6	Randy De Puniet	01:40.982	+0.881	19	267.7
7	Ben Spies	01:41.053	+0.952	22	279.1
8	Nicky Hayden	01:41.058	+0.957	21	272.6
9	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:41.292	+1.191	19	275.2
10	Karel Abraham	01:41.304	+1.203	16	265.2
11	Colin Edwards	01:41.337	+1.236	19	273.3
12	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.407	+1.306	22	277.0
13	Hector Barbera	01:41.665	+1.564	20	273.5
14	Loris Capirossi	01:41.810	+1.709	20	272.7
15	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.854	+1.753	18	272.4
16	John Hopkins	01:42.305	+2.204	17	275.5
17	Toni Elias	01:42.690	+2.589	20	274.2

FP3 · 02.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:38.864	—	13	277.6
2	Casey Stoner	01:39.171	+0.307	16	277.4
3	Marco Simoncelli	01:39.355	+0.491	20	280.2
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.682	+0.818	24	273.9
5	Randy De Puniet	01:39.695	+0.831	22	273.7
6	Valentino Rossi	01:39.822	+0.958	21	277.5
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:40.163	+1.299	20	271.8
8	Colin Edwards	01:40.188	+1.324	21	272.9
9	Ben Spies	01:40.202	+1.338	21	279.5
10	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.210	+1.346	21	278.4
11	Nicky Hayden	01:40.335	+1.471	21	280.2
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:40.477	+1.613	19	272.8
13	Hector Barbera	01:40.511	+1.647	20	276.4
14	John Hopkins	01:40.903	+2.039	20	279.0
15	Loris Capirossi	01:41.052	+2.188	20	277.1
16	Karel Abraham	01:41.056	+2.192	19	264.6
17	Toni Elias	01:41.063	+2.199	20	276.9

Qualifying · 02.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:38.757	—	23	280.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:38.915	+0.158	22	281.5
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:38.918	+0.161	29	275.0
4	Ben Spies	01:39.390	+0.633	23	277.6
5	Marco Simoncelli	01:39.486	+0.729	27	279.2
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:39.709	+0.952	29	278.6
7	Randy De Puniet	01:39.892	+1.135	20	275.8
8	Colin Edwards	01:39.895	+1.138	25	274.7
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:40.019	+1.262	24	271.2
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:40.168	+1.411	22	274.8
11	Nicky Hayden	01:40.175	+1.418	26	279.0
12	Valentino Rossi	01:40.185	+1.428	24	276.7
13	Hector Barbera	01:40.217	+1.460	28	269.5
14	John Hopkins	01:40.310	+1.553	26	277.6
15	Loris Capirossi	01:40.523	+1.766	25	276.3
16	Karel Abraham	01:40.601	+1.844	26	274.3
17	Toni Elias	01:41.114	+2.357	24	280.4

Warm Up · 03.04

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:50.297	—	10	251.8
2	Valentino Rossi	01:50.888	+0.591	10	260.0
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:51.137	+0.840	10	258.9
4	Nicky Hayden	01:51.176	+0.879	10	250.8
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:51.273	+0.976	11	252.9
6	Marco Simoncelli	01:51.462	+1.165	10	257.7
7	Daniel Pedrosa	01:51.476	+1.179	10	255.3
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:52.025	+1.728	8	249.4
9	Randy De Puniet	01:52.050	+1.753	10	246.8
10	Colin Edwards	01:52.376	+2.079	10	244.3
11	Loris Capirossi	01:53.163	+2.866	10	248.4
12	John Hopkins	01:53.329	+3.032	9	256.8
13	Hector Barbera	01:53.535	+3.238	8	245.3
14	Ben Spies	01:53.589	+3.292	10	260.0
15	Karel Abraham	01:53.963	+3.666	9	242.6
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:54.606	+4.309	10	241.0
17	Toni Elias	01:56.451	+6.154	10	257.6

Race · 03.04

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	50:49.046	25	27
2	Daniel Pedrosa	+19.339	20	27
3	Nicky Hayden	+29.085	16	27
4	Hiroshi Aoyama	+29.551	13	27
5	Valentino Rossi	+62.227	11	27
6	Hector Barbera	+68.440	10	27
7	Karel Abraham	+74.120	9	27
8	Cal Crutchlow	+79.110	8	27
9	Toni Elias	+102.906	7	27
10	John Hopkins	+108.395	6	27
11	Loris Capirossi	+111.876	5	27
12	Andrea Dovizioso	+0.000	4	26
Retired	Ben Spies		0	24
Retired	Casey Stoner		0	7
Retired	Colin Edwards		0	26
Retired	Marco Simoncelli		0	11
Retired	Randy De Puniet		0	16

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,430 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.39%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.59%
S2	Fermin Aldeguer +0.39%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.47%	Cal Crutchlow +0.47%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Jorge Martin +0.43%	Fabio Quartararo +0.53%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.24%	Cal Crutchlow +0.39%	Fabio Quartararo +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Alex Marquez +0.14%	Marc Marquez +0.22%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.24%
S2	Fabio Di Giannantonio	Marco Bezzecchi +0.33%	Alex Marquez +0.35%
S3	Alex Marquez	Marc Marquez +0.14%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%
S4	Alex Marquez	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.17%	Jorge Martin +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Francesco Bagnaia +0.27%	Alex Marquez +0.53%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.01%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.21%	Franco Morbidelli +0.23%
S3	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.34%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S4	Alex Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.26%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.35%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Alex Marquez +0.63%	Maverick Viñales +0.64%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi +0.07%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.17%	Pedro Acosta +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Alex Marquez +0.48%	Jorge Martin +0.49%
S4	Enea Bastianini	Maverick Viñales +0.07%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.46%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%	Jack Miller +0.38%	Jorge Martin +0.46%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.28%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.33%	Brad Binder +0.40%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.12%	Jack Miller +0.19%	Aleix Espargaro +0.19%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Jack Miller +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%	Joan Mir +0.47%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.15%	Enea Bastianini +0.17%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.22%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.05%	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Joan Mir +0.24%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.29%	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%	Maverick Viñales +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Marc Marquez +0.52%	Joan Mir +0.56%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.03%	Stefan Bradl +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.48%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.01%	Jack Miller +0.20%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%
S4	Maverick Viñales +0.07%	Aleix Espargaro +0.12%	Franco Morbidelli +0.25%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Maverick Viñales +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%
S2	Joan Mir +0.11%	Brad Binder +0.19%	Alex Rins +0.22%
S3	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.21%	Fabio Quartararo +0.43%
S4	Maverick Viñales	Franco Morbidelli +0.29%	Fabio Quartararo +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.30%	Fabio Quartararo +0.43%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.20%	Stefan Bradl +0.20%
S3	Marc Marquez	Danilo Petrucci +0.49%	Maverick Viñales +0.62%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.08%	Maverick Viñales +0.32%	Fabio Quartararo +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Andrea Iannone +0.45%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.54%
S2	Andrea Dovizioso +0.14%	Alex Rins +0.26%	Johann Zarco +0.28%
S3	Marc Marquez	Andrea Iannone +0.48%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.65%
S4	Cal Crutchlow +0.15%	Johann Zarco +0.18%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.41%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

100/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

56%

Front row on the podium

0.84

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 0% of the time (between 0% and 39%; 6 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Casey Stoner	25	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	20	−5
3	Daniel Pedrosa	16	−9
4	Andrea Dovizioso	13	−12
5	Marco Simoncelli	11	−14
6	Ben Spies	10	−15

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

1/27

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

0.543 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Mika Kallio, from P17 to P7.

Longest battle: Mika Kallio vs Randy De Puniet (19 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Alex MarquezDucati
2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Jack MillerDucati
2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 20% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/23	13%
2025	5/23	22%
2024	8/25	32%
2023	6/23	26%
2022	3/25	12%
2021	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet