Round 1 of 18 Aftermath

Qatar Grand Prix 2011

5.380 m · 21 laps · since 2004

17.03 – 20.03.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	42:38.569	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+3.440	20
3	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+5.051	16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+5.942	13
5	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+7.358	11
6	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+10.468	10
7	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+16.431	9
8	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+26.293	8
9	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+27.416	7
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+28.920	6
11	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+34.539	5
12	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	+34.829	4
13	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+37.957	3
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

15/22

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

3.440 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P13 to P9.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Marco Simoncelli (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Toni Elias	16	11	+5
Colin Edwards	10	6	+4
Andrea Dovizioso	7	4	+3
Ben Spies	5	8	−3
Loris Capirossi	14	15	−1
Daniel Pedrosa	2	3	−1

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Andrea Dovizioso	7→4	+2.7
Jorge Lorenzo	3→2	+2.1
Casey Stoner	1→1	+1.8
Karel Abraham	15→13	−1.2
Cal Crutchlow	8→11	−3.7
Hector Barbera	6→12	−6.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

18.6 °C

Air

max 19.0 °C

55%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

10 km/h

Wind

gusts 13 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 17.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:55.752	—	16	323.5
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.362	+0.610	18	320.4
3	Hector Barbera	01:56.421	+0.669	18	326.6
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:56.441	+0.689	18	320.2
5	Valentino Rossi	01:56.479	+0.727	19	319.8
6	Ben Spies	01:56.493	+0.741	17	317.9
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.586	+0.834	18	316.7
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.592	+0.840	17	321.3
9	Randy De Puniet	01:56.790	+1.038	19	316.4
10	Colin Edwards	01:56.879	+1.127	20	321.7
11	Nicky Hayden	01:56.910	+1.158	18	321.6
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:56.987	+1.235	18	320.8
13	Loris Capirossi	01:57.366	+1.614	18	317.3
14	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.429	+1.677	17	317.2
15	Karel Abraham	01:57.821	+2.069	19	322.5
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:58.528	+2.776	15	316.7
17	Toni Elias	01:59.087	+3.335	17	317.9

FP2 · 18.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:55.457	—	17	320.4
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.854	+0.397	19	321.8
3	Ben Spies	01:56.116	+0.659	18	316.3
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.172	+0.715	19	323.3
5	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.220	+0.763	18	317.8
6	Colin Edwards	01:56.259	+0.802	18	316.4
7	Marco Simoncelli	01:56.378	+0.921	19	318.7
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.518	+1.061	19	319.2
9	Valentino Rossi	01:56.532	+1.075	17	320.1
10	Nicky Hayden	01:56.626	+1.169	17	320.0
11	Randy De Puniet	01:56.668	+1.211	20	316.3
12	Hector Barbera	01:56.735	+1.278	18	327.7
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:56.790	+1.333	18	319.7
14	Alvaro Bautista	01:56.833	+1.376	18	316.3
15	Loris Capirossi	01:57.304	+1.847	17	317.6
16	Karel Abraham	01:57.683	+2.226	19	322.5
17	Toni Elias	01:58.801	+3.344	16	316.5

FP3 · 18.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:55.035	—	16	321.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.193	+0.158	18	322.8
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.740	+0.705	18	322.7
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.814	+0.779	21	317.6
5	Ben Spies	01:56.003	+0.968	17	317.4
6	Hector Barbera	01:56.266	+1.231	21	327.5
7	Colin Edwards	01:56.302	+1.267	20	319.6
8	Valentino Rossi	01:56.306	+1.271	18	317.9
9	Randy De Puniet	01:56.362	+1.327	19	319.2
10	Loris Capirossi	01:56.434	+1.399	18	318.2
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:56.437	+1.402	18	319.3
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:56.517	+1.482	17	320.0
13	Marco Simoncelli	01:56.540	+1.505	17	315.5
14	Nicky Hayden	01:56.586	+1.551	19	319.1
15	Karel Abraham	01:57.275	+2.240	17	321.1
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:57.601	+2.566	12	316.0
17	Toni Elias	01:58.123	+3.088	16	321.3

Qualifying · 19.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:54.137	—	23	324.3
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:54.342	+0.205	23	326.6
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:54.947	+0.810	26	321.2
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:54.988	+0.851	25	324.0
5	Ben Spies	01:55.095	+0.958	26	319.1
6	Hector Barbera	01:55.223	+1.086	25	329.8
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:55.229	+1.092	25	324.2
8	Cal Crutchlow	01:55.578	+1.441	23	321.9
9	Valentino Rossi	01:55.637	+1.500	24	324.1
10	Colin Edwards	01:55.647	+1.510	24	320.5
11	Randy De Puniet	01:55.656	+1.519	24	322.8
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:55.724	+1.587	25	326.1
13	Nicky Hayden	01:55.881	+1.744	24	323.5
14	Loris Capirossi	01:56.323	+2.186	24	319.1
15	Karel Abraham	01:56.665	+2.528	25	326.2
16	Toni Elias	01:57.992	+3.855	23	324.1
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		—	0	0.0

Warm Up · 20.03

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:55.345	—	10	323.5
2	Casey Stoner	01:55.505	+0.160	9	324.3
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:55.682	+0.337	11	317.7
4	Ben Spies	01:56.117	+0.772	9	316.3
5	Randy De Puniet	01:56.180	+0.835	10	319.4
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:56.211	+0.866	10	322.2
7	Marco Simoncelli	01:56.287	+0.942	10	317.2
8	Valentino Rossi	01:56.625	+1.280	10	320.4
9	Hector Barbera	01:56.779	+1.434	9	325.9
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:56.782	+1.437	10	321.8
11	Nicky Hayden	01:56.788	+1.443	10	320.8
12	Colin Edwards	01:56.851	+1.506	10	316.3
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:57.005	+1.660	9	313.9
14	Loris Capirossi	01:57.243	+1.898	10	317.0
15	Karel Abraham	01:57.982	+2.637	9	320.6
16	Toni Elias	01:58.538	+3.193	9	322.3

Race · 20.03

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Casey Stoner	42:38.569	25	22
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+3.440	20	22
3	Daniel Pedrosa	+5.051	16	22
4	Andrea Dovizioso	+5.942	13	22
5	Marco Simoncelli	+7.358	11	22
6	Ben Spies	+10.468	10	22
7	Valentino Rossi	+16.431	9	22
8	Colin Edwards	+26.293	8	22
9	Nicky Hayden	+27.416	7	22
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	+28.920	6	22
11	Cal Crutchlow	+34.539	5	22
12	Hector Barbera	+34.829	4	22
13	Karel Abraham	+37.957	3	22
Retired	Loris Capirossi		0	1
Retired	Randy De Puniet		0	0
Retired	Toni Elias		0	18

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Alvaro Bautista	17	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,426 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.41%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.42%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.50%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%	Pedro Acosta +0.47%	Ai Ogura +0.47%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Alex Marquez +0.41%	Alex Rins +0.51%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Franco Morbidelli +0.31%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Alex Marquez +0.29%	Franco Morbidelli +0.29%
S3	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.55%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Aleix Espargaro +0.35%	Enea Bastianini +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.04%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.05%	Alex Marquez +0.29%	Enea Bastianini +0.47%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Enea Bastianini +0.27%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Maverick Viñales +0.39%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.49%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.14%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.19%	Raul Fernandez +0.43%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.19%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.21%	Maverick Viñales +0.21%
S4	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.09%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.25%	Fabio Quartararo +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin +0.19%	Pol Espargaro +0.23%	Joan Mir +0.37%
S2	Pol Espargaro +0.40%	Aleix Espargaro +0.43%	Enea Bastianini +0.47%
S3	Alex Rins +0.07%	Miguel Oliveira +0.19%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.37%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.25%	Maverick Viñales +0.29%	Jack Miller +0.35%
S2	Johann Zarco +0.16%	Franco Morbidelli +0.22%	Fabio Quartararo +0.46%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Aleix Espargaro +0.28%	Fabio Quartararo +0.37%
S4	Johann Zarco +0.08%	Jack Miller +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.14%	Danilo Petrucci +0.24%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.27%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Valentino Rossi +0.37%	Marc Marquez +0.47%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Quartararo +0.45%
S4	Danilo Petrucci +0.10%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.49%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.20%	Danilo Petrucci +0.22%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.26%
S2	Valentino Rossi +0.23%	Johann Zarco +0.43%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.45%
S3	Andrea Iannone +0.15%	Alex Rins +0.32%	Danilo Petrucci +0.35%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.28%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.34%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

57/100

Position index

14%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.77

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 0% of the time (between 0% and 56%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 7 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

Pending · no data yet

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

4 leaders

17/22

Laps led by the winner

Valentino Rossi

1.022 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Ben Spies, from P11 to P5.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Hector Barbera (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2019Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2017Maverick ViñalesYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 17% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	4/22	18%
2024	1/22	5%
2023	2/21	10%
2022	6/24	25%
2021	3/22	14%
2019	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet