Round 13 of 18 Aftermath

San Marino Grand Prix 2011

Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli San Marino

4.226 m · 27 laps · since 1980

02.09 – 04.09.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	44:11.877	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+7.299	20
3	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+11.967	16
4	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+17.353	13
5	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+17.390	11
6	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+18.092	10
7	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+23.703	9
8	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+30.678	8
9	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	+37.502	7
10	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+37.720	6
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+39.548	5
12	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+40.506	4
13	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+53.349	3
14	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+62.366	2
15	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+80.156	1
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

28/28

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

7.299 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P11 to P7.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Marco Simoncelli (12 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P2).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Nicky Hayden	15	9	+6
Valentino Rossi	11	6	+5
Toni Elias	17	14	+3
Karel Abraham	12	15	−3
Randy De Puniet	14	17	−3
Hiroshi Aoyama	10	12	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Jorge Lorenzo	2→1	+2.5
Valentino Rossi	11→7	+2.3
Daniel Pedrosa	3→2	+2.1
Hiroshi Aoyama	10→11	−2.4
Randy De Puniet	14→14	−2.8
Colin Edwards	7→13	−6.3

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

28.1 °C

Air

max 28.1 °C

76%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

8 km/h

Wind

gusts 33 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 02.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:34.180	—	18	278.1
2	Ben Spies	01:34.466	+0.286	23	271.6
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.529	+0.349	20	279.4
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:35.011	+0.831	22	276.2
5	Marco Simoncelli	01:35.088	+0.908	22	272.4
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:35.142	+0.962	21	272.5
7	Hector Barbera	01:35.480	+1.300	19	274.5
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.579	+1.399	20	275.3
9	Colin Edwards	01:35.589	+1.409	22	268.3
10	Karel Abraham	01:35.688	+1.508	20	271.1
11	Valentino Rossi	01:35.745	+1.565	22	273.4
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.950	+1.770	21	270.3
13	Nicky Hayden	01:35.960	+1.780	21	276.6
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:36.067	+1.887	24	276.1
15	Loris Capirossi	01:36.513	+2.333	21	271.4
16	Randy De Puniet	01:36.646	+2.466	20	270.0
17	Toni Elias	01:37.308	+3.128	21	275.6

FP2 · 02.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.929	—	22	272.1
2	Casey Stoner	01:34.005	+0.076	19	274.4
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.205	+0.276	22	277.1
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.444	+0.515	21	268.9
5	Ben Spies	01:34.469	+0.540	22	270.2
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.989	+1.060	22	272.4
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.023	+1.094	20	272.1
8	Hector Barbera	01:35.111	+1.182	20	271.8
9	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.282	+1.353	22	274.4
10	Colin Edwards	01:35.301	+1.372	22	265.6
11	Valentino Rossi	01:35.331	+1.402	21	270.6
12	Randy De Puniet	01:35.418	+1.489	22	267.6
13	Nicky Hayden	01:35.419	+1.490	21	274.5
14	Karel Abraham	01:35.423	+1.494	23	271.3
15	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.622	+1.693	21	268.3
16	Loris Capirossi	01:35.826	+1.897	21	271.2
17	Toni Elias	01:36.196	+2.267	21	272.9

FP3 · 03.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:33.567	—	18	275.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.666	+0.099	20	277.9
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.890	+0.323	22	272.5
4	Ben Spies	01:34.285	+0.718	23	270.7
5	Colin Edwards	01:34.321	+0.754	23	267.5
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.420	+0.853	24	272.4
7	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.606	+1.039	20	269.9
8	Hector Barbera	01:34.659	+1.092	20	274.0
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.797	+1.230	20	270.2
10	Nicky Hayden	01:34.919	+1.352	17	273.6
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.924	+1.357	22	274.3
12	Valentino Rossi	01:34.933	+1.366	22	270.3
13	Randy De Puniet	01:35.063	+1.496	20	268.2
14	Karel Abraham	01:35.321	+1.754	19	273.0
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.357	+1.790	23	275.7
16	Loris Capirossi	01:35.558	+1.991	21	272.2
17	Toni Elias	01:36.347	+2.780	20	272.9

Qualifying · 03.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:33.138	—	26	274.0
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:33.258	+0.120	30	271.7
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.318	+0.180	28	276.6
4	Ben Spies	01:33.947	+0.809	30	269.6
5	Marco Simoncelli	01:33.990	+0.852	28	267.9
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.026	+0.888	30	273.8
7	Colin Edwards	01:34.054	+0.916	29	266.4
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.360	+1.222	29	274.6
9	Hector Barbera	01:34.592	+1.454	24	274.7
10	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:34.637	+1.499	28	274.8
11	Valentino Rossi	01:34.676	+1.538	28	271.2
12	Karel Abraham	01:34.727	+1.589	29	273.3
13	Cal Crutchlow	01:34.791	+1.653	23	267.7
14	Randy De Puniet	01:34.870	+1.732	25	268.9
15	Nicky Hayden	01:34.955	+1.817	28	271.8
16	Loris Capirossi	01:35.502	+2.364	26	270.7
17	Toni Elias	01:36.167	+3.029	28	272.6

Warm Up · 04.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:33.925	—	11	275.1
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.165	+0.240	13	274.6
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.216	+0.291	12	277.7
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.390	+0.465	12	269.7
5	Nicky Hayden	01:34.691	+0.766	13	273.8
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:34.915	+0.990	10	275.3
7	Hector Barbera	01:34.950	+1.025	12	277.1
8	Ben Spies	01:34.986	+1.061	11	271.0
9	Colin Edwards	01:35.045	+1.120	12	271.2
10	Cal Crutchlow	01:35.192	+1.267	12	269.5
11	Loris Capirossi	01:35.236	+1.311	12	273.4
12	Andrea Dovizioso	01:35.251	+1.326	10	269.9
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.325	+1.400	12	273.8
14	Valentino Rossi	01:35.395	+1.470	12	271.2
15	Karel Abraham	01:35.480	+1.555	12	275.2
16	Randy De Puniet	01:35.508	+1.583	12	270.5
17	Toni Elias	01:37.287	+3.362	11	272.8

Race · 04.09

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	44:11.877	25	28
2	Daniel Pedrosa	+7.299	20	28
3	Casey Stoner	+11.967	16	28
4	Marco Simoncelli	+17.353	13	28
5	Andrea Dovizioso	+17.390	11	28
6	Ben Spies	+18.092	10	28
7	Valentino Rossi	+23.703	9	28
8	Alvaro Bautista	+30.678	8	28
9	Hector Barbera	+37.502	7	28
10	Cal Crutchlow	+37.720	6	28
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	+39.548	5	28
12	Karel Abraham	+40.506	4	28
13	Colin Edwards	+53.349	3	28
14	Randy De Puniet	+62.366	2	28
15	Toni Elias	+80.156	1	28
Retired	Loris Capirossi		0	8
Retired	Nicky Hayden		0	2

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,218 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.44%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.44%
S2	Pedro Acosta +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.37%	Jorge Martin +0.47%
S3	Marco Bezzecchi +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.42%	Fabio Quartararo +0.53%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.06%	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Jack Miller +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Alex Marquez +0.35%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Alex Marquez +0.31%
S3	Marco Bezzecchi	Fermin Aldeguer +0.48%	Raul Fernandez +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.27%	Jorge Martin +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi	Marc Marquez +0.24%	Fabio Quartararo +0.26%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.14%	Pedro Acosta +0.22%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.10%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.25%	Luca Marini +0.29%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.03%	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Enea Bastianini +0.32%	Fabio Quartararo +0.37%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.27%	Marc Marquez +0.38%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Jorge Martin +0.24%	Pedro Acosta +0.41%
S4	Marc Marquez	Franco Morbidelli +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Brad Binder +0.39%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%
S2	Jorge Martin	Daniel Pedrosa +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Marco Bezzecchi +0.23%	Luca Marini +0.29%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Jack Miller +0.47%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.12%	Maverick Viñales +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.34%	Enea Bastianini +0.55%
S3	Enea Bastianini +0.14%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%
S4	Jack Miller	Johann Zarco +0.40%	Fabio Quartararo +0.58%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Joan Mir +0.36%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.49%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.17%	Jack Miller +0.37%	Enea Bastianini +0.38%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.25%	Alex Rins +0.34%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.06%	Jack Miller +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.18%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.04%	Franco Morbidelli +0.10%	Fabio Quartararo +0.23%
S2	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%	Pol Espargaro +0.22%	Miguel Oliveira +0.35%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Pol Espargaro +0.59%
S4	Jack Miller +0.17%	Miguel Oliveira +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.56%	Marc Marquez +0.62%
S2	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.45%	Maverick Viñales +0.53%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Valentino Rossi +0.52%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Pol Espargaro +0.07%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.13%	Cal Crutchlow +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.32%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo	Andrea Dovizioso +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.54%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%	Cal Crutchlow +0.44%	Marc Marquez +0.45%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.19%	Jack Miller +0.20%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

An open track: the grid decides less here and there are more comebacks.

29/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.73

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 13% of the time (between 2% and 47%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Casey Stoner	243	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	199	−44
3	Andrea Dovizioso	174	−69
4	Daniel Pedrosa	130	−113
5	Ben Spies	125	−118
6	Valentino Rossi	124	−119

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

28/28

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

1.900 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P16 to P8.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Valentino Rossi (14 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Marc MarquezDucati
2023Jorge MartinDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2020Franco MorbidelliYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 19% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	7/21	33%
2025	7/23	30%
2024	3/22	14%
2023	4/23	17%
2022	4/25	16%
2021	3/24	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet