MotoGP Indianapolis 2011: schedule, stats and forecast

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	46:52.786	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+4.828	20
3	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+10.603	16
4	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+16.576	13
5	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+17.202	11
6	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+30.447	10
7	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+39.690	9
8	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+53.416	8
9	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+53.790	7
10	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+55.345	6
11	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+57.184	5
12	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+60.141	4
13	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+62.169	3
14	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+0.000	2
DNF	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	Retired	0
DNF	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	Retired	0
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

22/28

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

4.828 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hiroshi Aoyama, from P13 to P9.

Longest battle: Hiroshi Aoyama vs Randy De Puniet (10 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Daniel Pedrosa (started P4).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Valentino Rossi	14	10	+4
Nicky Hayden	8	4	+4
Loris Capirossi	17	14	+3
Ben Spies	2	9	−7
Hiroshi Aoyama	13	17	−4
Randy De Puniet	12	15	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Daniel Pedrosa	4→2	+2.8
Alvaro Bautista	9→6	+2.0
Randy De Puniet	12→8	+1.9
Cal Crutchlow	11→11	−1.7
Marco Simoncelli	7→12	−5.3
Nicky Hayden	8→14	−6.7

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

25.8 °C

Air

max 25.9 °C

40%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

13 km/h

Wind

gusts 35 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 26.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Ben Spies	01:43.260	—	18	313.1
2	Casey Stoner	01:43.552	+0.292	17	319.0
3	Colin Edwards	01:43.574	+0.314	21	312.3
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:43.582	+0.322	20	315.9
5	Nicky Hayden	01:44.236	+0.976	19	315.6
6	Valentino Rossi	01:44.362	+1.102	20	311.5
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:44.551	+1.291	19	317.6
8	Hector Barbera	01:45.026	+1.766	17	317.4
9	Jorge Lorenzo	01:45.065	+1.805	16	312.9
10	Daniel Pedrosa	01:45.192	+1.932	19	314.4
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:45.249	+1.989	19	313.5
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:45.368	+2.108	19	311.8
13	Randy De Puniet	01:45.577	+2.317	22	311.2
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:46.159	+2.899	21	312.8
15	Loris Capirossi	01:46.484	+3.224	19	310.5
16	Karel Abraham	01:46.643	+3.383	11	306.1
17	Toni Elias	01:47.507	+4.247	18	309.6

FP2 · 26.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:40.724	—	18	319.3
2	Ben Spies	01:40.918	+0.194	19	312.2
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:41.205	+0.481	19	317.8
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:41.461	+0.737	18	313.8
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:41.536	+0.812	19	320.1
6	Colin Edwards	01:41.699	+0.975	18	313.2
7	Marco Simoncelli	01:41.742	+1.018	20	316.8
8	Nicky Hayden	01:41.789	+1.065	20	316.0
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:42.231	+1.507	22	317.8
10	Randy De Puniet	01:42.339	+1.615	20	310.6
11	Valentino Rossi	01:42.405	+1.681	19	316.6
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:42.673	+1.949	22	318.6
13	Hector Barbera	01:42.920	+2.196	20	321.1
14	Loris Capirossi	01:43.034	+2.310	21	315.1
15	Cal Crutchlow	01:43.085	+2.361	20	312.9
16	Toni Elias	01:43.230	+2.506	19	315.8
17	Karel Abraham	01:43.528	+2.804	20	315.2

FP3 · 27.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:39.538	—	18	321.6
2	Ben Spies	01:39.670	+0.132	20	316.4
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.896	+0.358	20	319.8
4	Marco Simoncelli	01:40.301	+0.763	18	315.4
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.326	+0.788	22	319.6
6	Colin Edwards	01:40.438	+0.900	21	313.5
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:40.547	+1.009	19	315.1
8	Valentino Rossi	01:40.698	+1.160	20	317.3
9	Randy De Puniet	01:40.915	+1.377	20	317.9
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.916	+1.378	21	318.8
11	Nicky Hayden	01:41.067	+1.529	20	318.4
12	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.209	+1.671	19	313.5
13	Loris Capirossi	01:41.496	+1.958	19	316.3
14	Hector Barbera	01:41.512	+1.974	20	322.1
15	Toni Elias	01:41.676	+2.138	20	315.0
16	Karel Abraham	01:41.740	+2.202	20	318.2
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:41.889	+2.351	22	320.5

Qualifying · 27.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:38.850	—	25	323.5
2	Ben Spies	01:39.373	+0.523	25	316.4
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.629	+0.779	26	316.3
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.947	+1.097	26	320.0
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.024	+1.174	28	320.3
6	Colin Edwards	01:40.098	+1.248	26	314.4
7	Marco Simoncelli	01:40.204	+1.354	26	316.6
8	Nicky Hayden	01:40.244	+1.394	26	322.5
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.333	+1.483	28	318.5
10	Hector Barbera	01:40.360	+1.510	24	322.0
11	Cal Crutchlow	01:40.620	+1.770	24	314.8
12	Randy De Puniet	01:40.815	+1.965	27	317.3
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:40.925	+2.075	26	319.8
14	Valentino Rossi	01:40.975	+2.125	24	318.2
15	Toni Elias	01:41.030	+2.180	25	319.2
16	Karel Abraham	01:41.085	+2.235	28	317.5
17	Loris Capirossi	01:41.092	+2.242	26	316.0

Warm Up · 28.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Ben Spies	01:39.621	—	11	313.5
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.723	+0.102	12	319.9
3	Casey Stoner	01:39.784	+0.163	11	321.4
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.788	+0.167	12	315.6
5	Nicky Hayden	01:39.988	+0.367	12	321.0
6	Marco Simoncelli	01:40.234	+0.613	12	317.3
7	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.291	+0.670	12	318.8
8	Colin Edwards	01:40.494	+0.873	11	313.4
9	Hector Barbera	01:40.610	+0.989	12	322.1
10	Valentino Rossi	01:40.879	+1.258	12	315.8
11	Randy De Puniet	01:41.008	+1.387	12	316.0
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:41.161	+1.540	11	316.3
13	Karel Abraham	01:41.222	+1.601	12	319.0
14	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.333	+1.712	10	313.9
15	Alvaro Bautista	01:41.482	+1.861	11	317.7
16	Loris Capirossi	01:41.660	+2.039	11	313.3
17	Toni Elias	01:41.993	+2.372	10	311.4

Race · 28.08

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Casey Stoner	46:52.786	25	28
2	Daniel Pedrosa	+4.828	20	28
3	Ben Spies	+10.603	16	28
4	Jorge Lorenzo	+16.576	13	28
5	Andrea Dovizioso	+17.202	11	28
6	Alvaro Bautista	+30.447	10	28
7	Colin Edwards	+39.690	9	28
8	Randy De Puniet	+53.416	8	28
9	Hiroshi Aoyama	+53.790	7	28
10	Valentino Rossi	+55.345	6	28
11	Cal Crutchlow	+57.184	5	28
12	Marco Simoncelli	+60.141	4	28
13	Toni Elias	+62.169	3	28
14	Nicky Hayden	+0.000	2	26
Retired	Hector Barbera		0	27
Retired	Karel Abraham		0	20
Retired	Loris Capirossi		0	16

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Pending · no data yet

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

Pending · no data yet

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Casey Stoner	218	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	186	−32
3	Andrea Dovizioso	163	−55
4	Valentino Rossi	118	−100
5	Daniel Pedrosa	110	−108
6	Ben Spies	109	−109

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

22/28

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

3.575 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hector Barbera, from P16 to P10.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Marco Simoncelli (17 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2015Marc MarquezHonda
2014Marc MarquezHonda
2013Marc MarquezHonda
2012Daniel PedrosaHonda
2011Casey StonerHonda
2010Daniel PedrosaHonda

Attrition here

Average here 21% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2015	1/23	4%
2014	8/23	35%
2013	4/23	17%
2012	6/22	27%
2011	3/17	18%
2010	4/17	24%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Indianapolis Grand Prix 2011

What happened

Race result

Sprint result

Forecast vs reality

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Race pace

The race in numbers

Incidents

The start

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

The tyre gamble

Race weather

As it happens

The weekend, session by session

Long-run pace in practice

Who will make it to Q2

Pole and front row

Grid penalties

Sprint forecast

Race forecast

What the sprint changed

Sprint pace

Before the race

Who rules each sector

A track for grid position, or an open one?

How they arrive in the standings

The last race here in numbers

Race pace at the last edition

Winners here

Attrition here

Tyres at the last edition