Round 14 of 18 Aftermath

Aragon Grand Prix 2011

5.078 m · 23 laps · since 2010

16.09 – 18.09.2011

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	42:17.427	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+8.162	20
3	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+14.209	16
4	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+20.646	13
5	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+27.739	11
6	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+30.373	10
7	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+34.288	9
8	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Mapfre Aspar Team MotoGP	+37.305	8
9	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+39.652	7
10	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+39.832	6
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+39.997	5
12	Randy De Puniet	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+54.717	4
13	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+58.430	3
DNF	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	Retired	0
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Toni Elias	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	Retired	0

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

23/23

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

8.162 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P17 to P10.

Longest battle: Hiroshi Aoyama vs Valentino Rossi (15 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Casey Stoner (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Toni Elias	16	9	+7
Colin Edwards	14	7	+7
Valentino Rossi	17	14	+3
Randy De Puniet	10	15	−5
Hiroshi Aoyama	9	10	−1

Race weather

C25

19.0 °C

Air

max 19.3 °C

42%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

22 km/h

Wind

gusts 53 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Valentino Rossi	13	—	—	absent del Grid.pdf (pit lane / no surt)

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

The layout

Finish line · 5,068 m per lap

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

71/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

50%

Front row on the podium

0.78

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 29% of the time (between 8% and 64%; 7 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Casey Stoner	259	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	224	−35
3	Andrea Dovizioso	185	−74
4	Daniel Pedrosa	150	−109
5	Ben Spies	135	−124
6	Valentino Rossi	133	−126

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2010 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

23/23

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

5.148 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Marco Melandri, from P14 to P9.

Longest battle: Jorge Lorenzo vs Nicky Hayden (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Marc MarquezDucati
2022Enea BastianiniDucati
2021Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2020Alex RinsSuzuki
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 14% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	4/22	18%
2025	3/21	14%
2024	5/22	23%
2022	3/23	13%
2021	2/22	9%
2020	1/21	5%