Round 8 of 18 Aftermath

German Grand Prix 2010

3.671 m · 30 laps · since 1998

16.07 – 18.07.2010

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	28:50.476	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	+3.355	20
3	Casey Stoner	Ducati	Ducati Team	+5.257	16
4	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	+5.623	13
5	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+17.158	11
6	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+17.757	10
7	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+17.935	9
8	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+20.957	8
9	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Paginas Amarillas Aspar	+22.000	7
10	Marco Melandri	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+35.217	6
11	Loris Capirossi	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+45.042	5
12	Alex De Angelis	Honda	Interwetten Honda MotoGP	+45.204	4
DNF	Mika Kallio	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

13/21

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

3.355 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P15 to P7.

Longest battle: Loris Capirossi vs Roger Lee Hayden (21 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Daniel Pedrosa (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Nicky Hayden	15	5	+10
Loris Capirossi	14	11	+3
Ben Spies	13	10	+3
Hector Barbera	6	9	−3
Casey Stoner	2	4	−2
Valentino Rossi	5	6	−1

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Nicky Hayden	15→7	+4.8
Daniel Pedrosa	3→1	+3.1
Ben Spies	13→8	+2.5
Andrea Dovizioso	4→5	−0.2
Marco Melandri	10→10	−1.4
Hector Barbera	6→9	−3.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

20.4 °C

Air

max 20.8 °C

49%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

10 km/h

Wind

gusts 30 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 16.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:22.521	—	31	280.1
2	Casey Stoner	01:22.795	+0.274	28	278.9
3	Nicky Hayden	01:22.983	+0.462	28	276.6
4	Ben Spies	01:23.189	+0.668	34	273.6
5	Marco Simoncelli	01:23.204	+0.683	29	275.0
6	Jorge Lorenzo	01:23.224	+0.703	30	277.0
7	Valentino Rossi	01:23.244	+0.723	29	274.7
8	Randy De Puniet	01:23.260	+0.739	30	275.8
9	Marco Melandri	01:23.290	+0.769	26	279.0
10	Andrea Dovizioso	01:23.400	+0.879	24	277.8
11	Mika Kallio	01:23.422	+0.901	29	276.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:23.430	+0.909	25	270.7
13	Colin Edwards	01:23.440	+0.919	31	272.9
14	Loris Capirossi	01:23.589	+1.068	26	277.6
15	Hector Barbera	01:23.599	+1.078	31	276.2
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:24.020	+1.499	30	276.8
17	Alex De Angelis	01:24.101	+1.580	29	277.3

FP2 · 17.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:22.253	—	29	279.9
2	Casey Stoner	01:22.393	+0.140	21	280.2
3	Valentino Rossi	01:22.686	+0.433	26	275.2
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:22.753	+0.500	29	282.9
5	Randy De Puniet	01:22.859	+0.606	20	276.8
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.988	+0.735	28	280.3
7	Ben Spies	01:23.062	+0.809	27	275.0
8	Nicky Hayden	01:23.202	+0.949	25	276.4
9	Hector Barbera	01:23.262	+1.009	23	281.3
10	Marco Simoncelli	01:23.392	+1.139	21	274.6
11	Colin Edwards	01:23.395	+1.142	23	273.8
12	Mika Kallio	01:23.674	+1.421	28	278.9
13	Alvaro Bautista	01:23.703	+1.450	30	277.3
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:23.709	+1.456	24	272.4
15	Marco Melandri	01:23.751	+1.498	24	280.0
16	Alex De Angelis	01:23.839	+1.586	23	276.5
17	Loris Capirossi	01:23.844	+1.591	24	277.0

Qualifying · 17.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:21.817	—	36	279.8
2	Casey Stoner	01:21.841	+0.024	30	279.7
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:21.948	+0.131	37	282.6
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.263	+0.446	35	280.7
5	Valentino Rossi	01:22.395	+0.578	33	274.7
6	Hector Barbera	01:22.454	+0.637	32	279.3
7	Randy De Puniet	01:22.610	+0.793	20	277.4
8	Marco Simoncelli	01:22.624	+0.807	32	276.7
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:22.910	+1.093	32	274.2
10	Marco Melandri	01:22.917	+1.100	34	281.4
11	Mika Kallio	01:22.961	+1.144	32	278.2
12	Colin Edwards	01:23.026	+1.209	32	274.9
13	Ben Spies	01:23.028	+1.211	35	274.6
14	Loris Capirossi	01:23.040	+1.223	32	277.4
15	Nicky Hayden	01:23.090	+1.273	32	278.6
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:23.193	+1.376	34	279.1
17	Alex De Angelis	01:23.515	+1.698	28	278.1

Warm Up · 18.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Dovizioso	01:31.638	—	13	270.8
2	Casey Stoner	01:31.888	+0.250	10	270.9
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:32.041	+0.403	12	272.2
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:32.403	+0.765	12	259.2
5	Nicky Hayden	01:32.561	+0.923	12	263.7
6	Marco Melandri	01:32.631	+0.993	13	271.2
7	Randy De Puniet	01:32.986	+1.348	11	266.1
8	Hector Barbera	01:33.129	+1.491	12	268.6
9	Valentino Rossi	01:33.441	+1.803	11	266.1
10	Mika Kallio	01:33.496	+1.858	12	263.9
11	Marco Simoncelli	01:33.563	+1.925	12	266.2
12	Loris Capirossi	01:33.633	+1.995	12	263.5
13	Alvaro Bautista	01:33.668	+2.030	12	266.7
14	Colin Edwards	01:34.004	+2.366	11	252.5
15	Alex De Angelis	01:34.098	+2.460	12	254.5
16	Aleix Espargaro	01:34.906	+3.268	10	256.1
17	Ben Spies	01:37.791	+6.153	12	264.1

Race (RAC2) · 18.07

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	28:50.476	25	21
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+3.355	20	21
3	Casey Stoner	+5.257	16	21
4	Valentino Rossi	+5.623	13	21
5	Andrea Dovizioso	+17.158	11	21
6	Marco Simoncelli	+17.757	10	21
7	Nicky Hayden	+17.935	9	21
8	Ben Spies	+20.957	8	21
9	Hector Barbera	+22.000	7	21
10	Marco Melandri	+35.217	6	21
11	Loris Capirossi	+45.042	5	21
12	Alex De Angelis	+45.204	4	21
Retired	Mika Kallio		0	0

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 3,649 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.34%	Marc Marquez +0.38%	Jack Miller +0.44%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.33%	Jorge Martin +0.44%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.48%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.50%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.51%	Aleix Espargaro +0.52%
S4	Miguel Oliveira +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.31%	Aleix Espargaro +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.20%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.30%
S2	Raul Fernandez +0.09%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.21%
S3	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.07%	Raul Fernandez +0.14%	Alex Marquez +0.17%
S4	Marc Marquez	Alex Marquez +0.42%	Raul Fernandez +0.63%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.10%	Pedro Acosta +0.20%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.24%
S2	Jack Miller +0.36%	Marc Marquez +0.59%	Alex Marquez +0.61%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.45%	Alex Marquez +0.56%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.26%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Martin	Franco Morbidelli +0.34%	Brad Binder +0.42%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Jorge Martin +0.17%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.14%	Jorge Martin +0.26%	Miguel Oliveira +0.37%
S4	Miguel Oliveira	Marc Marquez +0.31%	Jorge Martin +0.56%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller +0.32%	Luca Marini +0.36%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.70%
S2	Johann Zarco	Jack Miller +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.28%
S3	Johann Zarco +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.29%	Jorge Martin +0.33%
S4	Miguel Oliveira	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Jorge Martin +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Fabio Quartararo +0.33%
S2	Jack Miller +0.04%	Jorge Martin +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%
S3	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Miguel Oliveira +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%	Miguel Oliveira +0.32%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jack Miller	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%	Joan Mir +0.88%
S2	Jack Miller +0.27%	Joan Mir +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.38%
S3	Takaaki Nakagami +0.11%	Miguel Oliveira +0.31%	Fabio Quartararo +0.38%
S4	Miguel Oliveira +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.42%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Jack Miller +0.12%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%
S2	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.23%	Alex Rins +0.48%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.24%	Alex Rins +0.27%	Maverick Viñales +0.38%
S4	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.49%	Alex Rins +0.53%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.23%	Marc Marquez +0.26%
S2	Andrea Iannone +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Cal Crutchlow +0.24%
S3	Maverick Viñales +0.28%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.39%	Danilo Petrucci +0.51%
S4	Alex Rins +0.12%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.13%	Andrea Iannone +0.14%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

95/100

Position index

50%

Pole wins

38%

Front row on the podium

0.82

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 13% of the time (between 2% and 47%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 8 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	165	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	113	−52
3	Andrea Dovizioso	91	−74
4	Nicky Hayden	69	−96
5	Randy De Puniet	69	−96
6	Casey Stoner	67	−98

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

Pending · no data yet

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Jorge MartinDucati
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Marc MarquezHonda
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/20	25%
2025	8/18	44%
2024	2/22	9%
2023	2/19	11%
2022	7/23	30%
2021	3/22	14%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet