Round 7 of 18 Aftermath

Catalan Grand Prix 2010

4.655 m · 25 laps · since 1991

02.07 – 04.07.2010

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	43:22.805	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+4.754	20
3	Casey Stoner	Ducati	Ducati Team	+4.956	16
4	Randy De Puniet	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+18.057	13
5	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+21.361	11
6	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+21.503	10
7	Loris Capirossi	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+24.181	9
8	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+27.941	8
9	Marco Melandri	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+28.046	7
10	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Paginas Amarillas Aspar	+32.439	6
11	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+38.406	5
12	Mika Kallio	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+58.257	4
13	Kousuke Akiyoshi	Honda	Interwetten Honda MotoGP	+69.348	3
14	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+92.402	2
15	Wataru Yoshikawa	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	+95.237	1
DNF	Aleix Espargaro	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

24/25

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

4.754 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Marco Melandri, from P14 to P9.

Longest battle: Casey Stoner vs Daniel Pedrosa (15 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Andrea Dovizioso	6	3	+3
Marco Simoncelli	8	5	+3
Alvaro Bautista	9	6	+3
Daniel Pedrosa	4	9	−5
Colin Edwards	10	15	−5
Ben Spies	5	8	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Alvaro Bautista	9→5	+3.0
Daniel Pedrosa	4→2	+2.8
Marco Melandri	14→9	+2.2
Wataru Yoshikawa	17→15	−1.9
Colin Edwards	10→11	−2.4
Andrea Dovizioso	6→14	−8.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

28.2 °C

Air

max 28.2 °C

60%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

15 km/h

Wind

gusts 32 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 02.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:43.259	—	27	322.4
2	Casey Stoner	01:43.412	+0.153	21	321.8
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:43.631	+0.372	25	327.2
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:43.725	+0.466	25	322.8
5	Ben Spies	01:43.854	+0.595	27	321.1
6	Aleix Espargaro	01:44.136	+0.877	21	319.1
7	Randy De Puniet	01:44.196	+0.937	26	321.2
8	Nicky Hayden	01:44.440	+1.181	24	324.9
9	Colin Edwards	01:44.551	+1.292	21	318.2
10	Marco Simoncelli	01:44.634	+1.375	25	321.5
11	Loris Capirossi	01:44.641	+1.382	23	323.2
12	Alvaro Bautista	01:44.692	+1.433	20	319.2
13	Mika Kallio	01:44.745	+1.486	27	318.6
14	Marco Melandri	01:44.806	+1.547	23	324.0
15	Hector Barbera	01:45.004	+1.745	23	321.4
16	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:47.757	+4.498	23	313.7
17	Wataru Yoshikawa	01:48.015	+4.756	24	318.3

FP2 · 03.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.748	—	27	326.2
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.798	+0.050	27	331.0
3	Casey Stoner	01:42.836	+0.088	23	324.8
4	Randy De Puniet	01:42.913	+0.165	24	321.6
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:42.978	+0.230	25	323.2
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:43.031	+0.283	29	325.3
7	Marco Simoncelli	01:43.238	+0.490	28	323.7
8	Loris Capirossi	01:43.261	+0.513	30	326.5
9	Colin Edwards	01:43.376	+0.628	25	318.8
10	Nicky Hayden	01:43.565	+0.817	25	325.4
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.623	+0.875	25	323.6
12	Hector Barbera	01:43.900	+1.152	23	327.6
13	Mika Kallio	01:43.923	+1.175	23	321.6
14	Ben Spies	01:43.946	+1.198	25	322.4
15	Marco Melandri	01:44.115	+1.367	26	325.3
16	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:45.442	+2.694	20	318.3
17	Wataru Yoshikawa	01:46.653	+3.905	27	319.7

Qualifying · 03.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:42.046	—	29	321.9
2	Casey Stoner	01:42.410	+0.364	21	323.4
3	Randy De Puniet	01:42.512	+0.466	27	322.6
4	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.592	+0.546	27	326.8
5	Ben Spies	01:42.710	+0.664	30	319.5
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:42.866	+0.820	26	324.2
7	Loris Capirossi	01:42.903	+0.857	26	321.6
8	Marco Simoncelli	01:42.994	+0.948	27	322.8
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.025	+0.979	28	327.2
10	Colin Edwards	01:43.059	+1.013	26	316.4
11	Nicky Hayden	01:43.068	+1.022	26	325.7
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:43.380	+1.334	24	321.3
13	Hector Barbera	01:43.417	+1.371	21	324.2
14	Marco Melandri	01:43.621	+1.575	24	324.4
15	Mika Kallio	01:43.685	+1.639	24	324.0
16	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:45.577	+3.531	21	315.6
17	Wataru Yoshikawa	01:45.759	+3.713	20	317.2

Warm Up · 04.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.864	—	12	328.2
2	Casey Stoner	01:42.936	+0.072	11	327.2
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:43.025	+0.161	12	324.9
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:43.243	+0.379	11	325.1
5	Aleix Espargaro	01:43.578	+0.714	9	319.0
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.661	+0.797	12	323.0
7	Nicky Hayden	01:43.669	+0.805	11	326.3
8	Colin Edwards	01:43.724	+0.860	11	318.3
9	Ben Spies	01:43.727	+0.863	11	319.6
10	Marco Simoncelli	01:43.821	+0.957	11	320.7
11	Randy De Puniet	01:43.890	+1.026	11	320.9
12	Marco Melandri	01:43.974	+1.110	12	322.1
13	Loris Capirossi	01:44.040	+1.176	11	321.0
14	Mika Kallio	01:44.089	+1.225	11	321.0
15	Hector Barbera	01:44.699	+1.835	11	325.1
16	Kousuke Akiyoshi	01:46.066	+3.202	10	315.5
17	Wataru Yoshikawa	01:47.140	+4.276	11	315.6

Race · 04.07

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	43:22.805	25	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	+4.754	20	25
3	Casey Stoner	+4.956	16	25
4	Randy De Puniet	+18.057	13	25
5	Alvaro Bautista	+21.361	11	25
6	Ben Spies	+21.503	10	25
7	Loris Capirossi	+24.181	9	25
8	Nicky Hayden	+27.941	8	25
9	Marco Melandri	+28.046	7	25
10	Hector Barbera	+32.439	6	25
11	Colin Edwards	+38.406	5	25
12	Mika Kallio	+58.257	4	25
13	Kousuke Akiyoshi	+69.348	3	25
14	Andrea Dovizioso	+92.402	2	25
15	Wataru Yoshikawa	+95.237	1	25
Retired	Aleix Espargaro		0	5
Retired	Marco Simoncelli		0	13

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,669 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Marc Marquez +0.51%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.58%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.30%	Pedro Acosta +0.44%	Aleix Espargaro +0.46%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.16%	Marc Marquez +0.36%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S4	Pedro Acosta +0.46%	Fabio Quartararo +0.47%	Raul Fernandez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta	Francesco Bagnaia +0.53%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.78%
S2	Alex Marquez	Joan Mir +0.17%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Pedro Acosta +0.02%	Brad Binder +0.16%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.43%
S4	Joan Mir +0.04%	Alex Marquez +0.21%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.15%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Brad Binder +0.45%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.15%	Fabio Quartararo +0.29%	Johann Zarco +0.31%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.17%	Alex Marquez +0.27%	Pedro Acosta +0.51%
S4	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Johann Zarco +0.30%	Marc Marquez +0.40%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pedro Acosta +0.03%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.37%	Brad Binder +0.41%
S2	Aleix Espargaro +0.12%	Brad Binder +0.17%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Pedro Acosta +0.09%	Jorge Martin +0.13%
S4	Raul Fernandez	Aleix Espargaro +0.25%	Brad Binder +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Aleix Espargaro +0.01%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.14%	Brad Binder +0.27%
S2	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.08%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S3	Miguel Oliveira +0.23%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro	Miguel Oliveira +0.21%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.28%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.19%	Enea Bastianini +0.20%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.44%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.28%	Aleix Espargaro +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.42%
S3	Alex Rins +0.21%	Aleix Espargaro +0.26%	Jorge Martin +0.31%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.36%	Fabio Quartararo +0.52%	Jorge Martin +0.57%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Johann Zarco	Miguel Oliveira +0.14%	Fabio Quartararo +0.40%
S2	Franco Morbidelli	Fabio Quartararo +0.07%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.38%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.11%	Aleix Espargaro +0.31%	Johann Zarco +0.38%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.12%	Franco Morbidelli +0.28%	Johann Zarco +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jack Miller +0.41%
S2	Franco Morbidelli +0.08%	Fabio Quartararo +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.34%
S3	Valentino Rossi +0.22%	Pol Espargaro +0.27%	Fabio Quartararo +0.36%
S4	Fabio Quartararo	Valentino Rossi +0.16%	Brad Binder +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Joan Mir +0.33%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.15%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.18%	Maverick Viñales +0.18%
S3	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%	Alex Rins +0.35%
S4	Fabio Quartararo +0.01%	Marc Marquez +0.26%	Valentino Rossi +0.33%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Marc Marquez +0.04%	Daniel Pedrosa +0.19%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo +0.15%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%	Maverick Viñales +0.20%
S3	Andrea Iannone	Jorge Lorenzo +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.12%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Johann Zarco +0.19%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

52/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

44%

Front row on the podium

0.71

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 86% of the time (between 49% and 97%; 7 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	140	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	93	−47
3	Andrea Dovizioso	89	−51
4	Nicky Hayden	61	−79
5	Valentino Rossi	61	−79
6	Randy De Puniet	56	−84

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

Pending · no data yet

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Fabio Di GiannantonioDucati
2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Aleix EspargaroAprilia
2022Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2021Miguel OliveiraKTM
2020Fabio QuartararoYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 25% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	5/22	23%
2025	7/24	29%
2024	3/23	13%
2023	3/20	15%
2022	8/25	32%
2021	6/21	29%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet