Round 15 of 18 Aftermath

Malaysian Grand Prix 2013

Petronas Sepang International Circuit Malaysia

5.543 m · 20 laps · since 1999

11.10 – 13.10.2013

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	40:45.191	25
2	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+2.757	20
3	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+6.669	16
4	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+10.351	13
5	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+22.149	11
6	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+22.301	10
7	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+30.864	9
8	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	+45.111	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+59.264	7
10	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Ignite Pramac Racing	+61.417	6
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	FTR	Avintia Blusens	+63.665	5
12	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+74.256	4
13	Claudio Corti	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+81.603	3
14	Hector Barbera	FTR	Avintia Blusens	+87.976	2
15	Colin Edwards	FTR Kawasaki	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+89.442	1
16	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	+89.551	0
17	Luca Scassa	ART	Cardion AB Motoracing	+107.930	0
18	Bryan Staring	FTR Honda	GO&FUN Honda Gresini	+112.927	0
DNF	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Energy T.I. Pramac Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Damian Cudlin	PBM	Paul Bird Motorsport	Retired	0
DNF	Lukas Pesek	Ioda-Suter	Came IodaRacing Project	Retired	0
DNF	Michael Laverty	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	Retired	0
DNF	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

16/20

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

2.757 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Daniel Pedrosa, from P5 to P1.

Longest battle: Alvaro Bautista vs Cal Crutchlow (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P4).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Jorge Lorenzo	4	1	+3
Daniel Pedrosa	5	2	+3
Claudio Corti	14	12	+2
Cal Crutchlow	3	6	−3
Marc Marquez	1	3	−2
Valentino Rossi	2	4	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Daniel Pedrosa	5→1	+4.4
Yonny Hernandez	17→10	+3.1
Jorge Lorenzo	4→3	+1.8
Cal Crutchlow	3→6	−1.9
Hector Barbera	15→14	−2.2
Colin Edwards	13→15	−4.5

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

28.1 °C

Air

max 28.2 °C

72%

Humidity

0.2 mm

Rain

18 km/h

Wind

gusts 36 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 11.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	02:01.229	—	17	324.8
2	Marc Marquez	02:01.596	+0.367	18	327.0
3	Jorge Lorenzo	02:01.623	+0.394	15	322.8
4	Alvaro Bautista	02:01.877	+0.648	15	322.4
5	Valentino Rossi	02:02.039	+0.810	17	323.5
6	Cal Crutchlow	02:02.370	+1.141	18	319.6
7	Stefan Bradl	02:02.421	+1.192	17	324.4
8	Nicky Hayden	02:02.632	+1.403	17	320.2
9	Bradley Smith	02:02.725	+1.496	18	313.7
10	Andrea Dovizioso	02:03.039	+1.810	15	320.0
11	Colin Edwards	02:03.574	+2.345	14	308.0
12	Andrea Iannone	02:03.596	+2.367	16	322.2
13	Aleix Espargaro	02:03.773	+2.544	12	305.8
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:04.273	+3.044	17	306.4
15	Hector Barbera	02:04.425	+3.196	12	307.8
16	Claudio Corti	02:04.703	+3.474	15	306.2
17	Yonny Hernandez	02:04.785	+3.556	16	318.3
18	Randy De Puniet	02:04.902	+3.673	14	305.3
19	Michael Laverty	02:05.319	+4.090	14	310.7
20	Danilo Petrucci	02:05.638	+4.409	16	301.7
21	Luca Scassa	02:06.355	+5.126	16	302.7
22	Bryan Staring	02:06.693	+5.464	17	299.4
23	Damian Cudlin	02:07.642	+6.413	15	300.9
24	Lukas Pesek	02:08.023	+6.794	13	299.2

FP2 · 11.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	02:00.554	—	17	326.9
2	Marc Marquez	02:01.087	+0.533	17	325.7
3	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.423	+0.869	17	319.7
4	Valentino Rossi	02:01.538	+0.984	18	322.4
5	Alvaro Bautista	02:01.659	+1.105	13	322.2
6	Jorge Lorenzo	02:01.710	+1.156	14	322.4
7	Stefan Bradl	02:01.727	+1.173	17	325.1
8	Nicky Hayden	02:02.373	+1.819	15	321.6
9	Andrea Dovizioso	02:02.487	+1.933	14	319.4
10	Bradley Smith	02:02.551	+1.997	18	317.7
11	Aleix Espargaro	02:02.610	+2.056	13	306.2
12	Andrea Iannone	02:02.819	+2.265	18	320.4
13	Hector Barbera	02:03.225	+2.671	15	307.8
14	Colin Edwards	02:03.707	+3.153	17	307.1
15	Yonny Hernandez	02:03.780	+3.226	16	318.4
16	Randy De Puniet	02:03.922	+3.368	16	308.3
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:04.414	+3.860	18	306.0
18	Claudio Corti	02:04.807	+4.253	13	306.9
19	Danilo Petrucci	02:04.965	+4.411	19	300.5
20	Michael Laverty	02:05.551	+4.997	14	307.6
21	Luca Scassa	02:05.598	+5.044	16	303.4
22	Bryan Staring	02:06.538	+5.984	17	302.0
23	Lukas Pesek	02:07.024	+6.470	15	297.0
24	Damian Cudlin	02:07.122	+6.568	13	304.0

FP3 · 12.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	02:00.877	—	12	323.1
2	Jorge Lorenzo	02:00.923	+0.046	18	321.8
3	Valentino Rossi	02:00.970	+0.093	13	320.4
4	Stefan Bradl	02:01.083	+0.206	16	324.9
5	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.373	+0.496	16	320.0
6	Alvaro Bautista	02:01.623	+0.746	18	323.0
7	Marc Marquez	02:01.956	+1.079	8	321.4
8	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.966	+1.089	15	316.7
9	Nicky Hayden	02:02.226	+1.349	16	318.2
10	Bradley Smith	02:02.388	+1.511	13	315.6
11	Aleix Espargaro	02:02.555	+1.678	12	305.7
12	Andrea Iannone	02:02.564	+1.687	15	320.0
13	Hector Barbera	02:03.238	+2.361	15	305.0
14	Yonny Hernandez	02:03.558	+2.681	15	318.3
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:03.660	+2.783	18	309.7
16	Randy De Puniet	02:03.834	+2.957	16	301.1
17	Claudio Corti	02:03.879	+3.002	14	302.7
18	Colin Edwards	02:04.306	+3.429	17	306.2
19	Danilo Petrucci	02:04.936	+4.059	14	299.5
20	Luca Scassa	02:05.227	+4.350	15	302.8
21	Michael Laverty	02:05.358	+4.481	16	305.0
22	Bryan Staring	02:06.601	+5.724	13	298.8
23	Damian Cudlin	02:06.916	+6.039	13	301.8
24	Lukas Pesek	02:06.946	+6.069	13	297.4

FP4 · 12.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:00.803	—	13	325.0
2	Jorge Lorenzo	02:00.933	+0.130	15	322.9
3	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.110	+0.307	12	320.4
4	Daniel Pedrosa	02:01.171	+0.368	12	323.4
5	Valentino Rossi	02:01.215	+0.412	13	321.0
6	Alvaro Bautista	02:01.882	+1.079	8	323.5
7	Bradley Smith	02:02.065	+1.262	13	319.5
8	Stefan Bradl	02:02.107	+1.304	10	325.9
9	Nicky Hayden	02:02.151	+1.348	12	319.6
10	Andrea Dovizioso	02:02.348	+1.545	13	318.4
11	Andrea Iannone	02:03.015	+2.212	11	321.2
12	Aleix Espargaro	02:03.204	+2.401	11	308.2
13	Colin Edwards	02:03.440	+2.637	9	309.0
14	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:03.526	+2.723	12	309.8
15	Randy De Puniet	02:03.731	+2.928	10	307.0
16	Claudio Corti	02:03.761	+2.958	10	306.0
17	Hector Barbera	02:03.833	+3.030	10	306.9
18	Yonny Hernandez	02:04.062	+3.259	9	319.8
19	Michael Laverty	02:04.495	+3.692	10	307.6
20	Danilo Petrucci	02:05.242	+4.439	14	303.9
21	Luca Scassa	02:05.489	+4.686	11	303.1
22	Bryan Staring	02:06.258	+5.455	12	298.2
23	Damian Cudlin	02:06.580	+5.777	10	306.4
24	Lukas Pesek	02:06.737	+5.934	8	299.5

Q1 · 12.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Iannone	02:02.326	—	7	319.5
2	Aleix Espargaro	02:02.632	+0.306	5	306.2
3	Colin Edwards	02:02.858	+0.532	6	307.4
4	Claudio Corti	02:03.175	+0.849	6	303.9
5	Hector Barbera	02:03.212	+0.886	7	307.6
6	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:03.418	+1.092	7	311.7
7	Yonny Hernandez	02:03.651	+1.325	7	316.9
8	Randy De Puniet	02:03.805	+1.479	7	303.2
9	Michael Laverty	02:04.198	+1.872	7	305.6
10	Danilo Petrucci	02:04.310	+1.984	7	299.4
11	Luca Scassa	02:05.199	+2.873	7	301.6
12	Bryan Staring	02:06.038	+3.712	6	296.2
13	Lukas Pesek	02:06.203	+3.877	6	297.8
14	Damian Cudlin	02:06.273	+3.947	6	303.7

Q2 · 12.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:00.011	—	7	327.5
2	Valentino Rossi	02:00.336	+0.325	7	323.2
3	Cal Crutchlow	02:00.359	+0.348	7	320.9
4	Jorge Lorenzo	02:00.578	+0.567	5	322.2
5	Daniel Pedrosa	02:00.692	+0.681	7	324.2
6	Alvaro Bautista	02:00.974	+0.963	7	323.7
7	Bradley Smith	02:01.306	+1.295	7	319.2
8	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.635	+1.624	6	318.9
9	Aleix Espargaro	02:02.151	+2.140	3	273.1
10	Andrea Iannone	02:02.536	+2.525	7	317.6
11	Nicky Hayden	02:02.900	+2.889	7	319.3
Retired	Stefan Bradl		—	0	0.0

Warm Up · 13.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	02:01.408	—	10	321.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	02:01.439	+0.031	10	324.2
3	Marc Marquez	02:01.598	+0.190	10	323.2
4	Valentino Rossi	02:01.672	+0.264	9	319.8
5	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.800	+0.392	9	318.4
6	Nicky Hayden	02:02.139	+0.731	10	320.0
7	Alvaro Bautista	02:02.169	+0.761	10	322.8
8	Bradley Smith	02:02.294	+0.886	10	315.6
9	Andrea Iannone	02:02.992	+1.584	9	316.9
10	Andrea Dovizioso	02:03.142	+1.734	10	318.6
11	Aleix Espargaro	02:03.495	+2.087	9	309.9
12	Colin Edwards	02:03.602	+2.194	9	306.6
13	Randy De Puniet	02:03.861	+2.453	10	305.8
14	Hector Barbera	02:03.900	+2.492	8	309.3
15	Claudio Corti	02:04.623	+3.215	9	303.3
16	Yonny Hernandez	02:04.707	+3.299	8	314.5
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	02:04.840	+3.432	3	307.9
18	Michael Laverty	02:05.489	+4.081	9	303.6
19	Danilo Petrucci	02:05.569	+4.161	9	299.5
20	Luca Scassa	02:05.858	+4.450	9	303.1
21	Bryan Staring	02:06.791	+5.383	9	298.5
22	Lukas Pesek	02:06.914	+5.506	9	300.1
23	Damian Cudlin	02:07.495	+6.087	9	302.4
Retired	Stefan Bradl		—	0	0.0

Race · 13.10

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	40:45.191	25	20
2	Marc Marquez	+2.757	20	20
3	Jorge Lorenzo	+6.669	16	20
4	Valentino Rossi	+10.351	13	20
5	Alvaro Bautista	+22.149	11	20
6	Cal Crutchlow	+22.301	10	20
7	Bradley Smith	+30.864	9	20
8	Andrea Dovizioso	+45.111	8	20
9	Aleix Espargaro	+59.264	7	20
10	Yonny Hernandez	+61.417	6	20
11	Hiroshi Aoyama	+63.665	5	20
12	Randy De Puniet	+74.256	4	20
13	Claudio Corti	+81.603	3	20
14	Hector Barbera	+87.976	2	20
15	Colin Edwards	+89.442	1	20
16	Danilo Petrucci	+89.551	0	20
17	Luca Scassa	+107.930	0	20
18	Bryan Staring	+112.927	0	20
Retired	Andrea Iannone		0	6
Retired	Damian Cudlin		0	7
Retired	Lukas Pesek		0	11
Retired	Michael Laverty		0	12
Retired	Nicky Hayden		0	8

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Aleix Espargaro	79%	2 ✓
2	Andrea Iannone	43%	1 ✓
3	Hector Barbera	43%	5
4	Colin Edwards	7%	3
5	Hiroshi Aoyama	21%	6
6	Yonny Hernandez	0%	7
7	Randy De Puniet	7%	8
8	Claudio Corti	0%	4
9	Michael Laverty	0%	9
10	Danilo Petrucci	0%	10
11	Luca Scassa	0%	11
12	Bryan Staring	0%	12
13	Damian Cudlin	0%	14
14	Lukas Pesek	0%	13

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Daniel Pedrosa	43%	86%	100%	5
2	Marc Marquez	14%	50%	100%	1
3	Jorge Lorenzo	36%	50%	93%	4
4	Valentino Rossi	7%	36%	64%	2
5	Cal Crutchlow	0%	36%	71%	3
6	Alvaro Bautista	0%	14%	57%	6
7	Andrea Dovizioso	0%	21%	50%	8
8	Bradley Smith	0%	7%	14%	7
9	Nicky Hayden	0%	0%	21%	11
10	Aleix Espargaro	0%	0%	21%	9
11	Andrea Iannone	0%	0%	0%	10

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,546 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.32%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.39%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.08%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.31%	Alex Marquez +0.33%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Alex Marquez +0.33%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.37%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Pedro Acosta +0.29%	Enea Bastianini +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Luca Marini +0.12%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%	Joan Mir +0.35%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.09%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.31%	Joan Mir +0.51%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Alex Marquez +0.24%	Pedro Acosta +0.34%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.06%	Joan Mir +0.06%	Pedro Acosta +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.04%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.22%	Alex Marquez +0.46%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.03%	Jorge Martin +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.35%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia	Pedro Acosta +0.16%	Enea Bastianini +0.19%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Brad Binder +0.34%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.36%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.02%	Brad Binder +0.18%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.47%
S3	Enea Bastianini +0.08%	Alex Marquez +0.11%	Jorge Martin +0.27%
S4	Franco Morbidelli +0.12%	Alex Marquez +0.20%	Enea Bastianini +0.27%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.15%	Enea Bastianini +0.24%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.06%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.07%	Brad Binder +0.10%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Fabio Quartararo +0.42%	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.08%	Jorge Martin +0.18%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Franco Morbidelli +0.49%	Jack Miller +0.58%
S2	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.15%	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.49%	Fabio Quartararo +0.55%
S4	Jack Miller +0.26%	Franco Morbidelli +0.38%	Marc Marquez +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.19%	Alex Rins +0.28%	Jack Miller +0.38%
S2	Andrea Dovizioso +0.01%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Maverick Viñales +0.27%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.10%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%	Valentino Rossi +0.37%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Valentino Rossi +0.32%	Alex Rins +0.33%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

43/100

Position index

17%

Pole wins

44%

Front row on the podium

0.71

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 67% of the time (between 21% and 94%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 6 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Marc Marquez	278	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	239	−39
3	Daniel Pedrosa	219	−59
4	Valentino Rossi	185	−93
5	Cal Crutchlow	156	−122
6	Stefan Bradl	135	−143

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2012 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

4/13

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

3.774 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: James Ellison, from P16 to P9.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Jorge Lorenzo (10 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Enea BastianiniDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2019Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2018Marc MarquezHonda
2017Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2016Andrea DoviziosoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 21% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	4/23	17%
2024	2/20	10%
2023	5/23	22%
2022	5/24	21%
2019	3/20	15%
2018	4/23	17%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet