Round 17 of 18 Aftermath

Malaysian Grand Prix 2015

Petronas Sepang International Circuit Malaysia

5.543 m · 20 laps · since 1999

23.10 – 25.10.2015

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	40:37.691	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+3.612	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Movistar Yamaha MotoGP	+13.724	16
4	Bradley Smith	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+23.995	13
5	Cal Crutchlow	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+28.721	11
6	Danilo Petrucci	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+36.372	10
7	Aleix Espargaro	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+39.290	9
8	Maverick Viñales	Suzuki	Team SUZUKI ECSTAR	+39.436	8
9	Pol Espargaro	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+42.462	7
10	Stefan Bradl	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+44.601	6
11	Scott Redding	Honda	EG 0,0 Marc VDS	+47.690	5
12	Yonny Hernandez	Ducati	Pramac Racing	+52.112	4
13	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+52.360	3
14	Toni Elias	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	+53.619	2
15	Alvaro Bautista	Aprilia	Aprilia Racing Team Gresini	+53.631	1
16	Nicky Hayden	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+61.431	0
17	Jack Miller	Honda	CWM LCR Honda	+62.828	0
18	Mike Di Meglio	Ducati	Avintia Racing	+65.075	0
19	Eugene Laverty	Honda	Aspar MotoGP Team	+69.877	0
20	Anthony West	Honda	AB Motoracing	+84.749	0
DNF	Andrea Dovizioso	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Andrea Iannone	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0
DNF	Damian Cudlin	ART	Octo IodaRacing Team	Out on lap 1	0
DNF	Loris Baz	Yamaha Forward	Forward Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Marc Marquez	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Forecast	Favourite	Winner	Order (model / grid)	Position error (model / calibrated grid)
Race (after the grid)	Daniel Pedrosa · 32% ✓	Daniel Pedrosa · 32% · from P1	0.91 / 0.91	2.1 / 2.0

Error: average positions off, compared with the calibrated grid (the grid turned into expected positions with a simple regression, no model). If the model does not beat it, its edge over the raw grid is only calibration.

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

20/20

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

3.612 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hector Barbera, from P25 to P13.

Longest battle: Daniel Pedrosa vs Jorge Lorenzo (8 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Session	Time	Rider	What	Detail
Race	15:02:45		Jump start	Jump start
Race	15:03:12	Damian Cudlin	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	15:04:26	Loris Baz	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	15:05:34	Andrea Iannone	Retired	Retired
Race	15:06:10	Loris Baz	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	15:15:05	Marc Marquez	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK
Race	15:16:05	Marc Marquez	Retired	Entered pits and retired
Race	15:22:33	Andrea Dovizioso	Crash	Crashed out - Rider OK

Official race direction log (Session.pdf). Times are local circuit time.

The start

C23

Holeshot: Daniel Pedrosa (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Stefan Bradl	13	8	+5
Pol Espargaro	11	7	+4
Eugene Laverty	21	18	+3
Maverick Viñales	8	16	−8
Cal Crutchlow	5	9	−4
Anthony West	23	24	−1

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Hector Barbera	25→13	+5.2
Bradley Smith	9→4	+4.0
Danilo Petrucci	12→6	+3.9
Anthony West	23→20	−3.0
Eugene Laverty	21→19	−3.3
Jack Miller	15→17	−5.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

30.4 °C

Air

max 30.4 °C

64%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

10 km/h

Wind

gusts 27 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 23.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	02:00.412	—	16	330.3
2	Jorge Lorenzo	02:00.622	+0.210	14	326.0
3	Marc Marquez	02:00.736	+0.324	17	331.6
4	Valentino Rossi	02:00.915	+0.503	17	328.4
5	Scott Redding	02:01.218	+0.806	17	323.7
6	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.235	+0.823	15	329.4
7	Andrea Iannone	02:01.421	+1.009	17	335.0
8	Hector Barbera	02:01.616	+1.204	13	321.1
9	Aleix Espargaro	02:01.741	+1.329	15	323.7
10	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.917	+1.505	17	334.5
11	Danilo Petrucci	02:01.957	+1.545	17	326.4
12	Maverick Viñales	02:02.258	+1.846	15	326.2
13	Pol Espargaro	02:02.259	+1.847	18	329.1
14	Stefan Bradl	02:02.314	+1.902	17	320.5
15	Bradley Smith	02:02.323	+1.911	18	330.0
16	Nicky Hayden	02:02.590	+2.178	16	320.1
17	Yonny Hernandez	02:03.072	+2.660	15	328.0
18	Jack Miller	02:03.136	+2.724	16	321.7
19	Alvaro Bautista	02:03.228	+2.816	14	319.6
20	Mike Di Meglio	02:03.394	+2.982	14	322.9
21	Loris Baz	02:03.429	+3.017	14	318.7
22	Eugene Laverty	02:03.938	+3.526	16	320.7
23	Toni Elias	02:04.496	+4.084	16	324.3
24	Anthony West	02:05.793	+5.381	17	320.8
25	Damian Cudlin	02:07.552	+7.140	14	308.3

FP2 · 23.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	02:00.246	—	15	326.3
2	Daniel Pedrosa	02:00.293	+0.047	18	330.2
3	Marc Marquez	02:00.472	+0.226	16	332.3
4	Andrea Iannone	02:00.486	+0.240	14	335.2
5	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.039	+0.793	15	329.9
6	Aleix Espargaro	02:01.058	+0.812	15	320.9
7	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.127	+0.881	14	333.0
8	Valentino Rossi	02:01.305	+1.059	16	327.1
9	Danilo Petrucci	02:01.598	+1.352	15	323.8
10	Scott Redding	02:01.607	+1.361	14	325.5
11	Maverick Viñales	02:01.796	+1.550	15	325.2
12	Hector Barbera	02:01.796	+1.550	13	323.2
13	Pol Espargaro	02:01.850	+1.604	16	324.2
14	Bradley Smith	02:02.101	+1.855	19	326.0
15	Stefan Bradl	02:02.118	+1.872	16	320.0
16	Eugene Laverty	02:02.426	+2.180	17	322.3
17	Nicky Hayden	02:02.427	+2.181	16	318.3
18	Yonny Hernandez	02:02.554	+2.308	13	327.2
19	Alvaro Bautista	02:02.626	+2.380	16	320.4
20	Mike Di Meglio	02:03.480	+3.234	16	320.3
21	Jack Miller	02:03.485	+3.239	15	321.2
22	Toni Elias	02:03.710	+3.464	15	320.9
23	Loris Baz	02:03.731	+3.485	15	315.3
24	Anthony West	02:04.892	+4.646	15	315.7
25	Damian Cudlin	02:06.962	+6.716	4	301.5

FP3 · 24.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:59.544	—	15	329.0
2	Marc Marquez	01:59.655	+0.111	17	331.5
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:59.983	+0.439	18	333.7
4	Valentino Rossi	02:00.253	+0.709	17	325.9
5	Hector Barbera	02:00.332	+0.788	14	322.2
6	Cal Crutchlow	02:00.371	+0.827	16	329.2
7	Aleix Espargaro	02:00.482	+0.938	16	320.1
8	Andrea Dovizioso	02:00.604	+1.060	18	334.6
9	Pol Espargaro	02:00.709	+1.165	17	326.4
10	Maverick Viñales	02:00.739	+1.195	16	325.5
11	Andrea Iannone	02:00.783	+1.239	17	339.6
12	Bradley Smith	02:00.968	+1.424	18	329.3
13	Danilo Petrucci	02:01.016	+1.472	12	325.1
14	Scott Redding	02:01.086	+1.542	17	327.6
15	Stefan Bradl	02:01.303	+1.759	17	323.8
16	Nicky Hayden	02:01.318	+1.774	17	322.9
17	Yonny Hernandez	02:01.557	+2.013	17	330.0
18	Alvaro Bautista	02:01.742	+2.198	17	325.3
19	Toni Elias	02:01.923	+2.379	17	325.0
20	Jack Miller	02:02.057	+2.513	15	320.1
21	Mike Di Meglio	02:02.135	+2.591	15	320.3
22	Eugene Laverty	02:02.699	+3.155	17	322.8
23	Loris Baz	02:02.845	+3.301	15	317.6
24	Anthony West	02:03.791	+4.247	16	318.5
25	Damian Cudlin	02:07.639	+8.095	13	306.6

FP4 · 24.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	02:00.471	—	13	335.7
2	Marc Marquez	02:00.793	+0.322	12	330.2
3	Andrea Iannone	02:00.998	+0.527	13	332.8
4	Jorge Lorenzo	02:01.122	+0.651	8	328.3
5	Valentino Rossi	02:01.160	+0.689	13	327.9
6	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.477	+1.006	11	333.6
7	Aleix Espargaro	02:01.643	+1.172	9	319.6
8	Pol Espargaro	02:01.756	+1.285	12	326.0
9	Scott Redding	02:01.816	+1.345	13	326.3
10	Bradley Smith	02:01.831	+1.360	13	327.9
11	Danilo Petrucci	02:01.880	+1.409	11	323.7
12	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.900	+1.429	12	327.9
13	Nicky Hayden	02:01.985	+1.514	13	318.2
14	Maverick Viñales	02:02.043	+1.572	11	322.1
15	Yonny Hernandez	02:02.331	+1.860	12	328.4
16	Stefan Bradl	02:02.410	+1.939	12	324.9
17	Hector Barbera	02:02.475	+2.004	15	326.5
18	Eugene Laverty	02:02.683	+2.212	11	318.1
19	Toni Elias	02:02.875	+2.404	12	323.3
20	Alvaro Bautista	02:02.893	+2.422	11	320.3
21	Jack Miller	02:02.964	+2.493	11	325.3
22	Mike Di Meglio	02:03.662	+3.191	10	320.0
23	Loris Baz	02:03.700	+3.229	10	319.5
24	Anthony West	02:05.210	+4.739	11	316.8
25	Damian Cudlin	02:06.843	+6.372	8	307.8

Q1 · 24.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Maverick Viñales	02:00.753	—	6	325.3
2	Bradley Smith	02:00.765	+0.012	7	330.7
3	Danilo Petrucci	02:01.223	+0.470	6	327.6
4	Stefan Bradl	02:01.346	+0.593	7	322.9
5	Scott Redding	02:01.367	+0.614	7	325.7
6	Jack Miller	02:01.725	+0.972	6	319.1
7	Alvaro Bautista	02:01.727	+0.974	7	322.0
8	Yonny Hernandez	02:01.748	+0.995	7	328.7
9	Nicky Hayden	02:01.829	+1.076	6	319.5
10	Loris Baz	02:01.862	+1.109	6	319.3
11	Toni Elias	02:02.415	+1.662	6	325.8
12	Eugene Laverty	02:02.460	+1.707	6	321.5
13	Mike Di Meglio	02:02.964	+2.211	6	316.7
14	Anthony West	02:03.855	+3.102	7	318.0
15	Damian Cudlin	02:06.051	+5.298	6	308.1

Q2 · 24.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:59.053	—	7	331.5
2	Marc Marquez	01:59.462	+0.409	7	332.6
3	Valentino Rossi	01:59.726	+0.673	8	326.4
4	Jorge Lorenzo	01:59.737	+0.684	8	325.9
5	Cal Crutchlow	02:00.199	+1.146	8	327.1
6	Andrea Iannone	02:00.224	+1.171	8	338.0
7	Andrea Dovizioso	02:00.423	+1.370	5	330.6
8	Maverick Viñales	02:00.478	+1.425	6	325.2
9	Bradley Smith	02:00.652	+1.599	7	329.3
10	Hector Barbera	02:00.724	+1.671	7	325.6
11	Aleix Espargaro	02:00.724	+1.671	4	325.1
12	Pol Espargaro	02:00.794	+1.741	7	327.2

Warm Up · 25.10

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Marc Marquez	02:00.186	—	10	330.1
2	Jorge Lorenzo	02:00.505	+0.319	10	326.3
3	Valentino Rossi	02:00.748	+0.562	10	328.8
4	Daniel Pedrosa	02:00.887	+0.701	10	325.5
5	Andrea Iannone	02:01.037	+0.851	9	335.7
6	Aleix Espargaro	02:01.294	+1.108	10	320.9
7	Maverick Viñales	02:01.458	+1.272	10	325.5
8	Cal Crutchlow	02:01.462	+1.276	10	328.2
9	Pol Espargaro	02:01.571	+1.385	7	323.7
10	Andrea Dovizioso	02:01.692	+1.506	10	334.1
11	Scott Redding	02:01.860	+1.674	10	326.1
12	Bradley Smith	02:01.920	+1.734	10	327.0
13	Danilo Petrucci	02:02.117	+1.931	9	324.6
14	Hector Barbera	02:02.350	+2.164	4	321.4
15	Stefan Bradl	02:02.393	+2.207	10	321.9
16	Yonny Hernandez	02:02.426	+2.240	10	329.4
17	Nicky Hayden	02:02.509	+2.323	10	321.1
18	Loris Baz	02:02.789	+2.603	9	317.5
19	Mike Di Meglio	02:03.039	+2.853	7	320.0
20	Alvaro Bautista	02:03.401	+3.215	9	320.9
21	Jack Miller	02:03.484	+3.298	7	320.2
22	Toni Elias	02:03.620	+3.434	9	324.1
23	Eugene Laverty	02:03.683	+3.497	9	320.4
24	Anthony West	02:04.684	+4.498	10	317.3
25	Damian Cudlin	02:07.082	+6.896	8	306.5

Race · 25.10

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	40:37.691	25	20
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+3.612	20	20
3	Valentino Rossi	+13.724	16	20
4	Bradley Smith	+23.995	13	20
5	Cal Crutchlow	+28.721	11	20
6	Danilo Petrucci	+36.372	10	20
7	Aleix Espargaro	+39.290	9	20
8	Maverick Viñales	+39.436	8	20
9	Pol Espargaro	+42.462	7	20
10	Stefan Bradl	+44.601	6	20
11	Scott Redding	+47.690	5	20
12	Yonny Hernandez	+52.112	4	20
13	Hector Barbera	+52.360	3	20
14	Toni Elias	+53.619	2	20
15	Alvaro Bautista	+53.631	1	20
16	Nicky Hayden	+61.431	0	20
17	Jack Miller	+62.828	0	20
18	Mike Di Meglio	+65.075	0	20
19	Eugene Laverty	+69.877	0	20
20	Anthony West	+84.749	0	20
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		0	10
Retired	Andrea Iannone		0	1
Out on lap 1	Damian Cudlin		0	0
Retired	Loris Baz		0	2
Retired	Marc Marquez		0	7

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pred.	Rider	P(through)	Actual in Q1
1	Maverick Viñales	71%	1 ✓
2	Bradley Smith	49%	2 ✓
3	Danilo Petrucci	37%	3
4	Scott Redding	18%	5
5	Stefan Bradl	14%	4
6	Nicky Hayden	4%	9
7	Yonny Hernandez	8%	8
8	Alvaro Bautista	0%	7
9	Toni Elias	0%	11
10	Jack Miller	0%	6
11	Mike Di Meglio	0%	13
12	Eugene Laverty	0%	12
13	Loris Baz	0%	10
14	Anthony West	0%	14
15	Damian Cudlin	0%	15

Forecast after Practice for the riders going to Q1. Two go through. Q1 is fairly predictable, but 55% for the favourite still means a miss almost half the time.

Pole and front row

C21

Pred.	Rider	P(pole)	P(front row)	P(top 6)	Actual in Q2
1	Jorge Lorenzo	49%	80%	96%	4
2	Marc Marquez	22%	55%	86%	2
3	Daniel Pedrosa	18%	51%	90%	1
4	Valentino Rossi	2%	31%	67%	3
5	Hector Barbera	2%	35%	71%	10
6	Cal Crutchlow	6%	18%	57%	5
7	Aleix Espargaro	2%	14%	49%	11
8	Andrea Iannone	0%	10%	28%	6
9	Andrea Dovizioso	0%	2%	18%	7
10	Pol Espargaro	0%	2%	16%	12
11	Maverick Viñales	0%	0%	10%	8
12	Bradley Smith	0%	2%	16%	9

Forecast after Q1, from Practice and FP2. These are probabilities, not a grid: the favourite takes pole about half the time.

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Hector Barbera	10	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Forecast based on the starting grid.

Rider	Grid	Win	Podium	Top 5	Top 10	P(DNF)	Final
Daniel Pedrosa	1	32%	64%	78%	88%	9%	1
Marc Marquez	2	20%	50%	67%	82%	16%	—
Valentino Rossi	3	15%	49%	71%	89%	7%	3
Jorge Lorenzo	4	12%	41%	66%	89%	7%	2
Cal Crutchlow	5	6%	24%	43%	65%	29%	5
Andrea Iannone	6	4%	19%	39%	70%	22%	—
Andrea Dovizioso	7	4%	18%	39%	80%	9%	—
Maverick Viñales	8	3%	11%	28%	72%	14%	8
Bradley Smith	9	2%	8%	21%	69%	11%	4
Aleix Espargaro	10	1%	5%	15%	59%	18%	7
Pol Espargaro	11	1%	3%	9%	47%	25%	9
Danilo Petrucci	12	0%	2%	7%	40%	25%	6
Stefan Bradl	13	0%	2%	6%	35%	24%	10
Scott Redding	14	0%	2%	5%	34%	13%	11
Jack Miller	15	0%	1%	2%	19%	37%	17
Alvaro Bautista	16	0%	1%	2%	19%	19%	15
Yonny Hernandez	17	0%	0%	1%	12%	29%	12
Nicky Hayden	18	0%	0%	1%	10%	15%	16
Loris Baz	19	0%	0%	0%	7%	15%	—
Toni Elias	20	0%	0%	0%	5%	17%	14
Eugene Laverty	21	0%	0%	0%	4%	14%	19
Mike Di Meglio	22	0%	0%	0%	2%	18%	18
Anthony West	23	0%	0%	0%	1%	16%	20
Damian Cudlin	24	0%	0%	0%	1%	47%	—
Hector Barbera	25	0%	0%	0%	1%	15%	13

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,546 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.32%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.39%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.08%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.31%	Alex Marquez +0.33%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Alex Marquez +0.33%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.37%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Pedro Acosta +0.29%	Enea Bastianini +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Luca Marini +0.12%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.33%	Joan Mir +0.35%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.09%	Fermin Aldeguer +0.31%	Joan Mir +0.51%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Alex Marquez +0.24%	Pedro Acosta +0.34%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia +0.06%	Joan Mir +0.06%	Pedro Acosta +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.04%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.22%	Alex Marquez +0.46%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.03%	Jorge Martin +0.20%	Alex Marquez +0.35%
S4	Francesco Bagnaia	Pedro Acosta +0.16%	Enea Bastianini +0.19%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.06%	Brad Binder +0.34%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.36%
S2	Alex Marquez +0.02%	Brad Binder +0.18%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.47%
S3	Enea Bastianini +0.08%	Alex Marquez +0.11%	Jorge Martin +0.27%
S4	Franco Morbidelli +0.12%	Alex Marquez +0.20%	Enea Bastianini +0.27%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.15%	Enea Bastianini +0.24%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.06%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.07%	Brad Binder +0.10%
S3	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Fabio Quartararo +0.42%	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%
S4	Enea Bastianini +0.08%	Jorge Martin +0.18%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.23%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Franco Morbidelli +0.49%	Jack Miller +0.58%
S2	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.15%	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%
S3	Franco Morbidelli +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.49%	Fabio Quartararo +0.55%
S4	Jack Miller +0.26%	Franco Morbidelli +0.38%	Marc Marquez +0.41%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.19%	Alex Rins +0.28%	Jack Miller +0.38%
S2	Andrea Dovizioso +0.01%	Jack Miller +0.07%	Maverick Viñales +0.27%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.10%	Maverick Viñales +0.31%	Valentino Rossi +0.37%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.29%	Valentino Rossi +0.32%	Alex Rins +0.33%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

In between: the grid matters, but there is room to come back.

43/100

Position index

17%

Pole wins

44%

Front row on the podium

0.71

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 67% of the time (between 21% and 94%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 6 races (2018–2025). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Valentino Rossi	296	—
2	Jorge Lorenzo	285	−11
3	Marc Marquez	222	−74
4	Andrea Iannone	188	−108
5	Daniel Pedrosa	165	−131
6	Bradley Smith	158	−138

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2014 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

3 leaders

10/20

Laps led by the winner

Marc Marquez

2.445 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Nicky Hayden, from P14 to P7.

Longest battle: Marc Marquez vs Valentino Rossi (16 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2025Alex MarquezDucati
2024Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2023Enea BastianiniDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2019Maverick ViñalesYamaha
2018Marc MarquezHonda
2017Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2016Andrea DoviziosoDucati

Attrition here

Average here 21% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2025	4/23	17%
2024	2/20	10%
2023	5/23	22%
2022	5/24	21%
2019	3/20	15%
2018	4/23	17%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet