Round 12 of 18 Aftermath

San Marino Grand Prix 2010

Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli San Marino

4.226 m · 27 laps · since 1980

03.09 – 05.09.2010

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	44:22.059	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	+1.900	20
3	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	+3.183	16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+6.454	13
5	Casey Stoner	Ducati	Ducati Team	+18.479	11
6	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+28.385	10
7	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+34.934	9
8	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	+38.157	8
9	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Paginas Amarillas Aspar	+40.943	7
10	Marco Melandri	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+42.377	6
11	Aleix Espargaro	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+45.906	5
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	Honda	Interwetten Honda MotoGP	+46.394	4
13	Randy De Puniet	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+50.481	3
14	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+83.143	2
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	Retired	0
DNF	Mika Kallio	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

28/28

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

1.900 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Alvaro Bautista, from P16 to P8.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Valentino Rossi (14 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Daniel Pedrosa (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Andrea Dovizioso	8	5	+3
Marco Simoncelli	9	7	+2
Aleix Espargaro	15	13	+2
Ben Spies	5	10	−5
Nicky Hayden	14	16	−2
Randy De Puniet	6	8	−2

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Alvaro Bautista	16→8	+4.5
Andrea Dovizioso	8→4	+3.3
Daniel Pedrosa	1→1	+1.8
Hiroshi Aoyama	13→12	−1.5
Marco Simoncelli	9→14	−6.0
Randy De Puniet	6→13	−7.0

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

23.0 °C

Air

max 23.4 °C

74%

Humidity

2.6 mm

Rain

10 km/h

Wind

gusts 27 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 03.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.772	—	27	275.7
2	Andrea Dovizioso	01:35.384	+0.612	27	269.1
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:35.444	+0.672	29	268.5
4	Valentino Rossi	01:35.539	+0.767	30	265.3
5	Colin Edwards	01:35.834	+1.062	28	264.9
6	Ben Spies	01:35.892	+1.120	30	266.9
7	Nicky Hayden	01:36.028	+1.256	26	269.3
8	Casey Stoner	01:36.072	+1.300	19	269.3
9	Marco Melandri	01:36.126	+1.354	26	271.8
10	Loris Capirossi	01:36.277	+1.505	29	269.9
11	Hector Barbera	01:36.293	+1.521	29	272.3
12	Randy De Puniet	01:36.454	+1.682	26	270.4
13	Marco Simoncelli	01:36.533	+1.761	27	265.9
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:36.716	+1.944	27	264.3
15	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:37.001	+2.229	26	270.7
16	Mika Kallio	01:37.697	+2.925	27	266.3
17	Alvaro Bautista	01:37.900	+3.128	27	267.7

FP2 · 04.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.627	—	29	271.4
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.731	+0.104	30	280.4
3	Casey Stoner	01:34.763	+0.136	24	274.3
4	Colin Edwards	01:34.774	+0.147	29	269.2
5	Valentino Rossi	01:34.981	+0.354	30	268.7
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:35.053	+0.426	29	272.7
7	Nicky Hayden	01:35.069	+0.442	26	272.0
8	Hector Barbera	01:35.120	+0.493	25	277.9
9	Ben Spies	01:35.217	+0.590	28	270.6
10	Loris Capirossi	01:35.222	+0.595	29	273.0
11	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.432	+0.805	28	273.1
12	Marco Melandri	01:35.445	+0.818	27	274.1
13	Randy De Puniet	01:35.636	+1.009	28	272.7
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.790	+1.163	26	271.3
15	Marco Simoncelli	01:36.040	+1.413	27	268.2
16	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:36.089	+1.462	28	272.3
17	Mika Kallio	01:36.207	+1.580	27	272.2

Qualifying · 04.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:33.948	—	28	278.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.256	+0.308	30	269.7
3	Casey Stoner	01:34.397	+0.449	19	271.7
4	Valentino Rossi	01:34.470	+0.522	31	268.2
5	Ben Spies	01:34.472	+0.524	32	269.5
6	Randy De Puniet	01:34.751	+0.803	29	272.9
7	Colin Edwards	01:34.782	+0.834	29	266.8
8	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.826	+0.878	31	271.4
9	Marco Simoncelli	01:34.934	+0.986	28	267.3
10	Marco Melandri	01:35.018	+1.070	29	272.7
11	Loris Capirossi	01:35.096	+1.148	30	271.3
12	Hector Barbera	01:35.259	+1.311	28	274.5
13	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:35.286	+1.338	28	273.1
14	Nicky Hayden	01:35.303	+1.355	25	271.4
15	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.438	+1.490	31	271.5
16	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.629	+1.681	29	274.3
17	Mika Kallio	01:35.724	+1.776	28	272.7

Warm Up · 05.09

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:34.654	—	11	279.1
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:34.803	+0.149	12	275.0
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:34.886	+0.232	12	273.4
4	Valentino Rossi	01:35.220	+0.566	12	269.5
5	Casey Stoner	01:35.314	+0.660	10	275.7
6	Randy De Puniet	01:35.634	+0.980	12	273.8
7	Ben Spies	01:35.701	+1.047	12	270.5
8	Loris Capirossi	01:35.716	+1.062	12	273.4
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:35.814	+1.160	12	271.9
10	Hector Barbera	01:35.892	+1.238	12	276.7
11	Colin Edwards	01:35.895	+1.241	11	269.1
12	Nicky Hayden	01:35.965	+1.311	12	271.6
13	Alvaro Bautista	01:35.985	+1.331	12	272.5
14	Marco Simoncelli	01:35.987	+1.333	12	268.6
15	Marco Melandri	01:36.074	+1.420	9	272.3
16	Mika Kallio	01:36.394	+1.740	12	273.7
17	Hiroshi Aoyama	01:36.715	+2.061	11	274.2

Race · 05.09

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	44:22.059	25	28
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+1.900	20	28
3	Valentino Rossi	+3.183	16	28
4	Andrea Dovizioso	+6.454	13	28
5	Casey Stoner	+18.479	11	28
6	Ben Spies	+28.385	10	28
7	Colin Edwards	+34.934	9	28
8	Alvaro Bautista	+38.157	8	28
9	Hector Barbera	+40.943	7	28
10	Marco Melandri	+42.377	6	28
11	Aleix Espargaro	+45.906	5	28
12	Hiroshi Aoyama	+46.394	4	28
13	Randy De Puniet	+50.481	3	28
14	Marco Simoncelli	+83.143	2	28
Retired	Loris Capirossi		0	0
Retired	Mika Kallio		0	17
Retired	Nicky Hayden		0	3

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 4,218 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.44%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.44%
S2	Pedro Acosta +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.37%	Jorge Martin +0.47%
S3	Marco Bezzecchi +0.26%	Maverick Viñales +0.42%	Fabio Quartararo +0.53%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.06%	Jorge Martin +0.41%	Jack Miller +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi +0.29%	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Alex Marquez +0.35%
S2	Marco Bezzecchi	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Alex Marquez +0.31%
S3	Marco Bezzecchi	Fermin Aldeguer +0.48%	Raul Fernandez +0.51%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.27%	Jorge Martin +0.31%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marco Bezzecchi	Marc Marquez +0.24%	Fabio Quartararo +0.26%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.12%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.14%	Pedro Acosta +0.22%
S3	Alex Marquez +0.10%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.25%	Luca Marini +0.29%
S4	Marc Marquez	Marco Bezzecchi +0.03%	Franco Morbidelli +0.44%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia	Enea Bastianini +0.32%	Fabio Quartararo +0.37%
S2	Jorge Martin +0.22%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.27%	Marc Marquez +0.38%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.11%	Jorge Martin +0.24%	Pedro Acosta +0.41%
S4	Marc Marquez	Franco Morbidelli +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.38%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.21%	Brad Binder +0.39%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%
S2	Jorge Martin	Daniel Pedrosa +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S3	Maverick Viñales	Marco Bezzecchi +0.23%	Luca Marini +0.29%
S4	Jorge Martin +0.21%	Marc Marquez +0.23%	Jack Miller +0.47%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Francesco Bagnaia +0.12%	Maverick Viñales +0.17%	Fabio Quartararo +0.27%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.34%	Enea Bastianini +0.55%
S3	Enea Bastianini +0.14%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.26%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.40%
S4	Jack Miller	Johann Zarco +0.40%	Fabio Quartararo +0.58%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Joan Mir +0.36%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.49%
S2	Francesco Bagnaia +0.17%	Jack Miller +0.37%	Enea Bastianini +0.38%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.01%	Fabio Quartararo +0.25%	Alex Rins +0.34%
S4	Aleix Espargaro +0.06%	Jack Miller +0.11%	Marc Marquez +0.18%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Maverick Viñales +0.04%	Franco Morbidelli +0.10%	Fabio Quartararo +0.23%
S2	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%	Pol Espargaro +0.22%	Miguel Oliveira +0.35%
S3	Fabio Quartararo +0.08%	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Pol Espargaro +0.59%
S4	Jack Miller +0.17%	Miguel Oliveira +0.33%	Johann Zarco +0.34%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.56%	Marc Marquez +0.62%
S2	Marc Marquez	Fabio Quartararo +0.45%	Maverick Viñales +0.53%
S3	Fabio Quartararo	Maverick Viñales +0.40%	Valentino Rossi +0.52%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Pol Espargaro +0.07%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.13%	Cal Crutchlow +0.17%	Marc Marquez +0.32%
S2	Jorge Lorenzo	Andrea Dovizioso +0.22%	Maverick Viñales +0.54%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.18%	Cal Crutchlow +0.44%	Marc Marquez +0.45%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.15%	Jorge Lorenzo +0.19%	Jack Miller +0.20%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

An open track: the grid decides less here and there are more comebacks.

29/100

Position index

22%

Pole wins

48%

Front row on the podium

0.73

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 13% of the time (between 2% and 47%; 8 cases).

Descriptive, over 9 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	251	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	183	−68
3	Andrea Dovizioso	126	−125
4	Casey Stoner	119	−132
5	Valentino Rossi	114	−137
6	Ben Spies	110	−141

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

Pending · no data yet

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2024Marc MarquezDucati
2023Jorge MartinDucati
2022Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2021Francesco BagnaiaDucati
2020Franco MorbidelliYamaha
2019Marc MarquezHonda

Attrition here

Average here 19% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	7/21	33%
2025	7/23	30%
2024	3/22	14%
2023	4/23	17%
2022	4/25	16%
2021	3/24	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet