Round 10 of 18 Aftermath

Czech Grand Prix 2010

5.403 m · since 1930

13.08 – 15.08.2010

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	43:22.638	25
2	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+5.494	20
3	Casey Stoner	Ducati	Ducati Team	+11.426	16
4	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+13.723	13
5	Valentino Rossi	Yamaha	Fiat Yamaha Team	+17.930	11
6	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+26.815	10
7	Colin Edwards	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+33.396	9
8	Marco Melandri	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+39.406	8
9	Hector Barbera	Ducati	Paginas Amarillas Aspar	+39.639	7
10	Randy De Puniet	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+40.893	6
11	Marco Simoncelli	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+42.032	5
12	Aleix Espargaro	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+47.091	4
13	Alex De Angelis	Honda	Interwetten Honda MotoGP	+51.368	3
DNF	Alvaro Bautista	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	Retired	0
DNF	Andrea Dovizioso	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	Retired	0
DNF	Loris Capirossi	Suzuki	Rizla Suzuki MotoGP	Retired	0
DNF	Mika Kallio	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

1 leaders

22/22

Laps led by the winner

Jorge Lorenzo

5.494 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Marco Melandri, from P14 to P8.

Longest battle: Marco Melandri vs Randy De Puniet (11 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P3).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Marco Melandri	14	11	+3
Marco Simoncelli	12	9	+3
Mika Kallio	13	10	+3
Hector Barbera	9	16	−7
Loris Capirossi	10	15	−5
Valentino Rossi	5	8	−3

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Marco Melandri	14→8	+3.2
Jorge Lorenzo	3→1	+3.1
Casey Stoner	4→3	+1.8
Hector Barbera	9→9	−1.0
Marco Simoncelli	12→11	−1.1
Alex De Angelis	15→13	−1.2

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

24.8 °C

Air

max 25.0 °C

70%

Humidity

0.1 mm

Rain

26 km/h

Wind

gusts 66 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 13.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:57.215	—	19	294.5
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:57.756	+0.541	19	300.2
3	Valentino Rossi	01:57.821	+0.606	21	293.4
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.873	+0.658	19	297.0
5	Nicky Hayden	01:58.286	+1.071	18	295.6
6	Colin Edwards	01:58.497	+1.282	17	292.8
7	Casey Stoner	01:58.532	+1.317	14	293.7
8	Marco Simoncelli	01:58.840	+1.625	12	291.0
9	Ben Spies	01:58.970	+1.755	20	290.3
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:59.204	+1.989	18	294.2
11	Loris Capirossi	01:59.216	+2.001	18	293.0
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:59.254	+2.039	16	291.2
13	Mika Kallio	01:59.289	+2.074	19	291.7
14	Marco Melandri	01:59.510	+2.295	17	296.1
15	Hector Barbera	01:59.910	+2.695	16	294.5
16	Randy De Puniet	02:00.184	+2.969	16	289.9
17	Alex De Angelis	02:01.098	+3.883	17	295.5

FP2 · 14.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:57.201	—	23	300.3
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:57.217	+0.016	17	294.0
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.572	+0.371	23	297.0
4	Casey Stoner	01:57.688	+0.487	19	294.4
5	Valentino Rossi	01:57.866	+0.665	24	294.4
6	Colin Edwards	01:57.971	+0.770	23	294.0
7	Ben Spies	01:57.975	+0.774	22	290.2
8	Nicky Hayden	01:58.166	+0.965	23	294.8
9	Marco Simoncelli	01:58.507	+1.306	23	294.0
10	Hector Barbera	01:58.692	+1.491	24	296.4
11	Loris Capirossi	01:59.042	+1.841	22	293.6
12	Mika Kallio	01:59.532	+2.331	23	293.2
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:59.599	+2.398	19	291.8
14	Randy De Puniet	01:59.775	+2.574	19	293.3
15	Marco Melandri	01:59.792	+2.591	21	296.9
16	Alvaro Bautista	02:00.158	+2.957	10	293.0
17	Alex De Angelis	02:00.246	+3.045	22	295.2

Qualifying · 14.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:56.508	—	24	303.4
2	Ben Spies	01:56.846	+0.338	26	298.0
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:56.865	+0.357	20	296.4
4	Casey Stoner	01:56.868	+0.360	19	298.7
5	Valentino Rossi	01:57.059	+0.551	23	294.9
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:57.117	+0.609	25	298.3
7	Colin Edwards	01:57.222	+0.714	24	294.9
8	Nicky Hayden	01:57.635	+1.127	21	294.7
9	Hector Barbera	01:57.960	+1.452	19	298.3
10	Loris Capirossi	01:57.981	+1.473	25	295.2
11	Randy De Puniet	01:58.089	+1.581	25	295.9
12	Marco Simoncelli	01:58.169	+1.661	18	294.5
13	Mika Kallio	01:58.182	+1.674	23	295.5
14	Marco Melandri	01:58.430	+1.922	19	298.4
15	Alex De Angelis	01:58.522	+2.014	22	297.7
16	Aleix Espargaro	01:58.700	+2.192	21	290.6
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		—	0	0.0

Warm Up · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Andrea Dovizioso	02:10.135	—	9	284.8
2	Daniel Pedrosa	02:11.817	+1.682	9	278.4
3	Casey Stoner	02:11.817	+1.682	5	273.3
4	Jorge Lorenzo	02:11.869	+1.734	7	280.4
5	Marco Melandri	02:12.129	+1.994	8	284.0
6	Mika Kallio	02:12.138	+2.003	9	281.4
7	Nicky Hayden	02:12.156	+2.021	8	278.5
8	Alex De Angelis	02:12.829	+2.694	9	280.6
9	Colin Edwards	02:13.053	+2.918	8	272.9
10	Loris Capirossi	02:13.284	+3.149	7	281.0
11	Randy De Puniet	02:13.450	+3.315	7	279.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	02:13.650	+3.515	8	279.2
13	Hector Barbera	02:13.686	+3.551	7	278.0
14	Marco Simoncelli	02:13.765	+3.630	8	280.6
15	Ben Spies	02:13.917	+3.782	6	280.2
16	Valentino Rossi	02:16.185	+6.050	8	278.1
17	Alvaro Bautista	02:17.877	+7.742	8	265.0

Race · 15.08

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Jorge Lorenzo	43:22.638	25	22
2	Daniel Pedrosa	+5.494	20	22
3	Casey Stoner	+11.426	16	22
4	Ben Spies	+13.723	13	22
5	Valentino Rossi	+17.930	11	22
6	Nicky Hayden	+26.815	10	22
7	Colin Edwards	+33.396	9	22
8	Marco Melandri	+39.406	8	22
9	Hector Barbera	+39.639	7	22
10	Randy De Puniet	+40.893	6	22
11	Marco Simoncelli	+42.032	5	22
12	Aleix Espargaro	+47.091	4	22
13	Alex De Angelis	+51.368	3	22
Retired	Alvaro Bautista		0	21
Retired	Andrea Dovizioso		0	6
Retired	Loris Capirossi		0	1
Retired	Mika Kallio		0	7

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Pending · no data yet

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line (approximate) S1 S2 S3 S4 · 5,401 m per lap

Approximate sectors: estimated from the time spent in each sector (typical error 5 to 10% of a lap) until we have the official split points.

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.32%	Maverick Viñales +0.47%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.02%	Raul Fernandez +0.20%	Fabio Quartararo +0.34%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.10%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.38%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.46%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.30%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.34%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Ai Ogura +0.08%	Marc Marquez +0.43%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.49%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.11%	Raul Fernandez +0.24%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.26%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.36%	Joan Mir +0.42%
S4	Ai Ogura +0.19%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.19%	Marc Marquez +0.30%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Marc Marquez	Pol Espargaro +0.34%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.05%	Raul Fernandez +0.16%	Francesco Bagnaia +0.32%
S3	Marc Marquez	Pedro Acosta +0.41%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.48%
S4	Marc Marquez +0.07%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.21%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Pol Espargaro	Alex Rins +0.32%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.40%
S2	Fabio Quartararo +0.05%	Franco Morbidelli +0.10%	Joan Mir +0.24%
S3	Pol Espargaro +0.06%	Franco Morbidelli +0.21%	Takaaki Nakagami +0.27%
S4	Pol Espargaro +0.09%	Johann Zarco +0.39%	Franco Morbidelli +0.45%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso +0.03%	Maverick Viñales +0.11%	Alex Rins +0.30%
S2	Marc Marquez +0.03%	Jack Miller +0.28%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.34%
S3	Andrea Dovizioso +0.20%	Jack Miller +0.37%	Marc Marquez +0.41%
S4	Andrea Dovizioso +0.10%	Cal Crutchlow +0.23%	Marc Marquez +0.54%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Andrea Dovizioso	Maverick Viñales +0.36%	Andrea Iannone +0.37%
S2	Marc Marquez	Daniel Pedrosa +0.44%	Valentino Rossi +0.45%
S3	Marc Marquez +0.09%	Andrea Iannone +0.14%	Andrea Dovizioso +0.16%
S4	Jorge Lorenzo +0.25%	Marc Marquez +0.41%	Maverick Viñales +0.48%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

A grid-position track: the grid rules here and it is very hard to come back.

81/100

Position index

40%

Pole wins

60%

Front row on the podium

0.78

Grid ↔ result

When two teammates disagree between pace and grid, pace wins 100% of the time (between 44% and 100%; 3 cases).

Descriptive, over 5 races (2018–2026). 100 = the track where the grid matters most; 0 = the most open. Within a team, practice pace tells who will finish ahead 7 times in 10, but when the faster teammate qualifies behind, they finish behind 6 times in 10: grid position weighs more than pace.

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	210	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	138	−72
3	Andrea Dovizioso	115	−95
4	Casey Stoner	103	−107
5	Valentino Rossi	90	−120
6	Nicky Hayden	89	−121

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

Pending · no data yet

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marc MarquezDucati
2025Marc MarquezDucati
2020Brad BinderKTM
2019Marc MarquezHonda
2018Andrea DoviziosoDucati
2017Marc MarquezHonda
2016Cal CrutchlowHonda
2015Jorge LorenzoYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 16% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/20	15%
2025	3/21	14%
2020	3/21	14%
2019	3/23	13%
2018	5/25	20%
2017	3/23	13%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet