MotoGP Austin 2012: schedule, stats and forecast

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	43:45.961	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+3.429	20
3	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+7.633	16
4	Andrea Dovizioso	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+18.602	13
5	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+18.779	11
6	Nicky Hayden	Ducati	Ducati Team	+26.902	10
7	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+28.393	9
8	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+50.246	8
9	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+78.993	7
10	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+82.076	6
11	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+0.000	5
12	Yonny Hernandez	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+0.000	4
13	Colin Edwards	Suter	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+0.000	3
14	Ivan Silva	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+0.000	2
DNF	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda	Came IodaRacing Project	Retired	0
DNF	James Ellison	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	Retired	0
DNF	Mattia Pasini	ART	Speed Master	Retired	0
DNF	Michele Pirro	FTR	San Carlo Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Toni Elias	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	Retired	0
DNF	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

11/32

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

3.429 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Stefan Bradl, from P9 to P7.

Longest battle: Andrea Dovizioso vs Cal Crutchlow (32 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Jorge Lorenzo (started P1).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Mattia Pasini	18	13	+5
James Ellison	21	16	+5
Karel Abraham	14	11	+3
Randy De Puniet	11	20	−9
Toni Elias	17	19	−2
Casey Stoner	2	3	−1

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Casey Stoner	2→1	+2.5
Andrea Dovizioso	6→4	+2.0
Nicky Hayden	8→6	+1.3
Alvaro Bautista	7→8	−1.3
Randy De Puniet	11→11	−1.7
Colin Edwards	13→13	−2.5

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

36.6 °C

Air

max 36.9 °C

31%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

8 km/h

Wind

gusts 26 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 27.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:21.424	—	20	263.8
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:21.498	+0.074	19	262.6
3	Casey Stoner	01:21.829	+0.405	19	263.3
4	Ben Spies	01:21.939	+0.515	24	263.0
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.609	+1.185	22	262.8
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.672	+1.248	24	264.8
7	Valentino Rossi	01:23.216	+1.792	25	266.9
8	Stefan Bradl	01:23.249	+1.825	24	251.6
9	Nicky Hayden	01:23.310	+1.886	21	260.0
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:23.537	+2.113	22	258.9
11	Colin Edwards	01:24.905	+3.481	21	253.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:25.169	+3.745	18	242.5
13	Karel Abraham	01:25.215	+3.791	23	255.8
14	Mattia Pasini	01:25.488	+4.064	26	240.6
15	Toni Elias	01:25.816	+4.392	23	255.5
16	Yonny Hernandez	01:25.904	+4.480	20	236.8
17	James Ellison	01:25.931	+4.507	21	234.4
18	Danilo Petrucci	01:26.125	+4.701	23	237.1
19	Michele Pirro	01:26.421	+4.997	18	243.2
20	Randy De Puniet	01:26.703	+5.279	9	233.0
21	Ivan Silva	01:27.102	+5.678	26	236.8
—	Steve Rapp	01:29.814	+8.390	15	234.4

FP2 · 27.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:21.088	—	23	266.7
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:21.422	+0.334	20	264.5
3	Casey Stoner	01:21.457	+0.369	19	268.1
4	Ben Spies	01:21.708	+0.620	25	265.1
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:22.021	+0.933	24	262.4
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.258	+1.170	22	266.1
7	Nicky Hayden	01:22.434	+1.346	24	264.0
8	Stefan Bradl	01:22.568	+1.480	24	256.2
9	Valentino Rossi	01:22.772	+1.684	26	268.0
10	Alvaro Bautista	01:22.853	+1.765	21	263.0
11	Aleix Espargaro	01:23.835	+2.747	21	249.1
12	Randy De Puniet	01:23.870	+2.782	22	251.2
13	Colin Edwards	01:24.732	+3.644	23	250.9
14	Toni Elias	01:24.739	+3.651	24	259.0
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:24.774	+3.686	27	246.7
16	Karel Abraham	01:24.849	+3.761	23	257.9
17	Mattia Pasini	01:25.000	+3.912	24	244.7
18	Michele Pirro	01:25.065	+3.977	20	245.6
19	James Ellison	01:25.166	+4.078	24	239.3
20	Ivan Silva	01:25.405	+4.317	26	240.2
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:25.422	+4.334	27	241.7
—	Steve Rapp	01:28.016	+6.928	23	245.2

FP3 · 28.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:21.445	—	8	262.6
2	Ben Spies	01:22.268	+0.823	11	261.0
3	Nicky Hayden	01:22.688	+1.243	8	259.4
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:23.021	+1.576	8	260.1
5	Valentino Rossi	01:23.294	+1.849	7	258.7
6	Stefan Bradl	01:23.832	+2.387	7	255.1
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:24.189	+2.744	6	253.1
8	Randy De Puniet	01:24.398	+2.953	7	248.2
9	Aleix Espargaro	01:24.506	+3.061	8	244.9
10	Karel Abraham	01:24.572	+3.127	8	256.5
11	Yonny Hernandez	01:24.749	+3.304	8	244.9
12	Mattia Pasini	01:25.244	+3.799	5	247.0
13	Toni Elias	01:25.438	+3.993	8	247.7
14	Danilo Petrucci	01:26.283	+4.838	8	238.8
15	Colin Edwards	01:26.315	+4.870	10	247.8
16	James Ellison	01:26.488	+5.043	10	243.1
17	Ivan Silva	01:27.067	+5.622	18	237.4
—	Andrea Dovizioso	01:33.726	+12.281	2	235.7
Retired	Casey Stoner		—	0	0.0
Retired	Daniel Pedrosa		—	0	0.0
—	Michele Pirro	01:27.778	+6.333	5	236.7
—	Steve Rapp	01:27.486	+6.041	18	245.6

Qualifying · 28.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Jorge Lorenzo	01:20.554	—	33	267.7
2	Casey Stoner	01:20.628	+0.074	26	267.1
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:20.906	+0.352	32	267.4
4	Ben Spies	01:21.094	+0.540	27	263.7
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:21.268	+0.714	32	265.1
6	Andrea Dovizioso	01:21.539	+0.985	34	263.4
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:21.732	+1.178	29	265.8
8	Nicky Hayden	01:21.734	+1.180	32	266.1
9	Stefan Bradl	01:21.753	+1.199	34	260.6
10	Valentino Rossi	01:22.544	+1.990	29	268.1
11	Randy De Puniet	01:22.886	+2.332	29	253.9
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:23.075	+2.521	25	252.9
13	Colin Edwards	01:23.699	+3.145	22	255.4
14	Karel Abraham	01:23.704	+3.150	27	260.1
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:23.769	+3.215	32	253.6
16	Michele Pirro	01:23.877	+3.323	25	255.9
17	Toni Elias	01:23.898	+3.344	30	258.3
18	Mattia Pasini	01:24.017	+3.463	24	246.5
19	Danilo Petrucci	01:24.227	+3.673	34	245.7
20	Ivan Silva	01:24.560	+4.006	29	246.8
21	James Ellison	01:24.715	+4.161	28	251.2
—	Steve Rapp	01:26.887	+6.333	24	245.2

Warm Up · 29.07

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:21.406	—	13	265.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:21.407	+0.001	11	263.2
3	Daniel Pedrosa	01:21.553	+0.147	14	264.6
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:21.902	+0.496	14	261.4
5	Cal Crutchlow	01:22.072	+0.666	13	264.5
6	Ben Spies	01:22.249	+0.843	14	261.1
7	Stefan Bradl	01:22.545	+1.139	15	262.8
8	Nicky Hayden	01:22.700	+1.294	13	266.9
9	Valentino Rossi	01:22.786	+1.380	15	265.6
10	Randy De Puniet	01:23.842	+2.436	14	254.1
11	Aleix Espargaro	01:24.093	+2.687	12	252.5
12	Karel Abraham	01:24.129	+2.723	14	261.2
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:24.141	+2.735	14	251.9
14	Alvaro Bautista	01:24.539	+3.133	7	256.5
15	Toni Elias	01:24.553	+3.147	14	259.2
16	James Ellison	01:24.955	+3.549	12	246.6
17	Ivan Silva	01:25.057	+3.651	14	246.9
18	Michele Pirro	01:25.093	+3.687	13	258.9
19	Colin Edwards	01:25.234	+3.828	13	251.9
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:25.428	+4.022	14	243.7
21	Mattia Pasini	01:25.648	+4.242	11	243.7
Retired	Steve Rapp		—	0	0.0

Race · 29.07

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Casey Stoner	43:45.961	25	32
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+3.429	20	32
3	Daniel Pedrosa	+7.633	16	32
4	Andrea Dovizioso	+18.602	13	32
5	Cal Crutchlow	+18.779	11	32
6	Nicky Hayden	+26.902	10	32
7	Stefan Bradl	+28.393	9	32
8	Alvaro Bautista	+50.246	8	32
9	Aleix Espargaro	+78.993	7	32
10	Karel Abraham	+82.076	6	32
11	Randy De Puniet	+0.000	5	31
12	Yonny Hernandez	+0.000	4	31
13	Colin Edwards	+0.000	3	31
14	Ivan Silva	+0.000	2	31
Retired	Ben Spies		0	21
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		0	18
Retired	James Ellison		0	19
Retired	Mattia Pasini		0	11
Retired	Michele Pirro		0	0
Retired	Toni Elias		0	1
Retired	Valentino Rossi		0	29

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Steve Rapp	22	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Data from:

Finish line · 3,601 m per lap

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Pedro Acosta +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.14%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.18%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.13%	Marc Marquez +0.18%	Jorge Martin +0.34%
S4	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.06%	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Jorge Martin +0.20%

Sector	1	2	3
S1	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.20%	Jorge Martin +0.25%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.30%
S2	Pedro Acosta +0.12%	Marc Marquez +0.14%	Marco Bezzecchi +0.18%
S3	Francesco Bagnaia +0.13%	Marc Marquez +0.18%	Jorge Martin +0.34%
S4	Fabio Di Giannantonio +0.06%	Alex Marquez +0.17%	Jorge Martin +0.20%

Fastest per sector: 2018–2026

Median gap to the fastest rider in each sector within each session, across all seasons at this circuit; active riders only. The name on the layout is the sector leader. Sector split points on the map are approximate.

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

Pending · no data yet

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	185	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	166	−19
3	Casey Stoner	148	−37
4	Andrea Dovizioso	108	−77
5	Cal Crutchlow	95	−90
6	Valentino Rossi	82	−103

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2011 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

6/32

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

5.634 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Colin Edwards, from P11 to P8.

Longest battle: Nicky Hayden vs Valentino Rossi (30 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2026Marco BezzecchiAprilia
2013Marc MarquezHonda
2012Casey StonerHonda
2011Casey StonerHonda
2010Jorge LorenzoYamaha

Attrition here

Average here 24% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2026	3/21	14%
2013	5/23	22%
2012	7/21	33%
2011	4/17	24%
2010	5/17	29%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

United States Grand Prix 2012

What happened

Race result

Sprint result

Forecast vs reality

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Race pace

The race in numbers

Incidents

The start

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

The tyre gamble

Race weather

As it happens

The weekend, session by session

Long-run pace in practice

Who will make it to Q2

Pole and front row

Grid penalties

Sprint forecast

Race forecast

What the sprint changed

Sprint pace

Before the race

Who rules each sector

A track for grid position, or an open one?

How they arrive in the standings

The last race here in numbers

Race pace at the last edition

Winners here

Attrition here

Tyres at the last edition