MotoGP Indianapolis 2012: schedule, stats and forecast

Aftermath

What happened

The official result against what we predicted, race craft by phase and the start.

Race result

Pos.	Rider	Bike	Team	Time / gap	Points
1	Daniel Pedrosa	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	46:39.631	25
2	Jorge Lorenzo	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	+10.823	20
3	Andrea Dovizioso	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	+17.310	16
4	Casey Stoner	Honda	Repsol Honda Team	+19.803	13
5	Alvaro Bautista	Honda	San Carlo Honda Gresini	+22.556	11
6	Stefan Bradl	Honda	LCR Honda MotoGP	+30.072	10
7	Valentino Rossi	Ducati	Ducati Team	+57.614	9
8	Karel Abraham	Ducati	Cardion AB Motoracing	+68.442	8
9	Yonny Hernandez	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+71.106	7
10	Aleix Espargaro	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	+74.079	6
11	Toni Elias	Ducati	Pramac Racing Team	+86.305	5
12	Ivan Silva	BQR	Avintia Blusens	+100.274	4
13	Colin Edwards	Suter	NGM Mobile Forward Racing	+0.000	3
14	Steve Rapp	APR	Attack Performance	+0.000	2
15	James Ellison	ART	Paul Bird Motorsport	+0.000	1
16	Aaron Yates	BCL	GPTech	+0.000	0
DNF	Ben Spies	Yamaha	Yamaha Factory Racing	Retired	0
DNF	Cal Crutchlow	Yamaha	Monster Yamaha Tech 3	Retired	0
DNF	Danilo Petrucci	Ioda	Came IodaRacing Project	Retired	0
DNF	Mattia Pasini	ART	Speed Master	Retired	0
DNF	Michele Pirro	FTR	San Carlo Honda Gresini	Retired	0
DNF	Randy De Puniet	ART	Power Electronics Aspar	Retired	0

Sprint result

Pending · no data yet

Forecast vs reality

C14

Pending · no data yet

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Position crossing the line on each lap. The top six are in colour; the rest can be switched on in the legend. When a rider retires, their line ends.

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Pending · no data yet

Race pace

Pending · no data yet

The race in numbers

Race

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

26/28

Laps led by the winner

Daniel Pedrosa

10.823 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Valentino Rossi, from P10 to P7.

Longest battle: Colin Edwards vs Karel Abraham (20 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Incidents

Pending · no data yet

The start

C23

Holeshot: Ben Spies (started P4).

Rider	Grid	L1	Δ
Colin Edwards	19	11	+8
Steve Rapp	21	17	+4
Karel Abraham	13	10	+3
Randy De Puniet	9	12	−3
Jorge Lorenzo	2	4	−2
Daniel Pedrosa	1	2	−1

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

Rider	Grid→Pos.	Beats the grid
Ivan Silva	20→12	+3.0
Karel Abraham	13→8	+2.5
Alvaro Bautista	8→5	+2.3
Stefan Bradl	5→6	−0.6
Aleix Espargaro	11→10	−0.7
James Ellison	17→15	−1.9

Positions gained (+) or lost (−) versus what the starting position suggests, net of what is normally gained or lost at the start. Finishers only.

The tyre gamble

Pending · no data yet

Race weather

C25

23.6 °C

Air

max 23.6 °C

43%

Humidity

Dry

Rain

12 km/h

Wind

gusts 27 km/h

Open-Meteo data at the circuit location during the race; not the track temperature.

Race weekend

As it happens

Live timing, the grid as it forms and who wins the run to turn one.

The weekend, session by session

FP1 · 17.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:41.925	—	14	325.7
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:42.106	+0.181	17	326.8
3	Nicky Hayden	01:42.472	+0.547	19	326.9
4	Ben Spies	01:42.536	+0.611	17	325.9
5	Stefan Bradl	01:43.027	+1.102	20	322.9
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:43.195	+1.270	19	326.1
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:43.295	+1.370	17	322.2
8	Jorge Lorenzo	01:43.312	+1.387	15	326.0
9	Valentino Rossi	01:43.345	+1.420	19	328.7
10	Hector Barbera	01:43.736	+1.811	12	280.5
11	Andrea Dovizioso	01:43.745	+1.820	19	324.8
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:44.328	+2.403	19	304.7
13	Aleix Espargaro	01:44.714	+2.789	18	306.9
14	Karel Abraham	01:44.739	+2.814	16	324.1
15	Mattia Pasini	01:44.913	+2.988	18	309.4
16	Randy De Puniet	01:46.298	+4.373	19	311.6
17	Ivan Silva	01:46.332	+4.407	22	305.2
18	Michele Pirro	01:46.480	+4.555	17	306.0
19	Colin Edwards	01:46.520	+4.595	18	306.6
20	Steve Rapp	01:46.619	+4.694	13	286.5
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:46.941	+5.016	22	287.5
22	James Ellison	01:47.506	+5.581	21	296.7
23	Aaron Yates	01:48.054	+6.129	15	0.0

FP2 · 17.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.783	—	19	335.7
2	Ben Spies	01:40.078	+0.295	21	329.7
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:40.502	+0.719	18	328.5
4	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.560	+0.777	21	330.3
5	Casey Stoner	01:40.623	+0.840	14	331.4
6	Cal Crutchlow	01:41.055	+1.272	19	330.4
7	Alvaro Bautista	01:41.072	+1.289	19	333.3
8	Stefan Bradl	01:41.255	+1.472	20	330.6
9	Nicky Hayden	01:41.397	+1.614	20	332.4
10	Valentino Rossi	01:41.529	+1.746	20	333.3
11	Randy De Puniet	01:41.855	+2.072	20	314.5
12	Karel Abraham	01:42.279	+2.496	19	331.7
13	Mattia Pasini	01:42.290	+2.507	16	312.8
14	Aleix Espargaro	01:42.360	+2.577	18	313.5
15	Yonny Hernandez	01:42.761	+2.978	16	308.4
16	Michele Pirro	01:42.761	+2.978	17	314.3
17	Toni Elias	01:43.095	+3.312	20	328.9
18	Colin Edwards	01:43.813	+4.030	17	312.3
19	Ivan Silva	01:44.122	+4.339	19	310.8
20	James Ellison	01:44.127	+4.344	19	309.5
21	Danilo Petrucci	01:44.609	+4.826	22	292.7
22	Aaron Yates	01:46.021	+6.238	15	0.0
Retired	Steve Rapp		—	0	0.0

FP3 · 18.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Casey Stoner	01:39.182	—	16	335.2
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.369	+0.187	19	334.9
3	Ben Spies	01:39.386	+0.204	20	332.8
4	Stefan Bradl	01:39.681	+0.499	21	334.7
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:40.018	+0.836	22	332.4
6	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.206	+1.024	19	332.2
7	Jorge Lorenzo	01:40.339	+1.157	18	330.4
8	Valentino Rossi	01:40.348	+1.166	20	334.3
9	Cal Crutchlow	01:40.402	+1.220	18	329.3
10	Nicky Hayden	01:40.513	+1.331	18	334.6
11	Aleix Espargaro	01:41.455	+2.273	18	318.1
12	Yonny Hernandez	01:41.473	+2.291	21	309.9
13	Randy De Puniet	01:41.706	+2.524	18	313.9
14	Karel Abraham	01:41.724	+2.542	19	333.8
15	Mattia Pasini	01:41.748	+2.566	17	309.0
16	Toni Elias	01:42.363	+3.181	16	330.8
17	Michele Pirro	01:42.892	+3.710	17	313.3
18	Ivan Silva	01:42.946	+3.764	19	311.1
19	Danilo Petrucci	01:42.982	+3.800	20	292.0
20	James Ellison	01:43.320	+4.138	16	308.2
21	Colin Edwards	01:43.341	+4.159	18	313.7
22	Steve Rapp	01:44.179	+4.997	20	301.0
23	Aaron Yates	01:45.474	+6.292	19	284.0

Qualifying · 18.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Daniel Pedrosa	01:38.813	—	27	335.5
2	Jorge Lorenzo	01:38.913	+0.100	29	335.5
3	Andrea Dovizioso	01:39.235	+0.422	30	334.0
4	Ben Spies	01:39.279	+0.466	26	333.1
5	Stefan Bradl	01:39.437	+0.624	27	334.2
6	Casey Stoner	01:39.465	+0.652	3	334.6
7	Cal Crutchlow	01:39.549	+0.736	27	331.0
8	Nicky Hayden	01:39.748	+0.935	23	333.3
9	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.072	+1.259	25	334.0
10	Randy De Puniet	01:40.437	+1.624	27	317.8
11	Valentino Rossi	01:40.763	+1.950	27	333.3
12	Aleix Espargaro	01:40.803	+1.990	21	318.6
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:41.197	+2.384	27	312.3
14	Karel Abraham	01:41.295	+2.482	28	333.1
15	Mattia Pasini	01:41.370	+2.557	23	311.9
16	Michele Pirro	01:41.449	+2.636	22	315.7
17	Toni Elias	01:41.866	+3.053	24	332.9
18	James Ellison	01:41.978	+3.165	27	310.0
19	Danilo Petrucci	01:42.553	+3.740	29	296.9
20	Colin Edwards	01:42.599	+3.786	26	315.0
21	Ivan Silva	01:42.768	+3.955	26	314.0
22	Steve Rapp	01:43.673	+4.860	23	300.9
23	Aaron Yates	01:44.312	+5.499	27	286.1

Warm Up · 19.08

Pos.	Rider	Best lap	Gap	Laps	Top km/h
1	Ben Spies	01:39.275	—	11	333.1
2	Daniel Pedrosa	01:39.582	+0.307	11	334.7
3	Jorge Lorenzo	01:39.625	+0.350	12	332.8
4	Cal Crutchlow	01:39.704	+0.429	11	328.9
5	Andrea Dovizioso	01:39.715	+0.440	10	330.8
6	Casey Stoner	01:39.897	+0.622	10	331.7
7	Stefan Bradl	01:40.264	+0.989	11	330.3
8	Alvaro Bautista	01:40.441	+1.166	12	332.2
9	Valentino Rossi	01:40.550	+1.275	12	331.0
10	Aleix Espargaro	01:41.104	+1.829	10	315.7
11	Mattia Pasini	01:41.277	+2.002	10	309.9
12	Randy De Puniet	01:41.440	+2.165	11	315.5
13	Yonny Hernandez	01:41.442	+2.167	11	308.9
14	Karel Abraham	01:41.736	+2.461	11	332.9
15	Michele Pirro	01:42.021	+2.746	10	310.7
16	Colin Edwards	01:42.529	+3.254	9	313.4
17	Ivan Silva	01:42.598	+3.323	12	309.7
18	Toni Elias	01:42.669	+3.394	10	326.7
19	James Ellison	01:43.058	+3.783	10	308.5
20	Danilo Petrucci	01:43.149	+3.874	11	294.0
21	Steve Rapp	01:43.446	+4.171	11	299.9
22	Aaron Yates	01:45.455	+6.180	9	281.1
Retired	Nicky Hayden		—	0	0.0

Race · 19.08

Pos.	Rider	Time / gap	Points	Laps
1	Daniel Pedrosa	46:39.631	25	28
2	Jorge Lorenzo	+10.823	20	28
3	Andrea Dovizioso	+17.310	16	28
4	Casey Stoner	+19.803	13	28
5	Alvaro Bautista	+22.556	11	28
6	Stefan Bradl	+30.072	10	28
7	Valentino Rossi	+57.614	9	28
8	Karel Abraham	+68.442	8	28
9	Yonny Hernandez	+71.106	7	28
10	Aleix Espargaro	+74.079	6	28
11	Toni Elias	+86.305	5	28
12	Ivan Silva	+100.274	4	28
13	Colin Edwards	+0.000	3	27
14	Steve Rapp	+0.000	2	27
15	James Ellison	+0.000	1	27
16	Aaron Yates	+0.000	0	27
Retired	Ben Spies		0	6
Retired	Cal Crutchlow		0	9
Retired	Danilo Petrucci		0	0
Retired	Mattia Pasini		0	0
Retired	Michele Pirro		0	1
Retired	Randy De Puniet		0	8

Official classification of each session (Dorna). Best lap and the tyres used on it: official FIM PDFs. Long-run pace: median of the clean laps in long runs (5 flying laps or more); blank if the rider did none. Every rider runs their own programme and fuel load, so long-run pace only compares within the same session.

Long-run pace in practice

Pending · no data yet

Who will make it to Q2

C21a

Pending · no data yet

Pole and front row

C21

Pending · no data yet

Grid penalties

Session	Rider	Qualified	Starts	Δ	Reason
Race	Nicky Hayden	8	—	—	Not on the official grid (pit-lane start or did not start)

Sprint forecast

C13s

Win and podium chances in Saturday’s sprint, based on the grid.

Pending · no data yet

Race forecast

C13

Win, podium and top-10 probabilities with an 80% range.

Pending · no data yet

What the sprint changed

C13b

Who rises and who drops in the race forecast after the sprint.

Pending · no data yet

Sprint pace

Pending · no data yet

Preview

Before the race

What to expect this weekend: race and qualifying outlook, the weight of the grid and the weather.

Who rules each sector

Pending · no data yet

A track for grid position, or an open one?

C15

Pending · no data yet

How they arrive in the standings

#	Rider	Points	Gap
1	Jorge Lorenzo	205	—
2	Daniel Pedrosa	182	−23
3	Casey Stoner	173	−32
4	Andrea Dovizioso	121	−84
5	Cal Crutchlow	106	−99
6	Nicky Hayden	84	−121

Full championship →

The last race here in numbers

2011 edition

Overtakes

Lead changes

2 leaders

22/28

Laps led by the winner

Casey Stoner

4.828 s

Closest finish

Comeback of the day: Hiroshi Aoyama, from P13 to P9.

Longest battle: Hiroshi Aoyama vs Randy De Puniet (10 laps).

Overtakes are counted at the finish line: moves undone within the same lap are not seen. It is a measure of movement, not an official statistic.

Race pace at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Winners here

2015Marc MarquezHonda
2014Marc MarquezHonda
2013Marc MarquezHonda
2012Daniel PedrosaHonda
2011Casey StonerHonda
2010Daniel PedrosaHonda

Attrition here

Average here 21% · global 19%

Year	DNFs	%
2015	1/23	4%
2014	8/23	35%
2013	4/23	17%
2012	6/22	27%
2011	3/17	18%
2010	4/17	24%

Tyres at the last edition

Pending · no data yet

Indianapolis Grand Prix 2012

What happened

Race result

Sprint result

Forecast vs reality

Lap-by-lap positions: race

Lap-by-lap positions: sprint

Race pace

The race in numbers

Incidents

The start

Who finished better and worse than the grid suggested

The tyre gamble

Race weather

As it happens

The weekend, session by session

Long-run pace in practice

Who will make it to Q2

Pole and front row

Grid penalties

Sprint forecast

Race forecast

What the sprint changed

Sprint pace

Before the race

Who rules each sector

A track for grid position, or an open one?

How they arrive in the standings

The last race here in numbers

Race pace at the last edition

Winners here

Attrition here

Tyres at the last edition