Race forecast
C13
| Rider | Grid | Win | Podium | Top 5 | Top 10 | P(DNF) | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Martin | 1 | 32% | 58% | 71% | 79% | 21% | 2 |
| Raul Fernandez | 2 | 19% | 47% | 62% | 78% | 18% | 1 |
| Ai Ogura | 3 | 17% | 47% | 65% | 81% | 18% | — |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | 4 | 8% | 29% | 50% | 78% | 15% | 6 |
| Marco Bezzecchi | 5 | 5% | 23% | 44% | 75% | 17% | 3 |
| Marc Marquez | 6 | 6% | 26% | 47% | 79% | 16% | 7 |
| Alex Marquez | 7 | 6% | 24% | 41% | 70% | 23% | 4 |
| Franco Morbidelli | 8 | 2% | 12% | 26% | 65% | 16% | 11 |
| Pedro Acosta | 9 | 2% | 10% | 25% | 67% | 18% | 5 |
| Iker Lecuona | 10 | 1% | 8% | 19% | 51% | 32% | — |
| Jack Miller | 11 | 2% | 6% | 17% | 54% | 24% | 13 |
| Joan Mir | 12 | 1% | 4% | 10% | 39% | 39% | — |
| Fabio Quartararo | 13 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 36% | 13% | 12 |
| Diogo Moreira | 14 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 35% | 13% | 10 |
| Luca Marini | 15 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 7% | 9 |
| Francesco Bagnaia | 16 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 18% | 25% | — |
| Alex Rins | 17 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 19% | 18% | — |
| Brad Binder | 18 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 21% | 14% | 8 |
| Enea Bastianini | 19 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 18% | — |
| Cal Crutchlow | 20 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 26% | — |
| Pol Espargaro | 21 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 14 |
| Toprak Razgatlioglu | 22 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 15 |
| Augusto Fernandez | 23 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 23% | 16 |